The Ledes

Monday, September 30, 2024

New York Times: “Kris Kristofferson, the singer and songwriter whose literary yet plain-spoken compositions infused country music with rarely heard candor and depth, and who later had a successful second career in movies, died at his home on Maui, Hawaii, on Saturday. He was 88.”

~~~ The New York Times highlights “twelve essential Kristofferson songs.”

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The Ledes

Sunday, September 29, 2024

Washington Post: “Towns throughout western North Carolina ... were transformed overnight by ... [Hurricane Helene]. Muddy floodwaters lifted homes from their foundations. Landslides and overflowing rivers severed the only way in and out of small mountain communities. Rescuers said they were struggling to respond to the high number of emergency calls.... The death toll grew throughout the Southeast as the scope of Helene’s devastation came into clearer view. At least 49 people had been killed in five states — Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Virginia. By early counts, South Carolina suffered the greatest loss of life, registering at least 19 deaths.”

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Washington Post: “First came the surprising discovery that Earth’s atmosphere is leaking. But for roughly 60 years, the reason remained a mystery. Since the late 1960s, satellites over the poles detected an extremely fast flow of particles escaping into space — at speeds of 20 kilometers per second. Scientists suspected that gravity and the magnetic field alone could not fully explain the stream. There had to be another source creating this leaky faucet. It turns out the mysterious force is a previously undiscovered global electric field, a recent study found. The field is only about the strength of a watch battery — but it’s enough to thrust lighter ions from our atmosphere into space. It’s also generated unlike other electric fields on Earth. This newly discovered aspect of our planet provides clues about the evolution of our atmosphere, perhaps explaining why Earth is habitable. The electric field is 'an agent of chaos,' said Glyn Collinson, a NASA rocket scientist and lead author of the study. 'It undoes gravity.... Without it, Earth would be very different.'”

The New York Times lists Emmy winners. The AP has an overview story here.

New York Times: “Hvaldimir, a beluga whale who had captured the public’s imagination since 2019 after he was spotted wearing a harness seemingly designed for a camera, was found dead on Saturday in Norway, according to a nonprofit that worked to protect the whale.... [Hvaldimir] was wearing a harness that identified it as “equipment” from St. Petersburg. There also appeared to be a camera mount. Some wondered if the whale was on a Russian reconnaissance mission. Russia has never claimed ownership of the whale. If Hvaldimir was a spy, he was an exceptionally friendly one. The whale showed signs of domestication, and was comfortable around people. He remained in busier waters than are typical for belugas....” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: Oh, Lord, do not let Bobby Kennedy, Jr., near that carcass. ~~~

     ~~~ AP Update: “There’s no evidence that a well-known beluga whale that lived off Norway’s coast and whose harness ignited speculation it was a Russian spy was shot to death last month as claimed by animal rights groups, Norwegian police said Monday.... Police said that the Norwegian Veterinary Institute conducted a preliminary autopsy on the animal, which was become known as 'Hvaldimir,' combining the Norwegian word for whale — hval — and the first name of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 'There are no findings from the autopsy that indicate that Hvaldimir has been shot,' police said in a statement.”

New York Times: Botswana's “President Mokgweetsi Masisi grinned as he lifted the diamond, a 2,492-carat stone that is the biggest diamond unearthed in more than a century and the second-largest ever found, according to the Vancouver-based mining operator Lucara, which owns the mine where it was found. This exceptional discovery could bring back the luster of the natural diamond mining industry, mining companies and experts say. The diamond was discovered in the same relatively small mine in northeastern Botswana that has produced several of the largest such stones in living memory. Such gemstones typically surface as a result of volcanic activity.... The diamond will likely sell in the range of tens of millions of dollars....”

Click on photo to enlarge.

~~~ Guardian: "On a distant reef 16,000km from Paris, surfer Gabriel Medina has given Olympic viewers one of the most memorable images of the Games yet, with an airborne celebration so well poised it looked too good to be true. The Brazilian took off a thundering wave at Teahupo’o in Tahiti on Monday, emerging from a barrelling section before soaring into the air and appearing to settle on a Pacific cloud, pointing to the sky with biblical serenity, his movements mirrored precisely by his surfboard. The shot was taken by Agence France-Presse photographer Jérôme Brouillet, who said “the conditions were perfect, the waves were taller than we expected”. He took the photo while aboard a boat nearby, capturing the surreal image with such accuracy that at first some suspected Photoshop or AI." 

Washington Post: “'Mary Cassatt at Work' is a large and mostly satisfying exhibition devoted to the career of the great American artist beloved for her sensitive and often sentimental views of family life. The 'at work' in the title of the Philadelphia Museum of Art show references the curators’ interest in Cassatt’s pioneering effort to establish herself as a professional artist within a male-dominated field. Throughout the show, which includes some 130 paintings, pastels, prints and drawings, the wall text and the art on view stresses Cassatt’s fixation on art as a career rather than a pastime.... Mary Cassatt at Work is on view at the Philadelphia Museum of Art through Sept. 8. philamuseum.org

New York Times: “Bob Newhart, who died on Thursday at the age of 94, has been such a beloved giant of popular culture for so long that it’s easy to forget how unlikely it was that he became one of the founding fathers of stand-up comedy. Before basically inventing the hit stand-up special, with the 1960 Grammy-winning album 'The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart' — that doesn’t even count his pay-per-view event broadcast on Canadian television that some cite as the first filmed special — he was a soft-spoken accountant who had never done a set in a nightclub. That he made a classic with so little preparation is one of the great miracles in the history of comedy.... Bob Newhart holds up. In fact, it’s hard to think of a stand-up from that era who is a better argument against the commonplace idea that comedy does not age well.”

Washington Post: “An early Titian masterpiece — once looted by Napolean’s troops and a part of royal collections for centuries — caused a stir when it was stolen from the home of a British marquess in 1995. Seven years later, it was found inside an unassuming white and blue plastic bag at a bus stop in southwest London by an art detective, and returned. This week, the oil painting 'The Rest on the Flight into Egypt' sold for more than $22 million at Christie’s. It was a record for the Renaissance artist, whom museums describe as the greatest painter of 16th-century Venice. Ahead of the sale in April, the auction house billed it as 'the most important work by Titian to come to the auction market in more than a generation.'”

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Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns


Friday
Oct102014

The Commentariat -- Oct. 11, 2014

Internal links & defunct video removed.

Carol Lee & Jess Bravin of the Wall Street Journal: "The White House is drafting options that would allow President Barack Obama to close the detention facility in Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, by overriding a congressional ban on bringing detainees to the U.S., senior administration officials said. Such a move would be the latest and potentially most dramatic use of executive power by the president in his second term. It would likely provoke a sharp reaction from lawmakers, who have repeatedly barred the transfer of detainees to the U.S." Firewalled. Copy part of the lede & paste into a Google search box. ...

... Steve M.: "This is where the entire heartland -- certainly the entire white heartland -- will turn into a bloc of seal-the-borders crazies. To heartlanders, it's going to feel like a border invasion...." ...

... Oh, Surely You Exaggerate, Steve. Let's Hear from the Heartland....

... Alexander Bolton of the Hill: "Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.) on Friday vowed to block all legislation in the Senate with a prolonged filibuster if President Obama tries to transfer detainees from Guantanamo Bay to the United States.... 'I stopped him once from trying to send a Gitmo terrorist to Leavenworth. I shall do it again, I shall do it again and if he tries it again I will shut down the Senate,; Roberts said, referring to the military prison located sixty miles east of his campaign headquarters in Topeka where he spoke to campaign volunteers."

Liz Sly of the Washington Post: "The U.S.-led air war in Syria has gotten off to a rocky start, with even the Syrian rebel groups closest to the United States turning against it, U.S. ally Turkey refusing to contribute and the plight of a beleaguered Kurdish town exposing the limitations of the strategy."

Eli Lake of the Daily Beast: "Congress has quietly begun reviewing every U.S. government intelligence collection program. It's got the potential to trigger the next big fight between The Hill and Obama's spies." ...

... Jane Mayer of the New Yorker will interview Ed Snowden today, beginning at 1:00 pm ET. You can watch the interview live here. The New Yorker will also livestream its virtual interview of Internet entrepreneur Kim Dotcom, beginning at 4:00 pm ET.

Ryan Gabrielson, et al., of ProPublica: "Young black males in recent years were at a far greater risk of being shot dead by police than their white counterparts -- 21 times greater, according to a ProPublica analysis of federally collected data on fatal police shootings. The 1,217 deadly police shootings from 2010 to 2012 captured in the federal data show that blacks, age 15 to 19, were killed at a rate of 31.17 per million, while just 1.47 per million white males in that age range died at the hands of police."

Aaron Kessler of the New York Times: "In his second day on the witness stand, Ben S. Bernanke, the former Federal Reserve chairman, recounted his extreme reluctance to lend money to the American International Group in the summer of 2008, even as financial markets were weakening. 'We very, very much did not want to make a loan of this sort,' Mr. Bernanke said. He added that assisting an insurance company like A.I.G. could give an incentive to other nonbank companies to look to the Fed for help instead of the private sector."

Adam Liptak of the New York Times: "The Supreme Court on Friday allowed same-sex marriages to proceed in Idaho, lifting a temporary stay issued two days earlier by Justice Anthony M. Kennedy.... Justice Kennedy, the member of the court responsible for hearing emergency applications from the Ninth Circuit, entered a temporary stay on Wednesday morning on very short notice after a last-minute request from officials in Idaho. He acted so quickly that he included Nevada in his order. A few hours later, Justice Kennedy issued a revised order, limiting the stay to Idaho." ...

... Brad Cooper of the Kansas City Star: "The constitutional assault on same-sex marriage bans zeroed in on Kansas on Friday with a new legal challenge that could clear the way for gay marriage in the state. Two lesbian couples -- one from Lecompton and another from Wichita -- challenged the Kansas ban in federal court Friday afternoon.... The lawsuit by the two couples comes just days after the U.S. Supreme Court opened the door for same-sex couples to wed in Kansas when it let stand lower court rulings that found bans on their marriages unconstitutional. While the court did not rule on the Kansas law, it kept in place an appeals court ruling [against the ban] that would be binding if a challenge were brought against the state law.... Kansas Attorney General Derek Schmidt [R] ... spent Friday in state court trying to stop Johnson County from issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples."

Matt Volz & Matthew Brown of the AP: "The U.S. Army War College revoked Democratic Sen. John Walsh's master's degree after an investigation completed Friday concluded that he plagiarized a research paper required to graduate. The college assigned an academic review board to the probe in August after The New York Times published a story showing Walsh borrowed heavily from other sources for the paper he wrote in 2007. Walsh was pursuing a master of strategic studies degree at age 47, a year before he became Montana's adjutant general overseeing the state National Guard."

Ben Jacobs of the Daily Beast: "On Friday, the William J. Clinton Presidential Library released its last batch of previously restricted documents from the 42nd president's administration. The latest document dump included details about Monica Lewinsky's tenure as a White House intern, a personal apology from Keith Olbermann to Clinton about his role covering the scandal, as well the White House's exasperation with Jimmy Carter." Jacobs highlights "five of the biggest and most interesting revelations." A list of the documents, with links, is here.

Mark Landler of the New York Times: "In the growing crop of tell-all memoirs by former Obama administration officials including [Leon Panetta,] Robert M. Gates and Timothy F. Geithner, [Hillary] Clinton has emerged largely unscathed -- proof that in Washington, it is easier to kick a sitting second-term president than a potential future one." When Panetta headed the CIA, "he had a shouting match with ... Clinton about who had ultimate authority over drone strikes in Pakistan.... It does not appear in Mr. Panetta's just-published book, even though it seems tailor-made for a volume called 'Worthy Fights.'"

Mike McIntire & Walt Bogdanich of the New York Times: "... an examination by The New York Times of police and court records, along with interviews with crime witnesses, has found that ... [Tallahassee] police on numerous occasions have soft-pedaled allegations of wrongdoing by [F.S.U.] Seminoles football players. From criminal mischief and motor-vehicle theft to domestic violence, arrests have been avoided, investigations have stalled and players have escaped serious consequences." ...

... Matt Baker of the Tampa Bay Times: "In the midst of an investigation by the federal government and intense scrutiny from multiple attorneys, Florida State University sent a letter to supporters outlining its actions in the Jameis Winston sexual assault case." The letter is here. Article includes response from attorneys of the woman who accused Winston of sexual assault in late 2012.

November Elections

Nicholas Confessore of the New York Times: "More than half of the general election advertising aired by outside groups in the battle for control of Congress has come from organizations that disclose little or nothing about their donors, a flood of secret money that is now at the center of a debate over the line between free speech and corruption. The advertising, which has overwhelmingly benefited Republican candidates, is largely paid for by nonprofit groups and trade associations, some of which are set up with the purpose of shielding from public scrutiny the wealthy individuals and corporations that contribute."

California. Chris Frates & Scott Zamost of CNN: "Charges of sexual misconduct, plagiarism and burglary have pitted a former staffer against a high-profile congressional candidate just weeks before the midterm elections. The drama is unfolding in a city that just weathered a sexual harassment scandal ending the career of its Democratic mayor. The latest accusations by a former campaign aide could derail the career of up-and-coming Republican Carl DeMaio.... This is not the first time DeMaio has been accused of sexually inappropriate behavior."

Colorado. CW: Apparently the Denver Post editorial board is comprised of insane people. The board has endorsed right-wing extremist Rep. Cory Gardner over Sen. Mark Udall, who has been an excellent senator. If your read their endorsement, it is one long fairy tale about how Gardner will be bipartisan, blah-blah. Sickening. (The Post endorsed Udall in 2008 & President Obama in 2008 & 2012. It also endorsed Democrat Michael Bennet in 2010.) ...

... If you're wondering how much of a wingnut Gardner is, Luke Brinker of Salon (Sept. 25) ran down some of items on Gardner's "scary agenda." The Post editors not only fail to reveal any of Gardner's wildassed policy prescriptions in their endorsement, one wonders if they are even aware of them. These editors not only don't report the crazy, they endorse it.

Florida. Brendan Farrington of the AP: "Republican Gov. Rick Scott and Republican-turned-Democrat former Gov. Charlie Crist agreed during a debate Friday that Ebola would be bad for Florida -- and they disagreed about nearly everything else. In a contentious debate that reflected the negative tone of the campaign, Scott and Crist took opposite sides on issues including health care, the minimum wage, Cuba policy, gay marriage and medical marijuana." There are links to video of the debate here. ...

... The Tampa Bay Times editors endorse Charlie Crist for governor.

Kentucky. CW: This is funny. I was all set to watch "40 painful seconds of Alison Lundergan Grimes refusing to say whether she voted for President Obama," as advertised in the Washington Post. The Post picked up the video from the Republican party, which "took no time at all ... to clip the non-answer and put it online." But click on the video & what do you get? A message that says, "This video is no longer available due to a copyright claim by Gannett Co., Inc." Better check those copyright laws next time, Mitch. I will say that, generally speaking, Grimes is painful to watch.

New Jersey. Michael Symons of app.com: New Jersey "Republican U.S. Senate candidate Jeff Bell said he is behind in the polls by double digits because single mothers are 'wed' to the social benefits like food stamps that Democrats hand out.... Bell is seeking to unseat Democratic Sen. Cory Booker in the November election. Booker, who won a special election last year, is seeking a full, six-year term. Bell's recent comments are 'misogynistic, despicable,' said Booker campaign spokeswoman Julie Roginsky." Real Clear Politics' average has Booker over Bell by 12.2 percent.

South Dakota. Jake Sherman of Politico: "Larry Pressler, who is running for Senate in South Dakota as an independent, has his principal residence in Washington, according to District of Columbia tax records. Pressler, who served as a Republican in Congress from 1975 to 1997, and his wife receive the homestead deduction, a generous tax break meant for people who use their D.C. home as their 'principal residence,' according to the D.C. Office of Tax and Revenue. The tax break reduces a property's 'assessed value by $70,200 prior to computing the yearly tax liability,' the District says." ...

... Here's the Democratic Senate candidate:

Texas. Erik Eckholm of the New York Times: "... the Texas attorney general, Greg Abbott, who is the Republican nominee for governor, said he would ask the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit to overturn the [district] decision [to block Texas's voter ID law]. On Friday, he asked Judge Ramos to clarify whether the ruling would apply to next month's election. The Fifth Circuit court, based in New Orleans, is known as one of the country's most conservative." ...

Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "Wendy Davis [D] is running one of the nastiest campaign ads you will ever see.... [The] ad is the sort of highly risky gambit you only see from a long-shot campaign. And, as often as not, these sorts of 'Hail Marys' fail miserably." ...

... Mark Barabak of the Los Angeles Times: "... many political analysts called the TV spot a monumental blunder, one of several bumps that have plagued Davis' campaign since the Fort Worth lawmaker announced her gubernatorial candidacy last October." ...

... CW: Neither the WashPo nor the L.A. Times mentions that Abbott has exploited his disability in his own campaign ad:

Virginia. Laura Vozzella of the Washington Post: "The son of a former Virginia state senator has told federal investigators that U.S. Sen. Mark R. Warner discussed the possibility of several jobs, including a federal judgeship, for the senator's daughter in an effort to dissuade him from quitting the evenly divided state Senate. Warner was part of a string of high-powered Virginia Democrats who in early June pressed then-state senator Phillip P. Puckett not to go through with plans to give up his seat in the middle of a bitterly partisan battle over health care." Warner is running for re-election to the Senate against vile Republican Ed Gillespie. Warner is up by an average of 11 points.

Wisconsin. Jason Stein & Bill Glauber of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: "In their first meeting Friday, Republican Gov. Scott Walker and Democrat Mary Burke drew many sharp contrasts but much less blood as they debated their positions on jobs, the minimum wage and abortion. The most pointed attack of the evening came from Burke, who accused Walker of signing a mining bill last year to benefit a company that put $700,000 into an outside group that backed him in the 2012 recall." You can watch the full debate here. ...

... Patrick Marley of the Journal Sentinel: "Just 14 hours after the U.S. Supreme Court blocked Wisconsin's voter ID law for the Nov. 4 election, five appeals court judges Friday issued a blistering opinion calling allegations of voter impersonation fraud 'a mere fig leaf for efforts to disenfranchise voters likely to vote for the political party that does not control the state government.' '"Some of the "evidence" of voter-impersonation fraud is downright goofy, if not paranoid, such as the nonexistent buses that according to the "True the Vote" movement transport foreigners and reservation Indians to polling places,' wrote appeals Judge Richard A. Posner. Posner, who was appointed to the federal bench by President Ronald Reagan in 1981, was joined by four others in his dissenting opinion. The five other judges on the court did not spell out their views on the ID requirement. The latest ruling had no immediate practical effect, and the voter ID law remains blocked for the election." ...

... BUT. Erik Eckholm: "Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, a Republican, who signed the bill into law and had been expected to benefit from it in his race against the Democratic candidate, Mary Burke, expressed confidence [same article as linked above re: Texas's voter ID law] that it would eventually be upheld. The state attorney general, J. B. Van Hollen, said without offering details, 'We will be exploring alternatives to address the court's concern and have voter ID on Election Day.'" CW: Yeah, nullifying the Supremes would be cool, J.B. Why not consult Mike Huckabee? I'll bet he's got some great legal advice. ...

... Presidential Race

Kyle Mantyla of Right Wing Watch: Mike Huckabee threatened "to leave the Republican Party if the GOP does not take a stand against the Supreme Court's decision ... not to hear appeals of lower court rulings striking down gay marriage bans in several states.... Huckabee declared that 'I am utterly exasperated with Republicans and the so-called leadership of the Republicans who have abdicated on this issue,' warning that by doing so the GOP will 'guarantee they're going to lose every election in the future.' ... I'm gone,' Huckabee warned. 'I'll become an independent. I'll start finding people that have guts to stand. I'm tired of this.'" ...

... The most recent poll of Iowa Republicans, conducted by CNN about a month ago, had Huckabee ahead of all other potential presidential candidates. ...

... Steve Benen: "Huckabee's ultimatum reinforces a Republican Party with an awkward dilemma. If the GOP quietly moves towards the mainstream on social issues, it alienates a significant part of the party's base. If Republicans toe the far-right line on the culture war, the GOP will continue to shrink, pushing away younger voters and a mainstream that's increasingly respectful of diversity. To be sure, this has long been a challenge for Republicans, but with the party's demographic challenges becoming more acute, and far-right voices like Huckabee's growing louder, GOP leaders are left with no good options."

News Ledes

New York Times: "Seven New Jersey teenagers were charged on Friday in connection with a series of sexual assaults in a hazing scandal that prompted a high school to cancel the rest of its football season, the authorities said. Six of the teenagers were taken into custody on Friday evening on charges stemming from attacks on four students in four separate encounters at Sayreville War Memorial High School, in Parlin, Andrew Carey, the Middlesex County prosecutor, said in a joint statement with Chief John Zebrowski of the Sayreville Police Department. The seventh teenager was being sought by the police, the officials said." ...

     ... NJ.com has links to numerous stories related to the hazings here.

Washington Post: "Demanding justice for Michael Brown, more than a thousand people marched through downtown St. Louis Saturday morning as part of a 'weekend of resistance.' Chanting 'hands up don't shoot' and 'no justice, no peace,' they marched about a mile through the heart of downtown toward the famed Arch." ...

... The St. Louis Post-Dispatch story puts the number of marchers in the "thousands."

Thursday
Oct092014

The Commentariat -- Oct. 10, 2014

Internal links, document text & defunct video removed.

Alan Cowell of the New York Times: "... the Norwegian Nobel Committee on Friday awarded the 2014 peace prize to Malala Yousafzai of Pakistan and Kailash Satyarthi of India, joining a teenage Pakistani known around the world with a 60-year-old Indian veteran of campaigns on behalf of children. The awards, announced in Oslo by Thorbjorn Jagland, the committee's chairman, were in acknowledgment of their work in helping to promote universal schooling and in protecting children worldwide from abuse and exploitation."

** Rebecca Traister of the New Republic: "... if there was anything fresh and important about those ridiculous 'Say Yes to the Candidate' spots [which ran in the Commentariat last week], it was that they marked one of the first instances in which conservatives have in any way embraced the idea that women now treat government as a stand-in for husbands.... In 2012, unmarried women made up 23 percent of the electorate; they voted for Barack Obama over Mitt Romney by a whopping 67 to 31 percent.... This is the new political reality: Women without husbands decide elections. And it's not surprising that they gravitate toward Democrats, who have more reliably fought for the social supports and rights that make unmarried life possible, over Republicans, who have reliably derided them as man-hating government mooches.... What too often goes unacknowledged is that women aren't the only Americans who have relied on the government as a partner. Rather, it's a model of support and dependence that has bolstered the fortunes of American men throughout the nation's history." Read the whole post.

Joe Klein of Time listens to neighbors talking politics conspiracy theories. The people Klein visited were not drooling morons; they just believed what they read in Breitbart or heard on Fox. "These are stories that stick in the mind and rot the body politic. They are a dominant political currency, and not just in the South." CW: If those executives & producers who want to make the Sunday morning "news" shows "edgy" had the slightest interest in educating their viewers, they would run a segment at the end of every show debunking "The Week's Most Ridiculous Conspiracy Theory." Chris Wallace, I'm talking to you, too. Many of their viewers would be shocked to discover the outlandish stories they accepted as factual were instead "ridiculous conspiracy theories." ...

... Should we be surprised regular people believe wingnut conspiracy stories when they hear some of the same nonsense from Members of Congress? ...

... Steve Benen: Rep. Tom Cotton (RTP-Ark.), Rep. Duncan Hunter (RTP-Calif.), Sen. Rand Paul (RTP-Kentucky) & other "members of Congress have repeated truly bizarre ideas from the fringe about the Boston Marathon bombing, the deadly 2012 attack in Benghazi, the imaginary IRS 'scandal,' and a parade of related stories. In each case, there are fact-checkers who issue warnings such as, 'As lawmakers, they need to be careful about making inflammatory statements based on such flimsy evidence,' but for much of the right, it just doesn't matter." ...

... Frank Rich: "It'll be interesting to watch that number between now and Election Day as the president's political nemeses do everything they can to spread panic about Ebola and attach that panic to Obama. The right-wing Washington site Daily Caller has already dubbed him 'President Ebola.' Mike Huckabee has found a link to Benghazi. Rand Paul has accused the president of pursuing a 'politically correct' Ebola policy -- presumably because Paul believes an African-American president would rather let an epidemic destroy America than offend anyone in his ancestral continent. All this fire is coming from self-styled Reagan Republicans. Let us not forget that Reagan legacy in reacting to a spiraling health crisis. The first cases of the AIDS epidemic in America were reported in 1981; he didn't give a serious address about the disease until 1987, after thousands of Americans had died. Pat Buchanan, Reagan's communications director, called AIDS 'nature's revenge on gay men.' There's political correctness for you." ...

... Jonathan Cohn: "... you can't truly wipe out the Ebola threat, even for Americans, without controlling it overseas. As long as it's un-contained, it will continue to make its way to other countries -- carried by people over land, sea, or air -- because the world is simply too interconnected to shut down borders completely. Meanwhile, the damage to social and economic fabric of Africa could be devastating, in ways that would hurt the U.S. over the long run." ...

... John Cassidy of the New Yorker: "In this country, Ebola isn't yet a huge public-health threat. But it's fast becoming a political nightmare.... As public unease mounts, the Republicans are positioning themselves as Ebola hawks, and the Democrats risk being caricatured as doves. If you turn on right-wing talk radio, you will hear Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, and others excoriating the White House for failing to seal America's borders -- a charge they are already linking to the debate about immigration reform. During the past few days, a number of G.O.P. presidential hopefuls have also weighed in." Read Cassidy's lede graf. I'll bet those guys are white. ...

... Tom Dart & Lauren Gambino of the Guardian: "The faltering response to a Liberian's Ebola diagnosis in Texas contrasted starkly to the mobilization after the mere suspicion of the disease in a local law enforcement officer. Some wonder whether it was no coincidence."

Rolling Stone publishes "55 figures that prove President Obama has accomplished more than you may realize."

David Rohde & Warren Strobel of the Atlantic write a mostly-negative assessment of President Obama's foreign policy decisions & his decision-making process. CW: But when I read between the lines, & when I consider the probable consequences of the alternatives, Obama's strategies & processes seem pretty sound.

Adam Gopnik of the New Yorker on the imagery of terrorism. "Murder as a publicity stunt is not a new development; it is exactly what terrorism is. But these images [of masked jihadists beheading American & British men] have somehow broken new terror territory. It is hard to believe that, without them, we would now be bombing Iraq and Syria and trying to eliminate ISIS.... If there is one worst moral casualty of the past decade and a half, it surely lies there: Americans have gone from being the hardest of peoples to panic to among the most easily panicked people on the planet. In New Hampshire, the Granite State with the defiant license plate, security fears are dominating the senatorial campaign. New Hampshire voters -- including, it seems, New Hampshire mothers, for whom Islamist terrorism seems less of a danger than lightning at picnics, to say nothing of drunk drivers and proliferating guns -- are panicked enough to think of voting for a 'security' Republican."

Panetta Is "Rewriting History." Michael Hirsh in Politico: "Tommy Vietor, the former spokesman for Obama's National Security Council, says that based on 'talking to my friends back at the White House ... they are going out of their way to avoid a messy public fight' [with Leon Panetta.] But Vietor adds: 'Secretary Panetta was very clear back in 2011 that he wouldn't allow troops to remain in Iraq without the necessary protections from the Iraqi government, and I think it's reasonable for the White House to remind people of those statements.'... On Tuesday, Panetta told NBC's Andrea Mitchell that had the administration armed the fractious Free Syrian Army, as he'd advocated, then 'we would at least be in a better position to have in the rebel operation a group that we would have worked with, known, helped arm....' But several administration officials remember that Panetta was as concerned about arms falling into the hands of radical Islamists as the president was."

Jonathan Chait: "The Congressional Budget Office announced [Wednesday] that the federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2014 came in at $495 billion, almost $200 billion below the previous figure.... Within minutes, Washington's debt-scold community sprang into action to guard against complacency." Now they're focusing on projected increases in deficits several years hence. "Where were the debt scolds when the short-term deficit was high and the business and political communities were freaking out? Their belief in patience and the long view might have helped the political system avoid its disastrous turn toward austerity. Instead they fomented panic.... Their misplaced priorities helped doom millions of Americans to years of suffering." ...

... Paul Krugman is subtle, whacking the Washington Post's deficit-hawk-in-chief/editorial page editor Fred Hiatt in a link, without naming him. Sadly, this won't translate to the print edition. "Deficit scolds actually love big budget deficits, and hate it when those deficits get smaller. Why? Because fears of a fiscal crisis -- fears that they feed assiduously -- are their best hope of getting what they really want: big cuts in social programs." (CW: I linked the Hiatt column a few days ago, as an example of die-hard hawkdom.)

Aaron Kessler of the New York Times: "Ben S. Bernanke ... took the stand [Thursday] in the lawsuit over terms of the 2008 bailout of the insurance giant American International Group. Mr. Bernanke gave terse and clipped responses to questions.... Mr. Bernanke did not agree with the notion -- a central part of the lawsuit -- that A.I.G. got a raw deal from the Federal Reserve, or that it could have gotten a better deal elsewhere. 'It was evident from the fact that the board took the Fed's offer that they didn't have a better offer,' he said, referring to the vote by A.I.G.'s board approving the government's loan, and its terms." ...

... Jon Stewart explains the case. Thanks to Victoria D. for the link:

Catherine Rampell of the Washington Post on one effort to help poor, working families: get businesses to buy in by providing counselling for employees in trouble -- counselling that helps them find actual solutions to their difficulties. Rampell reports both the upside -- remarkably low worker turnover -- & downside -- the companies are relying on taxpayer-funded services to help their employees. "'There has been this Wal-Mart mentality," [the program's creator Randy] Osmun says, of cutting wages, reducing taxes that fund social spending, and prioritizing profitability today without thinking about the future. 'Twenty years later we've seen a complete destruction of our school system, huge rates of incarceration and poverty, and now employers are saying, "I can't hire good people." You can't hire good people because you have devastated the community.'" ...

... CW: Of course the government could take this program a step further & force companies to alleviate some of these problems by providing workers not just with flex time to deal with some of their problems but also with, you know, a living wage that would reduce or eliminate their needs for much of the taxpayer-funded aid. Oh wait, Republicans....

     ... Decades ago, when I was a low-wage worker with a family to support, I marvelled at how executives were able to come & go to take care of routine personal business, while I had to practically pretend I didn't have children who needed my attention & sometimes created emergencies. I solved my problem by getting promoted into more flexible, better-paying salaried positions. Not every worker can make that happen. Every worker, however, should be treated with the dignity to which executives treat themselves. (Rebecca Traister's piece, linked above, is relevant here.)

John Peter of USA Today: Jerry "Angelo, who was general manager of the Chicago Bears from 2001 to 2011..., said teams did not discipline players in 'hundreds and hundreds' of domestic violence incidents during his 30 years in the league, and said he now regrets his role in the failure to take action.... The Bears released a statement later Thursday denying any knowledge of Angelo's assertions. 'We were surprised by Jerry's comments and do not know what he is referring to,' the statement read." CW: It's hard to justify watching NFL games or otherwise supporting pro-ball teams, not so much because of Angelo's statement but because of the Bears' response.

Nicholas Kristof, who was the 4th man in the "Politically Incorrect" on-air "debate" about Islam: "Let's not feed Islamophobic bigotry by highlighting only the horrors while neglecting the diversity of a religion with 1.6 billion adherents -- including many who are champions of tolerance, modernity and human rights. The great divide is not between faiths, but one between intolerant zealots of any tradition and the large numbers of decent, peaceful believers likewise found in each tradition." Kristof cites some of the poll results on Muslim beliefs by country, linked Sunday in the Commentariat. ...

... It Depends on What the Meaning of "Most" Is. Hemant Mehta in Patheos: "Yes, most Muslims around the world condemn violence in defense of their faith. But when you exclude those who didn't respond to the question, we're still talking about 21% of Muslims worldwide and 13% in the U.S. who believe suicide bombing is rarely, sometimes, or often justified. That's hundreds of millions of people who do not unequivocally condemn faith-based violence.

November Elections

Jeremy Peters of the New York Times: "With four weeks to go before the midterm elections, Republicans have made questions of how safe we are -- from disease, terrorism or something unspoken and perhaps more ominous -- central in their attacks against Democrats. Their message is decidedly grim: PresidentObama and the Democratic Party run a government that is so fundamentally broken it cannot offer its people the most basic protection from harm."

Kansas. David McCabe of the Hill: "Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus said [Greg Orman,] the independent challenger to Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.), would not be welcome to caucus with Senate Republicans if the GOP takes over the upper chamber's majority. 'It is an impossibility. It is not possible,' Priebus told Kansas City's 41 Action News." (No link.) CW: Apparently Prince Rebus is unaware he is not a U.S. senator & has nothing to say about how the Senate conducts its business. If Orman wins, Senate Republicans will court him.

North Carolina. E. J. Dionne: "In the struggle for control of the Senate, the reaction against reaction has allowed Sen. Kay Hagan, so far at least, to defy the punditocracy. Once seen as one of this year's most vulnerable Democratic incumbents, Hagan has been maintaining a small but steady lead over state House Speaker Thom Tillis. Tillis's problem is the sharp right turn in the governance of one of the South's traditionally moderate states, which he helped engineer along with Gov. Pat McCrory."

Oregon. Laura Gunderson of the Oregonian: "Less than 24 hours after news broke of a secret marriage, Oregon first lady Cylvia Hayes tearfully apologized to Oregonians and to her fiancé, Gov. John Kitzhaber, for accepting $5,000 to illegally marry an 18-year-old Ethiopian in need of a green card." Kitzhaber, a Democrat, is running for re-election. The latest poll, which is several weeks old, has Kitzhaber up 12 against his Republican challenger Dennis Richardson.

South Dakota. Alexandra Jaffe of the Hill: "... while former Sen. Larry Pressler [S.D.], who served nearly a quarter century in Congress as a Republican, won't say who he'd caucus with, he told The Hill Wednesday that, if elected, he'd be a 'friend of Obama' in the Senate. 'I don't regret those votes, 'cause on that day, that's how I felt,' he said of voting for Obama twice, a detail used by Republicans as evidence Pressler is now a closet Democrat.... A poll out this week showed him surging in the race -- despite only having raised about $107,000 through the second quarter of the year, and having spent even less -- narrowing Republican Mike Rounds' lead to just three points. He's more competitive in the four-way race than Democrat Rick Weiland, and in a head-to-head matchup with Rounds, Pressler leads him by 15 points."

** Texas. Phil Helsel of NBC News: "A federal judge has struck down a Texas voter ID law, saying the requirement that all voters show photo identification before casting a ballot amounted to a 'poll tax' designed to suppress voter turnout among minorities. U.S. District Court Judge Nelva Gonzales Ramos wrote in an opinion released Thursday evening that 'There has been a clear and disturbing pattern of discrimination in the name of combatting voter fraud in Texas,' and that the state hadn't demonstrated that such fraud was widespread. Gonzales said the evidence showed the proponents of the law 'were motivated, at the very least in part, because of and not merely in spite of the voter ID law's detrimental effects on the African-American and Hispanic electorate.'... Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott's office said it will immediately appeal Thursday's ruling." Abbott, a Republican, is running for governor. Ramos is an Obama appointee.

     ... CW: This opinion -- which is here -- makes the kind of bold statement that do a number of the pro-marriage equality opinions, written -- as some pundits have pointed out -- for the history books. In fact, Ramos writes extensive of Texas's long history of minority disenfranchisement & voter suppression. Here's a highlight: "In every redistricting cycle since 1970, Texas has been found to have violated the VRA with racially gerrymandered districts." She also recounts the high -- and costly -- hurdles some plaintiffs have had to jump to maintain or reinstate their voting rights. This is an opinion that will make you mad at the Texas GOP all over again.

** Wisconsin. Patrick Marley of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: "On a 6-3 vote, the U.S. Supreme Court blocked Wisconsin's voter ID law late Thursday, a month after a panel of appeals judges said it could go into place and less than four weeks before the Nov. 4 election. Gov. Scott Walker and his fellow Republicans approved the law in 2011, but it was quickly blocked by a series of court decisions in four lawsuits. Last month, a three-judge panel of the 7th Circuit U.S. Court of Appeals in Chicago ruled the law could go into place for the upcoming election.... The panel followed that decision up with its final ruling Monday that upheld the voter ID law in its entirety. But the U.S. Supreme Court's ... hold on the law will remain in place until the nation's highest court decides whether to take the case..." ...

... The order is here. Justices Alito, Scalia & Thomas dissented, natch. ...

... In today's Comments, Nadd2 has some tips for Wisconsin voters & GOTV enthusiasts.

... Jessica VanEgeren of the (Madison) Capital Times: "Poverty-wage work is widespread in Wisconsin, particularly in food, retail, residential and in-home health care sectors, with roughly 700,000 workers earning less than a living wage in 2013, according to a report released Thursday by the Madison-based Center on Wisconsin Strategy and the Economic Policy Institute. The 'Raise the Floor' report based the number of Wisconsin workers who are not earning enough to support their families on the federal poverty benchmark for a family of four, or $11.36 an hour. Given that figure, 700,000, or one out of four, Wisconsin workers are employed but living in poverty. Wisconsin's minimum wage is much lower at $7.25 an hour." ...

     ... Scott Walker Is Fine with That. Wisconsin Gazette: "The Wisconsin Department of Workforce Development determined this week that $7.25 an hour is a fair wage for minimum-wage workers. The department denied complaints from more than 100 Wisconsin workers. In a statement released this week, Wisconsin Jobs Now said, '... The law in Wisconsin is very clear: "every wage paid by any employer to any employee shall not be less than a living wage." ... The fact that Governor Walker thinks that $290 a week is what it costs to cover the basics of life in Wisconsin is beyond comprehension. This decision makes it unequivocally clear that Scott Walker is more than out of touch: he is brutally neglectful of a huge percentage of his constituents." ...

... CW: So starvation wages are against Wisconsin law? Don't worry about that, people. I'm sure Scotty & his gang in the state legislature can soon repair the situation: they'll repeal the law.

Beyond the Beltway

Alan Blinder of the New York Times: "Two months after a police officer's killing of an unarmed black teenager set off weeks of racial conflict in a St. Louis suburb, tense clashes emerged [in St. Louis] late Thursday after the Wednesday shooting death of a black teenager by a white police officer."

Laurel Andrews of the Alaska Dispatch News: "Prosecutors won't proceed with charges in a brawl that involved several members of the Palin family, Anchorage police said Thursday.... Five police officers wrote up police reports on the scene. More than 15 witnesses were interviewed.... Overall, the accounts in the police report seemed to confirm, in broad terms, initial witness reports that surfaced before the police report's release. At least two fights appear to have broken out during the party, according to witness statements: a fight involving Track and Todd Palin, and one involving Bristol Palin. Seven witnesses verified Klingenmeyer's account of being punched in the face repeatedly by Bristol Palin." ...

Wednesday
Oct082014

The Commentariat -- October 9, 2014

Internal links removed.

Paul Krugman in Rolling Stone: "Obama has emerged as one of the most consequential and, yes, successful presidents in American history." ...

... Contributor P. D. Pepe links Margaret Warner's interview of Aaron Miller, who argues that we should stop expecting another "great" president & be satisfied with a "good" one. CW: It is hardly surprising that all three "great" presidents Miller identifies -- Washington, Lincoln & FDR -- faced, in one capacity or other, transformational wars. One thing Miller didn't address in the interview, but perhaps does in his book on the subject, is that all three "great" presidents were subject to withering criticism during their presidencies. (Here's a summary, via the Mount Vernon Ladies' Association, of press attacks on President Washington.) BTW, if you think the wars these presidents directed went swimmingly, get a history book.

Danny Volz of the National Journal: "A federal appeals court this week will review whether the government can secretly conduct electronic surveillance on Americans without first obtaining a warrant. The case, to be brought before a panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit on Wednesday, could have sweeping digital-privacy implications.... At issue is whether the FBI can use so-called national security letters, or NSLs, to compel companies to hand over communications data or financial records of certain users for the purposes of a national security investigation.... Last year..., U.S. District Judge Susan Illston ... ruled that the FBI's use of NSLs represented an unconstitutional breach of the First Amendment.... But Illston allowed the government 90 days to appeal, and because of 'significant constitutional and national security issues at stake,' enforcement of her ruling was stayed. Illston's opinion ... came months before ... Edward Snowden leaked a trove of top-secret documents...."

Say What? Sahil Kapur of TPM: "Justice Anthony Kennedy issued an order to halt same-sex marriage in Idaho -- and apparently also Nevada -- on Wednesday after the 9th Circuit Court of Appeals struck down the states' bans one day earlier. Kennedy, who has jurisdiction over emergency appeals to rulings at the 9th Circuit, ordered that the lawyers for the same-sex couples suing to ax the ban respond to Idaho's appeal by Thursday, Oct. 9 by 5 p.m. Although Idaho asked for the injunction, Kennedy's order also halts the 9th Circuit ruling against Nevada's gay marriage ban -- the two cases were consolidated.... Kennedy's move on Wednesday doesn't necessarily mean the Court has had ... decided to review the issue. It's possible he's merely letting the process play out by giving Idaho a chance to appeal to the Supreme Court, and the gay couples a chance to respond, before the justices decide whether to take the case."

Julie Bosman of the New York Times: "Attorney General Eric H. Holder Jr. on Wednesday called for a wide-ranging review of police tactics and training, speaking to dozens of mayors and police chiefs who had gathered [in Little Rock, Arkansas,] to discuss race relations and policing in the United States in the wake of protests in Ferguson, Mo. 'The Justice Department is working with major police associations to conduct a broad review of policing tactics, techniques and training,' Mr. Holder said. The review is intended to 'help the field swiftly confront emerging threats, better address persistent challenges, and thoroughly examine the latest tools and technologies to enhance the safety and the effectiveness of law enforcement.'" Former President Bill Clinton also spoke at the event.

Weird Legal News. When Animal Cruelty Laws Are Not Enough. Alan Yuhas of the Guardian: "Tommy, a 26-year-old privately owned chimp in Gloversville, New York, is the plaintiff in a suit brought on his behalf by Steven Wise and the Nonhuman Rights Project (NhRP), a group of environmental lawyers who seek nothing less than to break through the 'legal wall ... erected between humans and nonhuman animals', as Wise told the Guardian." A New York State appellate court has "agreed to hear out his petition for a writ of habeas corpus -- an order demanding that the custodian of a prisoner prove a legally justifiable reason for detainment." CW: I suppose Tommy is more of a person than is Hobby Lobby, Inc.

John Kerry in a Washington Post op-ed: "We need more nations [to provide assistance in containing the Ebola virus] -- every nation has an ability to do something on this challenge.... Frankly, there is not a moment to waste in this effort." ...

... New York Times Editors: "Turkish troops and tanks have been standing passively behind a chicken-wire border fence while a mile away in Syria, Islamic extremists are besieging the town of Kobani and its Kurdish population. This is an indictment of [Turkey's President Recep Tayyip] Erdogan and his cynical political calculations. By keeping his forces on the sidelines and refusing to help in other ways -- like allowing Kurdish fighters to pass through Turkey -- he seeks not only to weaken the Kurds, but also, in a test of will with President Obama, to force the United States to help him oust President Bashar al-Assad of Syria, whom he detests.... Mr. Erdogan's behavior is hardly worthy of a NATO ally." ...

... MEANWHILE, in Right Wing World. Danny Vinik of the New Republic: "Appearing on "On the Record with Greta Van Susteren," [Rep. Duncan] Hunter [RTP-Calif.] said, 'At least ten ISIS fighters have been caught coming across the border in Texas.' When Van Susteren asked how he knew that, Hunter replied, 'Because I've asked the border patrol, Greta.' ... 'The suggestion that individuals who have ties to ISIL have been apprehended at the Southwest border is categorically false, and not supported by any credible intelligence or the facts on the ground,' said DHS spokesperson Marsha Catron. 'DHS continues to have no credible intelligence to suggest terrorist organizations are actively plotting to cross the southwest border.'" Hunter is standing by his story & asserting that "the left hand of DHS doesn't know what the right hand is doing." ...

... Steve M. has more. Seems Hunter is backing off his story -- a little. He's now describing the "ISIS fighters" as "foreign nationals with IS associations." And he won't further describe who his "high-level source" might be. Steve thinks the source might be a former FBI agent/"conspiratorial lunatic" who earns a living making "outrageous" claims about "the dangers of Islamic jihad." ...

... Eric Bradner of CNN: "Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson blasted Rep. Duncan Hunter's suggestion that ISIS fighters have crossed the United States' southern border into Texas. 'Let's not unduly create fear and anxiety in the public by passing on speculation and rumor,' Johnson said Wednesday on CNN's 'Situation Room.'... He said public officials should 'be responsible in what we decide to share with the American public, so that the public is informed.'" With video. ...

We now know that it's a security problem. Groups like the Islamic State collaborate with drug cartels in Mexico who have clearly shown they're willing to expand outside the drug trade into human trafficking and potentially even terrorism. They could infiltrate our defenseless border and attack us right here in places like Arkansas. -- Rep. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.), speaking at a tele-town hall, Sept. 29, 2014 ...

At least [Rep. Duncan] Hunter made no mention of an Islamic State connection to Mexican drug cartels. As we've noted, just because something is on the Internet doesn't mean it's true. As a lawmaker, Cotton needs to be careful about making inflammatory statements based on such flimsy evidence. At the very least, he needs to expand on his sources of information. He earns Four Pinnochios for trying to turn idle speculation into hard facts. -- Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post

Choe Sang-Hun of the New York Times: Images of Kim Jong-un walking with a limp & his disappearance from public view for the past five weeks "have generated endless debate among foreign officials and analysts always on the lookout for upheaval in one of the world's most dangerous police states."

Carol Leonnig & David Nakamura of the Washington Post: "As nearly two dozen Secret Service agents and members of the military were punished or fired following a 2012 prostitution scandal in Colombia, Obama administration officials repeatedly denied that anyone from the White House was involved. But new details drawn from government documents and interviews show that senior White House aides were given information at the time suggesting that a prostitute was an overnight guest in the hotel room of a presidential advance-team member -- yet that information was never thoroughly investigated or publicly acknowledged." CW: You have to read the whole report, which is long, to get the gist of what happened & the cover-up -- and it does sound like a cover-up. ...

... Margaret Hartmann of New York points out, "In a wonderfully ironic twist, [the White House volunteer who allegedly brought a prostitute to his hotel room] now works in the Obama administration full-time as a policy adviser in the Office on Global Women's Issues at the State Department." CW: So should we assume that prostitute (the hotel has a record of her "visit") was part of the young man's "research" on global women's issues? Hartman adds, "It's unclear why we're just hearing the details now. It's almost like members of the Secret Service are suddenly eager to embarrass the White House."

SNAFU. Timothy Cama of the Hill: "The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) told a federal court that it may have lost the text messages[, which it was legally required to retain,] at the center of a lawsuit by a libertarian think tank."

Tom Edsall: "Democrats today convey only minimal awareness of what they are up against: an adversary that views politics as a struggle to the death. The Republican Party has demonstrated a willingness to sacrifice principle, including its historical commitments to civil rights and conservation; to bend campaign finance law to the breaking point; to abandon the interests of workers on the factory floor; and to undermine progressive tax policy -- in a scorched-earth strategy to postpone the day of demographic reckoning." Thanks to Ken W. for the link. ...

... Need another example of Republicans' "struggle to the death"? Look no further. Niels Lesniewski & Steven Dennis of Roll Call: "A group of Senate Republicans have their eye on another Obamacare showdown in the lame-duck session. The 14 Republicans, led by Marco Rubio of Florida, wrote a letter urging Speaker John A. Boehner to 'prohibit the Obama administration' from spending money on an 'Obamacare taxpayer bailout.' They point to a legal opinion from the Government Accountability Office that said additional funding authority would be needed to make payments to insurance companies under the risk-corridor component of the Obamacare health care exchanges. The Republicans say taxpayers could be on the hook for bailing out insurance companies that suffer losses." ...

... CW: What makes this showdown/shutdown threat particularly ridiculous is that it's coming from the pro-business party, & explicitly nullifying a deal insurance companies (big business!) negotiated with the federal government to partially cover losses any of the companies experiences. What the GAO legal opinion says is that the Congress must expressly authorize "collecting and distributing the funds from the risk corridor" program. The opinion does not assert taxpayers are on the hook; it expresses no opinion here. We don't know -- and neither do the 14 die-hard senators -- what the final tally will be (i.e., collections vs. distributions), but the CBO projected that the government would actually make money over the course of the program (it ends in 2016) since it will ultimately collect more from insurers than it pays out. These senators don't care about the bottom line, which could favor the government; they just want another opportunity to grandstand the ACA.

Sam Harris reflects on his "conversation" with Ben Affleck & Nicholas Kristof on Bill Maher's show last Friday. CW: There were at least three outsized egos involved in that "conversation," so I don't think it was much of a way to learn anything. I did do some research as a result of watching the exchange, where I learned that (a) there is a vast difference in applications of Islamic beliefs from country to country (as of course there is within each country), & (b) most Muslim countries are majority fundamentalist. That is, instead of reading the Koran as a compelling story about a religious superhero whose teachings can be adapted to various times & places, as most Christians treat Jesus (whether they would admit it or not), the majority of Muslims have rigid, antiquated views about how Mohammed's teachings should be applied today. This will change over time, but not by much in the lifetimes of anyone living today. ...

ISIS couldn't fill a Double A ballpark in Charleston, West Virginia. -- Ben Affleck, in his argument with Harris & Maher

The minor league stadium in [Charleston] would not provide enough seating room for Islamic State fighters, even when using the U.S. government's outdated, low estimate of 10,000. The CIA now uses a much higher estimate of 20,000-31,500 fighters, and other reports indicate it could be even higher. The Islamic State is small, but not Double A-baseball park small. -- Katie Sanders of PolitiFact

Annals of "Journalism," Ctd. Gabriel Sherman in New York: "Before choosing [Chuck] Todd, NBC News president Deborah Turness held negotiations with Jon Stewart about hosting Meet the Press, according to three senior television sources with knowledge of the talks. One source explained that NBC was prepared to offer Stewart virtually 'anything' to bring him over." CW: Must make Chuck feel good to have this story splashing around. (I first saw the news in the Washington Post.) ...

Sounds like NBC eschewed the comedian and went for the joke. -- RC Contributor James Singer

November Elections

Gail Collins reviews some of the missteps of political candidates.

Tim Egan: "... voters are poised to give Republicans control of the Senate, and increase their hold on the House, even though a majority of Americans oppose nearly everything the G.O.P. stands for.... Before buyer's remorse sets in, voters should consider exactly what Republicans believe, and what they've promised to do. It ranges from howl-at-the-moon crazy talk and half-truths to policies that will keep wages down and kill job growth."

Harry Enten of 538: Despite a new Fox "News" report showing some Senate Republican candidates taking significant leads, "FiveThirtyEight's Senate forecast has Republican chances of taking back the Senate at 56.4 percent -- basically unchanged from the 56.5 percent we showed Tuesday."

Josh Elveer of WMUR Manchester: "A new poll shows that U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-N.H., has increased her lead over Republican challenger Scott Brown, but the race remains tight. he WMUR Granite State Poll shows Shaheen leading Brown 47-41 percent among likely voters who have definitely made up their minds or are leaning toward a candidate. In August, Shaheen led Brown 46-44 percent. The poll also shows that Shaheen's favorability ratings have improved, while Brown has become increasingly unpopular." Via Greg Sargent ...

     ... CW: Maybe Scotty will have to move to yet another state to get back in the Senate. As a reader pointed out to me earlier this week, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development rated New Hampshire overall the most livable U.S. state; the OECD ranked Mississippi the worst. So I'd suggest Mississippi, Scott. I doubt Thad Cochran -- who will almost certainly retain his seat this year -- will run again.

Here's a video American Bridge is running against Georgia's GOP Senate nominee David Perdue. Greg Sargent: "This has not been put in ads yet, but you can be sure it will be soon enough":

James Hohmann & Manu Raju of Politico: "The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee plans to drop $1 million into South Dakota in a last-minute effort to put a four-way race in play and scramble Republicans' calculus to win back the Senate. The committee hopes to be on TV by Monday with attack ads against GOP front-runner Mike Rounds that are likely to focus on his role in an immigration visa scandal. That could boost either Democrat Rick Weiland or former GOP Sen. Larry Pressler, who is running as an independent and told Politico on Wednesday that he hasn't decided which party he would caucus with if elected."

Eric Bradner & Dana Bash of CNN: "Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts has galvanized enough rank-and-file Republican voters to close the gap with independent challenger Greg Orman in one of the nation's hottest races, a new CNN/ORC poll has found. Roberts leads Orman, 49% to 48%, according to the survey of 687 likely voters that was conducted October 2-6."

Bruce Alpert of the New Orleans Times-Picayune: "Facing the toughest battle of her political career, Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., is replacing her campaign manager and bringing in experienced hands from her previous three successful Senate runs to help with the final push for the Nov. 4th open primary."

CW: Andrew Cuomo wrote a memoir, which I can't imagine anyone would want to read. According to New York Times reviewers Thomas Kaplan & Susanne Craig, Cuomo repeatedly writes about his own "political courage." Also, he doesn't like "extreme liberals," & his father didn't go to his ball games like the other dads, which is what scarred him for life or something. My sympathies to Kaplan & Craig. I wonder if they both read the whole book or if they reduced their suffering by each reading/skimming one-half. The book is scheduled for release Tuesday, three weeks before the election.

Beyond the Beltway

Margaret Gillerman of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch: "Another police-involved fatal shooting of a teenager, this time in south St. Louis not far from the Missouri Botanical Garden, led to hours of protests overnight Wednesday and into Thursday morning as an angry crowd gathered quickly when news spread across social media. St Louis Police Chief Sam Dotson said the officer was off-duty, working a secondary job for a private security company, when he fatally shot an 18-year-old male Wednesday night. Police say the teen had opened fire on the officer. The officer was unhurt. Relatives of the teen who came to the scene said the victim had been unarmed. They identified him as Vonderrit Myers Jr., 18." The witnesses' accounts are impossible to square with the detailed police story. ...

... Josh Marshall: "... everything here should be taken as tentative and subject to change as more becomes known. But we do appear to have the kernel of two very different accounts of what transpired."

American "Justice," Ctd. Ed Pilkington of the Guardian: Manuel Velez, "a building worker from Texas, who was sentenced to death for a murder he did not commit, was released on Wednesday after spending nine years in prison, four of them on death row.... Over the years the conviction unravelled. Tests on the victim's brain showed that Velez could not have caused the child's head injuries. Further evidence revealed that the defendant, who is intellectually disabled, had suffered from woeful legal representation at trial, and that the prosecutor had acted improperly to sway the jury against him." Read the whole story. ...

... Richard Luscombe of the Guardian: "Corrections officials in Florida have launched an investigation into the case of a female inmate who died days after she told her family that a prison guard had threatened to kill her. Latandra Ellington's body was found in her cell at Lowell correctional institution, Ocala, on 1 October, 10 days after she wrote to her aunt to tell her of being 'terrorised' by a guard known only as Sgt Q, and less than 24 hours after worried family members called the prison and were assured she was safe. A private postmortem concluded that Ellington, 36, a mother of four who was serving a 22-month sentence for grand theft, suffered 'haemorrhaging caused by blunt force trauma consistent with punches or kicks to the lower abdomen.'"

Matthew Stanmyre for NJ.com: In Sayerville (New Jersey) War Memorial High School, almost daily hazings of freshman players went like this: "In the darkness, a freshman football player would be pinned to the locker-room floor, his arms and feet held down by multiple upperclassmen. Then, the victim would be lifted to his feet while a finger was forced into his rectum. Sometimes, the same finger was then shoved into the freshman player's mouth." After police began investigating the hazings, the school superintendent cancelled the weekend games. "Then, on Friday, an attorney for assistant coach Charles Garcia said his client had resigned after details of his arrest for steroids possession surfaced. On Monday, [Superintendent Richard] Labbe announced he was canceling the rest of the season."

Presidential Election

The great thing about not being president anymore is you can say whatever you want, unless your wife might run for something. -- Former President Bill Clinton, yesterday

Peter Hamby of CNN: Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley is doing what presidential candidates do -- crisscrossing the country to help Democratic candidates.

News Ledes

New York Times: "Jan Hooks, an actress whose flair for comedy and ability to inhabit a character was showcased during her five years on 'Saturday Night Live,' died on Thursday. She was 57."

Market Watch: "The number of people who applied for U.S. unemployment benefits in the first week of October was basically unchanged at 287,000, reflecting a labor market that's experiencing an exceedingly low rate of layoffs and probably will continue to do so for months."

New York Times: "Patrick Modiano, the French writer whose novels center on topics like memory, identity and guilt, won the 2014 Nobel Prize in Literature on Thursday."

Reuters: "Islamic State fighters launched a renewed assault on the Syrian city of Kobani on Wednesday night, and at least 21 people were killed in riots in neighboring Turkey where Kurds rose up against the government for doing nothing to protect their kin."