April 11, 2022
Afternoon Update:
Anna Cooban of CNN: "Russia has defaulted on its foreign debt because it offered bondholders payments in rubles, not dollars, credit ratings agency S&P has said. Russia attempted to pay in rubles for two dollar-denominated bonds that matured on April 4, S&P said in a note on Friday. The agency said this amounted to a 'selective default' because investors are unlikely to be able to convert the rubles into 'dollars equivalent to the originally due amounts.' According to S&P, a selective default is declared when an entity has defaulted on a specific obligation but not its entire debt."
Cora Engelbrecht of the New York Times: "Two days after a Russian missile strike hit a train station in eastern Ukraine's city of Kramatorsk, killing more than 50 people, volunteer drivers across the Donetsk region are coming forward to help residents still looking to flee before an anticipated onslaught from Russian forces.... Yuroslav Boyko, who is from Kramatorsk..., heads Everything Will Be Fine, a Ukrainian aid organization that has been working to evacuate people from Donetsk since the start of Russia's invasion.... Two train stations are still operational in the Donetsk region -- in the towns of Sloviansk and Pokrovsk -- but residents have become wary of gathering in stations since the attack [on the Kramatorsk station].... The volunteer fleet consists of at least 400 vehicles -- including city buses and private vans -- operated by approximately 1,000 volunteer drivers, who fan out daily to towns and villages across Donetsk to retrieve passengers."
BBC News: "has warned Finland and Sweden against joining Nato, arguing the move would not bring stability to Europe. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters that 'the alliance remains a tool geared towards confrontation'.... US officials expect the Nordic neighbours to bid for membership of the alliance, potentially as early as June."
Glenn Thrush & Katie Benner of the New York Times: "President Biden is expected on Monday to nominate a former federal prosecutor from Ohio ... Steven M. Dettelbach ... to run the embattled Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, administration officials said, part of a series of measures meant to demonstrate the White House&'s modest progress on gun control. The moves include the completion of a rule banning online sales of 'ghost guns' -- untraceable firearms without serial numbers, assembled from components bought online -- and come as Mr. Biden faces intensifying pressure from gun control groups to revive a key element of his policy agenda that has been stymied in Congress."
** Fox "News" Viewers Can Be Deprogrammed! Adam Gabbatt of the Guardian: "In an unusual, and labor intensive, project, two political scientists paid a group of regular Fox News viewers to instead watch CNN for a month. At the end of the period, the researchers found surprising results; some of the Fox News watchers had changed their minds on a range of key issues, including the US response to coronavirus and Democrats' attitude to police. The findings suggest that political perspectives can be changed -- but also reveals the influence partisan media has on viewers' ideology.... David Broockman and Joshua Kalla, political scientists at the University of California, Berkeley and Yale university, respectively, paid 304 regular Fox News viewers $15 an hour to instead watch up to seven hours of CNN a week during the month of September 2020." MB: I think Akhilleus mentioned this study last week in the Comments.
~~~~~~~~~~
The Washington Post's live updates of developments Monday in Russia's war on Ukraine are here: "... Vladimir Putin will meet with Austrian Chancellor Karl Nehammer on Monday in the first face-to-face meeting between Putin and a European leader since his country's invasion of Ukraine. Austria has been militarily neutral since the 1950s, but Nehammer has spoken against Russia's war. In a tweet announcing the Moscow meeting, he called for 'humanitarian corridors, a cease-fire & full investigation of war crimes,' adding that Putin 'has to stop!'... Evacuees have been trickling out of the seaside city of Mariupol, which faces continued heavy assault. Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk said that 213 Mariupol residents were evacuated on Sunday, among 2,824 evacuees total across the country that day. Russian forces 'made territorial gains' there this weekend but struggled farther inland in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions, according to an assessment by the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War." ~~~
~~~ The New York Times' live updates for Monday are here: "Ukrainian authorities are urging citizens in the separatist east to flee as the military battens down for a renewed assault by Russian forces to capture the region. But the road out is a dangerous one, with reports across the country of civilians being killed as they try to escape. On a highway near Kyiv, the capital, as many as 50 bodies of civilians were discovered, according to a local mayor who captured photos of the apparent massacre." ~~~
~~~ The Guardian's live updates for Monday are here.
Taylor Telford, et al., of the Washington Post: "Russian forces bombarded several towns in eastern Ukraine on Sunday, destroying an airport and damaging several civilian targets, as the war careens toward a pivotal new phase. The shift of the war and fears of full-scale military confrontation on open terrain prompted Ukrainian officials to again call for Western alliances to step up weapons supply efforts to strengthen Ukraine's position on the battlefield. Ukraine is preparing for a 'massive attack in the east,' its ambassador to the United States, Oksana Markarova, warned Sunday on CBS's 'Face the Nation.' Of the Russian forces, she said: 'There are so many of them and they still have so much equipment. And it looks like they're going to use all of it. So we are preparing for everything.'... Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on CBS's '60 Minutes' again called on Western countries to step up in providing arms. 'They have to supply weapons to Ukraine as if they were defending themselves and their own people,' he said in an interview recorded Wednesday and broadcast Sunday." ~~~
~~~ Video & transcript of Scott Pelley's "60 Minutes" interview of President Zelensky is here. Pelley went to Kyiv for the interview.
Emma Bubola, et al., of the New York Times: Russia's war on Ukraine has "reached deep into the fertile plains of a region known as Europe's breadbasket, paralyzing harvests, destroying granaries and crops, and bringing potentially devastating consequences to a country that produces a large share of the world's grain. Ukraine has already lost at least $1.5 billion in grain exports since the war began, the country's deputy agriculture minister said recently. And the economic fallout from the war has also disrupted supplies from Russia, the world's leading grain exporter. The combination is creating a global food crisis 'beyond anything we've seen since World War II,' the chief of the United Nations World Food Program has warned. In Ukraine, warehouses are filled with grain that cannot be exported. Russia has blocked access to the Black Sea, Ukraine's main export route, cargo trains face logistical hurdles, and trucking is stymied because most truck drivers are men aged 18 to 60 who are not allowed to leave the country and cannot drive agricultural exports across the border."
Carlotta Gall of the New York Times: "We visited Bucha, documented dozens of killings of civilians, interviewed scores of witnesses and followed local investigators to uncover the scale of Russian atrocities." Photos by Daniel Berehulak.
Dusan Stojanovic of the AP: "Russian ally Serbia took the delivery of a sophisticated Chinese anti-aircraft system in a veiled operation this weekend, amid Western concerns that an arms buildup in the Balkans at the time of the war in Ukraine could threaten the fragile peace in the region. Media and military experts said Sunday that six Chinese Air Force Y-20 transport planes landed at Belgrade's civilian airport early Saturday, reportedly carrying HQ-22 surface-to-air missile systems for the Serbian military.... The arms delivery over the territory of at least two NATO member states, Turkey and Bulgaria, was seen by experts as a demonstration of China's growing global reach.... Although Serbia has voted in favor of U.N. resolutions that condemn the bloody Russian attacks in Ukraine, it has refused to join international sanctions against its allies in Moscow or outright criticize the apparent atrocities committed by the Russian troops there."
In the course of his presidency..., Trump would come more to resemble Putin in political practice and predilection than he resembled any of his recent American presidential predecessors. -- Fiona Hill
She doesn't know the first thing she's talking about. If she didn't have the accent she would be nothing. -- Donald Trump, on Fiona Hill ~~~
Robert Draper in the New York Times Magazine interviews Fiona Hill, who has been an administration expert on Russia, off and on, since Dubya's administration. Trump saw Ukraine as an enemy and a plaything. He spoke with others, too, about Donald Trump's relationships with Russia & Ukraine. "'In real time, I was putting things together,' [Hill] said. 'The domestic political errands, the way Trump had privatized foreign policy for his own purposes. It was this narrow goal: his desire to stay in power, irrespective of what other people wanted.'... [Watching the January 6 insurrection on television, Hill said] a burst of horrific clarity overtook her. 'I saw the thread,' she told me. 'The thread connecting the Zelensky phone call to Jan. 6. And I remembered how, in 2020, Putin had changed Russia's Constitution to allow him to stay in power longer. This was Trump pulling a Putin.'" ~~~
~~~ Marie: An interesting (and long) read throughout. What struck me, though, was how long it took most of these "experts" to figure out Trump's intention to hang on at all costs and by any means. I think most of saw this back when Trump started "joking" about a third term or a "presidency for life" as early as March 2018. This was Trump, not just saying the quiet part out loud but priming the pump. And a lot of Americans were read to rev the engine.
Michael Schmidt & Luke Broadwater of the New York Times: "The leaders of the House committee investigating the Capitol attack have grown divided over whether to make a criminal referral to the Justice Department of ... Donald J. Trump, even though they have concluded that they have enough evidence to do so, people involved in the discussions said. The debate centers on whether making a referral -- a largely symbolic act -- would backfire by politically tainting the Justice Department's expanding investigation into the Jan. 6 assault and what led up to it.... The shift in the committee's perspective on making a referral was prompted in part by a ruling two weeks ago by Judge David O. Carter of the Federal District Court for Central California ... found that it was 'more likely than not' that Mr. Trump and Mr. Eastman had committed federal crimes.... [Some committee members and staff felt that] the judge's decision would carry far greater weight with Mr. Garland than any referral letter they could write...." See Patrick's comment in today's thread. (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~
~~~ Cheney: We've Got the Goods on Trump. Christina Zhao of NBC News: "The House panel investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol has enough evidence to refer ... Donald Trump for criminal charges, Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wyo., said Sunday. 'It's absolutely clear that what President Trump was doing -- what a number of people around him were doing -- that they knew it was unlawful. They did it anyway,' Cheney, the vice chair and one of two Republicans on the committee, said on CNN's 'State of the Union.'... 'I think what we have seen is a massive and well-organized and well-planned effort that used multiple tools to try to overturn an election,' Cheney said. The committee has 'got a tremendous amount of testimony and documents that I think very, very clearly demonstrate the extent of the planning and the organization and the objective.'" ~~~
~~~ Martin Pengelly of the Guardian: Cheney "disputed [the New York Times] report which said the panel was split over whether to refer Donald Trump to the Department of Justice for criminal charges regarding his attempt to overturn the 2020 election, leading to the Capitol attack. 'There's not really a dispute on the committee,' the Wyoming representative Liz Cheney told CNN;s State of the Union.... Cheney said: 'We have not made a decision about referrals on the committee....' 'The committee is working in a really collaborative way to discuss these issues,' she said, adding: 'We'll continue to work together to do so. So I wouldn't characterise there as being a dispute on the committee ... and I'm confident that we will we will work to come to agreement on on all of the issues that we're facing.'"
~~~ MEANWHILE. House Team Trump Is in the Dark. Paul Kane of the Washington Post: "One by one, Republicans eviscerated the work of the House committee investigating the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol, each one bemoaning the fact that the chief congressional security officials had not been subpoenaed to examine that day's security lapses. Not interviewing these key officials was proof, they suggested, that the committee was just out to score political points against Republicans. Finally, Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-Md.) shut down that line of debate on Wednesday with some information these Republicans did not seem to know. 'We have in fact interviewed precisely the people they set up as a test for the validity of our investigation,' Raskin said. Those top security officials 'didn't need a subpoena' to testify..., Raskin said. 'They came voluntarily.'... Dozens of GOP lawmakers are left in the dark about what evidence the committee has collected involving their own contacts with Trump and his senior advisers in the run up to, and during, the attack on the Capitol." Why don't Republicans know what's going on? -- Because Kevin McCarthy decided not to put any semi-rational members on the committee & he iced out the two Republicans who are on the committee. (Also linked yesterday.) ~~~
~~~ Marie: This is an example of how dumb House Republicans are. Story after story has emphasized the hundreds of people the committee has interviewed without need for subpoenaes. Some specifically mention the committee's interviewing security personnel, like this CNN report from March 23, 2022 that ledes with, "More than 80 officials from law enforcement and federal agencies have testified to the House committee investigating the Capitol insurrection, including members of the Secret Service, in what investigators believe will be the most extensive review yet of security failures that led to the US Capitol breach." Yet somehow it doesn't occur to anyone on this team of bozos that maybe, just maybe, top security officials were among those people who sat for interviews.
Bob Brigham of the Raw Story: "Donald Trump's once iron-clad grip on the Republican Party appears to have weakened as prominent conservatives are openly griping about his endorsement of Dr. Mehmet Oz in the GOP primary for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania. But, um, some of the gripers are blaming Trump's staff, not Trump himself. "The ongoing need to blame everyone but Trump for Trump's own choices is striking given that Brooks, who Trump dumped, is one of those doing it," Maggie Haberman of the New York Times tweeted. (Also linked yesterday.)
Mysterious News, Ctd. Somebody Tipped Off the Fake Feds. Sarah Burris of the Raw Story: "Two men pretending to be Homeland Security agents were arrested this week after being caught and manipulating Secret Service agents and other law enforcement by giving them gifts, free apartments, and other things. Now it's being revealed that someone tipped the men off that they were about to be raided. According to the Daily Beast, federal prosecutor Matthew Graves wrote in a Sunday filing that investigators are still discovering more information about the efforts by the two men. It's still unknown why the men were manipulating the law enforcement and their ultimate end game.... The two men ... were observed trying to ditch incriminating items through a Secret Service agent who is assigned to protect the White House, the filing says. 'This ... suggests that [Arian] Taherzadeh and/or [Haider] Ali shipped the package to the USSS Uniformed Division Officer in an attempt to corruptly enlist him in secreting evidence,' the filing also said."
Faiz Siddiqui of the Washington Post: "Elon Musk is not joining Twitter's board after all, a reversal following last week's revelation that he had become Twitter's largest shareholder -- and had received a subsequent appointment to the panel. Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal tweeted the news Sunday night, including a memo sent to his staff. 'Elon's appointment to the board was to become officially effective 4/9, but Elon shared that same morning he will no longer be joining the board,' Agrawal wrote. 'I believe this is for the best.' The surprise move came less than a week after Twitter had said the outspoken Tesla CEO would become a board member, following his quietly amassing a 9.2 percent stake in the social media company. But Twitter employees and others agitated over the move, worrying Musk might wield outsize power to undo some moderation decisions that were made -- including banning ... Donald Trump."
Annals of "Journalism," Ctd. Margaret Sullivan of the Washington Post: "The unemployment rate is at an encouragingly low point.... But if you ask regular Americans about the jobs climate, a surprising number of them seem to think the opposite is true. This lack of knowledge matters. Political fortunes rise and fall in part on the health of the job market.... In his last post before his tragic death last week, the media critic Eric Boehlert argued that journalists are purposely putting President Biden's accomplishments, including job growth, in a negative light; he asserted that the press is actually 'rooting against Biden.'... The public's lack of knowledge on jobs ought to sound an alarm bell for journalists.... [The media should] find some balance in the current economic coverage, which has pounded away relentlessly at soaring inflation but mentioned job growth or wage increases only in passing.... [They should] examine the knee-jerk media narrative, which goes like this: Biden's approval numbers are down, and that's because the economy is bad." ~~~
~~~ Marie: As far as I can tell, the media generally cover the state of the jobs market only once a week, when the Labor Department reports jobs number, and the reporting is often done in a very pedestrian, formulaic fashion. What's more, even excellent jobs news often gets negative coverage: a lede will read something like, "... the number of Americans filing for unemployment last week was worse than expected"; the report goes on to state that (unnamed) analysts expected 300,000 people to apply for unemployment insurance, but 325,000 people applied. Who cares what unnamed analysts expected? In fact, these analysts could be purposely predicting super-rosy numbers so the reports look bad. I don't know.
Matt Schudel of the Washington Post: "Mimi Reinhard was being held at a Nazi concentration camp near Krakow, Poland, in 1944, but because she spoke flawless German and could take shorthand, she was allowed to work in the camp office. One of her jobs was to compile a list of Jewish prisoners working in factories owned by industrialist Oskar Schindler. Mrs. Reinhard, then known as Carmen Weitmann, typed the names of more than 1,000 Jewish people -- including her own and those of two friends -- to create what became known as 'Schindler's List.' She called herself a 'schreibkraft,' or typist.... As a result, she and more than 1,000 other Jews were saved from near-certain annihilation in the Nazi death camps of World War II. Mrs. Reinhard, who later became Schindler's secretary, has died in Israel at age 107." (Also linked yesterday.)
The Pandemic, Ctd.
Christina Zhao & Molly Roecker of NBC News: "Sixty-eight attendees have tested positive for Covid-19 after attending the Gridiron Dinner in Washington last weekend, including members of the Biden administration and reporters. Gridiron Club President Tom DeFrank said Saturday that the group had reported 67 cases out of the hundreds of people who attended. On Sunday, New York City Mayor Eric Adams, who was also at the dinner, tested positive. This is the first that the Gridiron Dinner has taken place since 2019, before the pandemic." (Also linked yesterday.)
Beyond the Beltway
Texas. Giulia Heyward & Sophie Kasakove of the New York Times: "The murder charge against a woman in Texas in connection with a 'self-induced abortion' will be dismissed, a Texas district attorney announced Sunday. Gocha Allen Ramirez, the district attorney of Starr County, said in a statement that, after reviewing the case, he will file a motion on Monday to dismiss the indictment against the woman, Lizelle Herrera, 26. 'It is my hope that with the dismissal of this case it is made clear that Ms. Herrera did not commit a criminal act under the laws of the State of Texas,' Mr. Ramirez said." (Also linked yesterday.) The Texas Tribune's report is here.
Utah. Ed Scarce of Crooks & Liars: "... there were more proven instances of voter fraud among Salt Lake County Republicans than 'has been proven in Utah's entire 2020 election.' [From the (firewalled) Salt Lake Tribune:] 'For Salt Lake County Republicans, warnings of voter fraud came from inside the party on Saturday. The vote to nominate a GOP candidate for Salt Lake County Clerk was marred when a pair of delegates were caught attempting to vote more than once, with one extra vote making it into a ballot box at Saturday's county nominating convention.'" MB: In fairness to Republicans, perhaps one reason they're so "concerned" about voter fraud is that Republicans themselves are such cheaters. The vast majority of proven cases of intentional fraud during the 2020 election, as far as I recall, were Repubicans, not Democrats, voting twice, voting for their dead relatives, voting in places they don't live (Mark Meadows). It's about projection. (Also linked yesterday.)
Way Beyond
France. John Leicester & Sylvie Corbet of the AP: "Incumbent Emmanuel Macron will face far-right nationalist Marine Le Pen in a winner-takes-all runoff for the French presidency, after they both advanced Sunday in the first round of voting in the country's election to set up another head-to-head clash of their sharply opposing visions for France. But while Macron won their last contest in 2017 by a landslide to become France's youngest-ever president, the same outcome this time is far from guaranteed. Macron, now 44, emerged ahead from Sunday's first round, but the runoff is essentially a new election and the next two weeks of campaigning to the April 24 second-round vote promise to be bruising and confrontational.... With most votes counted, Macron had just over 27% and Le Pen had just under 24%. Hard-left leader Jean-Luc Melenchon was third, missing out on the two-candidate runoff, with close to 22%.... ~~~
~~~ "The election outcome will have wide international influence as Europe struggles to contain the havoc wreaked by Russian President Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine. Macron has strongly backed European Union sanctions on Russia while Le Pen has worried about their impact on French living standards. Macron also is a firm supporter of NATO and of close collaboration among the European Union's 27 members.... [As one Macron voter noted, Le Pen's] long-standing hostility to the EU could see her try to take France out of the bloc, even though she has dropped that from her manifesto." The Washington Post's story is here. The New York Times story is here.
News Lede
Another Saturday Night in Drunk-Shooting America. AP: "A shooting inside a crowded Cedar Rapids nightclub left a man and a woman dead and 10 people wounded early Sunday, authorities said. Cedar Rapids Police Chief Wayne Jerman said investigators believe two men fired more than a dozen shots inside the Taboo Nightclub and Lounge just before 1:30 a.m. Sunday. He said officers who were just outside the club because of an earlier incident rushed inside just as 100-150 people streamed out of the bar and found the victims." ~~~
~~~ Marie: If I were young & looking for a good time on a Saturday night, I definitely would not seek out fun in an American nightclub or bar.