The Commentariat -- January 3, 2012
** NEW. If you're an Iowa Democrat, you should caucus tonight, too, beginning at 6:30 pm (CT, I presume). John Nichols of The Nation tells why. You can find your caucus site here.
My column in today's New York Times eXaminer is on Frank Bruni's apologia for Mitt Romney's flip-flops. The NYTX front page is here. You can contribute to NYTX here, and I hope you do.
** Pulitzer Prize winner Jose Antonio Vargas, an undocumented American journalist, in a Guardian op-ed on "the changing face of Iowa."
Peter Maer of CBS News: "The Obama campaign is mapping out plans for the president to speak to his supporters via live web chat at locations across Iowa Tuesday night. A campaign official told CBS News the effort will use technology that was not available four years ago. Screens will show the president, in Washington, communicating with people simultaneously at various gathering places in the Hawkeye State."
Right Wing World
Greg Sargent: rabid Tea Party leader Rep. Steve King (RTP-Iowa) publicly admits to Congressional Tea Party hostage-taking strategy.
Dan Balz of the Washington Post: in Right Wing World, the tail -- being the Tea Party -- is wagging the dog -- the GOP presidential candidates.
Here's Nate Silver's final forecast on the Iowa Caucuses.
In case you think campaign advertising doesn't matter because Americans (a) are smart enough to see through them and/or (b) can make up their own minds -- Kevin Liptak of CNN: "Anyone seeking an explanation of GOP presidential candidate Newt Gingrich's recent drop in Iowa polls may find answers in a new analysis of Iowa political advertising. The survey, conducted by Kantar Media's Campaign Media Analysis Group, finds 45% of all political ads in Iowa have been attack spots against Gingrich. Only 6% were supportive of the former House speaker." ...
... M. J. Lee of Politico: on CBS News' "Early Show" today, Newt called Mitt a liar. Update: here's the videotape:
The Rupert Bump? Brian Stelter of the New York Times: "The media mogul Rupert Murdoch signaled his support for Rick Santorum on Monday evening, calling him the 'only candidate with genuine big vision' for the United States. His comments were significant not only because Mr. Murdoch controls Fox News Channel and The Wall Street Journal, but also because they were made on Twitter, a Web site that allowed for his support to be forwarded far and wide on the eve of the Iowa caucuses. Mr. Santorum was a paid analyst for Fox News before he announced his bid for the presidency last year." ...
Ron Paul does not want [Iran] to have a nuclear weapon, but the question is do you want someone who’s trigger happy to be your commander in chief? He's also someone who never served in the military. Ron Paul served in the military, will use force against our enemies if it’s required and if Congress approves of it, but I’m a little concerned about someone who didn’t serve in the military like Santorum, who’s a little over-eager to bomb countries because I don’t think he’s maturely thinking through the process and the consequences of war. -- Sen. Rand Paul, Son of Ron on Iowa talk radio (Thanks to Jeanne B. for the link) ...
... BuzzFeed: "Ron Paul -- poised to finish strong in the Iowa caucuses -- has begun to implement a quiet, complex plan to force a long battle with Mitt Romney for delegates to the Republican National Convention in August. His advantages: Experience, organization, and the legacy of the 2010 Tea Party revival, which convinced Republicans that anti-government figures like Paul just aren’t as weird as they’d thought. Paul is following the roadmap set by Barack Obama's 2008 strategy: Start early, learn the rules, and use superior organization and devoted young supporters to dominate the arcane but crucial party procedures in states your rivals are ignoring...."
Burgess Everett of Politico: despite their constant criticisms of President Obama's jobs creation plans, none of the GOP presidential candidates has anything to say about programs to help repair the nation's infamous "crumbling infrastructure."
News Ledes
... Update: here's a full transcript.
The Des Moines Register is probably the go-to place for news on the Iowa caucuses. Especially if you are an Iowa Republican, the Register is helpful for such musts as where to find your caucus location.
New York Times: "Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta is set this week to reveal his strategy that will guide the Pentagon in cutting hundreds of billions of dollars from its budget, and with it the Obama administration’s vision of the military that the United States needs to meet 21st-century threats, according to senior officials. In a shift of doctrine driven by fiscal reality and a deal last summer that kept the United States from defaulting on its debts, Mr. Panetta is expected to outline plans for carefully shrinking the military — and in so doing make it clear that the Pentagon will not maintain the ability to fight two sustained ground wars at once."
New York Times: "Giving its first major public sign that it may be ready for peace talks, the Taliban announced on Tuesday that it had struck a deal to open a peace mission in Qatar. The step was a sharp reversal of the Taliban’s longstanding public denials that it was involved or interested in any negotiations to end its insurgency in Afghanistan."
AP: "Iran’s army chief on Tuesday warned an American aircraft carrier not to return to the Persian Gulf in Tehran’s latest tough rhetoric over the strategic waterway, part of a feud with the United States over new sanctions that has sparked a jump in oil prices."
New York Times: "The Muslim Brotherhood, Egypt’s mainstream Islamist party, edged closer to winning a controlling majority of seats in the lower house of Parliament as voters went to the polls Tuesday in the final round of the first elections since the ouster of President Hosni Mubarak."
New York Times: "An Iranian court on Tuesday sentenced the daughter of the country’s former president to six months in prison for spreading what it termed 'propaganda against the Islamic system,' the semiofficial Mehr news agency reported.... The sentencing of [Faezeh] Hashemi was the latest in a series of moves by Iran’s leaders to stamp out potential dissent ahead of planned parliamentary elections in March, the first ballot since a disputed presidential vote in 2009 that sparked national protests and a vicious government crackdown."
Los Angeles Times: police have arrested Harry Burkhart, a 24-year-old German suspected in the spree of arsons in Los Angeles. There have been no additional suspicious fires since Burkhart's arrest. More L.A. Times related stories here.
Los Angeles Times: Benjamin Colton Barnes, "a troubled veteran of the war in Iraq suspected in the fatal shooting of a park ranger, was found dead Monday near a steep, snowy slope not far from Mt. Rainier, ending an intense, 24-hour manhunt that left tourists locked down in fear at a visitors center while 200 law enforcement officers combed the wilderness with dogs and planes." The Seattle Times story is here.
Look past the bias of the reporter when you read this CBS News report on "Occupy the Rose Parade." And if you're really, really afraid of Americans exercising their First Amendment rights, no need to worry: "Behind the protesters came three truckloads of Los Angeles County sheriff's deputies in riot gear but no arrests were immediately made and the protest was noisy but peaceful."