The Commentariat -- October 29, 2016
Presidential Race
Director Comey admits 'the FBI cannot yet assess whether or not this material may be significant.' He cannot predict how long the investigation will take. And we don't know if the FBI has these emails in hand. It's too bad Director Comey didn't take those gaping holes into consideration when he decided to send this letter. The FBI has a history of extreme caution near Election Day so as not to influence the results. Today's break from that tradition is appalling. -- Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), in a statement
Why is FBI doing this just 11 days before the election? -- Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas), in a tweet
Eric Lichtblau, et al., of the New York Times: "The reaction [to FBI director James Comey's letter to Congress] was swift and damning, with Mrs. Clinton's supporters and even some Republicans blasting Mr. Comey.... By late Friday, Mr. Comey felt it necessary to further explain his actions in an email to F.B.I. employees in which he acknowledged that 'there is significant risk of being misunderstood.' He explained that he was trying to balance the obligation he felt to tell Congress that the investigation he had said was completed was continuing, with not knowing yet 'the significance of this newly discovered collection of emails.'... Justice Department officials were said to be deeply upset about Mr. Comey's decision to go to Congress with the new information before it had been adequately investigated. That decision, said several officials who spoke on the condition of anonymity, appeared to contradict longstanding Justice Department guidelines discouraging any actions close to an election that could influence the outcome." -- CW ...
... The Washington Post story, by Sari Horwitz, is here. "FBI Director James B. Comey decided to inform Congress that he would look again into Hillary Clinton's handling of emails during her time as secretary of state for two main reasons: a sense of obligation to lawmakers and a concern that word of the new email discovery would leak to the media and raise questions of a coverup." -- CW ...
... Jane Mayer of the New Yorker: "Comey's decision ... was contrary to the views of the Attorney General, according to a well-informed Administration official. [Loretta] Lynch expressed her preference that Comey follow the department's longstanding practice of not commenting on ongoing investigations, and not taking any action that could influence the outcome of an election.... Comey's decision is a striking break with the policies of the Department of Justice, according to current and former federal legal officials.... [Comey's] latest action is stirring an extraordinary level of concern among legal authorities, who see it as potentially affecting the outcome of the Presidential and congressional elections.... According to the Administration official, Lynch asked Comey to follow Justice Department policies, but he said that he was obliged to break with them because he had promised to inform members of Congress if there were further developments in the case." -- CW ...
... CW: The more stories I read about Comey's failure of judgment, the better I'm feeling about public reaction to his October surprise. Victimizing Hillary Clinton is not a wise political move. Ask Rick Lazio. Yeah, I know -- Who? ...
** Comey's October Surprise Is One Helluva a Friday Afternoon News Dump. Adam Goldman, et al., of the New York Times: "Federal law enforcement officials said Friday that the new emails uncovered in the closed investigation into Hillary Clinton's use of a private email server were discovered after the F.B.I. seized electronic devices belonging to Huma Abedin, a top aide to Mrs. Clinton, and her husband, Anthony Weiner. The F.B.I. is investigating illicit text messages that Mr. Weiner sent to a 15-year-old girl in North Carolina. The bureau told Congress on Friday that it had uncovered new emails related to the Clinton case -- one federal official said they numbered in the thousands -- potentially reigniting an issue that has weighed on the presidential campaign and offering a lifeline to Donald J. Trump less than two weeks before the election. In a letter to Congress, the F.B.I. director, James B. Comey, said that emails had surfaced in an unrelated case, and that they 'appear to be pertinent to the investigation.' Mr. Comey said the F.B.I. was taking steps to 'determine whether they contain classified information, as well as to assess their importance to our investigation.' He said he did not know how long it would take to review the emails, or whether the new information was significant." Thanks to Victoria for the heads-up. -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... The story has been updated. ...
... The Washington Post's story, by Rosalind Helderman & others, is here. "As the news broke, the Dow Jones industrial average dropped more than 150 points." CW: That's how much the markets like Trump. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... CW: I must say I never guessed something as insignificant as Anthony's Weiner's dick would lead to the downfall of the United States. But there you go. ...
... ** Del Wilber & Evan Halper of the Los Angeles Times: "The emails were not to or from Clinton, and contained information that appeared to be more of what agents had already uncovered, the official said, but in an abundance of caution, they felt they needed to further scrutinize them.... House Speaker Paul Ryan renewed his call to suspend classified briefings to the Democratic presidential nominee. Like Trump, Ryan took liberties in interpreting Comey's carefully worded letter. Ryan declared the FBI is reopening its investigation into Clinton's private email server, which is not what Comey wrote." -- CW ...
... CW: Wait, wait! "The emails were not to or from Clinton"? Yet Comey thought Trey Gowdy, King of Leakers, Jason Chaffetz, Price of Leakers, needed to know about them right before the election? Bull! ...
... Kevin Drum: "There. Is. Literally. Nothing. Here. WTF was Jim Comey thinking when he wrote his suggestive but ambiguous letter about these emails to eight congressional Republicans -- each of them practically slavering for Hillary Clinton's scalp -- 11 days before an election? And all of it based on absolutely nothing -- a fact that he very carefully avoided admitting. Has he gone completely around the bend?" -- CW ...
... Ian Millhiser of Think Progress: "... according to the Wall Street Journal, the FBI has not even 'determined if the work emails in question are copies of messages already reviewed by the FBI.... NBC's Pete Williams reported Friday evening, 'it's very possible that many of these if not all of them are duplicates with the ones they have already seen from examining the e-mails that Hillary Clinton turned over to the State Department.' People at the FBI, Williams also noted, 'don't have any idea what's in these e-mails yet.'" -- CW ...
... Nolan McCaskill of Politico: "The White House found out through media reports that the FBI would be reviewing additional emails related to its investigation into Hillary Clinton's private server as secretary of state, a spokesman said Friday.... 'We had that letter after it was made public,' [deputy press secretary Eric] Schultz said, 'so we did not have advance warning.'" -- CW ...
... Michele Gorman & Matthew Cooper of Newsweek: "Comey's letter doesn’t say his agents have discovered new witnesses or documents suggesting a criminal act occurred. Rather, he only suggests that evidence that had not yet been examined and, because it was relevant to the case, needs to be reviewed.... In his letter, Comey did not use the phrase being touted by Republicans that the case had been reopened. Technically it was never closed. Nor did he signal at all about the importance or unimportance about the emails.... 'I have great respect for the fact that the FBI and the Department of Justice are now willing to have the courage to right the horrible mistake that they made,' Trump said at a rally in New Hampshire early Friday afternoon. 'This was a grave miscarriage of justice that the American people fully understood. And it is everybody's hope that it is about to be corrected.' [CW: Notice how he completely mischaracterizes Comey's letter.] House Speaker Paul Ryan called for an end to classified briefings for Clinton." Thanks to Haley S. for the link. -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... "Comey's Disclosure Shocks Former Prosecutors." Josh Gerstein, et al., of Politico: "James Comey's surprise announcement that investigators are examining new evidence in the probe of Hillary Clinton's email server put the FBI director back under a harsh spotlight, reigniting criticism of his unusual decision [last summer] to discuss the high-profile case in front of the media and two congressional committees.... Nick Akerman, a former assistant U.S. attorney in the Southern District of New York..., [said], 'Director Comey acted totally inappropriately. He had no business writing to Congress about supposed new emails that neither he nor anyone in the FBI has ever reviewed.'... Former Justice Department and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee spokesman Matthew Miller [said,] 'The Justice Department's longstanding practice is don't do anything seen as trying to influence an election. That's usually interpreted as 60 days, let alone 11.... It's completely unfair to Secretary Clinton and it's really unfair to the voters. There's no reason he had to send this letter,' Miller told Politico." -- CW ...
... Louis Nelson of Politico: "A former director of the Justice Department's office of public affairs said Friday that FBI Director James Comey's letter to Congress announcing the review of more evidence in the investigation of Hillary Clinton's private email server constituted 'such an inappropriate disclosure.' Matthew Miller, who served at the Department of Justice under Attorney General Eric Holder, blasted Comey's move in a 14-post spree on Twitter Friday afternoon, ripping the FBI director for his practices throughout the entire Clinton investigation." -- CW ...
... New York Times Editors: "Mrs. Clinton, as she has acknowledged, is responsible for this mess, which led Friday night to a gobsmacking headline on CNN: 'Weiner Sexting Probe Leads F.B.I. to Review Clinton Case.' If she is elected, she would do well to recall that line should she ever consider being less than forthcoming. Her apparent effort to blunt scrutiny by means of that private server has only led to far more damaging scrutiny and suspicion, with no end in sight. But Mr. Comey's failure to provide any specifics about a new, potentially important development, less than two weeks before Election Day, is confounding. As Mr. Comey put it in July: 'The American people deserve those details in a case of intense public interest.' They deserve details even more urgently today." -- CW ...
... Washington Post Editors: Mr. Comey "inevitably creates a cloud of suspicion over Ms. Clinton that, if the case's history is any guide, is unwarranted.... The question will be how badly damaged was Ms. Clinton's candidacy by the 11th-hour re-eruption of a controversy that never should have generated so much suspicion or accusation in the first place." -- CW ...
It is extraordinary that we would see something like this just 11 days out from a presidential election. The Director owes it to the American people to immediately provide the full details of what he is now examining. -- John Podesda, Clinton campaign chair, in a statement
Comey needs to provide full info immediately. Otherwise he has clearly made a partisan intervention, betraying his office. -- Paul Krugman, in a tweet
Journalist Twitter is full of shock at FBI behavior here. That same shock should make it into news reports; not doing so misleads public -- Paul Krugman, in a tweet
... CW: Ed Kilgore is much more sanguine than I: "... the underlying 'story' of the emails isn't some sort of bombshell, and the odds are that the negative attention and any lingering substantive concerns among voters will be too little, too late to make much of a difference.... On the other hand the new email story -- unless the FBI or press leaks take the air out of it right away -- is a heaven-sent opportunity for the Trump campaign to convince its supporters he can still win, and that his ranting and raving about Clinton's supposed criminality is being vindicated. It won't get him 270 electoral votes, but it could boost Republican turnout enough to make a difference in down-ballot races, and maybe even make the evening of November 8 suspenseful even if fears of a voting machine hacks or Trumpian violence prove fanciful." ...
... CW: The "underlying 'story'" is some sort of bombshell: voters are reminded of Clinton's connection to Anthony Weiner, whose alleged activity (I'm sure you've seen the photos) is, in most people's minds, worse than Donald Trump's grabbing the asses of unsuspecting adult women. Yeah, yeah, Clinton isn't Weiner & Trump is Trump, but the disgust level is pretty much equal. ...
... Nate Silver: "My hunch (like The Washington Post's Dave Weigel's) is that Weiner is such a tragicomic figure, and such a lightning rod for news coverage, that he could insulate Clinton from some of the fallout she might have suffered otherwise. There are also fewer undecided voters now than there were in July, voter choices are more locked in, and many people have already voted -- which could lessen the impact." -- CW ...
... Jamelle Bouie: "Given the effect of past email news, it's possible this will turn off independent or undecided voters from Clinton. It's also possible that her negatives are already baked in and won't budge. And it's possible, perhaps likely, that it won't matter at all.... The folk theory of American democracy is that citizens deliberate on the issues and choose a candidate. That is false. The truth, as political scientists Christopher Achen and Larry Bartels describe in Democracy for Realists: Why Elections Do Not Produce Responsive Government, is that voters are tribalistic. Their political allegiances come first, and their positions and beliefs follow.... If the final week of an election is a time of mass mobilization and hyperpartisanship, then the best odds are that the Weiner emails [[ and the renewed focus on Clinton's email server -- won't matter." -- CW
... Abby Phillip, et al., of the Washington Post: "Later at a rally in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, Trump denounced Clinton's response to Comey, claiming that she sought to 'politicize' the FBI's actions by claiming wrongly that his letter was sent only to Republican lawmakers. It was sent to both Democrats and Republicans. 'The FBI would not have reopened this case at this time unless it was a most egregious criminal offense,' Trump said. 'Justice will prevail.' The new development could reshape the presidential election in its final days. Speaking at the campaign event, Trump -- interrupted by chants of 'lock her up!' -- said that the new FBI probe 'is bigger than Watergate.'" CW: That's pretty much the opposite of what Comey wrote in his letter, but thank goodness Trump himself would not "politicize" the FBI.
Ben White of Politico: "The U.S. economy grew at a nearly 3 percent pace in the third quarter of the year, a better-than-expected reading that dents Donald Trump's case that growth has stalled out. The faster pace of 2.9 percent may not hold up in the final quarter of 2016 but it offers a positive headline to Hillary Clinton less than two weeks until Election Day...." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Mark Sumner of Daily Kos: Donald Trump is stiffing his campaign "at a point where he had promised to 'triple match' contributions by his supporters.... [His] real cash contributions to his campaign was $0 in the first three weeks of the month." -- CW (Also linked yesterday.) ...
... Gideon Resnick of the Daily Beast: "Even Trump's Kids Haven't Donated to His Campaign." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Election News
Trump Supporter Is First 2016 Voter Fraud Suspect. Paulina Firozi of the Hill: "A Republican woman in Iowa has been arrested on suspicion that she voted twice in the general election, according to a new report. Terri Lynn Rote, 55, was arrested and charged with first-degree election misconduct, The Des Moines Register reported. Rote allegedly voted early at an election office in Des Moines and then cast another ballot at a satellite voting location, according to police.... The Blaze noted Friday that the woman was an early supporter of ... Donald Trump." -- CW
Other News & Views
Robert Barnes of the Washington Post: "The Supreme Court on Friday said it will decide whether the Obama administration may require public school systems to let transgender students use bathrooms that align with their gender identity, putting the court again at the center of a divisive social issue." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Well, Isn't This Speciial. Ian Millhiser of Think Progress. "On Thursday, news broke that Justice Clarence Thomas allegedly groped a 23 year-old woman at a dinner honoring Truman Scholars. And this is hardly the first time that a woman has come forward with similar allegations against Thomas. The justice famously faced sexual harassment allegations from his former employee Anita Hill during his confirmation hearing. Regardless of what may have occurred between Thomas and the women speaking out against him, his record as a justice suggests that he is not at all sympathetic to women's legal claims, especially in the context of sexual harassment. As a justice, Thomas has largely been hostile to litigants seeking to protect women's rights... And, in one of the most under-reported decisions of the last several years, he cast the key fifth vote to hobble the federal prohibition on sexual harassment in the workplace. Akhilleus: Does that include high tech harassment? (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Beyond the Beltway
Ryan Hutchins of Politico: "Closing arguments in the trial of two former Chris Christie aides accused of closing access lanes to the George Washington Bridge began on Friday morning, with federal prosecutors saying the two defendants took their loyalty to Christie to such an extreme that they subjected average residents to a bizarre 'political game.'" -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Matt Friedman of Politico: "Once a GOP star, [Chris Christie's] fortunes have plummeted since the high point of his landslide re-election in 2013, and now look to be nearing rock-bottom as an aide's trial leads to embarrassing revelations about his possible complicity in the notorious lane closures at the George Washington Bridge. Budget and infrastructure setbacks have wrecked his narrative of a renewed New Jersey. His failed presidential bid made him a punchline in his deep-blue home state, and his subsequent embrace of Trump has only made things worse. Christie is now in the awkward position of trying to distance himself from the candidate, even as he reportedly remains a key behind-the-scenes player.... And looming over everything is the sordid election-season revenge plot known as Bridgegate, which has been thrust back into the headlines in recent weeks by the trial of two of Christie's former subordinates -- and which has gone even worse for the governor than generally expected." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Derek Hawkins of the Washington Post: "A months-long standoff over the Dakota Access oil pipeline took a violent turn Thursday, when law enforcement officers used pepper spray and high-pitched warning tones to force protesters from a camp on private land in the pipeline's path in North Dakota, and at least one demonstrator opened fire on police, authorities said. Hundreds of local police officers and National Guard soldiers in riot gear began closing in on the protesters at midday, slowly advancing on the camp of about 200 with trucks and military Humvees, arresting people who refused to leave. By the end of the day, at least 141 protesters had been arrested, according to the Morton County Sheriff's Office." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
This Gun Shop Owner is A'Skeert of You. Kira Lerner of Think Progress: "Paul Chandler, the owner of Altra Firearms in rural Jackson Center, Pennsylvania, says he turns customers away at his door who are Muslim or who are supporting Hillary Clinton for president. The 54-year-old business owner posted a sign on the door of Altra Firearms conveying those rules, and he's currently running an ad in a local newspaper declaring: 'Please NO Muslims or Hillary Supporters -- We do not feel safe selling to terrorists!'" -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)