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The New York Times lists Emmy winners. The AP has an overview story here.

New York Times: “Hvaldimir, a beluga whale who had captured the public’s imagination since 2019 after he was spotted wearing a harness seemingly designed for a camera, was found dead on Saturday in Norway, according to a nonprofit that worked to protect the whale.... [Hvaldimir] was wearing a harness that identified it as “equipment” from St. Petersburg. There also appeared to be a camera mount. Some wondered if the whale was on a Russian reconnaissance mission. Russia has never claimed ownership of the whale. If Hvaldimir was a spy, he was an exceptionally friendly one. The whale showed signs of domestication, and was comfortable around people. He remained in busier waters than are typical for belugas....” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: Oh, Lord, do not let Bobby Kennedy, Jr., near that carcass. ~~~

     ~~~ AP Update: “There’s no evidence that a well-known beluga whale that lived off Norway’s coast and whose harness ignited speculation it was a Russian spy was shot to death last month as claimed by animal rights groups, Norwegian police said Monday.... Police said that the Norwegian Veterinary Institute conducted a preliminary autopsy on the animal, which was become known as 'Hvaldimir,' combining the Norwegian word for whale — hval — and the first name of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 'There are no findings from the autopsy that indicate that Hvaldimir has been shot,' police said in a statement.”

New York Times: Botswana's “President Mokgweetsi Masisi grinned as he lifted the diamond, a 2,492-carat stone that is the biggest diamond unearthed in more than a century and the second-largest ever found, according to the Vancouver-based mining operator Lucara, which owns the mine where it was found. This exceptional discovery could bring back the luster of the natural diamond mining industry, mining companies and experts say. The diamond was discovered in the same relatively small mine in northeastern Botswana that has produced several of the largest such stones in living memory. Such gemstones typically surface as a result of volcanic activity.... The diamond will likely sell in the range of tens of millions of dollars....”

Click on photo to enlarge.

~~~ Guardian: "On a distant reef 16,000km from Paris, surfer Gabriel Medina has given Olympic viewers one of the most memorable images of the Games yet, with an airborne celebration so well poised it looked too good to be true. The Brazilian took off a thundering wave at Teahupo’o in Tahiti on Monday, emerging from a barrelling section before soaring into the air and appearing to settle on a Pacific cloud, pointing to the sky with biblical serenity, his movements mirrored precisely by his surfboard. The shot was taken by Agence France-Presse photographer Jérôme Brouillet, who said “the conditions were perfect, the waves were taller than we expected”. He took the photo while aboard a boat nearby, capturing the surreal image with such accuracy that at first some suspected Photoshop or AI." 

Washington Post: “'Mary Cassatt at Work' is a large and mostly satisfying exhibition devoted to the career of the great American artist beloved for her sensitive and often sentimental views of family life. The 'at work' in the title of the Philadelphia Museum of Art show references the curators’ interest in Cassatt’s pioneering effort to establish herself as a professional artist within a male-dominated field. Throughout the show, which includes some 130 paintings, pastels, prints and drawings, the wall text and the art on view stresses Cassatt’s fixation on art as a career rather than a pastime.... Mary Cassatt at Work is on view at the Philadelphia Museum of Art through Sept. 8. philamuseum.org

New York Times: “Bob Newhart, who died on Thursday at the age of 94, has been such a beloved giant of popular culture for so long that it’s easy to forget how unlikely it was that he became one of the founding fathers of stand-up comedy. Before basically inventing the hit stand-up special, with the 1960 Grammy-winning album 'The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart' — that doesn’t even count his pay-per-view event broadcast on Canadian television that some cite as the first filmed special — he was a soft-spoken accountant who had never done a set in a nightclub. That he made a classic with so little preparation is one of the great miracles in the history of comedy.... Bob Newhart holds up. In fact, it’s hard to think of a stand-up from that era who is a better argument against the commonplace idea that comedy does not age well.”

Washington Post: “An early Titian masterpiece — once looted by Napolean’s troops and a part of royal collections for centuries — caused a stir when it was stolen from the home of a British marquess in 1995. Seven years later, it was found inside an unassuming white and blue plastic bag at a bus stop in southwest London by an art detective, and returned. This week, the oil painting 'The Rest on the Flight into Egypt' sold for more than $22 million at Christie’s. It was a record for the Renaissance artist, whom museums describe as the greatest painter of 16th-century Venice. Ahead of the sale in April, the auction house billed it as 'the most important work by Titian to come to the auction market in more than a generation.'”

Washington Post: The Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C., which houses the world's largest collection of Shakespeare material, has undergone a major renovation. "The change to the building is pervasive, both subtle and transformational."

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Constant Comments

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. -- Edward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns


Wednesday
Feb102016

The Commentariat -- Feb. 11, 2016

Afternoon Update:

Matthew Lee of the AP: "The Obama administration opened a two-front campaign on Syria on Thursday with a push to end one war there and step up another. As U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry scrambled in Germany to negotiate the timing and conditions for a cease-fire between the Syrian government and moderate rebels, U.S. Defense Secretary Ash Carter was in Belgium trying to rally new support for the fight against the Islamic State group. Meanwhile, the United States and Russia traded allegations over the bombing of civilian areas around the besieged city of Aleppo as fighting there intensified, further fueling fears of a mass exodus of refugees."

Michael Virtanen of the AP: "Morgan Stanley will pay $3.2 billion in a settlement over bank practices that contributed to the 2008 financial crisis, including misrepresentations about the value of mortgage-backed securities, authorities announced Thursday. The nationwide settlement, negotiated by the working group appointed by President Barack Obama in 2012, says the bank acknowledges that it increased the acceptable risk levels for mortgage loans pooled and sold to investors without telling them. Loans with material defects were included, packaged into the securities and sold."

The Oregonian is running a liveblog of developments at the Malheur Refuge stand-off. At 12:15 pm ET, it appears the married couple -- Sean & Sandy Anderson -- is surrendering; they have to walk about a half-mile from their hideyhole to the check-point. The page also has an embedded livefeed from KGW-TV.

Why Can't We Get Better Politicians? Eric Lipton of the New York Times: "... emails and marketing documents obtained by The New York Times show the extent to which [Rep. Alan] Grayson's [D.-Fla.] roles as a hedge fund manager and a member of Congress were intertwined, and how he promoted his international travels, some with congressional delegations, to solicit business." Grayson is running for the Senate seat Marco Rubio is vacating. The House Ethics Committee is investigating Grayson's shenanigans. ...

... Roll Call lists Grayson as the 12th-wealthiest member of Congress. The list includes both senators & representatives.

*****

AP: "President Barack Obama returned Wednesday to the Illinois capital where he launched his national political career and appealed for help ridding politics of 'polarization and meanness' that discourage participation in civic life. In an address to the Illinois General Assembly, Obama said he regretted his failure to apply to Washington politics the lessons he had learned about working across the political aisle as a state senator. Changing the tone is possible, he said, but it 'requires citizenship and a sense that we are one." (Also linked yesterday afternoon):

Karoun Demirjian of the Washington Post: "The Senate on Wednesday overwhelmingly passed legislation that would impose mandatory sanctions on North Korea, in a bid aimed at forcing the international community to retaliate more strongly against the rogue nation after a series of worrisome moves."

Michael Schmidt & Sewell Chan of the New York Times: "NATO will deploy ships to the Aegean Sea in an attempt to stop smugglers moving migrants from Turkey to Greece, the military alliance's secretary general said on Thursday. The alliance will also enhance its surveillance of the Turkey-Syria border to monitor more closely the flow of migrants and the activities of smugglers, the secretary general, Jens Stoltenberg, said. Officials emphasized that the patrols would focus on deterring human trafficking, not on stopping refugees from trying to make the journey."

The Feds Have Had Enough of Your Crap

Matt Apuzzo of the New York Times: "The Department of Justice filed a civil rights lawsuit against Ferguson, Mo., on Wednesday, less than a day after the city rejected an agreement to overhaul its beleaguered criminal justice system and address allegations of widespread abuses by its police department. 'Their decision leaves us no further choice,' Attorney General Loretta E. Lynch said at a news conference announcing the suit.... In announcing the Justice Department's move, Ms. Lynch, who has a reputation for delivering impassive and guarded public remarks, was as animated as she has been in nearly a year as attorney general. 'The City of Ferguson had a real opportunity here to step forward, and instead they've turned backwards,' she said. 'They've chosen to live in the past.'"

Les Zaitz of the Oregonian: "Cliven Bundy, the Nevada rancher who touched off one armed showdown with federal authorities and applauded another started in Oregon by his sons, was arrested late Wednesday at Portland International Airport and faces federal charges related to the 2014 standoff at his ranch. Bundy, 74, was booked into the downtown Multnomah County jail at 10:54 p.m. He faces a conspiracy charge to interfere with a federal officer.... He also faces weapons charges." Bundy had intended to go to Burns, Oregon. ...

... Les Zaitz: "The FBI on Wednesday evening moved in on the last four occupiers at the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge, apparently placing armored vehicles around their camp. A friend of occupier David Fry was streaming on YouTube through an open phone line with the occupiers as authorities made what appeared to be a final push to end the 40-day old occupation. Besides David Fry, 27, of Ohio, the encampment includes Jeff Banta of Elko, Nevada, and Sean and Sandy Anderson of Riggins, Idaho." ...

     ... Update 10 pm PT: "The live stream that broadcast online what appears to be the last stage of the refuge occupation stopped after more than five hours. The phone feed ended as the occupiers headed to their night camp, preparing to surrender Thursday morning. They said they have a promise that the encircling FBI agents would leave them alone overnight." ...

... There's a rebroadcast of yesterday's livefeed here. And this seems like a different, earlier, portion of the livefeed. CW: Listening to a bit of it is riveting, in a sickening way. ...

... Kirk Johnson of the New York Times: "Negotiations were continuing into the evening, the F.B.I. said in a statement, and no shots, they said, had been fired. But in a live phone feed that was streaming on YouTube, with more than 20,000 listener/viewers, the occupiers said they believed the government agents had closed in to kill them. They said that they would not fire their weapons first, but that tear gas would be considered an attack that would justify shooting back."

Presidential Race

PBS is hosting a Democratic debate at 9:00 pm ET. Moderators will be Gwen Ifill & Judy Woodruff. The livestream will be here; the feed will begin at 8:30 pm ET.

Frank Rich on the New Hampshire primaries: "My guess is that these same [establishment] types -- including the opportunistic [Bill] Kristol, no doubt -- will start to shift back into Neville Chamberlain mode and look at the bright side of Trump again." Entertaining. ...

... Charles Pierce has fun reflecting upon the outcomes of the primaries. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Adam Nagourney of the New York Times: "... after Mrs. Clinton's overwhelming defeat in New Hampshire by Senator Bernie Sanders on Tuesday..., Nevada is looming as a turning point in their increasingly competitive contest, offering critical tests of the two candidates' strengths." ...

... Anne Gearan, et al., of the Washington Post: "The race for the Democratic presidential nomination turned sharply Wednesday into a battle for Hispanic and African American voters, who are expected to play a decisive role in a long list of upcoming contests in Southern and Western states.... Making clear how crucial minority support will be, Sanders's first stop after leaving New Hampshire was in Harlem, where he met Wednesday morning with the Rev. Al Sharpton and Benjamin Jealous, the former head of the NAACP.... With a blast of announcements about endorsements, travel plans and more, the Clinton campaign sought to turn to subjects -- gun control, criminal justice, the water crisis in Flint, Mich. -- that speak to African American and blue-collar voters in the states that vote next." ...

... Susan Davis of NPR: "The morning after his New Hampshire primary victory, Bernie Sanders made a highly publicized visit to Harlem to dine with Al Sharpton, one of America's most prominent civil rights activists and media personalities. The two dined at Sylvia's, the same New York City restaurant where Sharpton huddled with Barack Obama during his 2008 presidential campaign." ...

... CW: Let us not forget this landmark dining moment at Sylvia's. Andrew Ironside of Media Matters (September 2007): "Discussing his recent dinner with Rev. Al Sharpton at the Harlem restaurant Sylvia's, Bill O'Reilly reported that he 'couldn't get over the fact that there was no difference between Sylvia's restaurant and any other restaurant in New York City. I mean, it was exactly the same, even though it's run by blacks, primarily black patronship.' O'Reilly added: 'There wasn't one person in Sylvia's who was screaming, "M-Fer, I want more iced tea."'" With video. I myself have enjoyed Sylvia's fried chicken, served by Sylvia herself, & I completely forgot to scream, "Motherfucker, I want more iced tea." Just shows how white I am. Bernie is from New York. Maybe he better handled the imagined O'Reilly protocol. ...

... "Stop Bernie-splaining to Black Voters." Charles Blow: "Tucked among all [the] Bernie-splaining by some supporters, it appears to me, is a not-so-subtle, not-so-innocuous savior syndrome and paternalistic patronage that I find so grossly offensive that it boggles the mind that such language should emanate from the mouths -- or keyboards -- of supposed progressives. But then I am reminded that the idea that black folks are infantile and must be told what to do and what to think is not confined by ideological barriers. The ideological difference is that one side prefers punishment and the other pity, and neither is a thing in which most black folks delight." ...

... Matea Gold & John Wagner of the Washington Post: "Sen. Bernie Sanders took a few moments in his victory speech Tuesday night to make a small request of his supporters: 'Please help us raise the funds we need, whether it's 10 bucks, 20 bucks, or 50 bucks,' he said. The response was so overwhelming that his website buckled under the traffic. Between the close of polls and mid-afternoon Wednesday, his campaign brought in a record $5.2 million. Sanders is barreling out of New Hampshire in a position few anticipated when he first entered the 2016 White House contest: financially competitive with Hillary Clinton." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Yamiche Alcindor of the New York Times: "Ta-Nehisi Coates, the award-winning writer who has become one of the nation's most influential voices on cultural and political issues, particularly touching on race relations, said Wednesday that he would be voting for Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont. The decision by Mr. Coates, the recipient of a MacArthur 'genius grant' and ... winner of the National Book Award, came as something of a surprise: Last month, Mr. Coates, author of a widely read 2014 Atlantic essay, 'The Case for Reparations,' wrote two articles sharply criticizing Mr. Sanders over his opposition to reparations for slavery." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... CW: Washington Post Editors criticize Sanders for supposedly proposing a policy they made up out of thin air: "We think forcing working people to subsidize, through their taxes, the college tuition of wealthier Americans is not a progressive policy...." Really? Sanders' free-tuition (for public universities) proposal, which he repeats ad nauseum, & which appears on his Website, "... is fully paid for by imposing a tax of a fraction of a percent on Wall Street speculators who nearly destroyed the economy seven years ago." No wonder the WashPo editors don't like Sanders; I don't like the policies they pretend he's proposed, either. They should issue a correction, but they won't. ...

... Nick Gass of Politico: "President Barack Obama will not endorse a candidate in the Democratic primary, but there is no doubt where he is leaning, according to former White House press secretary Jay Carney. 'I think the president has signaled while still remaining neutral that he supports Secretary Clinton's candidacy and who prefer to see her as the nominee,' Carney said on CNN Wednesday following coverage of the president's speech to the Illinois state Senate in Springfield." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

Annie Karni of Politico: "As she looks toward the more diverse March states, [Hillary] Clinton is putting a new focus on race. The first salvo came Wednesday, when African-American elected officials and civil rights leaders supporting her campaign participated in a conference call to raise questions about Sanders' record on gun violence and criminal justice reform.... On a conference call with African-American surrogates for Hillary Clinton, civil rights leader and former NAACP president Hazel Dukes dismissed the significance of Bernie Sanders' participation in the March on Washington in 1963.... New York Congressman Hakeem Jeffries told reporters on the call that ... 'When you match up the record of Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, there simply is no comparison.... She's been at the dance from the beginning of her career.' In contrast, 'Sanders has been missing in action on issues of importance to the African American community,' Jeffries said, characterizing him as 'a new arrival to the dance ... at the twilight of his career.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Paul Kane of the Washington Post: "On Thursday morning, the [Congressional Black Caucus's] leaders said they will appear at a club adjacent to the Democratic National Committee to formally endorse Clinton for president, through the CBC political action committee. The group will then disperse its African-American lawmakers to states where black voters are crucial, particularly in South Carolina's Democratic primary on Feb. 27." ...

... Susan Page of USA Today: "Rep. Jim Clyburn, the most influential Democratic officeholder in South Carolina, says he'll 'huddle' with his family to decide this weekend whether to make an endorsement in the presidential race -- a move that could help shape the race in a state Hillary Clinton's campaign views as a crucial firewall." Page's interview of Clyburn, which accompanies the story, is worth hearing. He's a mightily talented politician. ...

Contributor Nancy points to a post Matt Taibbi of Rolling Stone wrote last week in which he asserts that Bill & Hillary Clinton have gone over to "the other side of the ropeline"; that is, they're one with Wall Street. Taibbi backs up his assertion with anecdotal evidence.

... ** Michelle Alexander of the Nation: "... Hillary Clinton Doesn't Deserve the Black Vote. From the crime bill to welfare reform, policies Bill Clinton enacted -- and Hillary Clinton supported -- decimated black America.... [President Bill Clinton] capitulated entirely to the right-wing backlash against the civil-rights movement and embraced former president Ronald Reagan's agenda on race, crime, welfare, and taxes -- ultimately doing more harm to black communities than Reagan ever did.... By the end of Clinton's presidency, more than half of working-age African-American men in many large urban areas were saddled with criminal records and subject to legalized discrimination in employment, housing, access to education, and basic public benefits -- relegated to a permanent second-class status eerily reminiscent of Jim Crow....If you listen closely here, you'll notice that Hillary Clinton is still singing the same old tune in a slightly different key." CW: I think Anderson somewhat overstates her case, but it is nonetheless a strong case. ...

... Gail Collins: "If the younger voters who are flocking to Bernie Sanders don't share their elders' intense feelings about needing to elect a woman president right now, it's partly because Hillary Clinton helped create a different world. So no matter what comes next, everybody's a winner." ...

... CW: Steve Kornacki of MSNBC is too polite to say so, but in his comparison of the demographics of the 2008 & 2016 New Hampshire Democratic primaries, one can see how Democrats vote when their racism isn't showing. We had a brief discussion in yesterday's Comments about whether or not Sanders' Jewish heritage could be a factor in a general election. I thought maybe not so much, but the New Hampshire results make me think that the nearly-even Clinton/Sanders split in the Iowa Democratic caucuses did indeed reflect a religious/ethnic bias. In the Iowa exit poll interviews, Clinton beat Sanders as the candidate who most closely "shared my values." That certainly sounds like code for "Christian!" ...

     ... P.S. It occurs to me that religion may play a role in the minority vote, too: both black & Latino voters have, on the whole, strong Christian affiliations. As Greg Sargent points out this morning, "... the Clinton campaign is aggressively pursuing a strategy that depends in part on the support of influential black pastors, an approach Bill Clinton relied on in 1992." ...

... Benjamin Wallace-Wells of the New Yorker: "... in New Hampshire, the rare demographic group [Clinton] won was those with incomes of more than two hundred thousand dollars a year. For now, at least, Clinton has become the wine-track candidate." CW: If that's how the cookie crumbles as the campaigns move forward, Clinton would be going into the general election as the candidate of the rich; obviously that's ironic in view of the policies of whoever her opponent might be. ...

... ** Robert Parry of Common Dreams provides a very useful shortcourse on the history of Democratic primary battles. Bottom line, especially when read alongside Martin Longman's post, linked below: we the people are screwed. ...

... The Establishment's Votes Count Way More than Yours. Martin Longman of the Washington Monthly gets real: "As of right now, with 92% of the vote reporting, Bernie Sanders is projected to have won 13 delegates from New Hampshire. Hillary Clinton is projected to have won nine. There are still two delegates left to be allocated.... But ... even winning 60% of the vote, he barely scratched the surface of Clinton's lead, which thanks to superdelegates currently stands at 394-42. The same proportional rules that make it impossible for Clinton to put Sanders away also make it nearly impossible for Sanders to overcome a 350 delegate deficit."

Anthony Gaughan, in the Raw Story: "Above all, the fact that a socialist won the New Hampshire Democratic primary and a billionaire won the GOP primary demonstrates that the two parties are headed in profoundly different directions. Polarization is shaping the 2016 presidential campaign in unpredictable ways as Americans grow ever more divided."

Ed O'Keefe, et al., of the Washington Post: South Carolina, "a state known for its nasty political brawls, is about to host an epic one, pitting a foul-mouthed celebrity billionaire against a band of senators and governors scrapping to challenge him. The Republican presidential candidates arrived here Wednesday ready for 10 days of combat.... Since Tuesday's New Hampshire primary failed to deliver much certainty, the Palmetto State's GOP primary on Feb. 20 could prove determinative for a trio of candidates vying to become the GOP establishment's consensus alternative to front-runner Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas." ...

... Digby, in Salon: "... it's a good bet that the GOP race is going to come down to either an authoritarian white nationalist or a far-right zealot. And the authoritarian white nationalist, the man who has convinced over two thirds of Republicans in New Hampshire that we need to ban Muslims from America, is the most likely winner. This is no longer a bizarre spectacle. It's a horror movie." ...

... Ryan Lizza of the New Yorker: "... New Hampshire’s failure to sweep away the also-rans dramatically increases the odds that the Republican nomination process will end with Trump as the G.O.P. nominee.... No Republican candidate who has won a gold and a silver in the first two states has ever lost the G.O.P. nomination.... As long as Cruz, Kasich, Bush, and Rubio stay in, they will divide a sizable chunk of the vote that could be consolidated against Trump, and Trump will be able to collect delegates with his thirty- to forty-per-cent share." ...

... Jonathan Chait: "Among those shocked by Donald Trump's runaway victory in the New Hampshire primary was Eric Cantor, who had just a few weeks before made a bet that Trump would fail to win a single primary. The experience of being shocked should not come as a shock to Cantor. In 2010, Cantor invested some $15,000 in a fund that bet on higher inflation, which was widely predicted by conservatives at the time but utterly failed to come about. In 2014, he lost his primary despite internal polling that showed him 34 points ahead, and admitted he was 'absolutely' shocked by the defeat.... People who want to bet their money on Cantor's ability to see the future" can find him at his investment firm, advising wealthy people on what the future holds. CW: Love the accompanying photo of Cantor, adjusting his glasses in such a way as to remind potential investors that he is (a) a very smart guy (b) who can see into the future. My dart board would be a better advisor on picking stocks & bonds. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Steve Peoples of the AP: "The best hope of the Republican establishment just a week ago, Marco Rubio suddenly faces a path to his party's presidential nomination that could require a brokered national convention. That's according to Rubio's campaign manager, Terry Sullivan, who told The Associated Press that this week's disappointing performance in New Hampshire will extend the Republican nomination fight for another three months, if not longer." ...

... Marco Marco Marco Knew Christie Was on the Attack. Jeremy Peters & Michael Barbaro of the New York Times: "Mr. Christie had not just telegraphed the coming attack, he directly forewarned Mr. Rubio backstage on Saturday night as the two men waited for their names to be called by the ABC News moderators. 'I understand I am going to have a hard time tonight,' Mr. Rubio playfully told Mr. Christie. 'Yes, you are,' Mr. Christie replied, according to three people to whom he recounted the conversation. Todd Harris, a senior Rubio adviser, called the conversation 'completely fabricated.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... BUT Now Marco Marco Marco Is "Funny, Unscripted & Human." Jeremy Peters: "Senator Marco Rubio of Florida ... took questions from reporters aboard his charter flight to South Carolina for nearly 45 minutes.... As he spoke, he made it clear that he was entering a new phase of his campaign, one less burdened by the caution and message discipline that have made him seem mechanical and scripted at times." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... "Control-Alt-Delete." Michael Crowley of Politico: "... the freewheeling Rubio who appeared for reporters on his campaign plane was gone once he disembarked and walked in front of voters in South Carolina. Rubio stuck to his standard script at two events. (He skipped a third event to return to Washington for a Senate vote on North Korea sanctions and, he said, to catch up on classified briefings.)... It was unclear whether the charge that Rubio is robotic would dog him here (although two young men in cardboard 'Marco Roboto' costumes posed for photos outside his first event)."

CW: Dana Milbank makes a point I mentioned yesterday: Jeb!'s prospects aren't necessarily dead: "Only in the bizarre world of politics would Bush's fourth-place finish in New Hampshire be considered good news: His millions of dollars got him only 31,160 votes, or 11 percent of the total. But considering that Bush was ready for embalming before Tuesday night, the notion that Jeb is not dead is noteworthy. At the very least, he lives to be awkward another day.... Republicans, at least until the age of Trump, have shown a tendency to select the most obvious candidate after exhausting all other possibilities. For better or worse, that would be Jeb." Milbank writes that Bush is now totally energized & suddenly comfortable in his [WASPy white establishment] skin. ...

... David Korn of Mother Jones: "South Carolina has a history of below-the-belt politics, and the Bush family has been part of that. (See the 2000 GOP primary campaign, when the George W. Bush camp slimed John McCain to defeat.) The Bush clan knows how to get dirty in South Carolina. Regardless of what happens with Trump and Cruz, a Bush-Kasich brawl could well be the main event."

Alexander Burns & Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey, a once-commanding figure in the Republican Party who struggled to attract support for his presidential campaign but unsettled the race with his strident attacks on Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, ended his run for the White House on Wednesday. The decision came a day after Mr. Christie came in sixth in the New Hampshire primary, an embarrassing result after he had focused the bulk of his campaign's efforts on the state. He was also facing the prospect of being left out of the group that will take the stage at the Republican debate on Saturday because of his poor showings in the Iowa caucuses last week and in New Hampshire on Tuesday." ...

... Matt Arco & Claude Brodesser-Akner of the Star-Ledger list "25 reasons Chris Christie's presidential campaign tanked." CW: P.S. Welcome home, Gov. Chrisco. ...

...Bradford Richardson of the Hill: "... Donald Trump says fellow GOP primary candidate Chris Christie called him after Tuesday night's New Hampshire primary to have a 'long talk.' Asked whether he would seek Christie's endorsement if the New Jersey governor drops out of the race, Trump praised Christie for his performance at last week's GOP primary debate. 'I think that Chris did an amazing job in terms of the debate, as a prosecutor, and he's a friend of mine, Trump said early Wednesday on MSNBC's 'Morning Joe.'" ...

... Anne Laurie of Balloon Juice: "Fortunately, by shivving Rubio so effectively, [Christie] should've guaranteed himself a nice cushy schedule of private planes and high-dollar hotel rooms while backing up either Trump or Jeb for the next few months." CW: As you may recall, Christie has a long history of partaking of luxury travel & accommodations paid for by others (including taxpayers). He'd be in his element in one of Trump's 24-karat-gold-plated private jet(s):

     ... Given all that, I don't see how poor Jeb!, with his cheesy rent-a-planes has a shot at a Christie endorsement.

     ... P.S. When our lovely hostess tour guide refers to a "dive-in," she means "divan" (dəˈvan).

Daniel Strauss of Politico: "... Carly Fiorina dropped out of the 2016 [presidential] contest on Wednesday, ending a campaign that failed to enlist enough support despite Republican voters' clear preference for a Washington outsider this cycle. I've said throughout this campaign that I will not sit down and be quiet. I'm not going to start now,' the former Hewlett-Packard CEO said in a statement. 'While I suspend my candidacy today, I will continue to travel this country and fight for those Americans who refuse to settle for the way things are and a status quo that no longer works for them.'" CW: With any luck, the media won't cover her travels & fights. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Driftglass Welcomes Michael Bloomberg: "... who better to step in out of the Beltway pundit's magic Centrist unicorn dreams and into the race... Who better to dump another shit-ton of money into a race already choking on the fumes of burning piles of cash...Who better to grab both the unruly anti-Wall Street Democrats and the unhinged, anti-Muslim, anti-immigrant wingnut rabble by the scruff of the neck and tell them all to STFU and fall in line... than yet another New York billionaire!" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Beyond the Beltway

Donna St. George, et al., of the Washington Post: "An investigation into child pornography at a Prince George's County[, Maryland,] school broadened Wednesday as officials interviewed more than two dozen families, placed the principal on leave and examined whether any policies on reporting child abuse were breached. But officials offered few new details about how an unpaid library volunteer in suburban Maryland allegedly managed to make videos of children performing sex acts on school grounds during school hours.... Deonte Carraway, 22, of Glenarden has been charged with 10 counts of felony child pornography and related charges. He has admitted creating the videos, in which he sometimes can be seen or heard directing children between 9 and 13 years old to perform various sexual acts, police said." CW: Words fail me.

Marcus Gilmer of Mashable: "The City of Cleveland has filed a claim against the estate of Tamir Rice, the 12-year-old boy who was shot and killed by a police officer in 2014. It asks for for $500 to cover 'ambulance advance life support' and other medical expenses, including mileage, related to Rice's ride to the hospital the day he was shot."

Tony Barboza & Dan Weikel of the Los Angeles Times: "The California Coastal Commission fired its executive director Wednesday -- a decision made despite an overwhelming show of public support for the land use agency's top official. The panel disclosed that it voted 7 to 5 in a private session to dismiss Charles Lester, touching off an emotional scene unique in the agency's 44-year history."

News Lede

AP: "Sirhan Sirhan was denied parole Wednesday for fatally shooting Robert F. Kennedy after a confidante of the slain senator who was shot in the head forgave him and repeatedly apologized for not doing more to win his release. Paul Schrade's voice cracked with emotion during an hour of testimony on his efforts to untangle mysteries about the events of June 5, 1968. The 91-year-old former labor leader said he believed Sirhan shot him but that a second unidentified shooter felled Kennedy."

Tuesday
Feb092016

The Commentariat -- Feb. 10, 2016

Afternoon Update:

Daniel Strauss of Politico: "... Carly Fiorina dropped out of the 2016 [presidential] contest on Wednesday, ending a campaign that failed to enlist enough support despite Republican voters' clear preference for a Washington outsider this cycle. I've said throughout this campaign that I will not sit down and be quiet. I'm not going to start now,' the former Hewlett-Packard CEO said in a statement. 'While I suspend my candidacy today, I will continue to travel this country and fight for those Americans who refuse to settle for the way things are and a status quo that no longer works for them.'" CW: With luck, the media won't cover her travels & fights.

Annie Karni of Politico: "As she looks toward the more diverse March states, [Hillary] Clinton is putting a new focus on race. The first salvo came Wednesday, when African-American elected officials and civil rights leaders supporting her campaign participated in a conference call to raise questions about Sanders' record on gun violence and criminal justice reform.... On a conference call with African-American surrogates for Hillary Clinton, civil rights leader and former NAACP president Hazel Dukes dismissed the significance of Bernie Sanders' participation in the March on Washington in 1963.... New York Congressman Hakeem Jeffries told reporters on the call that ... 'When you match up the record of Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, there simply is no comparison.... She's been at the dance from the beginning of her career.' In contrast, 'Sanders has been missing in action on issues of importance to the African American community,' Jeffries said, characterizing him as 'a new arrival to the dance ... at the twilight of his career.'"

Nick Gass of Politico: "President Barack Obama will not endorse a candidate in the Democratic primary, but there is no doubt where he is leaning, according to former White House press secretary Jay Carney. 'I think the president has signaled while still remaining neutral that he supports Secretary Clinton's candidacy and who prefer to see her as the nominee,' Carney said on CNN Wednesday...." ...

... AP: "President Barack Obama returned Wednesday to the Illinois capital where he launched his national political career and appealed for help ridding politics of 'polarization and meanness' that discourage participation in civic life. In an address to the Illinois General Assembly, Obama said he regretted his failure to apply to Washington politics the lessons he had learned about working across the political aisle as a state senator. Changing the tone is possible, he said, but it 'requires citizenship and a sense that we are one.":

Matea Gold & John Wagner of the Washington Post: "Sen. Bernie Sanders took a few moments in his victory speech Tuesday night to make a small request of his supporters: 'Please help us raise the funds we need, whether it's 10 bucks, 20 bucks, or 50 bucks,' he said. The response was so overwhelming that his website buckled under the traffic. Between the close of polls and mid-afternoon Wednesday, his campaign brought in a record $5.2 million. Sanders is barreling out of New Hampshire in a position few anticipated when he first entered the 2016 White House contest: financially competitive with Hillary Clinton."

Yamiche Alcindor of the New York Times: "Ta-Nehisi Coates, the award-winning writer who has become one of the nation's most influential voices on cultural and political issues, particularly touching on race relations, said Wednesday that he would be voting for Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont. The decision by Mr. Coates, the recipient of a MacArthur 'genius grant' and ... winner of the National Book Award, came as something of a surprise: Last month, Mr. Coates, author of a widely read 2014 Atlantic essay, 'The Case for Reparations,' wrote two articles sharply criticizing Mr. Sanders over his opposition to reparations for slavery."

Marco Marco Marco Knew Christie Was on the Attack. Jeremy Peters & Michael Barbaro of the New York Times: "Mr. Christie had not just telegraphed the coming attack, he directly forewarned Mr. Rubio backstage on Saturday night as the two men waited for their names to be called by the ABC News moderators. 'I understand I am going to have a hard time tonight,' Mr. Rubio playfully told Mr. Christie. 'Yes, you are,' Mr. Christie replied, according to three people to whom he recounted the conversation. Todd Harris, a senior Rubio adviser, called the conversation 'completely fabricated.'" ...

... BUT Now Marco Marco Marco Is "Funny, Unscripted & Human." Jeremy Peters: "Senator Marco Rubio of Florida took questions from reporters aboard his charter flight to South Carolina for nearly 45 minutes.... As he spoke, he made it clear that he was entering a new phase of his campaign, one less burdened by the caution and message discipline that have made him seem mechanical and scripted at times."

Alex Isenstadt & David Strauss of Politico: "Chris Christie is expected to formally suspend his campaign later on Wednesday, according to a source close to the campaign, after finishing a disappointing sixth in the New Hampshire primary. The New Jersey governor was expected to spend part of the day reaching out to donors and top supporters to discuss his decision, the source said."

Charles Pierce has fun reflecting upon the outcomes of the primaries.

Driftglass Welcomes Michael Bloomberg: "... who better to step in out of the Beltway pundit's magic Centrist unicorn dreams and into the race... Who better to dump another shit-ton of money into a race already choking on the fumes of burning piles of cash...Who better to grab both the unruly anti-Wall Street Democrats and the unhinged, anti-Muslim, anti-immigrant wingnut rabble by the scruff of the neck and tell them all to STFU and fall in line... than yet another New York billionaire!"

Jonathan Chait: "Among those shocked by Donald Trump's runaway victory in the New Hampshire primary was Eric Cantor, who had just a few weeks before made a bet that Trump would fail to win a single primary. The experience of being shocked should not come as a shock to Cantor. In 2010, Cantor invested some $15,000 in a fund that bet on higher inflation, which was widely predicted by conservatives at the time but utterly failed to come about. In 2014, he lost his primary despite internal polling that showed him 34 points ahead, and admitted he was 'absolutely' shocked by the defeat.... People who want to bet their money on Cantor's ability to see the future" can find him at his investment firm, advising wealthy people on what the future holds. CW: Love the accompanying photo of Cantor, adjusting his glasses in such a way as to remind potential investors that he is (a) a very smart guy (b) who can see into the future.

*****

Presidential Race

Yuuuge! Here's a clip from Sanders' victory speech:

     ... Update: Here's the full speech:

Jeet Heer of the New Republic: "Bernie Sanders is the future of the Democratic party.... Democrats especially if they are white, millennial and postgrad -- are increasingly likely to call themselves liberals.... It is true that younger blacks and Hispanics are also trending liberal, but for now, there are enough moderate and conservative older blacks and Hispanics to give Clinton some breathing room." CW: The Democratic party will fade to a faction if it can't bring along minorities & moderate white people. ...

... Matt Yglesias of Vox: ""Bernie Sanders is the future of the Democratic party.... Hillary Clinton's campaign -- and, frankly, many DC journalists -- has been repeatedly taken by surprise by the potency of some of Sanders's attacks, because they apply to such a broad swath of the party. But this is precisely the point. Sanders and his youthful supporters want the Democrats to be a different kind of party: a more ideological, more left-wing one."

... Eric Levitz of New York: "Sanders's victory is a remarkable triumph for a certain strain of American Jewish political thought. When asked about his spirituality at last week's Democratic debate, the Vermont senator replied, 'My spirituality is that we are all in this together and that when children go hungry, when veterans sleep out on the street, it impacts me.' Sanders's Judaism is the socialist, universalist sort that was conceived through centuries of Talmudic scholarship, incubated in sweatshop factories in New York and Chicago, and brought to life in the great labor struggles of the early 20th century."

Isaac Chotiner of Slate: "Hillary Clinton's impressive concession speech Tuesday night, which followed Bernie Sanders' even more impressive win in the New Hampshire primary, was a bracing call for getting real.... What made the speech better than many of her previous efforts -- I'm not including her Goldman Sachs speeches, since we haven't seen those -- was that she mixed this practical approach to leadership with a surprising amount of heart":

... Amy Chozick of the New York Times: "Bernie Sanders's nearly 22-point victory came after Mrs. Clinton's advisers had worked hard to lower expectations, but privately, many people close to Mrs. Clinton, including her husband, believed the state would once again serve as a lifeline." ...

... Annie Karni of Politico: "Both Hillary and Bill Clinton knew she would lose [in New Hampshire] -- but not by this much. Now, after a drubbing so serious as to call into question every aspect of her campaign from her data operation to her message, the wounded front-runner and her allies are actively preparing to retool their campaign, according to Clinton allies.... Clinton is set to campaign with African-American victims of law enforcement deaths, like Trayvon Martin's mother and Eric Garner's mother. And the campaign, sources said, is expected to push a new focus on systematic racism, criminal justice reform, voting rights and gun violence that will mitigate concerns about her lack of an inspirational message." ...

... Lisa Desjardins of PBS NewsHour: "Hours before official New Hampshire results appeared Tuesday, Hillary Clinton campaign manager Robby Mook conceded to staffers, supporters and some reporters that the Granite State race was lost, in a memo obtained by PBS NewsHour that urged the Clinton team to focus past February and on March."

... Molly Ball of the Atlantic: "One thing is certain: A major fight for the Democratic nomination lies ahead."

We're being ripped off by everybody. And I guess that's the thing that Bernie Sanders and myself have in common. We know about the trade. But unfortunately he can't do anything to fix it, whereas I will. The only thing he does know, and he's right about, is that we're being ripped off; he says that constantly; and I guess he and I are the only two that really say that. -- Donald Trump, on "Morning Joe" today...

... Greg Sargent: "In her concession speech..., Clinton continued to describe Sanders's success in limited emotional terms -- as if he is merely speaking to people's anger and frustration. Some pundits similarly describe Trump's appeal as an ability to harness 'anger.' Yet there's more to it than this. What both Trump and Sanders share is that they treat the problem as one of political economy, in which both the economic and political systems are rigged in intertwined ways, thus speaking directly to people's understandable intellectual assessment of what is deeply wrong with our system and why it no longer works for them." ...

... Michael Grunwald of Politico Magazine: "New Hampshire's unemployment rate is only 3.1 percent. New Hampshire's average gasoline price is only $1.98 per gallon. New Hampshire's murder rate is the lowest in the country, and so is New Hampshire's poverty rate. Also: New Hampshire's voters want serious change. That was the in-your-face message of last night's primary results, a widely predicted but still somehow viscerally shocking call for overthrow, on both sides.... The seething disgust that propelled Trump and Sanders to victory is hard to deny, and neither Clinton nor Kasich or Bush seems well-positioned to win a disgust-a-thon against more natural purveyors of disgust."

"A Racist, Sexist Demagogue Just Won The New Hampshire Primary." Ryan Grim & Igor Bobic of the Huffington Post: Donald Trump's "resounding victory amid a crowded field of more experienced and accomplished candidates is a stunning turn of events for a party that vowed just four years ago to be more inclusive to minorities after failing to unseat President Barack Obama in the bitter 2012 election. What the GOP got instead is a xenophobic demagogue who's insulted pretty much everyone and even earned the endorsement of white supremacists. Trump's victory in New Hampshire likely points to a drawn-out slog between Trump and at least one of his rivals as they battle to secure enough delegates in hopes of winning their party's nomination...." ...

... Brian Beutler of the New Republic: "Trump's victory, and the magnitude of his victory, is a political cataclysm for the Republican Party.... He more than doubled the support of the second-place finisher John Kasich. This gives Trump an early delegate lead going into nominating contests in South Carolina and Nevada, where he also enjoys commanding advantages in public polls.... Everything that's happened since last Monday has served as a reminder that the Republican establishment is hanging its fortunes on extremely thin reeds....

After Iowa, and despite a third-place finish, Rubio briefly benefited from a deluge of endorsements and campaign donations on the basis of the impression that he was both uniquely electable, and uniquely capable of uniting the party. These notions took hold despite widespread awareness of Rubio's thin resume and inability to act with a clear head under pressure. His momentum was thus extremely fragile and after one public demonstration that the concerns were valid, it collapsed. Tonight he finished fifth.

Alex Isenstadt of Politico: "For the establishment wing of the Republican Party, the picture just keeps getting bleaker.... The establishment lane is now more crowded than ever, with Rubio, Jeb Bush, and New Hampshire runner-up John Kasich heading for a brutal fight in South Carolina -- a state known for its rough-and-tumble political culture." CW: Really? Not if Chrisco drops out, as he seems likely to do. All the candidates are wing-nuts, but the perceived outsiders -- Trump & Cruz -- are battling for the same voters, & Rubio, too, is competing for the wing-nuttiest. If you squint, you can still see a path for Jeb!, where Trump, Cruz & Rubio duke it out for the crazies, Christie stays in New Jersey & the underfunded Kasich fades. Of course, there's always Carly! Oh, I forgot Ole Doc.

Andrew Ryan of the Boston Globe: "Senator Marco Rubio appeared to be heading for a distant fifth-place finish Tuesday in New Hampshire's Republican presidential primary, a stinging disappointment for a candidate who brimmed with momentum after his strong finish in Iowa.... 'I'm disappointed,' Rubio told supporters at his primary night rally. 'It's on me. I [did] not do well on Saturday night, so listen to this: That will never happen again.' Rubio added, 'We will win this election. Because if we do not win this election, we may lose our country.'" CW: So here's Marco once again portraying himself as the one-and-only savior despite his noxious remark that "There's only one savior and it's not me. It's Jesus Christ who came down to earth and died for our sins.'" We live on a pretty big piece of geography to get lost, but if HarpenCollins can lose Israel, I suppose anything is possible. ...

... Nolan McCaskill of Politico: "... Marco Rubio accepted the blame for his disappointing fifth-place finish in New Hampshire but also pointed to another culprit: the media. 'What happened is obviously Saturday night the debate went the way it went, and then just the media coverage over the last 72 hours was very negative about it and so forth,' Rubio said Wednesday on 'Fox & Friends.'" ...

... CW: Dana Milbank has another amusing anecdote about Marco that slipped my notice: "The reviews [of Rubio's debate performance] were savage, and then, on Monday night, RubioBot malfunctioned again. 'Janette and I are raising our four children in the 21st century, and we know how hard it's become to instill our values in our kids instead of the values they try to ram down our throats,' he told supporters, then added: 'In the 21st century, it's becoming harder than ever to instill in your children the values they teach in our homes and in our church instead of the values that they try to ram down our throats.'... Had Rubio received scrutiny earlier, voters might have been able to find a candidate who didn't wilt in the spotlight. But Iowa and New Hampshire didn't serve their functions this time. Trump got in the way."

Clare Foran of the Atlantic: Chris "Christie won't even finish in the top five. An as-yet-incomplete vote tally shows him trailing Trump, John Kasich, Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush, and Marco Rubio. Speaking to supporters Tuesday evening, Christie announced that he'll go home to New Jersey where he'll wait to see how the final vote shakes out before making a decision about what comes next. He said he should be ready to make that decision tomorrow, and it sounds very likely that he may soon drop out of the 2016 race." CW: But thanks, Gov. Chrisco, for exposing MarcoBot, even if you did copy President Josiah Bartlett. ...

... Claude Brodesser-Akner of NJ.com: "Gov. Chris Christie is still waiting to exhale, but Republican experts are saying the New Jersey governor is all but certain to end his presidential campaign in New Jersey sometime Wednesday."

Josh Voorhees of Slate: Ohio Gov. John "Kasich’s surprise [second-place] showing actually turns the GOP's Trump-themed headache into a migraine."

Paul Krugman (Feb. 8): "... on economic policy -- which sort of matters -- Kasich is terrible, arguably worse than the rest of the GOP field. It's not just his balanced-budget fetishism, which would be disastrous in an economic crisis. He’s also a hard-money man.... He is viscerally opposed to monetary as well as fiscal stimulus in the face of high unemployment. So no, Kasich isn't sensible. He's just off the wall in ways that differ in some ways from the GOP mainstream. If he'd been president in 2009-10, we'd have had a full replay of the Great Depression."


At 8:00 pm ET, the New York Times has already called the New Hampshire primaries, declaring Bernie Sanders the winner on the Democratic side & Donald Trump the winner of the GOP race. (Front page.) CW: Not sure who made the projections; it's usually the AP. ...

... Patrick Healy & Jonathan Martin of the New York Times: "Donald J. Trump and Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont rocked the American political establishment on Tuesday night, harnessing working-class fury to surge to commanding victories in a New Hampshire primary that drew energetic turnout across the state."

... Dan Balz, et al., of the Washington Post: "Sen. Bernie Sanders and billionaire Donald Trump have been projected as the winners of the Democratic and Republican presidential primaries in New Hampshire -- a remarkable victory for two outsiders who tapped into voter anger at the two parties' establishments, and each promised massive government actions to provide working people with an economic boost." CW: Really? Bernie Sanders is just like Donald Trump? Um, exactly what "massive government actions" has Trump promised? Oh, maybe Balz & Co. are referring to Trump's tax plan, which like all the other GOP tax plans, would make the rich richer & the government poorer. ...

... BUT Fox "News" had the results before noon! Nolan McCaskill & Hadas Gold of Politico: "Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primary Tuesday -- according to a premature Fox News report. Citing every precinct reporting, Fox News' website accidentally published election results declaring Trump the winner with 28 percent support and 14 delegates."

The New York Times' primary results page is here. On the Republican side with 37 votes cast (yep, 37), there's a three-way tie on the Republican side: 9 votes each for Cruz, Trump & Kasich. Sanders leads Clinton 17-9, with 28 votes counted.

The New York Times' liveblog is here. Even before the polls close, it has some interesting tidbits: Ben Carson felt he had to telegraph his intention to stay in the race, Bernie couldn't find his car in downtown Concord, Hillary doesn't know what "went viral" means (suggesting to me she doesn't read the news; she has it read to her), & Donald Trump says (3:21 pm) he won't be calling people pussies when he's president: ("On 'Fox and Friends,' Mr. Trump argued again that he was not to blame for the use of the expletive..., which a woman in the crowd called out and Mr. Trump repeated. 'It was like a retweet,' Mr. Trump ... said. 'I would never say a word like that.'"

Eric Levitz of New York: "... if Sanders wins by a margin of 55 to 45 percent, Hillary Clinton will walk away with an even share of New Hampshire's delegates. Since our nation was founded on the principle of 'no taxation without an insanely convoluted process of electing representation,' as long as Clinton gets above 43.8 percent of the vote, she's entitled to half the state's delegates."

At the end of yesterday's Comments thread, contributor Elizabeth has a great first-hand report on her New Hampshire polling place. Her report jibes with the New York Times' banner headline (at 6:45 pm ET): "Voter turnout is said to be strong as polls near close." Most polls close at 7 pm ET.

Andrew O'Hehir of Salon: "There is an immense ideological gulf at the heart of the Democratic electorate that this campaign has exposed, and it cannot be easily papered over, no matter who wins."

Charles Pierce: "One thing about the Clinton team: because they've been the object of sophisticated (and well-financed) ratfcking for over 25 years, they've developed a real talent for opposition research their own selves." Read on. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... "Half a Dream." Charles Blow (Feb. 8): "... possibly the most damaging of Clinton's attributes is, ironically, her practicality. As one person commented to me on social media: Clinton is running an I-Have-Half-A-Dream campaign. That simply doesn't inspire young people brimming with the biggest of dreams. Clinton's message says: Aim lower, think smaller, move slower. It says, I have more modest ambitions, but they are more realistic. As Clinton put it Thursday in a swipe at Sanders, 'I'm not making promises that I cannot keep.' But the pragmatic progressive line is not going to help her chip away at Sanders's support among the young. That support is hardening into hipness." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)


Jonathan Capehart of the Washington Post: "During the 2000 presidential campaign, one of the mantras of then-Gov. George W. Bush's campaign was that he would 'restore honor and dignity' to the White House. That line was always met with a roar of approval from people appalled by the White House indiscretions of President Clinton.... [The Republican] party has gone from craving honor and dignity to demanding bread and circuses. And Trump gives the faithful exactly what they want, no matter how vile."

McKay Coppins of BuzzFeed: "... to those who have known him longest, [Marco] Rubio's flustered performance Saturday night fit perfectly with an all-too-familiar strain of his personality, one that his handlers and image-makers have labored for years to keep out of public view. Though generally seen as cool-headed and quick on his feet, Rubio is known to friends, allies, and advisers for a kind of incurable anxiousness -- and an occasional propensity to panic in moments of crisis, both real and imagined." CW: Panic under pressure: an excellent qualification for a job that requires responses to multiple crises every day.

Tuesday's Biggest Winners -- Karl & the Supremes. Ken Vogel of Politico: "The Internal Revenue Service ― in a move signaling a lack of appetite for policing big-money campaign spending ― granted tax exempt status to a Karl Rove-conceived non-profit group that pioneered secret money-funded attack ads. The group..., Crossroads GPS..., has come to epitomize the new types of big-money spending made possible by the Supreme Court's 2010 Citizens United decision. Elections watchdogs for years have accused it of violating tax and election laws by spending hundreds of millions of dollars on political ads attacking Democratic candidates and boosting Republican ones ― all while failing to disclose its donors' identities or registering as a political committee with the Federal Election Commission."

Other News

** Robert Barnes of the Washington Post: "The Supreme Court on Tuesday blocked implementation of President Obama's ambitious proposal to limit carbon emissions and reduce global warming while the plan is challenged. The court granted a stay request from more than two dozen states, utilities and coal miners who said the Environmental Protection Agency was overstepping its powers. The court's decision does not address the merits of the challenge, but indicates justices think the states have raised serious questions.... The court's four liberal justices objected to the decision...." ...

... Jonathan Chait on the implications: "Democrats need to hold on to the White House or literally risk planetary disaster." CW: Gives new meaning to Kate Madison's call to "Remember the Supremes!"

Jackie Calmes of the New York Times: "President Obama on Tuesday sent his final annual budget proposal to a hostile Republican-led Congress, seeking $19 billion for a broad new cybersecurity initiative and rejecting the lame-duck label as he declared that his plan 'is about looking forward.' The budget for fiscal year 2017, which starts Oct. 1, would top $4 trillion, although only about one-quarter of that is the so-called discretionary spending for domestic and military programs that the president and Congress dicker over each year. The rest is for mandatory spending, chiefly interest on the federal debt and the Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid benefits that are expanding as the population ages." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Noam Scheiber of the New York Times: "At the center of the final budget of President Obama's term is a concession that the major macroeconomic trends of the past two generations -- particularly the loss of benefits that once went with formal employment relationships -- are largely irreversible. In laying out proposals from improving access to 401(k) plans to supplementing the incomes of workers who accept lower wages after losing jobs, the president laid out a clear, if limited, view of government's role in the labor market. Inside the budget is a detailed agenda to ease the anxieties of workers weighed down by job insecurity and income volatility." ...

... Jennifer Steinhauer of the New York Times: "The release of President Obama's eighth and final budget on Tuesday has forced into the open the seething tensions that never really went away after a spending agreement was reached last year, in part to ease [Paul] Ryan's transition into the speaker's suite. That deal set spending until the end of October of this year, at levels that the president adhered to and Senate Republicans hope to make stick. But a core group of House Republicans who gave Mr. Ryan a pass back then now say they want to toss those numbers out like so much flotsam and pass their own budget with far tighter spending restrictions."

Jordain Carney of the Hill: "Sen. Ted Cruz blocked the Senate from confirming State Department nominees for the third time in the past week, even though the Texas Republican is campaigning in New Hampshire. Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) tried on Monday evening to get unanimous consent to confirm Samuel Heins to be ambassador to Norway and Azita Raji to be ambassador to Sweden. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), however, objected, and said he was doing so on behalf of Cruz, who has spent much of the last week campaigning in New Hampshire...."

... Hurts the Bottom Line. Daniel Victor New York Times: "Having women in the highest corporate offices is correlated with increased profitability, according to a new study of nearly 22,000 publicly traded companies in 91 countries. The study, released Monday by the Peterson Institute for International Economics, a nonprofit group based in Washington, and EY, the audit firm formerly known as Ernst & Young, found that despite the apparent economic benefits, many corporations are lacking in gender diversity. Almost 60 percent of the companies reviewed had no female board members, and more than 50 percent had no female executives. Just under 5 percent had a female chief executive."

David Jolly of the New York Times: "The United States Army will deploy hundreds of soldiers to the southern Afghan province of Helmand, where government forces have been pushed to the brink by Taliban militants, a military spokesman said Tuesday.It will be the largest deployment of American troops outside major bases in Afghanistan since the end of the NATO combat mission in 2014."

Way Beyond the Beltway

Adrienne Varkiani of Think Progress: "A statement released Tuesday by Doctors Without Borders confirms that a hospital in the Dara'a Governorate in Syria was hit by an airstrike on February 5. The airstrike on the hospital killed three people and wounded an additional six, according to the statement. The Talas hospital, which is close to the Jordanian border, is still partially damaged. It is the 13th health care facility to be attacked in Syria this year alone, according to Doctors Without Borders, which has documented such attacks in the past."

Monday
Feb082016

The Commentariat -- February 9, 2016

Afternoon Update:

Jackie Calmes of the New York Times: "President Obama on Tuesday sent his final annual budget proposal to a hostile Republican-led Congress, seeking $19 billion for a broad new cybersecurity initiative and rejecting the lame-duck label as he declared that his plan 'is about looking forward.' The budget for fiscal year 2017, which starts Oct. 1, would top $4 trillion, although only about one-quarter of that is the so-called discretionary spending for domestic and military programs that the president and Congress dicker over each year. The rest is for mandatory spending, chiefly interest on the federal debt and the Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid benefits that are expanding as the population ages."

Charles Pierce: "One thing about the Clinton team: because they've been the object of sophisticated (and well-financed) ratfcking for over 25 years, they've developed a real talent for opposition research their own selves." ...

... "Half a Dream." Charles Blow (Feb. 8): "... possibly the most damaging of Clinton's attributes is, ironically, her practicality. As one person commented to me on social media: Clinton is running an I-Have-Half-A-Dream campaign. That simply doesn't inspire young people brimming with the biggest of dreams. Clinton's message says: Aim lower, think smaller, move slower. It says, I have more modest ambitions, but they are more realistic. As Clinton put it Thursday in a swipe at Sanders, 'I'm not making promises that I cannot keep.' But the pragmatic progressive line is not going to help her chip away at Sanders's support among the young. That support is hardening into hipness."

*****

Presidential Race

CW: Might be the first time I've seen a guy wearing jeans & a bowtie. I'm kinda liking the look. That's Tom Tillotson, the "moderator" of Dixville Notch, New Hampshire. Photo via the Washington Post.It's a lovely, sunny morning in South Central New Hampshire, the temps are in the high teens & some schools are closed for election day. Get out & vote, people. ...

... Dan Balz, et al., of the Washington Post: "The first votes were cast Tuesday in New Hampshire following a final campaign blitz as candidates crisscrossed the state and leveled blistering attacks on rivals in a primary that appeared likely to set the tone for the wild nominating races ahead." ...

... Gail Collins & Arthur Brooks have a conversation about the New Hampshire primaries. Collins: "I was particularly offended by Marco Rubio's performance in Iowa. (That's a surprise, since I would have sworn nobody could top Ted Cruz.) He kept falling back on 'Jesus Christ who came down to earth and died for our sins.'... Marco Rubio instantly attacked the president [after Obama visited a Baltimore mosque] for 'pitting people against each other.' Now Marco Rubio is an all-purpose twit, but this was one of his worst moments. The guy who loves to wave his specific faith in the public's face. And he's shocked, shocked when the president demonstrates tolerance and compassion for an embattled religion."

Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "With a snowstorm bearing down on [New Hampshire] and threatening to derail the final crush of campaign events on Monday, Republicans jockeyed for position in the hope of outperforming recent polls that suggest that Donald J. Trump is the favorite to win the state, with Senator Marco Rubio and a glut of establishment candidates locked in a battle for second place.... Hillary Clinton, speaking [Monday] morning to WBZ radio, a Boston station that reaches the voter-rich cities and counties of southern New Hampshire, said she was confident that her aides and volunteers were ready to help voters reach the polls on Tuesday no matter how bad the weather."

Contra Krugman & others, Citizens for Tax Justice, a progressive think tank, suggests Bernie Sanders' healthcare plan would be good for all but the wealthy: "A new analysis by Citizens for Tax Justice of presidential candidate Bernie Sanders' recently released 'Medicare for All' tax plan finds that Sanders' health-related taxes would raise an estimated $13 trillion over 10 years. The analysis also finds that the plan would raise average after-tax incomes for all but the top income groups." CW: As Krugman has argued, the cost savings for average Americans wouldn't necessarily make Sanders' Medicare for All a Panacea for All: unless it is incredibly well-structured & -managed (think V.A. here), there would be tradeoffs. ...

... Dana Milbank: "Bernie Sanders is no revolutionary." CW: Yeah, & I noticed Bernie combed his hair for the last debate (or maybe had the assistance of a hairdresser!). What a sell-out. ...

... Paul Waldman, in the American Prospect, has a much better take on Sanders' & Clinton's relationships with "the establishment." Yes, Clinton is a member in high standing, but a President Sanders would certainly work closely with the Democratic "establishment," most of whom share his goals, if not his optimism that those goals might be achievable. Neither President Bernie nor President Hillary would be able to "change Washington" in any meaningful way.

It's Always the Staff's Fault. Glenn Thrush & Annie Karni of Politico: "Hillary and Bill Clinton are so dissatisfied with their campaign's messaging and digital operations they are considering staffing and strategy changes after what's expected to be a loss in Tuesday's primary in New Hampshire, according to a half-dozen people with direct knowledge of the situation. The Clintons -- stung by her narrow victory in Iowa -- had been planning to reassess staffing at the campaign's Brooklyn headquarters after the first four primaries, but the Clintons have become increasingly caustic in their criticism of aides and demanded the reassessment sooner, a source told Politico."

... On Rachel Maddow's show, Hillary responds to the Politico story:

I have no idea what they're talking about or who they are talking to. We're going to take stock but it's going to be the campaign that I've got. I'm very confident in the people that I have. I'm very committed to them; they're committed to doing the best we can.... We're moving into a different phase of the campaign. We're moving into a more diverse electorate.... So, of course it would be malpractice not to say, 'OK, what worked? What can we do better? What do we have to do new and different that we have to pull out?' ...

     ... Paul Waldman: "You can take that one of two ways: 1) of course, they're going to continually assess how they're doing and make adjustments if necessary; or 2) holy cow they're freaking out and everyone will get fired!" ...

     ... Jennifer Shutt of Politico: "David Axelrod took to Twitter on Monday to criticize Hillary Clinton's political strategy in New Hampshire, following news that her campaign is considering shaking up its staffing after an expected loss there. 'When the exact same problems crop up in separate campaigns, with different staff, at what point do the principals say, "Hey, maybe it's US?",' the former top aide to President Barack Obama tweeted." ...

... Pete Williams of NBC News: "In a letter disclosed Monday in a federal court filing, the FBI confirms one of the world's worst-kept secrets: It is looking into Hillary Clinton's use of a private email server." ...

... Hillary, Not Necessarily "Cozy" with Wall Street. Kevin Drum: "I think it's safe to say that Clinton has hardly been a scourge of the banking industry. Until recently, her main interests were elsewhere. But if there's a strong case to be made for 'coziness,' I've failed to find it." ...

... BUT. Ben White of Politico: "When Hillary Clinton spoke to Goldman Sachs executives and technology titans at a summit in Arizona in October of 2013, she spoke glowingly of the work the bank was doing raising capital and helping create jobs, according to people who saw her remarks. Clinton, who received $225,000 for her appearance, praised the diversity of Goldman's workforce and the prominent roles played by women at the blue-chip investment bank and the tech firms present at the event. She spent no time criticizing Goldman or Wall Street more broadly for its role in the 2008 financial crisis. 'It was pretty glowing about us,' one person who watched the event said. 'It's so far from what she sounds like as a candidate now. It was like a rah-rah speech. She sounded more like a Goldman Sachs managing director.'... Clinton spokesman Brian Fallon dismissed the recollections a[s] 'pure trolling,' while the Clinton campaign declined to comment further on calls that she release the transcripts of the three paid speeches she gave to Goldman Sachs, for which she earned a total of $675,000." ...

... Karen Tumulty of the Washington Post: Hillary "Clinton and her allies are making increasingly overt -- and clumsy -- appeals to feminist solidarity, as she struggles in her Democratic presidential primary battle against Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. The reactions ... suggest that it could be backfiring, at least in New Hampshire, a state proud of its tradition of electing women.... The gender question was inflamed over the weekend, after [Gloria] Steinem and former secretary of state Madeleine Albright, both supporters of Hillary Clinton, made statements upbraiding women who are not.... Unlike in Iowa, where Clinton won women by 11 percentage points, she is struggling for their votes [in New Hampshire]." ...

... Roger Simon of Politico: "In Iowa, though Hillary won the women's vote overall, she lost women ages 30-44 to Sanders by a hefty 21 percentage points and women ages 17-29 by a stunning 70 percentage points.... Clearly, the Clinton campaign must now do something. So in order to win over women ages 17-29, it has brought out [Madeleine] Albright, age 78, and Gloria Steinem, age 81, as surrogates. And you can see why campaign consultants get the big bucks. The strategy? Shame women into voting for Clinton." ...

... Amanda Marcotte in Salon: "While it's always tempting to reach for cheap explanations when other women disagree, feminists need to resist the hags-vs-bimbos narrative with all our might.... Perhaps seeing a woman out there, every day, doing the hard work of being the President of the United States could go a long way towards showing that women really are more than these reductive stereotypes, that they are full human beings with the same complex, nuanced concerns that men are assumed to have without question." ...

     ... CW: Yup. Looked how well this worked out for black people. Finally racism is over. Probably Donald Trump will take today off from the campaign trail so he call attend a black history seminar & work on his proposed legislation for slavery reparations. Kum. Bye. Yaaaaaah!

CW: Here's one thing you can count on: every vote in the GOP primaries will be a vote against climate change abatement. Jeremy Schulman of Mother Jones on the Republican presidential candidates' opposition to climate science. Includes data about New Hampshire voters' views.

Elevating a Conversation about Torture. Jesse Byrnes of the Hill: "Donald Trump echoed a supporter during a rally on the eve of the New Hampshire primary Monday night who called his Republican presidential rival Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) a 'pussy.' Trump was touting his hardline stance against terrorists from the Middle East when he mentioned Cruz's response during the debate Saturday on the use of waterboarding. 'Honestly I thought he'd say, "absolutely" -- and he didn't,' Trump said.... 'She just said a terrible thing,' Trump said, stopping his own remarks at the arena in Manchester and pointing out a woman in the audience, beckoning her to raise her voice. 'You know what she said? Shout it out, 'cause I don't want to,' Trump continued. 'OK, you're not allowed to say -- and I never expect to hear that from you again -- she said ... he's a pussy.'" ...

     ... CW: See, if you even hint at exercising caution before torturing prisoners, you're a pussy. Cruz, BTW, is not opposed to waterboarding; he says it does not meet the legal definition of torture, but that h'd use it sparingly. During the last GOP debate, Trump said, 'I'd bring back waterboarding, and I'd bring back a hell of a lot worse than waterboarding.'"

Could you let go of my breast, please? -- WCBS reporter Marcia Kramer, to a Secret Service agent protecting Donald Trump, at a Manchester, New Hampshire, hotel

... Bad News, Good News. Jeremy Diamond of CNN: "'I can look at their faces and say, "Look, you can't come here,'" [Donald] Trump said after 30 year-old Darren Ornitz of Greenwich, Connecticut, asked the billionaire businessman -- who owns a home there -- whether he would be willing to personally bar Syrian children from resettling there." But he said it nicely. Because "I have a bigger heart than anybody in this room."

Shakezula (how I wish professional pundits would use their real names!) of LG&M: "A gay voter took Rubio to task for being a homophobic weasel.... 'A middle-age gay man confronted Senator Marco Rubio here on Monday over his opposition to same-sex marriage, pointedly asking, "Why do you want to put me back in the closet?" "I don't," Mr. Rubio replied. "You can live any way you want."' Provided that way you want to live doesn't involve the state recognizing your marriage, giving you the same benefits as opposite sex couples or you know ... being treated like a human being, whaddya complaining about?" BTW, Marco approached the voter in a diner; the guy didn't accost him. ... Also, too, at the same diner, Marco told a 92-year-old woman that Sen. Lindsey Graham (a "bachelor"!) isn't gay. Because that would be too horrible to contemplate. ...

... Ashley Parker & Jonathan Martin of the New York Times: Oooh! Marco Rubio & MSNBC host Joe Scarborough are having a feud! "In an election season marked by animosity, egos and insults, this feud ... follows two men from the swamps of Florida politics to a presidential cycle in which Mr. Rubio, 44, has emerged as a leading candidate, and Mr. Scarborough, 52, as one of his fiercest critics.... In an interview Saturday, Mr. Scarborough could not hide his disapproval of Mr. Rubio, describing him as 'programmed' and 'risk averse.' And after Mr. Rubio's debate performance on Saturday appeared to validate his critique, Mr. Scarborough took something of a victory lap. 'I've been criticized for saying Marco looks too robotic, too prepackaged, and too young,' he wrote in a text message. 'But everything I've said alone for months is now being repeated this morning by everyone else in the political world. My critiques weren't personal: they were right.'"

Paul Waldman in the Washington Post: "What's missing from much of the discussion [about Marco Rubio] is that Rubio is embracing some of the most lunatic ideas on the right -- and he's managing to do so without most in the media hearing the dog whistle.... [Rubio's] real message goes ... into the dark heart of the conspiracy theories and twisted loathing of Obama that has persisted on the right for the last seven years.... And there's no escaping the racial undertones of this argument, because that's where so many on the right find the explanation for Obama's supposed hunger to bring woe and misery down upon us.... In some of the debates it has become almost comical, as every question Rubio gets on any subject is answered with a diatribe about Obama's malevolent schemes.... Rubio was going to be the candidate of the future, yet he's presenting himself as the candidate who is as disturbed, as unsettled, and as angry as you are that the past is slipping away." ...

Tom LoBianco & Ashley Killough of CNN: "Despite being backed by the monumental Right to Rise super PAC, Jeb Bush said Monday he would 'eliminate' the Supreme Court decision that paved the way for super PACs." CW: Oh, wow. Jeb! is practically a librul. Oh, wait, read on: "'If I could do it all again I'd eliminate the Supreme Court ruling' Citizens United, Bush told CNN's Dana Bash. 'This is a ridiculous system we have now where you have campaigns that struggle to raise money directly and they can't be held accountable for the spending of the super PAC that's their affiliate.'" So, um, the problem with Citizens United is that it doesn't give the politicians enough control over their big-bucks supporters.

Contributors today persuaded me to read David Brooks' column: President "Obama radiates an ethos of integrity, humanity, good manners and elegance that I'm beginning to miss, and that I suspect we will all miss a bit, regardless of who replaces him."

Senate Race

Phil Willon of the Los Angeles Times: "Republican Senate candidate Rocky Chavez, an Oceanside assemblyman and former Marine colonel, abruptly dropped out of the race Monday evening just as the first GOP debate was about to begin.... He said it was crucial for a GOP candidate to survive the June 7 primary, and he insinuated that the top three Republicans in the race could splinter their party's vote and allow Democratic hopefuls Atty. Gen. Kamala Harris and Rep. Loretta Sanchez of Santa Ana to have the ballot to themselves in November. '... I think the best role I can fill for the Republican Party and moving the agenda forward ... is to run for my Assembly seat, since I'm not going to be running for the United States Senate,' Chavez said. With that, Chavez walked off the debate stage and out of the studio. Under California's top-two primary system, the two candidates who receive the most votes in the June primary, regardless of party, will face off in the general election."

Other News

Jackie Calmes of the New York Times: "President Obama sends Congress his eighth and last annual budget proposal on Tuesday, a lame-duck executive's accounting of national priorities that Republican leaders have branded sight unseen: dead before arrival.... Breaking with a 41-year-old tradition, the Republican chairmen of the House [Tom Price (Ga.)] and Senate [Mike Enzi (Wy.)] budget committees announced that they would not even give the president's budget director, Shaun Donovan, the usual hearings in their panels this week.... But some new ideas that the administration previewed in recent weeks, including on cancer research, opioid abuse and military projects, could have more life than Republicans care to admit." CW: This is Joe Wilson's "You lie" on steroids. It's premeditated & institutional. This isn't John Boehner refusing to go to state dinners; it's top members of Congress refusing to perform the fundamentals of the people's business because the president comes from the other party is black.

Eric Lichtblau of the New York Times: "In the latest cyberattack targeting the federal government, an intruder gained access to information for thousands of employees at the Justice Department and the Department of Homeland Security, but officials said Monday that there was no indication that sensitive information had been stolen."

Ekow Yankah in a New York Times op-ed: "White heroin addicts get overdose treatment, rehabilitation and reincorporation, a system that will be there for them again and again and again. Black drug users got jail cells and 'Just Say No.'" CW: The contrast is stark, but Yankah has unwittingly written into his essay one reason for the different responses that transcends racism: because of the economic disparity between black & white, crack use led to violent crime in way that, as far as I know, today's heroin epidemic has not. People of every race had more reason to fear black users than white.

Annals of "Journalism," Ctd. Nigel Duara of the Los Angeles Times: Reporters at the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Nevada's highest-circulation newspaper, are beginning to feel the heavy hand of its new owner, casino magnate & serious winger Sheldon Adelson.

Beyond the Beltway

Rob Kuznia of the Washington Post: "In California, once a national innovator in draconian policies to get tough on crime, voters and lawmakers are now innovating in the opposite direction, adopting laws that have released tens of thousands of inmates and are preventing even more from going to prison in the first place. The most famous is a landmark ballot measure called Proposition 47, which in 2014 made California the first state in the nation to make possession of any drug -- including cocaine and heroin -- a misdemeanor. More astonishing is the state's decision to show leniency toward violent offenders...." ...

... Mark Berman of the Washington Post: "Officials say that Washington [state] accidentally released as many as 3,200 prisoners earlier than scheduled over a period of more than a decade.... The early releases[, first caused by a coding error,] date as far back as 2002, but even though the Department of Corrections learned about the issue years ago, a fix wasn't made and the public wasn't notified until recent weeks.... according to corrections officials, dozens of the inmates released early in recent years committed crimes while they were out.... Questions remain about the sheer number of inmates involved, the length of time this error continued and why it kept happening long after authorities were alerted."

Oregonian: Militants are still holed up in the Malheur Wildlife Refuge. Here's a roundup of the latest developments.

News Lede

New York Times: "Artur Fischer, a German inventor who registered more than 1,100 patents, including the first synchronized camera flash and an anchor that millions of do-it-yourselfers use to secure screws into walls, died on Jan. 27 at his home in Waldachtal, in southwestern Germany. He was 96."