The Commentariat -- Nov. 13, 2012
Kimberly Dozier & Pete Yost of the AP: "CIA Director David Petraeus was shocked to learn last summer that his mistress was suspected of sending threatening emails warning another woman to stay away from him, former staff members and friends told The Associated Press Monday. Petraeus told these associates his relationship with the second woman, Tampa socialite Jill Kelley, was platonic...." CW: this is a very long report that includes a useful timeline. ...
... Martha Raddatz, et al., of ABC News: "The FBI withheld its findings about Gen. David Petreaus' affair from the White House and congressional leaders because the agency considered them the result of a criminal investigation that never reached the threshold of an intelligence probe, law enforcement sources said today. The sources said agents followed department guidelines that generally bar sharing information about developing criminal investigations." ...
... Kevin Drum of Mother Jones: "The FBI team spent weeks (months?) tracing email metadata, which requires court permission. Once they figured out the emails had come from Broadwell, they began tracking her movements. Then they went to court to get a warrant to read her email. Then they apparently got a warrant to monitor a second email account belonging to someone Broadwell was having an affair with. It turned out to be Petraeus. Wow. What kind of juice does Kelley have? This sure seems like a helluva lot more than your ordinary FBI attention to some harassing emails." CW: it is. I once asked that very same office -- which is the closest FBI office to Fort Myers -- to register the theft of items on which they maintain a database, & they couldn't be bothered to even respond, much less register the stolen items. Apparently name-dropping is required. ...
... Update. Scott Shane & Charlie Savage of the New York Times seem to answer the question: "... law enforcement officials insisted on Monday that the case was handled 'on the merits.' The cyber squad at the F.B.I.'s Tampa field office opened an investigation, after consulting with federal prosecutors, based on what appeared to be a legitimate complaint about e-mail harassment. The complaint was more intriguing, the officials acknowledged, because the author of the e-mails, which criticized Ms. Kelley for supposed flirtatious behavior toward Mr. Petraeus at social events, seemed to have an insider's knowledge of the C.I.A. director's activities. One e-mail accused Ms. Kelley of 'touching' Mr. Petraeus inappropriately under a dinner table." Read the whole article. That film about the Petraeus Affair? It's going to have to be a screwball comedy. ...
... Devlin Barrett, et al., of the Wall Street Journal have more detail on the shirtless FBI agent & his pivotal role in this hilarious caper. ...
... A bit more from gossip columnist reporter Michael Daly of Newsweek. ...
... Tom McCarthy of the Guardian: "On Monday night, the FBI was searching Broadwell's North Carolina house. Agents entered the residence in Charlotte carrying boxes around 9pm (2am GMT). There was no sign that Broadwell or members of her family were at the house during the FBI search." CW: this bit is recounted in a few other news stories, too.
... OR, as Kevin Drum puts its, "This is pretty rich. If you connect the dots, it seems as if this whole thing got started by a smitten FBI agent; would have been closed without charges; but then got reenergized by some Benghazi-fueled (?) concerns that Petraeus was covering up for Obama. Or something. In the end, Petraeus was undone by the wingnuts." ...
... BUT WAIT, there's more. Elisabeth Bumiller of the New York Times: "Gen. John Allen, the top American and NATO commander in Afghanistan, is under investigation for what a senior defense official said early Tuesday was 'inappropriate communication' with Jill Kelley.... General Allen is now in Washington for what was to be his confirmation hearing as commander in Europe. That hearing, the official said, will now be delayed." ...
... Here's the Washington Post's story on the Allen Angle, by Craig Whitlock & Rajiv Chandrasekaran.
... CW: various writers have been wondering on paper why Kelley needed to lawyer up with top Washington attorney Abbe Lowell. For instance, here's John Cook of Gawker: "It's not clear why she would need a lawyer at all, given the fact that she is a victim in this situation.... Even if Kelley simply found it prudent to keep a lawyer handy -- why Lowell? It's like hiring David Boies because your friend got a speeding ticket. Lowell is the quintessential Washington power broker. He represented Clinton before the Senate during his impeachment trial. He specializes in disgraced political figures, including John Edwards. He's the kind of guy you hire when you're seriously fucked." CW: People may be stupid, but their motives are always explicable, in one way or another. Here, it looks as if Kelley's relationship with Gen. Allen may be the explanation. ...
Bmaz of emptywheel has a plausible, novel theory: "... the handful of emails Paula Broadwell sent to Kelley reportedly did not mention Petraeus by name. This latest report at least raises the possibility Broadwell was referring to an inappropriate relationship between Kelley and Allen, and not Kelley and Petraeus. I am not saying such is the case, but it is also arguably consistent with the currently known substance of Broadwell's emails to Kelley...." ...
... General Sexcapades. Thom Shankar of the New York Times: "... a worrisomely large number of senior officers have been investigated and even fired for poor judgment, malfeasance and sexual improprieties or sexual violence -- and that is just in the last year." ...
Jon Stewart discovers he's "the worst journalist in the world":
...
... BUT, fortunately, Stewart has a sensible take on the whole story, or that is, the whole story up till 6 pm last night -- unlike the genius conspiracy theorists at Fox "News":
... Bernard Finel in Balloon Juice: "The reality is that even before Petraeus and Broadwell slept together, their relationship was a tangled web of conflicts of interest. He was one of her dissertation advisors, and her dissertation was largely about him! He managed to get her access as a 'reporter' in Afghanistan, even though she has no journalism background, and in reality was more of a personal publicist for Petraeus. But she was also a reserve officer in the Army, making her, at least sometimes, his subordinate." ...
... Finel's concerns didn't seem to bother Petraeus. Sari Horwitz, et al., of the Washington Post: "... two longtime military aides to Petraeus said that he did not intend to resign until it became clear that his extramarital affair with Broadwell would become public after the first phase of the FBI investigation of his e-mail accounts."
... AND now, for our Snapshot of the Day:
... With a bonus tweet from Friend Rupert:
... The above is courtesy of Karoli of Crooks & Liars, who has a complicated conspiracy theory in the works. ...
... CW: The lamebrains at Fox "News" Nation call Don Imus' interview of Paula Broadwell "awkward," but I think she comes across as composed, articulate & knowledgeable. Video, with partial transcript.
Frank Rich on the Petraeus Brouhaha & takeaways from the election. Thanks to MAG for the link. ...
... John Sides: the 2012 election was not a realignment, or great shift in the makeup of the parties.
CW: I think we all know this, but it doesn't hurt that Jonathan Cohn of The New Republic reminds us that the Republicans' excuse that Democrats only win because they give "free stuff" to moochers is perfectly balanced by Republicans' promises to give free stuff to their base of old folks -- and Cohn doesn't say so -- but really rich people.
Karen DeYoung & Greg Miller of the Washington Post: "President Obama is considering asking Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) to serve as his next defense secretary, part of an extensive rearrangement of his national security team that will include a permanent replacement for former CIA director David H. Petraeus. Although Kerry is thought to covet the job of secretary of state, senior administration officials familiar with the transition planning said that nomination will almost certainly go to Susan E. Rice, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations. John O. Brennan, Obama's chief counterterrorism adviser, is a leading contender for the CIA job if he wants it.... Officials cautioned that the White House discussions are still in the early stages and that no decisions have been made."
Paul Kane of the Washington Post: "House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (Calif.), who built and then lost the largest Democratic majority in a generation, is considering ending her historic 10-year reign as Democratic leader after the second disappointing election in a row for her caucus."
CW: I missed Jim Fallows' "morning-after" thoughts on the election, but they still hold up. Give them a read. ...
... Paul Krugman did. He adds, "... the Democrats now look like the natural party of government." BUT, he warns, "... you know what could really produce the kind of dispirited base that was supposed to doom Obama in 2012? A sellout on key Democratic values as part of a Grand Bargain. If, say, Obama raises the retirement age in return for vague promises on revenue (promises that would be betrayed at the first opportunity); if he appoints a deficit scold to a major economic post; it could all fall apart." CW: I hope Krugman builds his next column on this. Obama needs to read it. ...
... AND pay no attention to former Treasury Secretary, former Obama advisor, former Wall Street wheeler-dealer & perpetual megarich guy Bob Rubin, who writes in a New York Times op-ed: "Fiscal cliff ... blah, blah ... Simpson-Bowles ... good work ... blah, blah ... entitlement reforms ... blah, blah ... I was right ...." CW: this seems more like Obama's opening argument than an independent opinion. It is, of course, discouraging.
Jonathan Weisman of the New York Times: "With both parties positioning for difficult negotiations to avert a fiscal crisis as Congress returns for its lame-duck session, Democrats are latching on to an idea floated by Mitt Romney to raise taxes on the rich through a hard cap on income tax deductions.... The cap -- never fully detailed by Mr. Romney -- is similar to a longstanding proposal by Mr. Obama to limit income tax deductions to 28 percent...."
CW: I missed this important report from CNN: "Less than 48 hours after Mitt Romney lost the presidential election, a shop at Reagan National Airport in Washington, D.C. has already knocked down the price of its Romney merchandise -- by 60%."
Jake Miller of CBS News: "... almost a week after the election, it is now becoming clear just how lopsided President Obama's victory was in some cities: in dozens of urban precincts, Mitt Romney earned literally zero votes."
Time to return to ...
Right Wing World
Adios, Y'all. Neetzan Zimmerman of Gawker: "In the aftermath of last week's presidential election, residents in at least nineteen states have put up petitions on the government's 'We the People' petitioning website seeking the right to secede from the rest of the country." ...
... David Atkins of Hullabaloo: "Here's the thing about that: Red states, by and large, are moochers. They can't sustain themselves. If California were to secede, the state would have a balanced budget (or nearly balanced.) If Alabama were to secede, it wouldn't be able to pay for its stop signs."
Paul Waldman of American Prospect: whether or not it's good for the Republican party, right-wing media are going to continue to spew the usual stuff because that's what they audiences want, & the media are in business first, politics second.
Congressional Races
AP: "Former Democratic state Sen. Kyrsten Sinema has been elected to represent a new Phoenix-area congressional district, emerging victorious after a bitterly fought race that featured millions of dollars in attack ads. Sinema becomes the first openly bisexual member of Congress.... One other congressional race remains undecided in Arizona. Rep. Ron Barber, the hand-picked successor to Gabrielle Giffords, had a lead of a few hundred votes over Republican Martha McSally in the Tucson-area district."
Local News
CW: As a proud Floridian, I am happy to say that --
Arizona is Worse than Florida. Ryan Reilly of TPM : "Hundreds of thousands of ballots have yet to be counted in Arizona nearly a week after Election Day, a majority of which appeared to come from Maricopa County. Arizona Secretary of State Ken Bennett's said Saturday that approximately 486,405 ballots still have to be counted across the state, representing more than a quarter of the 1.8 million votes cast." The ACLU & other groups are protesting lack of transparency & racial discrimination. The Justice Department's Civil Rights Division may investigate. ...
Doktor Zoom at Wonkette: "To the surprise of absolutely no one, the mess appears to be at least in part a result of the state's efforts to suppress minority voting enhance ballot security, resulting in a large number of provisional ballots that must be verified by hand.... Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio has pledged to ensure a fair tally of the uncounted ballots by launching an investigation into Barack Obama's college transcripts."
News Ledes
New York Times: "A military prosecutor on Tuesday said the evidence against Staff Sgt. Robert Bales, presented over the last week here in a pretrial inquiry into the killings of 16 Afghan civilians, was so damning that the case should go forward as a capital crime."
New York Times: "France announced Tuesday that it was recognizing the newly formed Syrian rebel coalition and would consider arming the group, seeking to inject momentum into a broad Western and Arab effort to build a viable and effective opposition that would hasten the end of a stalemated civil war that has destabilized the Middle East."
AP: "President Barack Obama opens a new campaign Tuesday to build pressure on Congress to cut the federal debt the way he sees fit, meeting with labor leaders who want lawmakers to raise taxes on the wealthy and guard against slashing health benefits for seniors. Obama was kicking off a series of meetings this week with labor officials, business executives and congressional leaders aimed at pushing Congress to avert the so-called 'fiscal cliff' and find consensus on a plan to prevent more financial hardships next year. The week will include a tone-setting news conference Wednesday...."
Al Jazeera: "US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has arrived in Australia for talks on security and strategic talks. Clinton, who arrived on Tuesday, will be joined by Leon Panetta, US defence secretary, for the talks with counterparts Bob Carr and Stephen Smith on Wednesday that are expected to focus on regional security and greater US use of Australian facilities. It comes after the arrival of US Marine and Air Force units to northern Australia, seen as evidence of an American 're-balance' towards the Pacific after a decade of ground wars in Iraq and Afghanistan."
AP: Abu Qatada, "a radical Islamist cleric described by prosecutors as a key al-Qaida operative in Europe, was freed from prison Tuesday after a court ruled he cannot be deported from Britain to Jordan to face terrorism charges." Guardian story here.
Al Jazeera: "Work has begun to open the grave of late Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat ahead of an exhumation of his body for a murder probe, a source close to his family said."