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The New York Times lists Emmy winners. The AP has an overview story here.

New York Times: “Hvaldimir, a beluga whale who had captured the public’s imagination since 2019 after he was spotted wearing a harness seemingly designed for a camera, was found dead on Saturday in Norway, according to a nonprofit that worked to protect the whale.... [Hvaldimir] was wearing a harness that identified it as “equipment” from St. Petersburg. There also appeared to be a camera mount. Some wondered if the whale was on a Russian reconnaissance mission. Russia has never claimed ownership of the whale. If Hvaldimir was a spy, he was an exceptionally friendly one. The whale showed signs of domestication, and was comfortable around people. He remained in busier waters than are typical for belugas....” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: Oh, Lord, do not let Bobby Kennedy, Jr., near that carcass. ~~~

     ~~~ AP Update: “There’s no evidence that a well-known beluga whale that lived off Norway’s coast and whose harness ignited speculation it was a Russian spy was shot to death last month as claimed by animal rights groups, Norwegian police said Monday.... Police said that the Norwegian Veterinary Institute conducted a preliminary autopsy on the animal, which was become known as 'Hvaldimir,' combining the Norwegian word for whale — hval — and the first name of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 'There are no findings from the autopsy that indicate that Hvaldimir has been shot,' police said in a statement.”

New York Times: Botswana's “President Mokgweetsi Masisi grinned as he lifted the diamond, a 2,492-carat stone that is the biggest diamond unearthed in more than a century and the second-largest ever found, according to the Vancouver-based mining operator Lucara, which owns the mine where it was found. This exceptional discovery could bring back the luster of the natural diamond mining industry, mining companies and experts say. The diamond was discovered in the same relatively small mine in northeastern Botswana that has produced several of the largest such stones in living memory. Such gemstones typically surface as a result of volcanic activity.... The diamond will likely sell in the range of tens of millions of dollars....”

Click on photo to enlarge.

~~~ Guardian: "On a distant reef 16,000km from Paris, surfer Gabriel Medina has given Olympic viewers one of the most memorable images of the Games yet, with an airborne celebration so well poised it looked too good to be true. The Brazilian took off a thundering wave at Teahupo’o in Tahiti on Monday, emerging from a barrelling section before soaring into the air and appearing to settle on a Pacific cloud, pointing to the sky with biblical serenity, his movements mirrored precisely by his surfboard. The shot was taken by Agence France-Presse photographer Jérôme Brouillet, who said “the conditions were perfect, the waves were taller than we expected”. He took the photo while aboard a boat nearby, capturing the surreal image with such accuracy that at first some suspected Photoshop or AI." 

Washington Post: “'Mary Cassatt at Work' is a large and mostly satisfying exhibition devoted to the career of the great American artist beloved for her sensitive and often sentimental views of family life. The 'at work' in the title of the Philadelphia Museum of Art show references the curators’ interest in Cassatt’s pioneering effort to establish herself as a professional artist within a male-dominated field. Throughout the show, which includes some 130 paintings, pastels, prints and drawings, the wall text and the art on view stresses Cassatt’s fixation on art as a career rather than a pastime.... Mary Cassatt at Work is on view at the Philadelphia Museum of Art through Sept. 8. philamuseum.org

New York Times: “Bob Newhart, who died on Thursday at the age of 94, has been such a beloved giant of popular culture for so long that it’s easy to forget how unlikely it was that he became one of the founding fathers of stand-up comedy. Before basically inventing the hit stand-up special, with the 1960 Grammy-winning album 'The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart' — that doesn’t even count his pay-per-view event broadcast on Canadian television that some cite as the first filmed special — he was a soft-spoken accountant who had never done a set in a nightclub. That he made a classic with so little preparation is one of the great miracles in the history of comedy.... Bob Newhart holds up. In fact, it’s hard to think of a stand-up from that era who is a better argument against the commonplace idea that comedy does not age well.”

Washington Post: “An early Titian masterpiece — once looted by Napolean’s troops and a part of royal collections for centuries — caused a stir when it was stolen from the home of a British marquess in 1995. Seven years later, it was found inside an unassuming white and blue plastic bag at a bus stop in southwest London by an art detective, and returned. This week, the oil painting 'The Rest on the Flight into Egypt' sold for more than $22 million at Christie’s. It was a record for the Renaissance artist, whom museums describe as the greatest painter of 16th-century Venice. Ahead of the sale in April, the auction house billed it as 'the most important work by Titian to come to the auction market in more than a generation.'”

Washington Post: The Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C., which houses the world's largest collection of Shakespeare material, has undergone a major renovation. "The change to the building is pervasive, both subtle and transformational."

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Constant Comments

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. -- Edward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns


Saturday
Oct012016

The Commentariat -- October 2, 2016

Presidential Race

SNL's first cold opening of the season has its moments. It's a bit of typecasting, but Alec Baldwin has Trump down pat:

** David Barstow, et al., of the New York Times: "Donald J. Trump declared a $916 million loss on his 1995 income tax returns, a tax deduction so substantial it could have allowed him to legally avoid paying any federal income taxes for up to 18 years, records obtained by The New York Times show. The 1995 tax records, never before disclosed, reveal the extraordinary tax benefits that Mr. Trump ... derived from the financial wreckage he left behind in the early 1990s through mismanagement of three Atlantic City casinos, his ill-fated foray into the airline business and his ill-timed purchase of the Plaza Hotel in Manhattan.... 'He has a vast benefit from his destruction' in the early 1990s, said one of the experts, Joel Rosenfeld.... Mr. Trump declined to comment on the documents. Instead, the campaign released a statement that neither challenged nor confirmed the $916 million loss.... A lawyer for Mr. Trump, Marc E. Kasowitz, emailed a letter to The Times arguing that publication of the records is illegal because Mr. Trump has not authorized the disclosure of any of his tax returns. Mr. Kasowitz threatened 'prompt initiation of appropriate legal action.'" ...

     ... CW: That death rattle you heard all week was coming from Trump's Ambitions. The Times just nailed the coffin shut. ...

There it is. This bombshell report reveals the colossal nature of Donald Trump's past business failures and just how long he may have avoided paying any federal income taxes whatsoever. In one year, Donald Trump lost nearly a billion dollars. A billion. He stiffed small businesses, laid off workers, and walked away from hardworking communities. And how did it work out for him? He apparently got to avoid paying taxes for nearly two decades -- while tens of millions of working families paid theirs. He calls that 'smart.' Now that the gig is up, why doesn't he go ahead and release his returns to show us all how 'smart' he really is? -- Clinton campaign response to the NYT report ...

... Scott Lemieux in LG&$: "It is overwhelmingly likely that two of the major theories for why Trump doesn't want to release his tax returns -- that they would show that he pays little or no federal taxes, that they would reveal him as a shitty businessperson who can't make businesses profitable even though he refuses to pay a lot of people -- are both correct. The story is also good by showing the massive tax advantages available to the .1%." -- CW ...

... Judd Legum of Think Progress republishes seven tweets by Donald Trump where Trump (a) complains about other people's not paying enough in taxes or (b) complains about all the taxes he pays. -- CW ...

By Driftglass.

... The Times Story Headfakes Trump. Eli Stokols of Politico: "The story, which posted Saturday night just as Trump had taken the stage for a rally in Manheim, Pa., seemed to send the candidate, already reeling from a week that started with a bad debate and continued with a stream of recriminations over his treatment of a former Miss Universe in a 3 a.m. tweetstorm, spiraling at even greater velocity into a political abyss. After taking the stage 102 minutes after the rally's scheduled 7 p.m. start time, Trump veered off-script several times, impersonating Clinton's near fall last month as she was suffering from pneumonia and asserting -- after taking credit all week for his restraint in not bringing up Bill Clinton's sexual improprieties at the debate -- that she probably isn't faithful to her husband anymore because, he said, 'Why should she be?'" CW: This is a straight news story. ...

... Ben Jacobs of the Guardian: "Speaking to a crowd of nearly 5,000 in Pennsylvania on Saturday night, Trump made some of his wildest accusations yet about his opponent and the integrity of American elections. Trump attacked his Democratic rival in starkly personal terms. He said of her 'she has bad temperament, she could actually be crazy' and went on to imply that she had been unfaithful for her husband. 'I don't even think she's loyal to Bill, if you want to know the truth. And really folks, why should she be, right,' Trump said.... [He] said bluntly on Saturday 'she should be in prison'.... Trump also warned of the specter of voter fraud without evidence, revisiting accusations he first made in August that there will be voter fraud in 'certain areas' of Pennsylvania, a statement that was a clear dog-whistle about African American areas of Philadelphia. 'Watch your polling booths, because I hear too many stories about Pennsylvania, certain areas,' the Republican nominee told the almost exclusively white crowd in Manheim. He added 'we can't lose an election because you know what I am talking about'." ...

... The Washington Post story, by Jenna Johnson, is here. ...

... CW: Once again, Trump projects his own shortcomings onto his opponent. The SNL skit got that right. Also, in his actual Pennsylvania performance, Trump again showed how very, very funny other people's disabilities are, even if the "disabilities" are extremely transitory. Watch him mock Clinton's stumbling after she became dehydrated as a result of pneumonia:

... Ben Kamisar of the Hill: "It's a personal attack Republicans have warned Trump to avoid. But while he has refused to engage on the issue, even publicly wishing her well, his tone changed Saturday night after an especially heated week." -- CW

David Cloud of the Los Angeles Times: "Five years ago, Hillary Clinton reached one of the least-noticed diplomatic agreements of her tenure as secretary of State -- a deal obligating Japan to continue paying nearly $2 billion a year to help defray the cost of U.S. troops stationed on its territory.... The payments, which began in 1978 and are considered a pillar of the post-war U.S.-Japanese alliance, cover about a third or more of the cost of keeping 49,000 U.S. troops in Japan.... Despite that history..., Donald Trump has insisted repeatedly that Japan and other U.S. allies contribute little or nothing to the United States for their own defense.... Trump's attacks on allies as freeloaders is core to his political message.... National security experts say his false claims on defense issues could undermine the network of military and diplomatic alliances constructed around the globe by U.S. presidents of both parties over the last 70 years." -- CW

Regardless of your politics, today is a day to celebrate the remarkable peaceful transitions to power that occur in this country with each presidential transition. It is something we should not take for granted. -- Rick Hasen, January 20, 2008 ...

... Rick Hasen: "Donald Trump threatens this peace by raising the prospect not only of sending his supporters, unsupervised, into polling places (likely in minority neighborhoods). This can lead to voter intimidation on election day. He has also backed off his earlier, somewhat ambiguous statement that he would support Hillary Clinton if she won.... This is already having an effect on his supporters. According to an AP-NORC poll: '... Half the people who have a favorable opinion of the Republican nominee say they have little to no confidence in the integrity of the vote count, the poll finds.' This is what happens when a candidate irresponsibly sows doubts." -- CW

Ezra Klein: "The last six days proved Donald Trump is dangerously unfit for the presidency.... The problem is that Trump is predictable and controllable.... His behavior, though unusual, is quite predictable -- a fact the Clinton campaign proved by predicting it. His actions, though beyond the control of his allies, can be controlled by his enemies -- a fact the Clinton campaign proved by controlling them.... [Regarding the Alicia Machado saga,] Hillary Clinton did everything but spraypaint 'THIS IS A TRAP' on the side of Trump Tower. And still Trump fell for it.... Six days later, he's still falling for it... So far, this has played out, within the safe space of a presidential campaign, as farce. If Trump were to win the White House, it would play out as tragedy." ...

... CW: One really, really easy way for foreign governments to trip up Trump, according to Trump himself: mess with his mic. From a New York Times story (also linked on yesterday's Commentariat): "Mr. Trump said he did not think he needed to prepare more rigorously for the next debate than he did for the first one, because any shortcomings on Monday, he argued, were because of a problem with the microphone at his lectern, which he 'spent 50 percent of my thought process' dealing with." Emphasis added. That's right: a person presenting himself as a candidate for Leader of the Free World is completely thrown off his game if there's a minor issue with a microphone."

Maureen Dowd: "For centuries, women were seen as unfit to hold public office. Ambition, power and business were the province of men. Unlike gossipy feminine chatter in the parlor, manly discourse was considered impersonal, unemotional, forthright and reasonable. Every minute of every day, Trump debunks that old 'science' when he shows that the gossipy, backbiting, scolding, mercurial, overly emotional, shrewish, menopausal one in this race is not the woman." CW: Of course Dowd has to knock Clinton, too, because, who knows, it might win her another Pulitzer.

Other News & Views

Martin Chulov of the Guardian: "An unrelenting Russian and Syrian blitz of eastern Aleppo heavily damaged one of the city's three remaining hospitals on Saturday, as Moscow warned that any American attempts to stop its assault would lead to 'frightening tectonic shifts in the Middle East'." -- CW ...

... Anne Barnard of the New York Times: "Secretary of State John Kerry was clearly exasperated, not least at his own government. Over and over again, he complained to a small group of Syrian civilians that his diplomacy had not been backed by a serious threat of military force, according to an audio recording of the meeting obtained by The New York Times.... His frustrations and dissent within the Obama administration have hardly been a secret, but in the recorded conversation, Mr. Kerry lamented being outmaneuvered by the Russians, expressed disagreement with some of Mr. Obama's policy decisions and said Congress would never agree to use force." Barnard analyzes snippets of audio included with the article. -- CW

Beyond the Beltway

A Disaster Waiting to Happen. Emma Fitzsimmons of the New York Times: "The Federal Railroad Administration began investigating safety problems at New Jersey Transit before a fatal train crash last week, a federal rail official confirmed on Saturday. Federal officials began an audit in June of New Jersey Transit, the nation's third-busiest commuter railroad, after noticing an increase in safety violations and a leadership vacuum at the top of the agency, said the official, who was briefed on the investigation but was not authorized to discuss it publicly. After completing the audit, the federal agency issued a series of violations to the railroad, the official said.... After halting most work on transportation projects this summer, Gov. Chris Christie, a Republican, announced a deal with Democratic legislative leaders on Friday to raise the gas tax by 23 cents per gallon to finance the fund." -- CW

To Protect & Serve, Ctd. Cleve Wootson of the Washington Post: "'F-- this guy,' the officer says before aiming his police cruiser at the mentally ill homeless man that he and his partner had been sent out to confront. 'I'm going to hit him.' 'Okay, go for it. Go for it,' his partner responds, his voice recorded on the Sacramento police cruiser's dash cam. Twice, the man dodges their accelerating cruiser. In the second attempt, he leaps into a median, barely avoiding the vehicle. But Joseph Mann, 51, could not escape the volley of bullets that followed moments later. Mann died in the street shortly after that July 11 shooting. Mann's family has accused officers Randy Lozoya and John Tennis of escalating the situation and showing no regard for his life, even before they jumped out of the car, fired 18 bullets and shot Mann 14 times.... Police released the dash-cam video two weeks ago, after resisting for two months following the fatal confrontation." CW: Mann was black. ...

... The Sacramento Bee story, by Anita Chabria & Phillip Reese, is here. -- CW

Way Beyond

Brexit Timetable. Jessica Elgot of the Guardian: British PM "Theresa May has confirmed she will trigger article 50 before the end of March 2017, setting in motion the two-year process of leaving the European Union. The pledge by the prime minister means the UK will leave the EU by spring 2019, before the next general election, with the prime minister also announcing plans for a 'great repeal bill' to incorporate all EU regulations in UK law as soon as Brexit takes effect." -- CW

News Lede

Washington Post: "Colombian voters have rejected a peace deal with FARC rebels, a surprise outcome that risks prolonging a 52-year-old armed conflict, and in doing so tossed the peace process into chaos. By a razor margin of 50.25 to 49.75 percent, voters rejected the peace deal, a Brexit-style backlash that few were expecting. After nearly six years of negotiations, many handshakes and ceremonial signatures, Colombia's half-century war is not over. Not even close." -- CW

Friday
Sep302016

The Commentariat -- October 1, 2016

Afternoon Update:

Maureen Dowd: "For centuries, women were seen as unfit to hold public office. Ambition, power and business were the province of men. Unlike gossipy feminine chatter in the parlor, manly discourse was considered impersonal, unemotional, forthright and reasonable. Every minute of every day, Trump debunks that old 'science' when he shows that the gossipy, backbiting, scolding, mercurial, overly emotional, shrewish, menopausal one in this race is not the woman." CW: Of course Dowd has to knock Clinton, too, because, who knows, it might win her another Pulitzer.

*****

Presidential Race

Nate Cohn of the New York Times: "A wave of high-quality battleground state surveys released on Friday showed [Hillary Clinton] with a comfortable advantage in New Hampshire, Nevada, Florida and Michigan. The gains suggest she might lead by as much as five percentage points nationwide, up from about two to three points before last Monday's debate. It's hard to know whether the shift will last. If you've been following The Upshot's coverage of polling over the last two years, you know that we're pretty circumspect about shifts in the polls. But ... the debate is bad news for Donald J. Trump." -- CW...

... Girl Power! CW: The most amazing outcome of this week's presidential debate: it seems that for the first time in history (and prehistory), a woman saved the world. And she did it in less than two hours. The second most amazing thing is that she saved us not from some evil head of state set to deploy weapons of mass destruction, but from ourselves.

CW: The San Diego Union-Tribune editors aren't Clinton fans, but they detail evidence that Trump is "vengeful, dishonest and impulsive." "This paper has not endorsed a Democrat for president in its 148-year history. But we endorse Clinton. She's the safe choice for the U.S. and for the world, for Democrats and Republicans alike." -- CW

Gail Collins tries to answer the question, "How could anybody vote for Trump?" CW: I think she does readers a disservice by letting off the hook that substantial part of the electorate who are "deplorables." But she does also point out the cowardice of the Bush fils, especially Jeb!, who urged voters to skip the election, & thinks his father -- who reportedly has said he will vote for Clinton -- is too old to know what he's talking about. ...

... MAG's commentary today on how the election was rigged is a must-read.

John Wagner of the Washington Post: "Not to be outdone by her Republican rival, Hillary Clinton fired off a series of early-morning messages Saturday on Twitter.... 'It's 3:20am. As good a time as any to tweet about national service,' said the first one, coming at the same time that Trump started his storm of disparaging tweets about former Miss Universe Alicia Machado.... The [Clinton] tweets -- several more followed -- were the latest bid by Clinton to keep a spotlight on what she described Friday as Trump coming 'unhinged.'... Unlike Trump, who often tweets himself, many of those sent out over Clinton's official campaign account are composed by aides.... Trump's twitter account appeared to have been silent in the early-morning hours on Saturday." -- CW

Maggie Haberman & Amy Chozick of the New York Times: "Hillary Clinton's campaign is preparing for the possibility that Donald J. Trump, reeling from harsh criticisms of his performance at the first presidential debate, will unleash a personal assault related to her husband's infidelities at their next face-off in a week.... Democrats consider such tactics inevitable, particularly since Mr. Trump is now being advised by several people connected to efforts in the late 1990s to reveal Mr. Clinton's affair with the White House intern Monica Lewinsky and to the subsequent impeachment fight." -- CW ...

     ... Paul Waldman: "Maybe I'm dim, but I just can't see any way this wouldn't blow up in Trump's face. On the other hand, he's being advised by people like Rudy Giuliani and Roger Ailes, who really understand women, so maybe he'll present it in a sensitive and thoughtful way." -- CW

She's nasty, but I can be nastier than she ever can be. -- Donald Trump, on Hillary Clinton ...

By Driftglass.... ** Patrick Healy & Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "Donald J. Trump unleashed a slashing new attack on Hillary Clinton over Bill Clinton's sexual indiscretions on Friday as he sought to put the Clintons' relationship at the center of his political argument against her before their next debate.... Mr. Trump ... even indicated that he was rethinking his statement at their last debate that he would 'absolutely' support her if she won in November, saying: 'We're going to have to see. We're going to see what happens. We’re going to have to see.'" CW: Just read it. Also see Irin Carmon's post, linked below. ...

... Christina Wilkie of the Huffington Post: "In the summer of 1990, at the height of his bitter divorce from his first wife, Donald Trump was carrying on a very public extramarital affair with a former beauty queen, Marla Maples. As part of the couple's divorce proceedings, Ivana Trump's lawyers asked him under oath about his dealings with other women and whether he had been faithful to his wife. Instead of answering, Donald Trump invoked his Fifth Amendment rights against self-incrimination. Over the course of five depositions that summer, he was asked approximately 100 questions related to marital infidelity. He pleaded the Fifth on 97 of them.... On Wednesday, Trump likened anyone who takes the Fifth to a criminal." -- CW

Ben Jacobs of the Guardian: "Donald Trump tried to distract voters from a weeklong controversy over his insults toward a former Miss Universe on Friday night by asking Barack Obama to pledge not to 'pardon Hillary Clinton and her co-conspirators for their many crimes against our country and against society itself.'... [Trump] also stirred concerns about voter fraud, returning to the unsubstantiated claims of a 'rigged election' and 'cheating' that he made for several weeks this summer. On Friday, Trump claimed voter fraud 'is a big big problem in this country' and that 'nobody has the guts to talk about it.' He then urged attendees at this rally to 'go and watch the polling places and make sure it is on the up and up', even though an exhaustive investigation in 2014 found only 31 potential incidents of in-person voter fraud in all US elections over 14 years." -- CW

WLNS: "... Donald Trump surprised a crowd ... at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Museum Friday afternoon. Part of the tour included a stop in the Oval Office – a replica of one of the world's most famous rooms -- that's inside the museum." -- CW ...

Donald Trump, standing in fake Oval Office, doing nothing.Hillary Clinton, sitting in real Oval Office, working.

CW: A month or two ago, we were predicting/joking here on Reality Chex that Trump would be resting comfortably in an undisclosed location before election day. I believe they're padding the room & making up the bed right now. ...

... The "3 am Call, Ctd." Michael Barbaro of the New York Times: Donald Trump's early Friday morning tirade trashing Alicia Machado "fit a pattern. It is when Mr. Trump is alone with his thoughts, and untethered from his campaign staff, that he has seemed to commit his most self-destructive acts.... Over the past few days, those instincts have been on vivid display.... Yet for close students of Mr. Trump's career and campaign, it all has a familiar ring. Over the years, he has issued a stream of needlessly cruel and seemingly off-the-cuff insults -- both on and off social media.... Such fulminations have almost always arisen from Mr. Trump's wounded pride, after he has been attacked or has suffered a setback. And they have frequently played out on Twitter, at hours of the day when much of America is asleep.... Mr. Trump, in an interview on Friday afternoon, said he remained proud of his tweets." -- CW ...

... Philip Rucker, et al., of the Washington Post: "Senate and House candidates are ducking questions about Trump and distancing themselves, while Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has refused to talk about him. And few elected leaders are counseling him." -- CW ...

... Alan Rappeport of the New York Times on Donald Trump's "3 am call" Twittershitstorm aimed at Clinton supporter Alicia Machado. "Fact-checkers have found no evidence that Ms. Machado, who was featured in Playboy, appeared in a sex tape. Her critics may be referring to a risqué scene that she appeared in on a reality television show." CW: Whether or not Machado made a "sex tape" (and I don't care if she did), Trump's attacks on her are beyond disgusting. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Mark Barabak & Michael Finnegan of the Los Angeles Times: "Trump's lashing out, less than six weeks before the election, underscored how his campaign seems driven more by irritable impulse than any strategic imperative. The personal attacks seem especially unlikely to win Trump support among Latinos and women, two important voting blocs in battlegrounds such as Pennsylvania, Nevada, Florida and New Hampshire." -- CW ...

... Jim Fallows of the Atlantic: "... with 39 days until the election, and early voting already underway, [Trump] has guaranteed that a significant fraction of the remaining time will feature a story likely to irritate: Hispanic voters in general ('Miss Housekeeping'); people sensitive about their weight ('Miss Piggy'); women in general; men and women who don't like to hear women talked about in this way; and people wondering what kind of decisions a president will be making at 3 a.m. Quite the masterful campaign strategy." -- CW ...

... Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "While you were probably still sleeping, the 2016 Republican presidential nominee encouraged all of us to check out a 'sex tape' and offered a baseless conspiracy theory about his opponent helping the woman from the alleged sex tape get citizenship so she could take him down. And in doing so, Donald Trump did everything Hillary Clinton could have hoped he would, drawing out a now-week-long story about Alicia Machado, making things up and -- above all -- reinforcing all those very real questions about whether he has the temperament to be president." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... IOKIYAMan. That Time Donald Trump Appeared in a Soft-Porm Flick. Andrew Kaczynski & Nathaniel Meyersohn of BuzzFeed: "Donald Trump made an appearance in an explicit 2000 Playboy video. Trump's role in the porn is relatively benign and centers around him breaking a bottle of champagne on a Playboy-branded limo while several of the playmates are visiting New York City.... Other scenes from the film feature fully nude women posing in sexual positions, dancing naked, touching themselves while naked, touching each other sensually, rubbing honey on themselves, taking a bath, and dressing in costumes." Includes video. ...

     ... Evelyn Rupert of the Hill: "Clinton spokesman Nick Merrill later responded to the news. 'There's been a lot of talk about sex tapes today and in a strange turn of events, only one adult film has emerged today and its star is Donald Trump,' he told reporters." -- CW ...

... Joan Walsh of the Nation: "The notion of a man who is clinically obese fat-shaming a beautiful but curvy young woman exemplifies the double standard that reduces women to their youth and beauty, but allows men (especially wealthy ones) a lifetime of presumed virility and social prestige.... It's clear that Trump is coming undone by the notion that these two women [Machado & Clinton] -- one 'fat,' the other old, both past their sell date in the eyes of Trump and men like him -- are not hiding somewhere in shame, maybe laboring quietly in the back office of one of his golf clubs where no one can see them, but out in the public square trying to bring him down." -- CW ...

... ** "'My' Miss Universe." Irin Carmon of NBC News: Donald Trump has a long history of boasting about his sexual prowess & interests. "... for feminists, by putting Machado's character on trial, evoking her later and entirely irrelevant sexual history, Trump is engaging in classic slut-shaming. That would be holding women to a higher standard of chastity and assuming any unsanctioned display of sexuality is self-evidently damning." CW: If you're a person who doesn't quite get why people are making such a fuss about Trump's attacks on Machado, Carmon provides a good short course.

American Public: Donald Trump has a ton of ties to Russia. Could be a big security risk. Shouldn't we check that out?

GOP "Leaders": Naaah. ...

... Shane Harris of the Daily Beast: "Suspicion is mounting about Donald Trump's ties to Russian officials and business interests, as well as possible links between his campaign and the Russian hacking of U.S. political organizations. But GOP leaders have refused to support efforts by Democrats to investigate any possible Trump-Russia connections, which have been raised in news reports and closed-door intelligence briefings."...Akhilleus. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Washington Post Editors: "A President Trump could, unilaterally, change this country to its core. By remaking U.S. relations with other nations, he could fundamentally reshape the world, too.... In areas where Republican officeholders such as House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (Wis.) and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) imagine themselves acting as a brake on Mr. Trump's worst instincts, skepticism is in order. If these supposed leaders are too craven to oppose Mr. Trump as a candidate, knowing the danger he presents, why should we expect them to stand up to the bully once he was fully empowered?... It would be reckless not to consider the damage Mr. Trump might wreak." -- CW

Ken Vogel of Politico: "As Donald Trump's campaign works to drive a sharper message down the home stretch, the GOP nominee is increasingly invoking the specter of a conspiracy by big corporations, media companies and donors to elect Hillary Clinton. The warnings, coming in scripted and sometimes personal attack lines in nearly every recent speech, are largely geared towards mobilizing Trump's base of disaffected white working class voters, according to a campaign official. But the official acknowledged that the populist rhetoric also is intended to appeal to college-educated middle-class voters who tell pollsters that they believe there are 'two sets of rules -- one for insiders, another for the rest of us.' That includes former supporters of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders' unsuccessful campaign against Clinton...." -- CW

Trump Vindicated! Conspiracy Theory Is True! Aaron Blake: "On Friday afternoon, the Commission on Presidential Debates confirmed that Trump did indeed have a microphone that was at least somewhat defective. 'Regarding the first debate, there were issues regarding Donald Trump's audio that affected the sound level in the debate hall,' the commission said in an unfortunately brief one-sentence statement.... The thing about Trump's microphone claim is that he didn't just say his microphone was bad; in his trademark fashion, he took it three steps further, suggesting that it was done as part a conspiracy against him -- the rigged system and all that." The audio was fine for viewers & listeners outside the hall. ...

... CW: Probably that Clinton-Kaine sticker pasted over the receiver kind of muffled Trump's voice. But I noticed that Trumpbots in the room applauded some of Trump's remarks, so certainly they could hear him. In fairness to Trump, the slight audio problem is likely why he leaned into the mic & leaned on the podium instead of standing up straight like the broad-shouldered he-man he is. P.S. Didn't his team do a mic-check before the big show? Whose fault is that? I'll bet Clinton's campaign checked hers. ...

... Andrew Prokop of Vox: In tweets, Steven Shepard of Politico, wrote, "I was in the debate hall -- and this is true. He was difficult to hear at the very, very beginning of the debate.... His level was adjusted pretty quickly, though. And he got more animated as the debate went on, and his personal volume rose, too." CW: In short, the whole Mic Conspiracy is bull.

Francis Wilkinson of Bloomberg: Donald Trump's "disastrous first debate wasn't a result of poor staff work so much as a product of an unmanageable, gargantuan sense of insecurity. No one obsessed with every slight has genuine confidence.... Trump appears to live each second with an abiding fear of humiliation.... The paradox, of course, is that preparing for a debate would help allay Trump's fears. Except it would also expose and concentrate them. Preparation itself requires Trump's acknowledgment that he often doesn't know what he's talking about. That's too risky an admission for such a shaky, hyperkinetic ego.... Trump ... combines inexperience with a veneer of confidence so thin that he can't afford to expose his vulnerabilities even to his own staff." -- CW

Eric Trump Has a Vanity Fake Charity, Too! Brandy Zadrozny of the Daily Beast: "In promotional videos and press releases, ETF [the Eric Trump Foundation] touts a 95 to 100 percent donation ratio and implies that by benefit of being a Trump, namesake properties are handed over for charity events at little or no cost. But according to a Daily Beast analysis of annual IRS reports and New York state financial disclosures from the charity's inception in 2007 to 2014, the most recent year for which data is available, ETF spent $881,779 on its annual Golf Invitational at Trump-owned clubs, a portion of which -- $100,000 in 2013 and $88,000 in 2014 -- was reported as paid directly 'to a company of a family member of the Board of Directors.' In other words, Donald Trump himself." So, besides St. Jude's Hospital, one of ETF's biggest beneficiaries is Donald Trump. What a surprise! Also, ETF has its very own Portrait of Donald Trump scandal. Of course.

Rebecca Morin of Politico: "A major financial trade group has apologized for a speech Rudy Giuliani gave in which the former New York City mayor and Donald Trump adviser made pointed comments about Mexican immigrants. At the Commercial Finance Association's 40 Under 40 dinner at the Waldorf Astoria Hotel in New York Monday, Giuliani veered off a speech that was supposed to be about leadership..., according to a New York Observer report published Friday. Attendees of the event told the Observer that Giuliani made comments about 'Mexicans in the kitchen at the Waldorf' and how Mexicans are coming to the U.S. to work illegally in kitchens.... The Observer is part of the news media company owned by Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner." -- CW

New York Times Editors: "Congress seems determined to set a new standard for craven incompetence. Less than 24 hours after the Senate and House delivered a stinging rebuke to President Obama by overriding his veto of a bill that would let the Sept. 11 families sue Saudi Arabia, Republican leaders raised the possibility of a do-over.... It's rare to hear such a baldfaced admission of gross ineptitude. But instead of putting the responsibility entirely where it belongs -- on Congress -- [Senate Leader Mitch] McConnell went on absurdly to blame Mr. Obama for failing to communicate the potential consequences of the bill. In fact, Mr. Obama, the national security agencies, the Saudi government, retired diplomats, the European Union and big corporations had all bombarded Congress with warnings. Yet lawmakers ignored all of them.... The only way to fix this law is to repeal it." -- CW

Patrick Marley of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: "A federal judge on Friday ordered the state [of Wisconsin] to investigate an incident in which a voter received incorrect information on getting an ID from three Division of Motor Vehicle workers, saying the state may have violated an order he issued in July. U.S. District Judge James Peterson issued Friday's ruling a day after the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and The Nation published articles about what happened to Zack Moore, who was told he couldn't get an ID or temporary voting credentials because he did not have a birth certificate.... Friday's order was unusual because Peterson issued it even though none of the parties in the lawsuit asked him to address the issue, said Rick Hasen, a University of California, Irvine professor who specializes in election law.... Moore tried to get an ID on Sept. 22, the same day Attorney General Brad Schimel filed court documents claiming DMV staff were trained to ensure people would get IDs or temporary voting credentials within six days, even if they didn't have a birth certificate." ...

... P.S. Scotty Is Still an Anti-Democracy Hardliner. A voting rights advocate recorded the incident in which the DMV sent Moore away empty-handed. But Gov. Scott Walker wondered out loud if the DMV employees' dissemination of disinformation & repeated refusals to issue Moore an ID were, you know, taken out of context. despite the fact that the recording covered Moore's entire interaction with the employees. Evidently the "context" is, "We don't want that guy anywhere near a voting booth." -- CW 

Annals of Journalism, Ctd. Tara Golshan of Vox: "There has been a tangible shift in the kind of content produced by women's magazines in recent elections. In the past decade, publications have shifted from a period of fluff election coverage in the early aughts to a platform for impactful political content, from interviews with important figures in the election to sharp policy analyses.... Recognizing the power of women's media ... can prove consequential for candidates looking to mobilize young female voters.... When you start to look [at women's magazines], you'll see some the most formative pieces of this election cycle -- major interviews and editorials...." -- CW

Beyond the Beltway

Bible Banging 'Bama Bigot Booted. Boolah Boo! Kent Faulk of AL.com: "Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore has been suspended from the bench for telling probate judges to defy federal orders regarding gay marriage. It's the second time Moore has been removed from the chief justice job for defiance of federal courts - the first time in 2003 for refusing to remove a Ten Commandments monument from the state judicial building. The Alabama Court of the Judiciary (COJ) issued the order Friday suspending Moore from the bench for the remainder of his term after an unanimous vote of the nine-member court.... The court found him guilty of all six charges of violation of the canons of judicial ethics. Moore's term is to end in 2019, but because of his age, 69, he cannot run for the office again." -- Akhilleus (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Mighty Suspicious News. Nour Youssef of the New York Times: "Two men who found a travel bag containing a bomb on a Manhattan street last month -- and then walked off with the bag but left the bomb -- were not just employees of EgyptAir but in-flight security officers for the carrier, two officials at the airline said on Friday. Surveillance footage showed two men finding the bag on West 27th Street on the evening of Sept. 17, soon after a bomb exploded on West 23rd Street.... In the video, the men were seen pulling from the travel bag a white plastic bag that contained a pressure cooker connected to wires and a mobile phone. They left the white bag on the sidewalk and walked away with the travel bag. The bomb did not explode, and investigators have said that the men may have inadvertently disabled the device.... Friday's revelation is troubling for Egypt, whose aviation security procedures have come under intense scrutiny after three major air disasters in the past year." Read on. -- CW

Sarah Parvini, et al., of the Los Angeles Times: El Cajon, California, "authorities on Friday released cellphone and surveillance video showing the fatal police shooting of an unarmed black man, hoping to quell growing questions about the incident that has led to violent protests. The video provides more context about the moments before the fatal encounter on Tuesday, though officials said their investigation remains in its early stages and that evidence is still being gathered." -- CW

CW: Carnegie Deli, perhaps the most famous deli in the world -- though New Yorkers will tell you it's hardly the best in the City -- is closing its doors at the end of the year.

Catherine Rampell of the Washington Post: "Young voters in particular have been shunning the two main [candidates], with some recent polls showing that a quarter to a third plan to vote for either Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson or Green Party nominee Jill Stein.... But these third-party options are bad candidates not simply because of their impracticality, or their underdog status, or their lack of exposure, or some nonsense about a rigged political system. Johnson and Stein are, on their own merits, terrible, unserious choices. They are unfit for office." Rampell gives a few examples of why that is. -- CW ...

... CW: In general, it's not a good idea to be a one-issue voter, unless that one issue is a really big deal like "The other guy is insane." This reminds me that Hillary Clinton's vote on the Iraq war resolution was not as big a deal as you might have thought it was. For one thing, Clinton was not rattling any sabers: She expressed "deep concern ... at the very time of her vote in the fall of 2002. Given the Resolution's several prerequisites to waging war, Clinton's vote was for a Resolution that was also supposed to restrain the President's ability to wage war, and her 2002 floor speech leading up to consideration of the Resolution made this clear." For another, the Senate vote on the final version of the resolution was 77-23. Clinton's vote, in other words, didn't make any difference. It was a strategic vote, I think, and one that backfired.

Thursday
Sep292016

The Commentariat -- September 30, 2016

Afternoon Update:

American Public: Donald Trump has a ton of ties to Russia. Could be a big security risk. Shouldn't we check that out?

GOP "Leaders": Naaah.

Shane Harris of the Daily Beast: "Suspicion is mounting about Donald Trump's ties to Russian officials and business interests, as well as possible links between his campaign and the Russian hacking of U.S. political organizations. But GOP leaders have refused to support efforts by Democrats to investigate any possible Trump-Russia connections, which have been raised in news reports and closed-door intelligence briefings."...Akhilleus.

See Louis Nelson's report, linked below on Donald Trump's "3 am call" Twittershitstorm aimed at Clinton supporter Alicia Machado. Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "Fact-checkers have found no evidence that Ms. Machado, who was featured in Playboy, appeared in a sex tape. Her critics may be referring to a risqué scene that she appeared in on a reality television show." CW: Whether or not Machado made a "sex tape" (and I don't care if she did), Trump's attacks on her are beyond disgusting. ...

... Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "While you were probably still sleeping, the 2016 Republican presidential nominee encouraged all of us to check out a 'sex tape' and offered a baseless conspiracy theory about his opponent helping the woman from the alleged sex tape get citizenship so she could take him down. And in doing so, Donald Trump did everything Hillary Clinton could have hoped he would, drawing out a now-week-long story about Alicia Machado, making things up and -- above all -- reinforcing all those very real questions about whether he has the temperament to be president." -- CW

Bible Banging 'Bama Bigot Booted. Boolah Boo! Kent Faulk of AL.com: "Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore has been suspended from the bench for telling probate judges to defy federal orders regarding gay marriage. It's the second time Moore has been removed from the chief justice job for defiance of federal courts - the first time in 2003 for refusing to remove a Ten Commandments monument from the state judicial building. The Alabama Court of the Judiciary (COJ) issued the order Friday suspending Moore from the bench for the remainder of his term after an unanimous vote of the nine-member court.... The court found him guilty of all six charges of violation of the canons of judicial ethics. Moore's term is to end in 2019, but because of his age, 69, he cannot run for the office again." -- Akhilleus

*****

Peter Baker of the New York Times: "From across the ocean and across the Green Line, they came on Friday to the mountaintop sanctuary of Mount Herzl to bid farewell to Shimon Peres, who did as much as anyone to build modern Israel and then became its leading advocate of peace. President Obama headlined a cast of prominent eulogists who praised Mr. Peres for his commitment to coexistence with the Palestinians and, in some cases, called for a renewed dedication to realizing that dream. 'The last of the founding generation is now gone,' said Mr. Obama, wearing a skullcap and standing next to Mr. Peres's coffin. He added that the work was 'in the hands of Israel's next generation and its friends.'" -- CW ...

Juan Cole: "President Obama vetoed the Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act, but Congress has for the first time in his presidency over-ridden his veto. This is a disastrous law with potentially ruinous effects on the US economy and US policy. Individual tort suits against other countries had been forestalled by a doctrine of sovereign immunity, from which the United States and other countries also benefit. JASTA removes sovereign immunity for any state found to be practicing terrorism anywhere, apparently as defined by US court judges. Saudi Arabia is extremely unpopular in the US, more especially on the Left, but also among right wing Islamophobes. But however appealing it is to let the 9/11 victim families sue Riyadh for the attacks, it is wrong-headed every which way from Sunday." --safari ...

... Jordain Carney of the Hill: "A day after the House and Senate overwhelmingly voted to override President Obama's veto, GOP leaders are expressing reservations about legislation that would allow lawsuits related to 9/11 to go forward against Saudi Arabia. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) both said they were open to discussions about changing the bill, which Congress approved unanimously. 'I do think it's worth further discussions, but it was certainly not something that was going to be fixed this week,' McConnell told reporters on Thursday. McConnell also criticized the lack of a discussion about 'the potential consequences' of a very 'popular bill.' Ryan agreed that Congress may need to "fix" the legislation but said he wasn't sure when that would happen."...

     ... CW: I can tell you this: it isn't going to happen before Nov. 8. "A lack of discussion 'about the potential consequences,'" BTW, is a crockful of bull. The administration was screaming at the Congress about the dire consequences Juan Cole outlines in the post linked above. ...

... Jordan Fabian of the Hill: "White House press secretary Josh Earnest crowed after the top two Republican leaders suggested the measure needed changes less than 24 hours after Congress voted to override President Obama's veto. 'Well, it's hard to know where to start,' Earnest said with a smile. 'I think what we've seen in the United States Congress is a case of rapid-onset buyer's remorse.'" -- CW

$41MM & Nothing to Show for It. Boo-Fucking-Hoo. Stacy Cowley of the New York Times: Wells-Fargo CEO John G. Stumpf [CW: rhymes with Drumpf] "is forfeiting at least $41 million in pay. He vows that his bank will drop its sales incentive program -- blamed for prompting bankers to set up illegal and unauthorized bank and credit card accounts to meet their sales goals -- by the end of the week, not in January, as he had previously promised. But at a hearing Thursday before the House Financial Services Committee, nobody was impressed. If anything, the House lawmakers who interrogated ...Stumpf ... were even angrier and more hostile than their Senate counterparts who questioned him last week, before either of those steps had been taken. One by one, Democrats and Republicans alike took turns ripping apart Mr. Stumpf and what took place at the bank he leads." -- CW

Remember the Judicial Branch! Josh Gerstein of Politico: "Conservatives states are succeeding in getting friendly federal judges to issue broad -- often nationwide -- injunctions reining in federal government actions, thwarting key parts of President Barack Obama's agenda and imperiling some aspects of Hillary Clinton's platform. The tactic -- amplified by the 4-4 deadlock in the Supreme Court -- has already frozen Obama's immigration policy, is limiting his efforts to protect transgender rights and could hamstring Clinton's planned executive actions on immigration, labor and environmental issues if she wins the White House. The shorthanded Supreme Court is expected to start adding new cases to its docket as soon as Thursday, with the new term set to open Monday. But many legal experts say that if the high court remains split down the middle on key issues, the more important action will be in the lower courts, where the red-state-led onslaught is playing out." --safari

Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "Last August, a federal appeals court refused to reinstate a lower court's order that would have dramatically weakened a voter suppression law in Wisconsin. It did so based on assurances by the state's attorneys that Wisconsin had already taken adequate steps to mitigate the law's effect on voters facing disenfranchisement. It turns out those assurances were not true. As Ari Berman reports for The Nation, voters in Wisconsin still face potentially insurmountable obstacles between themselves and the ballot box. And these are the very same obstacles the state told the appeals court that it would eliminate." --safari

Presidential Race

Nate Silver: "Like a lot of you, we at FiveThirtyEight ... await new polls. Until we get more of those, figuring out how the first presidential debate affected the race involves a lot of guesswork. Still, the data that we have so far suggests that Hillary Clinton has gained ground as a result of Monday night's debate -- it's mostly a question of how much her position has improved.... The polls show a reasonably clear consensus so far of Clinton being up by 3 to 5 points nationally. If that's where the numbers wind up settling, that would reflect a meaningful bounce for Clinton...." -- CW

** Paul Krugman: "... the candidates we saw Monday night were the same people they've been all along. Mrs. Clinton's grace and even humor under pressure were fully apparent during last year's Benghazi hearing. Mr. Trump's whiny braggadocio has been obvious every time he opens his mouth without reading from a teleprompter. So how could someone like Mr. Trump have been in striking position for the White House?... Part of the answer is that a lot more Americans than we'd like to imagine are white nationalists at heart. [But the main reason is that] she got Gored. That is, like Al Gore in 2000, she ran into a buzz saw of adversarial reporting from the mainstream media, which treated relatively minor missteps as major scandals, and invented additional scandals out of thin air." ...

     ... CW: Every word Krugman wrote is right, including "and" and "the." There are reasons for the media's seemingly irrational coverage of Clinton. Clinton got Gored because the media got bored. Editors felt Clinton deserved equal time, and save the e-mails, she hadn't received it. So what's exciting about, "Clinton gives stump speech"? or "Clinton releases rational policy paper on K-12 education"? Pantsuit stories? -- Even the boys in the newsroom know better now. When the bottom line depends on click-bait, reporters are bid to produce a "scandal." Meanwhile, Trump ... well, the media could barely keep up. Add to that, editors assign approximately equal numbers of staff to cover the major candidates. Clinton reporters had to report something. And, needless to say, both-siderism is also in play. "Clinton Foundation saves millions of needy people; Trump Foundation an illegal scam" is so biased. Also too, it would be wrong to lose confederate readers when the media have worked so hard to wrest them away from Fox "News." (Corey Lewandowski.) ...

... Brian Beutler: "... editorials [endorsing Clinton], written by experienced conservative journalists, are implicit admissions that the overwhelming majority of horrifying, conspiratorial things conservatives and Republicans have said about Clinton over the years ... have been instrumentalist agitprop.... It is partly a failure of today's media that the public views Clinton only slightly less unfavorably than it views Trump, and sees her as far more dishonest than he. But it is also a failure that goes back a quarter-century.... Most years you don't count on your political nemeses to save the world from fascism." -- CW

David Sanger & William Broad of the New York Times: "Hillary Clinton expressed doubts about whether the United States should go forward with a trillion-dollar modernization of its nuclear forces at a fund-raiser in February, questioning an Obama administration plan that she has remained largely silent on in public. Mrs. Clinton also suggested she would be far tougher against foreign nations that hack into American computer networks and would kill one of the Pentagon's pet projects, a nuclear-tipped cruise missile. 'The last thing we need,' she told the audience, 'are sophisticated cruise missiles that are nuclear armed.' Her comments were contained in an audio recording of the fund-raiser that appeared on the website of The Washington Free Beacon, a conservative publication, which said it was gleaned from the hack of a campaign staff member. But it said nothing about who did the hacking." -- CW

USA Today Editors: "In the 34-year history of USA Today, the Editorial Board has never taken sides in the presidential race.... We revisit our no-endorsement policy every four years. We've never seen reason to alter our approach. Until now.... This year, one of the candidates -- Republican nominee Donald Trump -- is, by unanimous consensus of the Editorial Board, unfit for the presidency.... He is erratic.... He is ill-equipped to be commander in chief.... He traffics in prejudice.... His business career is checkered.... He isn't leveling with the American people.... He speaks recklessly.... He has coarsened the national dialogue.... He's a serial liar.... Nor does this editorial represent unqualified support for Hillary Clinton, who has her own flaws (though hers are far less likely to threaten national security or lead to a constitutional crisis). The Editorial Board does not have a consensus for a Clinton endorsement.... Whatever you do, however, resist the siren song of a dangerous demagogue. By all means vote, just not for Donald Trump." -- CW ...

NEW. Kelsey Sutton of Politico: "The Chicago Tribune on Friday endorsed Libertarian Gary Johnson for president, joining a handful of other newspapers around the country that have rejected both the Republican and Democratic presidential nominees." CW: When a reporter told Johnson of the Chicago paper's endorsement, Johnson asked, "What is Chicago?"

Louis Nelson of Politico: "While Hillary Clinton is riding high after the first presidential debate, Donald Trump is jumping down into the gutter. In the wee hours of Friday morning, the impulse-control-deficient Republican nominee let loose a torrent of tweets, calling former Miss Universe winner Alicia Machado 'disgusting' and accusing her of having [appeared in] a sex tape.... He wrapped up his rant with: 'Did Crooked Hillary help disgusting (check out sex tape and past) Alicia M become a U.S. citizen so she could use her in the debate?'" CW: This is a straight news report. ...

... Greg Sargent does some reporting of Trump's claims & concludes, "The ultimate irony of the whole tale is that the person who may have done the most to drive Machado to become a U.S. citizen and secure the vote for herself is [not Hillary Clinton, but] one Donald J. Trump. And if the preliminary evidence proves to be right, Trump is driving a lot more Latinos to vote in this election, too." -- CW

Esme Cribb of TPM: "Donald Trump complained about every part of the first presidential debate, from his opponent to the moderator to the subsequent poll results, during a Thursday campaign appearance. 'I had to put up with the anchor and fight the anchor all the time on everything I said,' Trump said of the debate's moderator, Lester Holt, at a rally in Bedford, New Hampshire. 'What a rigged deal.' He also cited online polls as evidence of his success, saying that 'every single online poll said we won.' On Tuesday afternoon, a Fox News executive sent a memo to staff that was leaked to Business Insider reminding them that online polls like the ones Trump touted should not be cited as though they were scientifically sound." See also "Tuck Chodd Has a Brief Moment of Clarity," linked below. -- CW ...

... Jim Fallows of the Atlantic: "Just after Monday night’s debate, Donald Trump said that moderator Lester Holt had done 'a great job. Honestly, I thought Lester did a great job.'... Three days later, right now as I type, Trump told a crowd in New Hampshire how rigged the debates had been and, in particular, how biased and unfair the 'great' Lester Holt was.... Is this an example of what is known in writer-land as 'keyboard courage' -- of Trump's being genial to people face-to-face and then excoriating them from a safe remove? Has he forgotten what he said less than 70 hours ago? Does he think no one will remember? Does he not notice or mentally process the contradiction himself? I have no idea. I will contend that no one like this has ever gotten this far in U.S. politics before, and by 'no one like this' I mean someone who seems either entirely unaware or entirely unconcerned by the disconnect between what he says and the world of observable truth." -- CW ...

... Drumpf Knows Best. Eli Stokols of Politico: "Everyone but Donald Trump and his most ardent supporters recognize thatDonald Trump lost Monday night's debate. And because of the candidate's stubborn disbelief in his ability to do anything but win, Trump lost the post-debate period too. Now he's doubling down. Despite warnings from fellow Republicans against insulting a beauty queen he disparaged for gaining weight and launching an attack on Hillary Clinton for her husband's well-known infidelities, Trump is now directing his surrogates to do just that.... And during a rally Thursday afternoon in Bedford, N.H., Trump himself referenced the scandals of the 1990s that he’s been congratulating himself for not talking about all week. 'The Clintons are the sordid past,' he said. 'We will be the very bright and clean future." -- CW ...

... Nolan McCaskill of Politico: "Donald Trump and his allies are refusing to let up on their attacks on former Miss Universe Alicia Machado, with Newt Gingrich shaming her for gaining weight during her reign and Corey Lewandowski suggesting she's an attempted murderer. The sustained assault has provided a wide opening for Hillary Clinton's campaign to drive home the narrative that Trump is a misogynist and a horrible role model for voters' children." --safari ...

     ... Paul Waldman: "The strategic genius of the Trump campaign is still in evidence.... Yes, let's have portly serial adulterer Newt Gingrich attack Machado's weight, while sadistic adulterer Rudy Giuliani goes after Clinton for not being able to keep her husband from cheating on her. I can feel that gender gap shrinking already." CW: Aw, c'mon, Paul. Newt is a serial adulterer, too.

By Driftglass.Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "Donald Trump isn't afraid of being labeled as the guy who avoids paying taxes. At all. [In an appearance on Bill O'Reilly's show,] Trump didn't say Wednesday night whether he has paid income taxes over the past several decades, but he did say that someone who avoids paying them is what the country needs.... 'I never said I didn't pay taxes,' Trump maintained. '[Hillary Clinton] said, "Maybe you didn't pay taxes." And I said, "Well, that would make me smart," because tax is a big payment.... One big problem with Trump's comments Wednesday is that there is a record of him paying no or very little income taxes. Of the five years for which we have a record of Trump's taxes, he didn't pay any or nearly any.... A second problem is that he did appear to say Monday night that his past avoidance of income taxes was 'smart.'" -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Gloria Borger, et al., of CNN: "Donald Trump is angry that his aides and advisers have conceded to reporters -- largely without attribution -- that the Republican nominee struggled in his first presidential debate. In a conference call with surrogates Wednesday afternoon, Trump aides made clear the Republican nominee is upset that his allies publicly acknowledged they pushed him to change his preparation and tactics before his next bout with Hillary Clinton. And he wants them to stop it immediately. The message was 'not subtle,' a source familiar with the call said. Trump wants his supporters to make an energetic defense of his performance and refuse to concede that he didn't nail it." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Nevertheless ... Dana Bash, et al., of CNN: "Some of Donald Trump's advisers are discussing an overhaul in how he prepares for his second face-off with Hillary Clinton, and one option being floated internally is asking Chris Christie to take a leading role to get the Republican nominee ready. The New Jersey governor, a long-time friend of Trump's, is one of 'the few' in the billionaire's inner circle who has always been straight with him, and was 'brutally honest' about his shortcomings after this week's debate, according to a source familiar with the discussions. There's no sign that everyone in the campaign agrees this is the right path forward. There's been a round of recriminations within the campaign amid fallout from the debate.Christie told CNN no request has been made." -- CW ...

... Dara Lind of Vox: "Trump appears to be shutting out not only people who want him to change direction but even people who are just telling him, descriptively, that the debate didn't work out well for him. Presidents need to be able to hear bad news." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Trump Conspiracy Theory No. 137. And He Knows It Must Be True Because He Read It in the Sputnik News. Jeremy Diamond of CNN: "Donald Trump on Wednesday touted a long-debunked conspiracy theory that [Google,] the most popular internet search engine, suppresses negative headlines about his Democratic rival, Hillary Clinton. Trump didn't cite a source to back up his claim, but the most recent report alleging this came from Sputnik News, a Russian state-owned news agency. 'Google search engine was suppressing the bad news about Hillary Clinton,' Trump said, apparently referring to Google searches during the first presidential debate on Monday night.... The remark was not an off-the-cuff ad lib -- it was included in the prepared remarks Trump read from during his rally speech Wednesday night." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Jonathan Chait: "Donald Trump's campaign is signaling that its new, post-first-debate message will be an attack on Hillary Clinton's finances, under the catchphrase 'Follow the money.' This is probably Trump's most fruitful avenue of attack.... And yet the notion that a voter ought to support Trump over Clinton on grounds of financial ethics or transparency is insane. Trump is corrupt on a world-historic scale.... How on Earth can a candidate run on the slogan 'Follow the money' while stonewalling any questions about his own money?" --safari

Paul Waldman on why Trump will likely do worse in the upcoming "town-hall"-style debate than he did in moderated debate. CW: I think Waldman is mostly right -- Clinton spent the early part of her primary campaign actually asking voters about their concerns & basing some of her policy papers on what they told her. But there's another Trump trait we've seen -- his ability to win by flattery. He is unlikely to bully the "ordinary people" questioners. Rather, he will agree with every questioner (even as he would be unable to supply a substantive answer to a specific concern) even if he has to take diametrically opposing stances from one questioner to the next. Some of the nuttiest things he said during primary season were in response to audience questions. And no matter how crazy an audience proposition was, Trump said, "We're looking into that."

Only the "best" criminals.... --safari

Donald Trump. Supporter of Communist Dictators for President! Kurt Eichenwald of Newsweek: Donald Trump knowingly violated the US embargo against Cuba. "A company controlled by Donald Trump ... secretly conducted business in Communist Cuba during Fidel Castro's presidency despite strict American trade bans that made such undertakings illegal, according to interviews with former Trump executives, internal company records and court filings.... Documents show that the Trump company spent a minimum of $68,000 for its 1998 foray into Cuba at a time when the corporate expenditure of even a penny in the Caribbean country was prohibited without U.S. government approval.... Once the [Trump] consultants traveled to the island and incurred the expenses for the venture, Seven Arrows instructed senior officers with Trump's company -- then called Trump Hotels & Casino Resorts -- how to make it appear legal by linking it after the fact to a charitable effort." -- Akhilleus: Love to see Kellyanne spin this one tomorrow morning. "Oh the Donald needed a few cigars. No biggie. And anyway, when he got there, Hillary was skinny dipping with Fidel." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

strong>... Marc Caputo of Politico: "'Trump's business with Cuba appears to have broken the law, flouted U.S. foreign policy, and is in complete contradiction to Trump's own repeated, public statements that he had been offered opportunities to invest in Cuba but passed them up,' Clinton campaign senior adviser Jake Sullivan said in a statement.... Trump recently began making a big push to curry the support of Cuban-Americans who live in Miami-Dade, Florida's most populous county with the most Republicans, 366,000. About 72 percent of them are Hispanic, nearly all Cuban-American. They're one of the only blocs of voters in the United States who still favor keeping the embargo...." The Newsweek report is not going to go down well with those voters. -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Update. Josh Israel of ThinkProgess: "Donald Trump's campaign manager appeared to unwittingly confirm an explosive Newsweek story on Thursday, telling ABC's The View that a Trump company did indeed spend money in Cuba in 1998, in violation of a longstanding U.S. embargo that Trump has vociferously defended. Newsweek's Kurt Eichenwald reported on Thursday that Trump Hotels & Casino Resorts spent at least $68,000 in 1998 in Cuba...Asked about the report, Conway first tried to defend Trump by pointing out that the company ultimately decided not to invest in Cuba and therefore was 'not treasonous.'...Asked if she was denying that they spent the funds, she conceded: 'I think they paid money, as I understand from the story, they paid money in 1998.' --safari ...

... Update, Update. Jessie Hellmann of the Hill: "Donald Trump Thursday denied that his company invested in Cuba and violated the U.S. embargo. 'I never went to Cuba. I've never been to Cuba. I never did business with Cuba,' Trump said in an interview with WMUR in New Hampshire. There's nothing else to say. I never did business in Cuba. I'd tell you very openly if I did. I was not involved in doing business in Cuba.'... In another interview Thursday with NH1 News, Trump questioned the integrity of the reporter behind the article." CW: That's funny, because doing something illegal, then using a charity to hide the illegal activities is SOP over there at Trumpapalooza, Inc. ...

... Like This. Ben Schreckinger of Politico: "The New York attorney general is probing Donald Trump's reported use of money from his charitable foundation to settle a private legal dispute, a lawyer for the town of Palm Beach, Florida, confirmed. The lawyer, John Randolph, said that the attorney general's office contacted him to request documents related to a settlement Trump made with the town of Palm Beach in 2007 over unpaid fines. Last week, the Washington Post reported that Trump settled the dispute by paying $100,000 from the Donald J. Trump Foundation, an apparent violation of self-dealing rules that prevent officers of charitable organizations from using funds for their personal benefit." -- CW ...

... David Fahrenthold of the Washington Post: "Donald Trump's charitable foundation — which has been sustained for years by donors outside the Trump family -- has never obtained the certification that New York requires before charities can solicit money from the public, according to the state attorney general's office. Under the laws in New York, where the Donald J. Trump Foundation is based, any charity that solicits more than $25,000 a year from the public must obtain a special kind of registration beforehand. Charities as large as Trump's must also submit to a rigorous annual audit that asks -- among other things -- whether the charity spent any money for the personal benefit of its officers. If New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman (D) finds that Trump's foundation raised money in violation of the law, he could order the charity to stop raising money immediately. With a court's permission, Schneiderman could also force Trump to return money that his foundation has already raised." -- CW ...

... The Ag-Grand-izement of Trump. Ike Swetlitz of Stat: "The annual fundraising bashes that Donald Trump hosted at his Mar-a-Lago Club for the renowned Dana-Farber Cancer Institute were showy affairs.... And his titles from Dana-Farber kept getting loftier: First, he was a Discovery Celebration Chair. Then a Grand Benefactor. Then a Grand Honorary Chair. Those titles did not come at a cost to Trump because he himself has not donated to the cancer center in years. His foundation, which has not included any of his own money since 2008, has given the hospital $350,000 since 2010. Yet Trump himself may have profited from the relationship: The hospital has paid Trump's private club up to $150,000 a year since 2011, and once before in 2008, to host the fundraising gala." Via Paul Waldman. -- CW

Jim Fallows: "After Donald Trump became the Republican nominee, he was asked on Fox News about his views on NATO and other American alliances. He gave his familiar '" they’re freeloaders' answer.... On Monday night, in his debate with Hillary Clinton, Trump essentially acknowledged that he might not be paying any federal tax himself.... I'm not sure Trump would recognize any tension between his own outraged demand that allies start paying their way, and his reflexive response that 'it makes me smart' for him to avoid paying his own way." -- CW ...

** Trump Doesn't Lie. David Robert of Vox: "... there is no answer to the question of whether Trump opposed the war in 2003. In fact, the question itself is a category error.... The question presumes that Trump has beliefs, 'views' that reflect his assessment of the facts, 'positions' that remain stable over time, woven into some sort of coherent worldview. There is no evidence that Trump has such things. That is not how he uses language.... He treats all social interactions as zero-sum games establishing dominance and submission.... People [like Trump] who simply do not have beliefs as such are impossible to predict and easy to manipulate. They are unable to make credible commitments, build trust, or pursue opportunities for mutual benefit. Putting people like that in a position of great power always ends in disaster." -- CW

Burgess Everett & Matthew Nussbaum of Politico: "John McCain pointed to the door of Senate subway train, telling a reporter recently to get out 'if you're going to ask about Trump.' Informed instead the subject was Mike Pence, McCain relaxed, as the Arizona senator and 2008 GOP presidential nominee invited the reporter to ride along.... McCain's willingness to talk Pence but dodge on Trump is shared broadly among his fellow Capitol Hill Republicans and reflects a genuine excitement about the Indiana governor who could be vice president...So far, however, there's scant evidence that Pence has the pull to bring Trump in his direction. And while campaigning and governance are different, on the trail, at least, Pence has been the one bending to Trump." --safari note: I love how the GOP leaders act like farts in the wind, showing up with vigor unexpectedly and then disappearing without a trace.

Meet Your Trump Supporters, Ctd. Caroline Linton of CBS News: "A North Carolina gun rights group is raffling off an AR-15, ammunition and a photo of Hillary Clinton that they say is 'very popular at the range.' Grass Roots North Carolina, a political lobbying group, is calling the raffle 'The Hillary Clinton Special.' On the webpage for the raffle, it says 'Of course, we won't tell you what to do with the photo, but when we ran a picture of Hillary on the front of our newsletter, we heard it was very popular at the range.'" --safari...

... Meet Your Trump Supporters, Ctd. Travis Gettys of RawStory: "A Pennsylvania mayor is being urged to step down for repeatedly posting racist content and remarks on his Facebook page. Charles Wasko, the mayor of West York, compared President Barack Obama and his wife, Michelle, to monkeys in multiple posts and joked about lynching the nation's first black president in another social media post, reported the York Dispatch.... A friend of Wasko's suggested lynching Hillary Clinton, John Kerry, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid and other Democratic politicians.... The mayor did not respond to repeated requests for comment, but he posted two new items on his Facebook page -- one slurring liberals and another promoting Donald Trump for president." --safari...

... Meet Your Trump Supporters, Ctd. A mere coincidence, I'm sure. Travis Gettys: "The former Donald Trump campaign chair who was forced to resign after blaming President Barack Obama for racism sat onstage behind Mike Pence during an Ohio rally...and met Trump's running mate after his speech, reported the Youngstown Vindicator. Miller, who apologized for her comments on black Americans but did not retract them, said she and her son got front-row seats because they arrived early." --safari...

... Meet Your Trump Supporters, Ctd. Brad Reed of RawStory: "Although Donald Trump has repeatedly disavowed the support of David Duke and other white nationalists, they've never stopped loving him or his campaign. In fact, the Los Angeles Times has an interview with several leading white nationalist figures in which they crow about the ways that Trump's campaign has given them and their ideas publicity that they never would have had otherwise.... In return, it seems that the American neo-Nazi movement is giving Trump an army of grassroots volunteers who will proudly goosestep across the country in their quest to make America great again...'Virtually every alt-right Nazi I know is volunteering for the Trump campaign,' Andrew Anglin, editor of the white nationalist Daily Stormer website, told the Los Angeles Times. Infamous former Klan leader David Duke was similarly giddy about what Trump's campaign had done for his movement, and he told the LA Times that 'the fact that Donald Trump's doing so well, it proves that I'm winning.'" --safari.

safari note: Is anyone else seeing a very sickening, sinister pattern emerging here?

... "Watching the debate, the artist Barry Blitt recognized a significant moment in the Presidential campaign. Of all Trump's dangerous beliefs, Blitt said, his misogyny 'might just be his Achilles' heel.'" --safari

Annals of Journalism, Ctd. In a Brief Moment of Clarity, Tuck Chodd Abandons Both-Sider Credo. Brent Griffiths of Politico: "Chuck Todd tussled with Donald Trump's campaign spokesman Thursday.... 'Why do you think multiple polls, scientific polls have said Hillary Clinton won that debate by a 2-1 margin?' Todd asked Trump's spokesman Jason Miller.... 'I have to set you straight on that one,' Miller ... [said].... 'The polls that happened the night of the debate..., the ones that happen online, those all showed Mr. Trump winning in a huge way.' 'Those are fan polls, man,' Todd said. 'Those are polls that computer programmers can mess with, those aren't real.... I just don't understand why we are creating a reality that does not exist,' Todd said.... Towards the end, Todd followed up on suggestions by Trump that the search engine Google is rigged against him. 'Do you have any evidence for that?' Todd asked. Miller pointed to an article by Breitbart written earlier this summer." -- CW ...

... Annals of Journalism, Ctd., Gotcha Edition. Louis Nelson of Politico: "In an interview Wednesday night on [Fox 'News's] 'The Kelly File,' [Trump spokeswoman Kellyanne] Conway complained that Hillary Clinton has campaigned too hard on Trump's history with women and not enough on her own vision for America. Paraphrasing the GOP candidate's feelings after opting not to bring up Bill Clinton's history of marital infidelities, Conway said Trump's stance was that 'it's not nice that you're running hundreds of millions of dollars in negative ads against me, and he has a point.' [Megyn] Kelly scoffed ... that there is no expectation of niceness in presidential advertising, to which Conway replied 'but the ads should be true.' The Fox News anchor responded that Clinton's ads use Trump's own words. [Emphasis added.] Later, the two returned to the issue of Trump's checkered history of remarks about women." -- CW

For a few good laughs during these seriously rough political times, check out Seth Meyers' Presidential Debate:  --safari

Quite a Few Tokes Over the Line. Dave Weigel of the Washington Post: In an-hour long interview on Chris Matthews' MSNBC show, Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson had a self-described "brain freeze" -- he could not name one single "favorite world leader," even as Matthews & Johnson's running mate William Weld tried to help him out. It really was stunning. Weigel provides a transcript of the entire exchange. CW: MAG already highlighted this incident early in today's comments, but it is remarkable enough to flag again. Maybe Johnson was going to pick Putin, but he realized that name was already taken. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Harper Neidig of the Hill: "... Hillary Clinton on Thursday mocked Libertarian Gary Johnson's inability to name a foreign leader by pretending not to be able to come up one herself when asked. When speaking with reporters on her plane in Chicago, Clinton was asked for her favorite world leader. 'Oh, let me think,' Clinton said sarcastically with a laugh. 'I like a lot of the world leaders,' she added. 'One of my favorites is Angela Merkel, because I think she’s been an extraordinary, strong leader during difficult times in Europe, which has obvious implications for the rest of the world, most particularly our country.'" -- CW ...

... As Nolan McCaskill points out, Clinton was also trolling Trump: "Trump has frequently attacked Merkel on the trail, panning her for Germany's intake of refugees, and will likely use that line against Clinton in the final stages of the campaign. 'Hillary Clinton is running to be America’s Angela Merkel, and we've seen how much crime and how many problems that’s caused the German people,' Trump said in a speech he delivered last month in Charlotte, North Carolina." -- CW

Beyond the Beltway

Amy Davidson of the New Yorker on the New Jersey Transit crash at the Hoboken Terminal: "Federal and state inspectors will spend days, perhaps weeks, examining the wreckage before they are able to announce a cause of the crash. One culprit that seems likely, though, is the particularly nasty politics of New Jersey, and of Christie's decision to block the legislature's efforts to fund transportation projects.... Christie had insisted that he would not fund the state's Transportation Trust Fund, which pays for major capital improvements and has been used for upkeep and maintenance, unless Democrats in the state legislature agreed to lower sales and estate taxes. They refused, and the fund went bankrupt." -- CW

Litterchur, Texas-Style. Derek Hawkins of the Washington Post: "Welcome to the Texas Department of Criminal Justice, home to 140,000 prisoners and a list of 15,000 banned books.... The state's prison system, which is the largest in the country, has been repeatedlycriticized for censoring books for what detractors say are arbitrary reasons. Adolf Hitler's 'Mein Kampf' is allowed, but an illustrated history of World War II isn't. A 700-page defense of racial segregation is fine, but not Langston Hughes’s poetry. Kinky paperback memoir? No problem. Suggestive Shakespearean sonnets? No way." -- CW

Way Beyond

Julian Borger of the Guardian: "The UN’s chief humanitarian official said the people of Aleppo are facing a humanitarian catastrophe worse than anything witnessed so far in Syria’s brutal five-year war. Stephen O'Brien made the remarks to the UN security council on Thursday as Russia rejected calls to halt its bombing campaign on eastern Aleppo, saying it might consider a 48-hour humanitarian 'pause' instead...'Syria is bleeding. Its citizens are dying. We all hear their cry for help.' Meanwhile, US officials said they were still considering options for a 'plan B' policy in Syria, after the failure of the administration's 'plan A' -- the attempt to pursue a ceasefire with Moscow." --safari...

... Martin Chulov & Kareem Shaheen: "As the most intensive air bombardment of the war has rained down on opposition-held east Aleppo this week, an army of some 6,000 pro-government fighters has gathered on its outskirts for what they plan will be an imminent, decisive advance. Among those poised to attack are hundreds of Syrian troops who have eyed the city from distant fixed positions since it was seized by Syrian rebels in mid-2012. But in far greater numbers are an estimated 5,000 foreign fighters who will play a defining role in the battle – and take a lead stake in what emerges from the ruins." --safari

News Lede

Washington Post: "Federal investigators are assessing whether equipment failure, an incapacitated operator or other factors could have caused a packed commuter-rail train to barrel into Hoboken Terminal and slam into the station in a Thursday morning rush-hour crash that killed one person and injured more than 100 others. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) said the operator of the train, who was hospitalized and later released, was cooperating with the investigation. He will be interviewed by National Transportation Safety Board officials in coming days." -- CW