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The New York Times lists Emmy winners. The AP has an overview story here.

New York Times: “Hvaldimir, a beluga whale who had captured the public’s imagination since 2019 after he was spotted wearing a harness seemingly designed for a camera, was found dead on Saturday in Norway, according to a nonprofit that worked to protect the whale.... [Hvaldimir] was wearing a harness that identified it as “equipment” from St. Petersburg. There also appeared to be a camera mount. Some wondered if the whale was on a Russian reconnaissance mission. Russia has never claimed ownership of the whale. If Hvaldimir was a spy, he was an exceptionally friendly one. The whale showed signs of domestication, and was comfortable around people. He remained in busier waters than are typical for belugas....” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: Oh, Lord, do not let Bobby Kennedy, Jr., near that carcass. ~~~

     ~~~ AP Update: “There’s no evidence that a well-known beluga whale that lived off Norway’s coast and whose harness ignited speculation it was a Russian spy was shot to death last month as claimed by animal rights groups, Norwegian police said Monday.... Police said that the Norwegian Veterinary Institute conducted a preliminary autopsy on the animal, which was become known as 'Hvaldimir,' combining the Norwegian word for whale — hval — and the first name of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 'There are no findings from the autopsy that indicate that Hvaldimir has been shot,' police said in a statement.”

New York Times: Botswana's “President Mokgweetsi Masisi grinned as he lifted the diamond, a 2,492-carat stone that is the biggest diamond unearthed in more than a century and the second-largest ever found, according to the Vancouver-based mining operator Lucara, which owns the mine where it was found. This exceptional discovery could bring back the luster of the natural diamond mining industry, mining companies and experts say. The diamond was discovered in the same relatively small mine in northeastern Botswana that has produced several of the largest such stones in living memory. Such gemstones typically surface as a result of volcanic activity.... The diamond will likely sell in the range of tens of millions of dollars....”

Click on photo to enlarge.

~~~ Guardian: "On a distant reef 16,000km from Paris, surfer Gabriel Medina has given Olympic viewers one of the most memorable images of the Games yet, with an airborne celebration so well poised it looked too good to be true. The Brazilian took off a thundering wave at Teahupo’o in Tahiti on Monday, emerging from a barrelling section before soaring into the air and appearing to settle on a Pacific cloud, pointing to the sky with biblical serenity, his movements mirrored precisely by his surfboard. The shot was taken by Agence France-Presse photographer Jérôme Brouillet, who said “the conditions were perfect, the waves were taller than we expected”. He took the photo while aboard a boat nearby, capturing the surreal image with such accuracy that at first some suspected Photoshop or AI." 

Washington Post: “'Mary Cassatt at Work' is a large and mostly satisfying exhibition devoted to the career of the great American artist beloved for her sensitive and often sentimental views of family life. The 'at work' in the title of the Philadelphia Museum of Art show references the curators’ interest in Cassatt’s pioneering effort to establish herself as a professional artist within a male-dominated field. Throughout the show, which includes some 130 paintings, pastels, prints and drawings, the wall text and the art on view stresses Cassatt’s fixation on art as a career rather than a pastime.... Mary Cassatt at Work is on view at the Philadelphia Museum of Art through Sept. 8. philamuseum.org

New York Times: “Bob Newhart, who died on Thursday at the age of 94, has been such a beloved giant of popular culture for so long that it’s easy to forget how unlikely it was that he became one of the founding fathers of stand-up comedy. Before basically inventing the hit stand-up special, with the 1960 Grammy-winning album 'The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart' — that doesn’t even count his pay-per-view event broadcast on Canadian television that some cite as the first filmed special — he was a soft-spoken accountant who had never done a set in a nightclub. That he made a classic with so little preparation is one of the great miracles in the history of comedy.... Bob Newhart holds up. In fact, it’s hard to think of a stand-up from that era who is a better argument against the commonplace idea that comedy does not age well.”

Washington Post: “An early Titian masterpiece — once looted by Napolean’s troops and a part of royal collections for centuries — caused a stir when it was stolen from the home of a British marquess in 1995. Seven years later, it was found inside an unassuming white and blue plastic bag at a bus stop in southwest London by an art detective, and returned. This week, the oil painting 'The Rest on the Flight into Egypt' sold for more than $22 million at Christie’s. It was a record for the Renaissance artist, whom museums describe as the greatest painter of 16th-century Venice. Ahead of the sale in April, the auction house billed it as 'the most important work by Titian to come to the auction market in more than a generation.'”

Washington Post: The Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C., which houses the world's largest collection of Shakespeare material, has undergone a major renovation. "The change to the building is pervasive, both subtle and transformational."

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Constant Comments

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. -- Edward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns


Sunday
Oct212018

The Commentariat -- October 22, 2018

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "Jared Kushner on Monday said the White House is still 'fact-finding' on the circumstances of the dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi's death, but he said it has its 'eyes wide open' as the investigations into how he died continue.... 'We're getting facts in from multiple places. Once those facts come in, the secretary of state will work with our national security team to help us determine what we want to believe.'... He made the remarks in his first televised interview since the 2016 election, conducted by the political activist Van Jones, at the 'Citizen by CNN' forum in Manhattan." Mrs. McC: "What we want to believe"???

Paul Waldman in the Washington Post: "... we shouldn't be surprised if a few days before the midterm election, Trump does something dramatic -- like following through on his threat to send the military to the border -- to make sure that immigration dominates news coverage right before the election. It has already become clear that touting his accomplishments isn't getting the job of holding off a Democratic wave done.... So Trump ... falls back on what he always does: hate and fear. It might work, but the odds don't look good. By the way, if it fails and Democrats take the House, at least for the next two years he'll be able to say that Democrats really are stymieing his agenda [which is what he's claiming now, even tho Republicans control all three branches of government]."

Darryl Fears of the Washington Post: "An oil spill that has been quietly leaking millions of barrels into the Gulf of Mexico has gone unplugged for so long that it now verges on becoming one of the worst offshore disasters in U.S. history. Between 300 and 700 barrels of oil per day have been spewing from a site 12 miles off the Louisiana coast since 2004, when an oil-production platform owned by Taylor Energy sank in a mudslide triggered by Hurricane Ivan. Many of the wells have not been capped, and federal officials estimate that the spill could continue through this century. With no fix in sight, the Taylor offshore spill is threatening to overtake BP's Deepwater Horizon disaster as the largest ever. As oil continues to spoil the Gulf, the Trump administration is proposing the largest expansion of leases for the oil and gas industry, with the potential to open nearly the entire outer continental shelf to offshore drilling. That includes the Atlantic coast, where drilling hasn't happened in more than a half century and where hurricanes hit with double the regularity of the Gulf."

Michael Finnegan & Javier Panzar of the Los Angeles Times: "Michael Avenatti, the lawyer for porn actress Stormy Daniels, was hit with a personal judgment of $4.85 million Monday for his failure to pay a debt to a former colleague at his longtime Newport Beach firm. Less than an hour after his defeat in the Los Angeles lawsuit, the firm, Eagan Avenatti, suffered another setback at a trial in Santa Ana: The Irvine Co. won a court order evicting Avenatti and his staff from their suite at the Fashion Island mall for failing to pay the last four months of rent. The twin blows came as Avenatti was heading to New Hampshire for his third visit to the state that kicks off the 2020 presidential primaries. He is exploring a run for the Democratic nomination, and his troubled financial history could emerge as a significant campaign issue if he joins the race." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie Note to Avenatti: Two things we have in common: we both despise Donald Trump & neither of us is going to get his job.

Zachary Basu of Axios: "In a string of Monday morning tweets about the caravan of Honduran migrants currently in Mexico, President Trump stated the United States will begin cutting off foreign aid to Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador. 'Sadly, it looks like Mexico's Police and Military are unable to stop the Caravan heading to the Southern Border of the United States. Criminals and unknown Middle Easterners are mixed in. I have alerted Border Patrol and Military that this is a National Emergy. Must change laws! ... Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador were not able to do the job of stopping people from leaving their country and coming illegally to the U.S. We will now begin cutting off, or substantially reducing, the massive foreign aid routinely given to them.'... Critics argue Trump's approach would over the long-term actually increase immigration from the three countries, which are struggling with high rates of poverty and violent crime. Incoming Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador has suggested a U.S.-Mexico-Canada agreement to invest in Central America in order to address the root causes of immigration."

*****

Americans Prefer Idiots. Emily Birnbaum of the Hill: "President Trump's approval rating before the November elections has jumped to a higher level than former President Obama's ahead of the 2010 midterms, according to a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll. The poll found Trump's approval rating at its highest level for that poll yet, at 47 percent. Obama's approval rating was 45 percent around the same time in 2010, according to a similar NBC/Wall Street Journal poll taken in late October 2010." Mrs. McC: And we're never going to hear the end of it.

The Latest "Tale of the Arabian Nights." Tamer El-Ghobashy, et al., of the Washington Post: "Saudi Arabia's foreign minister denied on Sunday that the nation's powerful young crown prince ordered Jamal Khashoggi's killing.... 'This was an operation that was a rogue operation,' Adel al-Jubeir told Fox News. 'This was an operation where individuals ended up exceeding the authorities and responsibilities they had. They made a mistake when they killed Jamal Khashoggi.'... The attempt to distance Mohammed bin Salman from the journalist's demise did little to blunt an international uproar that could test Saudi Arabia's status as a regional power. At the same time, Saudi officials have failed to answer questions about where Khashoggi's remains are and have offered inconsistent narratives for how he was killed, undermining the government's assertion that Khashoggi died after a fistfight broke out when he was confronted by agents seeking to bring him back to Riyadh while he was visiting the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul on Oct. 2. That explanation will face a fresh challenge on Tuesday when Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is expected to reveal details of his government's investigation into the killing of Khashoggi, a move that could directly contradict Saudi Arabia's official account of what happened inside its consulate.... Senior Republicans and Democrats proposed a range of severe punishments, including sanctions on the longtime U.S. ally, the expulsion of the Saudi ambassador and the cutting of arms sales." Mrs. McC: We're counting down those 1,001 tales, and so far every one is fabulous, as in fable. ...

Bob Corker Is Not into Fables. Patrick Temple-West of Politico: "Sen. Bob Corker said on Sunday he thinks Saudi Arabian Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman directed the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi. 'It is my thinking that MBS was involved in this, that he directed this and that this person was purposely murdered,' said Corker, the top Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee..., on CNN's 'State of the Union.'" ...

... "Murder in the Consulate." Martin Chulov of the Guardian has a very readable account of what is known about the assassination of Jamal Khashoggi. Particular if you haven't been keeping up with the details, Chulov's report is helpful. ...

... Gul Tuysuz, et al., of CNN: "One member of the 15-man team suspected in the death of Jamal Khashoggi dressed up in his clothes and was captured on surveillance cameras around Istanbul on the day the journalist was killed, a senior Turkish official has told CNN. CNN has obtained exclusive law enforcement surveillance footage, part of the Turkish government's investigation, that appears to show the man leaving the consulate by the back door, wearing Khashoggi's clothes, a fake beard, and glasses. The same man was seen in Khashoggi's clothing, according to the Turkish case, at the city's world-famous Blue Mosque just hours [later].... The man in the video, identified by the official as Mustafa al-Madani, was allegedly part of what investigators have said was a hit squad, sent to kill the journalist at the Saudi consulate during a scheduled appointment.... In the apparent cover-up that followed Khashoggi's death, Madani, 57, who is of similar height, age and build to Khashoggi, 59, was used as a decoy for the journalist, according to the Turkish official.... Madani [is] a decade older than the other members of the 15-man [Saudi hit] team.... A senior Turkish official told CNN that the video showed that Madani was brought to Istanbul to act as a body double. 'You don't need a body double for a rendition or an interrogation,' the official said. "... This was a premeditated murder and the body was moved out of the consulate." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: The "body double" claim appeared in one of the stories I've linked in the past several days. It seemed preposterous. Well, CNN has CCTV evidence, including of Madani walking into the consulate earlier in the day wearing casual clothing: a blue-checked shirt, blue pants & sneakers. When he left the consulate through the back door, he was wearing Khashoggi's clothing but, it appears, his own sneakers. ...

... Alternative Facts. Jonathan Swan of Axios: "In a 2007 deposition, Donald Trump said his estimates of his net worth go 'up and down with the markets and with attitudes and with feelings, even my own feelings....'... Now that he's president of the United States, Trump appears to be taking a similar feelings-based method to assessing the number of U.S. jobs gained from his arms deal with Saudi Arabia.... On March 20..., Trump claimed ... 'over 40,000 jobs in the United States.'... Last Saturday, Oct. 13..., he said the deal created 450,000 jobs.... On ... Oct. 17..., 500,000 jobs. On Friday..., 600,000. A few hours later, on Friday evening...'over a million jobs' in total." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Trump's big fish story on jobs the Saudi deal is supposed to be creating gives you an idea of his net worth is, too. ...

... The Leader of the Free World. Juan Cole: "German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Sunday that Germany would put arms sales to Saudi Arabia on hold in light of the murder in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi. She said that they 'could not take place in our current circumstances.' Meanwhile, foreign investors sold $1 billion worth of Saudi stock in the past week, as investors question the kingdom's stability with a mad prince at the helm who keeps a bone cutter by his bed." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Who's the sissy? The Bully Boy or the Chick Chancellor?

Andrew Kramer of the New York Times: "President Trump's announcement that the United States would withdraw from a nuclear disarmament treaty with Russia drew sharp criticism Sunday from one of the men who signed it, Mikhail S. Gorbachev, who called the decision reckless and not the work of 'a great mind.' In making his announcement Saturday, Mr. Trump cited Russian violations of the pact, the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, which was signed in Washington in 1987 by President Ronald Reagan and Mr. Gorbachev. Mr. Gorbachev, who is now 87 years old, cast Mr. Trump's decision as a threat to peace. In an interview with the Interfax news agency, Mr. Gorbachev called Mr. Trump's rollback of the disarmament agreement 'very strange.'"

Maya Averbuch & Kirk Semple of the New York Times: "In open defiance of the Mexican and American governments, thousands of Central American undocumented migrants, most of a caravan that has been heading toward the United States for more than a week, resumed their journey on Sunday in southern Mexico.... Most of the migrants on the move on Sunday -- by one local government estimate more than 7,000 people -- had crossed the border illegally in recent days by swimming or rafting across the Suchiate River, which separates Guatemala from Mexico.... On Sunday afternoon, Mr. Trump took to Twitter again..., saying that those migrants seeking asylum must first apply in Mexico. 'If they fail to do that, the U.S. will turn them away,' he said. But Mexican officials have said migrants seeking asylum are under no legal obligation to apply in Mexico.... Such caravans have usually numbered in the hundreds and have passed unnoticed. But the current caravan, by far the largest on record, has angered Mr. Trump, who has seized on it as a campaign issue to fire up his base before the midterm elections. While other caravans have generally withered as they have progressed north, this one has grown, perhaps in part as a result of all the media attention it has received." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: In other words, President Humpty Dumpty is actually attracting refugees with his racist mewlings. ...

... Miram Jordan, et al., of the New York Times: "Facing a surge in migrant families entering the United States and with the midterm elections two weeks away, the Trump administration is weighing an array of new policies that it hopes will deter Central Americans from journeying north. Each of the policies, which range from a new form of the widely criticized practice of family separation to stricter requirements on asylum, would face significant legal and logistical challenges.... The Border Patrol apprehended 16,658 people in family units in September -- a record figure, according to unpublished government data obtained by The New York Times. The total number of families that entered the country in the 2018 fiscal year, which ended Sept. 30, exceeded 100,000 for the first time in recent history.... The most talked-about alternative would be a variation of the family separation policy. Parents would be forced to choose between voluntarily relinquishing their children to foster care or remaining imprisoned together as a family. The latter option would require parents to waive their child's right to be released from detention within 20 days."


Carol Leonnig
, et al., of the Washington Post: "While outwardly quiet for the last month, Robert S. Mueller III's investigators have been aggressively pursuing leads behind the scenes about whether [Roger] Stone was in communication with [WikiLeaks], whose disclosures of emails believed to have been hacked by Russian operatives disrupted the 2016 presidential campaign.... The question of whether Trump associates were in contact with WikiLeaks is at the heart of Mueller's inquiry." Mrs. McC: The WashPo reporters discuss Stone's intereactions with Randy Credico & Jerome Corsi, but they do not mention Peter Smith. ...

     ... As Jonathan Chait wrote last Friday, "... the most important mystery involving [Peter] Smith is how important his work was to the [Trump] campaign, and where it led. When he met with a cybersecurity expert in 2016, Smith represented himself as working on behalf of Michael Flynn, Trump's chief national security adviser during the campaign.... Smith and Flynn were in regular, close contact.... Investigators have evidence that Smith 'may have had advance knowledge of details about the release of emails from a top Hillary Clinton campaign official by WikiLeaks,' according to the [Wall Street] Journal. If true, this would mean that Smith ... got through to WikiLeaks and was, in some form, a channel of collusion between the hackers and the Trump campaign."


Resolved Mysteries. Frank Dale
of ThinkProgress: "On Friday, Trump's Department of Justice (DOJ) admitted there was no basis for the president of the United States' claims about [Obama tapping his phone during the elections]" --s

All the Best People, Ctd. Casey Michel of ThinkProgress: "Lana Marks has no diplomatic experience, a history of fabricating her past, and a skill-set devoted primarily to making six-figure designer handbags. But there's one hobby that appears to qualify her to become the U.S.'s latest ambassador: a membership at the Mar-a-Lago Club. On Friday, the Palm Beach Daily News reported that ... Donald Trump was poised to tap Marks [originally born in South Africa] to become the U.S.'s next ambassador to South Africa.... Her nomination would mean that Mar-a-Lago ... has now produced at least four individuals Trump has selected as ambassadors. In addition to Marks, Robin Bernstein, one of Mar-a-Lago's founding members, became the U.S. ambassador to the Dominican Republic under Trump. Two other members — Patrick Park and Brian Burns -- were nominated by the president to ambassadorial positions in Austria and Ireland, respectively, but eventually declined the nominations.... As the Palm Beach Daily News wrote, 'Marks has repeatedly been accused of stiffing her attorneys, accountants, landlords and employees.'" --safari: Marks lies about everything, sells overpriced shit to rich folks, and reneges on her payments. Perfect ambassador for Trump's Amerika.

Dan Lamothe of the Washington Post: "A U.S. general was wounded in an attack last week in Afghanistan's Kandahar province that killed two senior Afghan provincial officials and targeted a group that included the senior U.S. commander in the country, four people with knowledge of the assault said. Army Brig. Gen. Jeffrey Smiley is recovering after suffering at least one gunshot wound inside the Kandahar governor's compound, three of the people said..... U.S. military officials in Afghanistan and at the Pentagon have declined to comment on the attack or identify the wounded, describing them only as an American service member, an American civilian and a contractor who is part of the military coalition."

Election 2018

Florida. Miami Herald Editors: "Andrew Gillum [D] is the best candidate to pull Florida back to the center, back to making sure the middle class and working class don't continue to bear the brunt of Tallahassee's misguided spending; back to acting on behalf of the Floridians denied health insurance by the current administration; back to putting public schools, which serve the majority of the state's children, in the spotlight; back to being a leader in the fight against sea-level rise and the degradation of the environment."

Missouri. Danny Hakim of the New York Times: "Josh Hawley's tenure as Missouri's attorney general has been brief. And turbulent. Mr. Hawley, a Republican who is now trying to unseat Senator Claire McCaskill in one of the most closely watched races in the country, took up the job less than two years ago. A former law professor and clerk for Chief Justice John Roberts, he brought a conservative intellectual pedigree but little management experience to the attorney general's office.... A review of public records and internal documents, as well as interviews with current and former employees, reveals a chaotic tenure as attorney general that has been costly for state taxpayers. Judges have criticized the office over its slow pace of discovery, and Mr. Hawley's staff had to renege on a settlement in a high-profile civil case. Mr. Hawley also quietly closed the environmental division and failed to fully vet one of his top supervisors, who departed after a female attorney in the office complained about his conduct." Read on. Even some Republicans can't stomach the little twit. Entitled AND incompetent.

Montana. Missoulian Editors: "... Kathleen Williams [D] is the congressional candidate Montana has been waiting for. Experienced. Knowledgeable. Thoughtful. Measured. Most remarkably, Williams exudes that unique combination of grit and camaraderie that embodies the very best traits of Montanans.... Her campaign to be elected Montana's sole member of the U.S. House has highlighted other important qualities lacking in our current representative. She shows up -- in communities large and small across Montana -- in person, listens carefully and speaks candidly.... U.S. Rep. Greg Gianforte [R-Bully] has been Montana's representative in the House since he won a special election in May 2017. The Missoulian initially endorsed Gianforte for that race, with strong reservations, but was forced to take the unprecedented step of rescinding our endorsement immediately after Gianforte lost his temper and physically attacked a reporter, and then issued statements to police and through his staff that directly contradict his own official admission of guilt."

Texas. New York Magazine seems to have revamped their "Daily Intelligencer" section, & it's pretty great: it provides a running account of political news written by both by their own commentators (as it has done) & other news & commentary outlets. And they don't mind adding their own brief commentary & edits. For instance,

At least he's not lying

He's the president. -- Senator Ted Cruz, when asked whether Trump -- who is now supporting Cruz's reelection campaign after launching numerous personal attacks on him -- was his friend or foe.

West Virginia. Burgess Everett of Politico: "Facing some of the toughest campaigns of their careers, the West Virginia Democrat [Joe Manchin] and his moderate colleagues believe they've received an unexpected gift from [Mitch McConnell].... In a triumphant post-Kavanaugh media tour last week, the Kentucky Republican waxed about his regret over the missed opportunity to repeal Obamacare and the need to reform entitlement programs to rein in the federal deficit. Social Security, Medicaid and Medicare are vital to West Virginia. And in an interview on Saturday as he prepared for the annual Apple Harvest Parade, Manchin called McConnell's comments 'absolutely ridiculous' and said his Republican opponent, Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, would vote to curtail benefits 'in a heartbeat.' Manchin also dredged up Morrisey's support during a 2000 congressional race in New Jersey for partially privatizing Social Security funds. 'He'll be a yes man, 1,000 percent, whatever they ask him to do,' Manchin said of Morrisey and GOP leaders."

Josh Marshall of TPM: "In the last two weeks I've felt a creeping anxiety about the outcome of the November election. But it is less because of what I think is likely than the stakes that are involved.... If Republicans are able to maintain control over the House after the last two years, with the President as unpopular as he's been, with all the signs of Democratic energy, Republicans and President Trump will both draw the lesson that they are invulnerable. Even under the most adverse conditions they didn't pay a real price.... For parallel reasons, Democrats will face a crisis of demoralization.... There is a general consensus ... that the Democrats will need to win the aggregate vote for the House by 6 or 7 percentage points just to win a bare majority of seats.... But after a while it starts to seem like a given, just part of the landscape. But it shows the challenge Democrats are up against. They have to win by a massive margin, maybe as much as 10 percentage points to win a healthy majority. This comes after President Trump became President after getting millions of votes fewer than Hillary Clinton. These are profound challenges and liabilities and Democrats will have to win elections under these skewed rules before they can get power to try to change them." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: What Democrats really need to win to end this cycle of Republican hegemony are state houses & governorships. Republicans still have a structural advantage in the Senate because red Wyoming has the same number of senators as blue California, but in purple states, it is possible to elect Democrats to reverse gerrymandering & Democratic voter suppression.

Kenneth Vogel & Rachel Shorey of the New York Times: "Republicans entered the final month of the campaign with more money in the bank than the Democrats, providing them with vital ammunition as they wage a furious effort to hold on to control of Congress.... Overall, Democrats have outraised Republicans $1.29 billion to $1.23 billion.... [But that] does not capture all of the money at play in the final weeks, including spending by nonprofit groups that do not disclose their donors, as well as seven- and even eight-figure donations that major donors or their advisers say have been -- or are expected to be -- given to super PACs after the period reflected in Saturday's filings.... But the analysis provides a broad assessment of the relative financial strength of the two parties in what is expected to become the first midterm election to surpass $5 billion in total spending." --s ...

... Maggie Severns of Politico: "The super PACs wrestling for the House and Senate majorities this fall are dramatically outpacing their fundraising in other recent cycles, new Federal Election Commission disclosures show, as big-money political spending continues to fuel heated battles for the House and Senate. The fundraising boom is bipartisan: House Majority PAC, Congressional Leadership Fund, Senate Majority PAC and Senate Leadership Fund had raised more than $400 million combined as of Oct. 1 ... as post-Citizens United super PAC spending on politics grows.... [Sheldon] Adelson has charged ahead of other Republican donors to become far and away the biggest funder of the midterms in his party this year, having now donated at least $115 million to GOP causes." --s

Jelani Cobb of the New Yorker: "Literacy tests, poll taxes, and grandfather clauses ... have been consigned to the history books, but one need look no further than the governor's race in Georgia to see their modern equivalents in action. The race between the Republican, Brian Kemp, Georgia's secretary of state, and the Democrat, Stacey Abrams, the former minority leader of the state House of Representatives ... is a virtual tie. But Kemp has invoked the so-called exact-match law to suspend fifty-three thousand voter-registration applications, for infractions as minor as a hyphen missing from a surname.... [And more.] The events in Georgia are part of a broader political project. The xenophobia and the resentment that Donald Trump stirred up during the 2016 election are fundamentally concerns about the future of the American electorate.... According to the Brennan Center for Justice, ninety-nine bills designed to diminish voter access were introduced last year in thirty-one state legislatures. Many of the recent Republican-led efforts stem from the Supreme Court's 2013 decision in Shelby v. Holder.... [But voter suppression is occurring in states outside the South, too.] Ohio, Wisconsin, Indiana, and Iowa ... have passed strict voter-I.D. or roll-purge laws."

Doug Pagitt, in a USA Today op-ed: "Religious leaders have given up moral ground at every renewed show of support for this administration and Congress. They stood by as families were torn apart at our border.... They cheered as health care was stripped away from the poor and the sick. And they fell in line to support the newly confirmed Justice Brett Kavanaugh, who was credibly accused of harming multiple women. These are ... antithetical to what Jesus preached.... [The leaders'] insistence on walking in lockstep with the Republican Party often is primarily motivated by a single issue: abortion.... The Republican Party has used the issue of abortion as a tool to manipulate religious leaders across the country.... Franklin Graham, who uses the imagery of the Good Samaritan in his organizational name, mocks it by turning a blind eye to the women who raised accusations against Kavanaugh.... In such a time as this, evangelicals are called to dislodge control of Congress from Republicans who have abandoned our values. The Good News of God compels us to use our vote as a tool for the common good of all people, for if good is not accessible and common to all, it is not good; it is privilege." Thanks to Aunt Hattie for the lead.


** Roberts' Naked Partisanship. Stephanie Kirchgaessen
of the Guardian: "Supreme court justice Brett Kavanaugh once lobbied in support of a controversial judge who is now tasked with reviewing more than a dozen ethics complaints filed against him during his own confirmation process. Emails sent to the Senate judiciary committee and obtained by the Guardian show that beginning in 2001, Kavanaugh was involved in a high-stakes campaign to ensure that Timothy Tymkovich, another staunch conservative and a former Colorado solicitor general, would secure a lifetime appointment as a federal judge.... The revelation could create new concerns about the politicization of the supreme court.... The chief justice of the supreme court, John Roberts, asked Tymkovich to examine more than a dozen judicial ethics complaints filed against Kavanaugh while he was technically still a circuit court judge." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: When I looked up Tymkovich's background at the time news broke that Roberts was passing the Kavanaugh ethics complaints on to him, all I found out was that he was an arch-conservative. The fact that he is not only a Friend of Brett's but also Beholden to Brett shows us exactly what we suspected: that Roberts' intent was to sweep Kavanaugh's bad behavior under the rug. They all belong to a Clique of the Right-eous, and you and I don't.

Jessica Silver-Greenberg & Natalie Kitroeff of the New York Times: "Pregnancy discrimination is widespread in corporate America. Some employers deny expecting mothers promotions or pay raises; others fire them before they can take maternity leave. But for women who work in physically demanding jobs, pregnancy discrimination often can come with even higher stakes. The New York Times reviewed thousands of pages of court and other public records involving workers who said they had suffered miscarriages, gone into premature labor or, in one case, had a stillborn baby after their employers rejected their pleas for assistance -- a break from flipping heavy mattresses, lugging large boxes and pushing loaded carts.... Refusing to accommodate pregnant women is often completely legal. Under federal law, companies don't necessarily have to adjust pregnant women's jobs, even when lighter work is available and their doctors send letters urging a reprieve. The Pregnancy Discrimination Act is the only federal law aimed at protecting expecting mothers at work. It is four paragraphs long and 40 years old. It says that a company has to accommodate pregnant workers' requests only if it is already doing so for other employees who are 'similar in their ability or inability to work.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Although for years there has been a bipartisan bill in Congress to update the Pregnancy Discrimination Act, Republican leaders have stalled it. Those evangelicals & others who support Republicans because abortion might give some thought to protecting women who want to have babies but whom GOP leaders refuse to protect.

Beyond the Beltway

When Wall Street Vultures Meet State Pensions. Gary Rivlin of The Intercept: "By 2016, the credit rating agency Standard & Poor's declared Kentucky's the worst-funded state pension system in the country. At that point, the state was meeting only 37.4 percent of its funding obligation -- half the national median of 74.6 percent.... Hedge funds and private equity typically charge ... fees roughly 10 times what a pension fund would pay to invest in a plain vanilla stock fund.... In 2009, the year it began investing in hedge funds, KRS paid $13.6 million in annual management fees. Five years later, that figure had ballooned to $126 million.... Kentucky's gamble on alternatives has proven a lousy investment. Had KRS simply matched the performance of the median pension fund in the five years ending in December 2014, the pension would have produced an additional $1.75 billion in earnings.... Former Goldman Sachs banker Susan Webber, writing as Yves Smith on the financial website Naked Capitalism, described KRS as 'a contender both [for] the title of the most corrupt and the most incompetent public pension fund in the U.S.'" --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is what happens when you put Tea Partiers in charge of the government: corruption AND wasteful spending. See also Danny Hakim's story on Josh Hawley's excellent management skills, linked above.

News Lede

New York Times: "... in one of the most celebrated commando raids of World War II, Norwegian resistance fighter [Joachim] Ronneberg and his demolition team sneaked past guards and a barracks full of German troops [at a Nazi hydroelectric plant in Norway's Telemark], stole into the plant, set explosive charges and blew up Hitler's hopes for a critical ingredient to create the first atomic bomb. Mr. Ronneberg, the last surviving member of the 1943 raid and one of the most decorated war heroes of a nation renowned for valorous resistance to the 1940-45 German Occupation, died on Sunday in Alesund, Norway, his daughter, Birte Ronneberg, said. He was 99."

Saturday
Oct202018

The Commentariat -- October 21, 2018

Josh Dawsey, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump strongly criticized Saudi Arabia's explanation for the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi late Saturday, saying that 'obviously there's been deception, and there's been lies.' At the same time, Trump defended the oil-rich monarchy as an 'incredible ally' and kept open the possibility that Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman did not order Saudi agents to kill Khashoggi. 'Nobody has told me he's responsible. Nobody has told me he's not responsible. We haven't reached that point ... I would love if he wasn't responsible, Trump said in a phone interview with The Washington Post.... Trump reiterated that the United States should not let the incident interrupt U.S. arms sales to Saudi Arabia, citing a $110 billion arms sale with Riyadh he announced last year that analysts have said is inflated.... Trump had told reporters Friday that the Saudi explanation was credible, but U.S. officials said he has privately grimaced that his son-in-law Jared Kushner's close relationship with the crown prince has become a liability and left the White House with no good options."

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: There are alternative reactions one can offer to every crisis, but it is rare in the history of the American presidency that the president* endorses the alternatives in one breath. Trump does not know what he's doing from day to day, hour to hour, minute to minute. Yesterday the fistfight fish tale was credible; today it's not. They're liars; they're incredible! P.S. My idiot son-in-law jammed me up. ...

     ... AND this from the story linked above: "Trump on Saturday denied that any U.S. officials have heard audio, seen video or read any transcripts from the Turks.... But CIA officials have listened to an audio recording that Turkish officials say proves the journalist was killed and dismembered by the Saudi team, according to people familiar with the matter. If verified, the recording would make it difficult for the United States to accept the Saudi version that Khashoggi's death was effectively an accident." ...

... Don't Like That Story? Okay, Here's Our New One. Marwa Rashad of Reuters: "As Saudi Arabia faced intensifying international scepticism over its story about the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, a senior government official laid out a new version of the death inside the Saudi consulate in Istanbul that in key respects contradicts previous explanations. The latest account, provided by a Saudi official who requested anonymity, includes details on how the team of 15 Saudi nationals sent to confront Khashoggi on Oct. 2 had threatened him with being drugged and kidnapped and then [accidentally] killed him in a chokehold when he resisted. A member of the team then dressed in Khashoggi's clothes to make it appear as if he had left the consulate." Rashad's source elaborates on the tale. ...

... Katie Benner, et al., of the New York Times: An "army of Twitter trolls" who daily attacked Jamal Khashoggi "were part of a broad effort dictated by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and his close advisers to silence critics both inside Saudi Arabia and abroad. Hundreds of people work at a so-called troll farm in Riyadh to smother the voices of dissidents like Mr. Khashoggi. The vigorous push also appears to include the grooming -- not previously reported -- of a Saudi employee at Twitter whom Western intelligence officials suspected of spying on user accounts to help the Saudi leadership. The killing by Saudi agents of Mr. Khashoggi ... has focused the world's attention on the kingdom's intimidation campaign against influential voices raising questions about the darker side of the crown prince. The young royal has tightened his grip on the kingdom while presenting himself in Western capitals as the man to reform the hidebound Saudi state." ...

... Washington Post Editors: "Saudi Arabia now has acknowledged that it lied to the world for 17 days about what happened to journalist Jamal Khashoggi when he entered its consulate in Istanbul on Oct. 2. But the new account offered by the regime of King Salman and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is utterly devoid of credibility.... That President Trump would pronounce this fable credible only underlines his shameful intent to assist in the attempt of the regime -- and, in particular, the crown prince -- to escape meaningful accountability. As Mr. Trump surely knows, the new Saudi cover story is contradicted not just by evidence collected by Turkish authorities and by journalists but also by the reporting of the U.S. intelligence community. All point to Mohammed bin Salman as the instigator of a premeditated, cold-blooded and brutal murder, followed by the dismemberment of Mr. Khashoggi's body." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Maureen Dowd: "Even before the bloodcurdling execution of Jamal Khashoggi for his just criticism of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, it was clear that the chump Trump and jejune Jared had bet their entire Middle East strategy on a chillingly autocratic and reckless person."

... Nicholas Kristof: "After lying for more than two weeks about the death of Jamal Khashoggi, the Saudi government has now announced a series of new lies about his murder in ways that insult both Jamal's memory and our intelligence.... These lies are so blatant and implausible that they underscore how out of touch M.B.S. is, and also suggest M.B.S. believes that he will have the backing of the United States in this cover-up. That's a good bet, since Trump has lately celebrated the assault on a journalist by a Montana congressman and previously suggested that maybe a rogue killer was responsible for killing Jamal.... So what we really have now is a test of Trump and of America itself." Kristof has several suggestions on how the U.S. should go forward. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

... Ben Hubbard & David Kirkpatrick of the New York Times: "Saudi Arabia is facing perhaps its greatest international crisis since the revelation that its citizen planned and carried out the attacks on September 11, 2001. Members of the ruling family are increasingly worried about the direction of the country under the leadership of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the 33-year-old favorite son of King Salman and the kingdom&'s day-to-day ruler.... The one person who could intervene is the king himself, but senior princes have found it nearly impossible to bring their concerns to the 82-year-old monarch, and some doubt he is fully aware of what is happening or willing to change course." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Zeke Miller, et al., of the AP: "... Donald Trump said Saturday he will exit a landmark arms control agreement the United States signed with the former Soviet Union, saying that Russia is violating the pact and it's preventing the U.S. from developing new weapons. The 1987 pact, which helps protect the security of the U.S. and its allies in Europe and the Far East, prohibits the United States and Russia from possessing, producing or test-flying a ground-launched cruise missile with a range of 300 to 3,400 miles.... National Security Adviser John Bolton was headed Saturday to Russia, Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia." ...

... (UK) Press Association (PA): "Britain stands 'absolutely resolute' with the United States, the UK defence secretary, Gavin Williamson, has said, after Donald Trump's announcement he would pull out of a decades-old nuclear weapons pact with Russia. Williamson blamed Russia for endangering the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaty, which was agreed by the US and the Soviet Union in 1987, and called on the Kremlin to 'get its house in order.'... He accused Russia of breaking the agreement, saying Moscow had made a 'mockery' of the INF." --s

Ivanka's Felony Fraud. Colin Kalmbacher of Law & Crime: "Ivanka Trump misrepresented the sales figures of various Trump-branded properties around the world on multiple occasions over the past decade, according to a lengthy exposé released late Wednesday by public interest news organization ProPublica in conjunction with Manhattan public radio station WNYC. Those real estate-related misrepresentations were almost certainly criminal according to legal experts surveyed by Law&Crime.... The report [linked yesterday] notes, 'The Manhattan district attorney's office [under Cyrus Vance, Jr.] considered charging the Trumps but backed off after a visit from a donor -- Trump's attorney Marc Kasowitz.'... And there's also an apparent coda here: The Manhattan District Attorney's office is now under investigation by the FBI over those corruption and pay-to-play allegations, according to the New York Daily News. In light of the FBI's investigation into Vance's office, it's possible that Ivanka Trump could be facing criminal charges herself over the fraudulent real estate schemes." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

Erica Green, et al., of the New York Times: "The Trump administration is considering narrowly defining gender as a biological, immutable condition determined by genitalia at birth, the most drastic move yet in a governmentwide effort to roll back recognition and protections of transgender people under federal civil rights law. A series of decisions by the Obama administration loosened the legal concept of sex in federal programs, including in education and health care, recognizing sex largely as an individual's choice -- and prompting fights over bathrooms, dormitories, single-sex programs and other arenas where gender was once seen as a simple concept. Conservatives, especially evangelical Christians, were incensed. Now the Department of Health and Human Services is spearheading an effort to establish a legal definition of sex under Title IX, the federal civil rights law that bans gender discrimination in education programs that receive government financial assistance...." Mrs. McC: This is cruelty for cruelty's sake. The cost to the government of protecting transgender people is minimal.

"Capitalism is Awesome," Ctd. Jennifer Dlouhy of Bloomberg: "White House officials pushed the EPA to maximize savings for the oil industry despite the agency's concern that weakening regulations would allow more methane to escape into the atmosphere, according to newly released documents. The White House pressure campaign came as the Environmental Protection Agency honed a proposal to relax Obama-era requirements governing how frequently oil companies have to check for and repair leaks of methane, an intense greenhouse gas that warms the atmosphere 84 times more than carbon dioxide. Every move to dial back required inspections and reduce industry costs triggered a corresponding climb in projected methane emissions, a jump that appeared to trouble some EPA officials, according to internal documents filed in a government docket Tuesday.... The entire process was driven by an attempt to maximize corporate profits at the expense of public health and the environment, said Amit Narang, a regulatory policy expert with Public Citizen." [Open in private window] --s (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Max Blumenthal of Harper's [Oct. 17]: "Less than a week before her resignation, [U.N.] Ambassador [Nikki] Haley made a pilgrimage to ... mostly evangelical Republican operatives known as the Council for National Policy, or CNP.... There was no public notice, no transcript. I was ... the only journalist.... [In her speech, she said] She once attempted to intimidate the Chinese ambassador with threats of a military invasion of North Korea, she said, warning that she had no idea what her boss was capable of. In a way, Haley had deployed a version of Henry Kissinger and Richard Nixon's 'madman theory,' holding up Trump as an unstable actor who might do anything. It seemed that she herself also genuinely had no idea what Trump would do.... Haley told the CNP crowd that [Reince] Priebus initially offered to make her secretary of state. 'I thought the job should go to someone who didn't have the same learning curve,' she said, conceding that she was not qualified for a top diplomatic position. Days later, the president pitched another opportunity: US Ambassador to the UN. 'I told [Trump], "Honestly, I don't even know what the UN does,"' Haley revealed. The crowd erupted with sympathetic laughter and applause[.]" --s

Rebecca Onion of Slate: "The Proud Boys' acceptance at a fancy Republican club looks a lot like the courtship between conservatives and fascists before WWII."

** The Descent. Juan Cole: "The US has fallen off a cliff on global health statistics, plummeting an unprecedented 21 places in the world index. Moreover, the US is expected to fall even further behind over the next 20 years. Mellan Solly at The Smithsonian Magazine analyzed the numbers in a just-published Lancet article.... The US has switched places in the world rankings with China [by 2040].... So ... what is causing this backwardness in US health prospects.... Air pollution, mercury pollution from burning coal, radioactive waste, killing off insects with pesticides, and heat-trapping gases threatening our future -- all of these have been unleashed by Trump.... 1 in 4 Americans get enough exercise. 1 in 10 eats enough fruits and vegetables. In turn, our poor diet and sedentary existence (75% of us!) are connected to things like capitalist television.... American barracuda capitalism isn't providing a living wage to large numbers of workers. The average wage of the average worker has been largely stagnant since 1970...We don't need to take our country back from the Chinese or Mexicans. We need to take it back from the Sheldon Adelsons of the world." --s

Naked Racism. Sam Fulwood III of ThinkProgress: "...[M]ounting evidence brings into clear focus that racial animus was -- and remains -- the foundation for the president's political support.... [A] recent study by the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group, a research collaboration of more than two dozen analysts and scholars spanning the political spectrum, offers insights into the GOP's refurbished reliance on racism to win at the ballot box.... The study provides another set of data points to rebuke the white working class economy anxiety argument.... [V]oters appear to understand, correctly, that while Wall Street has greatly benefited from the Trump and Republican-controlled Congress' tax cuts, life on Main Street has improved very little. Hence, there's no room for the GOP to tout any real economic success.... This is a welcome harbinger for next month's midterm elections. Yet, the crucial fact remains that race -- not worries over the economy -- matters more to trigger voters to turn out and vote." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

Election 2018

** William Saletan of Slate: "Trump believes that advocating violence and ridiculing victims are effective political tactics. He thinks that people who like this behavior will support Republicans and that many people who don't like it -- enough to decide the election — will stay home or vote Republican anyway. He was right in 2016. He was right in 2017. What you do on Election Day will tell him whether he's right again." Read the whole post. It will make you angry all over again.

Asleep at the Wheel. Li Zhou of Vox: "Latino voters could make the difference in some of this year's most competitive congressional races -- particularly in places like Arizona, California, and Texas where they make up more than 20 percent of the electorate. Given high anti-Trump sentiment among Latino voters -- and a strong preference for Democratic candidates -- these voters could help spur a 'blue wave' in November. But Democrats have to reach them and turn them out to vote first.... In an October 16 poll, the groups found that 55 percent of Latino voters haven't experienced any form of election outreach from Democrats or Republicans.... At the same time in the 2016 election, almost the exact same proportion of Latino voters also said that they hadn't received any outreach." --s (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Tim Johnson of McClatchy DC: "In three states, the referee for the midterm elections is also on the field as a player. Elected secretaries of state in Georgia and Kansas -- who in their official capacities oversee the elections in their states -- are running for governor. Ohio's secretary of state is running for lieutenant governor. All are Republicans. They have faced scattered calls to resign but have refused to do so." --safari: Democrats could never get away with this, nor should they. But IOKIYAR. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Josh Israel of ThinkProgress: "A shockingly racist radio ad from a super PAC calling itself Black Americans for the President's Agenda went viral on Thursday evening. The spots, running on radio stations popular with black voters in Arkansas and Missouri, urge black women to back Republican Rep. French Hill in Arkansas' 2nd congressional district, Republican Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley in his U.S. Senate campaign, and GOP candidates in general. Their factually inaccurate argument: if Democrats accused Brett Kavanaugh of sexual predation without evidence, black 'men and boys' will be subject to 'race verdicts, life sentences, and lynchings when a white girl screams "rape!"' The donors bankrolling this committee, however, appear to be rich [white], conservative ideologues, not the actual 'Black Americans' they claim to be.... [To his credit] Hill tweeted that he condemned the 'appalling' and 'outrageous ad in the strongest terms.'" --s...

Missouri. Bryan Lowry & Brian Murphy of McClatchy DC: "A new radio ad seeks to frighten black voters away from Sen. Claire McCaskill's campaign by suggesting the Democrat supports lynchings.... Another of the group's Missouri ads accuses McCaskill, the Democratic incumbent who supports abortion rights, of not caring 'that black babies that are aborted three times more likely than white babies....'" --s (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Jessica Goldstein of ThinkProgress: "Some 10,000 voters in Missouri received mailers with incorrect information about the dates for their absentee ballots were due. The source? The Missouri Republican Party. Ray Bozarth, the party's executive director, admitted that his party was responsible for the misleading information but insisted the incorrect date was caused not by malice or an effort at voter suppression. It was, he said, simply 'the result of a miscommunication between the party and its vendor, which he declined to name,' as the Kansas City Star reported." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Yesterday, I read the original story in the KC Star, by Alison Kite, & if the report is correct, this does not appear to be a case of intentional voter suppression. The mailers pushed up the deadlines for asking for & submitting absentee ballots & -- according to the party -- the mailers went to likely Republican voters. If so, the mailers could have (a) encouraged Republican voters to hurry up & vote, or (b) convinced those voters they didn't have time to vote before the fake deadlines. So if the mailers suppressed any votes, it would have been those of Republican procrastinators. Goldstein's post, which goes on to discuss voter suppression, seems to imply the mailers were part of a GOP dirty trick. It seems to me the mailers were the result of Republican officials being stupid.

Alabama. Kim Chandler of TPM: "Congressional [Democratic] candidate Mallory Hagan said Thursday that a worrisome number of Alabama voters have been removed from active voter lists, prompting her to create a committee to assist people who encounter problems before and on Election Day. Hagan's campaign said more than 55,000 voters in the 3rd Congressional District have been disqualified or labeled inactive since February 2017, according to numbers they obtained.... She announced the creation of a committee of lawyers who will volunteer their assistance to voters. In addition, her campaign will staff a hotline for voters to report any concerns. People can also check their voting information at the secretary of state's web site myinfo.alabamavotes.gov." --s (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Michigan. John Bowden of the Hill: "A Michigan Republican women's PAC is backing two Democratic candidates in November over their Trump-supporting opponents, pointing to President Trump's rhetoric and Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation hearings as key reasons for the move. The Metro Times reported Wednesday that the political action committee Republican Women for Progress will take out ad buys for two Democratic House candidates facing Trump-aligned GOP challengers as the group seeks a Congress willing to serve as a 'check' on the president." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Iowa. Christopher Mathias & Nick Robins-Early of the Huffington Post: "Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) visited Austria in August and gave an extensive interview to a far-right publication there in which he spelled out, in clearer and more shocking terms than he ever has before, his white nationalist worldview. The eight-term congressman, up for re-election next month, talked to Caroline Sommerfeld of the Austrian far-right propaganda site Unzensuriert (which means 'uncensored' in English).... King discussed his belief in the superiority of European culture over others. He talked fearfully of falling fertility rates in the West and spoke at length about his belief that Europe and America are threatened by Muslim and Latino immigration. 'If we don't defend Western civilization, then we will become subjugated by the people who are the enemies of faith, the enemies of justice,' King said. The interview is remarkable, capturing a sitting U.S. congressman completely fluent in modern white nationalist talking points just weeks before an election he is favored to win." Mrs. McC: If Steve King is the "master race," I sure don't want to be in it.

Colorado. Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "[A] Colorado ballot initiative would expand the buffer zones between homes and industrial oil and gas facilities. As with other ballot initiative attempts in the past, Colorado's anti-fracking activists are sending the oil and industry into a frenzy, despite the relatively modest nature of the proposition.... The industry has so far raised $30 million to defeat the measure, about 40 times the money that environmental groups have raised. But Proposition 112 is far from radical. It doesn't call for banning fracking in Colorado. The measure would simply keep new wells farther away from homes and schools, expanding the distance from a 500-foot minimum to 2,500 feet.... The industry's spending of million of dollars appears to be working. Polls show the final vote on the proposition is going to be extremely close, according to supporters of the proposition." --safari: Who in their right mind would vote against this? (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Utah. Thanks, Obama. Patrick Caldwell of Mother Jones: "Utah is one of four states with ballot initiatives next month that ask voters about Medicaid expansion, the part of the Affordable Care Act that broadens eligibility for Medicaid to anyone making up to 138 percent of the poverty line.... A new poll from the Salt Lake Tribune released on Thursday suggests they soon might not have a choice. According to the poll, 59 percent of respondents favor adopting Medicaid expansion, with just 33 percent opposed. That's up from 54 percent in June. An estimated 150,000 Utahans stand to gain Medicaid coverage if the initiative passes." --s


Frank Dale
of ThinkProgress: " U.S. Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts brought a temporary halt late Friday to a landmark climate change lawsuit that was set to begin later this month. President Donald Trump's Justice Department asked the Supreme Court to stop the lawsuit in a filing on Thursday. Roberts approved the request on Friday even though the U.S. high court in a unanimous ruling in July had said that the case could proceed. 21 children and young adults sued the federal government in August 2015, alleging the government had failed to protect them from the impacts of climate change." --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Could be what inspired Roberts was the new climate phenomenon known as the "Kavanaugh Effect." It works like this: we've got 5 solid justices to back Trump's "natural instinct for science" that proves beyond a reasonable doubt that climate change is a hoax.

Joe Romm of ThinkProgress: "A disturbing new study finds that global warming helped drive as much as a 60-fold decline in insect population in Puerto Rico's tropical rainforest between 1976 and 2013. 'Our results suggest that the effects of climate warming in tropical forests may be even greater than anticipated,' said lead author, biologist Brad Lister, of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI). And that's a potentially catastrophic problem given that the forest saw 3.6°F (2°C) warming during that time -- yet warming this century is on track to be far greater.... These new findings follow several studies in recent years that found collapsing insect populations around the world.... So these findings are 'a real wake-up call -- a clarion call -- that the phenomenon could be much, much bigger, and across many more ecosystems,' invertebrate expert David Wagner (who was not involved in the study) told the Washington Post. He added, 'This is one of the most disturbing articles I have ever read.'" --s (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Helen Davidson of the Guardian: "Climate change is already exacerbating domestic and international conflicts, and governments must take steps to ensure it does not get worse, the head of the International Committee of the Red Cross has said. Peter Maurer told Guardian Australia it was already making an impact and humanitarian organisations were having to factor it into their work far earlier than they were expecting.... Australia has no formal energy or climate change policy, and the Coalition government at one point flagged pulling out of the Paris Agreement." --s

White Power News. Melanie Schmitz of ThinkProgress: "A segment on the Friday morning edition of Fox & Friends showcased a racist, anti-Obama photo during the show's profile of an Arizona-based pro-Trump fan-shop.... [T]he shop apparently sells ... a card featuring a photo of Trump at his presidential desk with the words, 'First time in history that a billionaire moves into public housing vacated by a black family.'.... In an email to ThinkProgress Friday afternoon, Steven Slaton, owner of The Trumped Store, said the racist anti-Obama meme was a 'funny Birthday Card.' '[F]or your information Its not racist!!!!' he wrote. 'We bring in fun things to laugh at. If you or someone takes it as Racist, sorry we can't help them.'" --s ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Because overt racism is hilarious & makes a nice birthday memento. Also too, as contributor Marvin S. says, there's plenty of doubt that the current occupant of the White House is a billionaire.

Beyond the Beltway

AP: "Police removed the remains of 63 foetuses from a Detroit funeral home and regulators closed the business amid a widening investigation of alleged improprieties at local funeral homes. The Detroit police chief, James Craig, said officers found 36 foetuses in boxes and 27 others in freezers during Friday's raid at the Perry Funeral Home. He said he was 'stunned' by the discovery, which came a week after the remains of 11 infants were discovered in a ceiling at Detroit's defunct Cantrell Funeral Home. Those remains were found after state regulators received an anonymous letter." --s

Way Beyond

Sarah Frier & Giulia Camilo of Bloomberg: "WhatsApp banned hundreds of thousands of accounts in Brazil as the Facebook Inc. messaging service struggles to contain spam, misinformation and political shenanigans ahead of a runoff election in Latin America's largest country. Facebook set up a 'war room' to stem the tide of hate speech, false information and other damaging content during Brazil's election this month, marking a test for the social network ahead of the November midterm elections in the U.S.... Newspaper Folha de S.Paulo this week reported allegations that companies are paying for a mass social media campaign against Haddad, and the country's top electoral court responded on Friday night by saying it will open a formal probe against Bolsonaro." --s

Friday
Oct192018

The Commentariat -- October 20, 2018

Afternoon Update:

Washington Post Editors: "Saudi Arabia now has acknowledged that it lied to the world for 17 days about what happened to journalist Jamal Khashoggi when he entered its consulate in Istanbul on Oct. 2. But the new account offered by the regime of King Salman and Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman is utterly devoid of credibility.... That President Trump would pronounce this fable credible only underlines his shameful intent to assist in the attempt of the regime -- and, in particular, the crown prince -- to escape meaningful accountability. As Mr. Trump surely knows, the new Saudi cover story is contradicted not just by evidence collected by Turkish authorities and by journalists but also by the reporting of the U.S. intelligence community. All point to Mohammed bin Salman as the instigator of a premeditated, cold-blooded and brutal murder, followed by the dismemberment of Mr. Khashoggi's body." ...

... Nicholas Kristof: "After lying for more than two weeks about the death of Jamal Khashoggi, the Saudi government has now announced a series of new lies about his murder in ways that insult both Jamal's memory and our intelligence.... These lies are so blatant and implausible that they underscore how out of touch M.B.S. is, and also suggest M.B.S. believes that he will have the backing of the United States in this cover-up. That's a good bet, since Trump has lately celebrated the assault on a journalist by a Montana congressman and previously suggested that maybe a rogue killer was responsible for killing Jamal.... So what we really have now is a test of Trump and of America itself." Kristof has several suggestions on how the U.S. should go forward.

... Ben Hubbard & David Kirkpatrick of the New York Times: "Saudi Arabia is facing perhaps its greatest international crisis since the revelation that its citizens planned and carried out the attacks on September 11, 2001. Members of the ruling family are increasingly worried about the direction of the country under the leadership of Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the 33-year-old favorite son of King Salman and the kingdom's day-to-day ruler.... The one person who could intervene is the king himself, but senior princes have found it nearly impossible to bring their concerns to the 82-year-old monarch, and some doubt he is fully aware of what is happening or willing to change course."

Ivanka's Felony Fraud. Colin Kalmbacher of Law & Crime: "Ivanka Trump misrepresented the sales figures of various Trump-branded properties around the world on multiple occasions over the past decade, according to a lengthy exposé released late Wednesday by public interest news organization ProPublica in conjunction with Manhattan public radio station WNYC. Those real estate-related misrepresentations were almost certainly criminal according to legal experts surveyed by Law&Crime.... The report [linked yesterday] notes, 'The Manhattan district attorney's office [under Cyrus Vance, Jr.] considered charging the Trumps but backed off after a visit from a donor -- Trump's attorney Marc Kasowitz.'... And there's also an apparent coda here: The Manhattan District Attorney's office is now under investigation by the FBI over those corruption and pay-to-play allegations, according to the New York Daily News. In light of the FBI's investigation into Vance's office, it's possible that Ivanka Trump could be facing criminal charges herself over the fraudulent real estate schemes." --s

"Capitalism is Awesome," Ctd. Jennifer Dlouhy of Bloomberg: "White House officials pushed the EPA to maximize savings for the oil industry despite the agency's concern that weakening regulations would allow more methane to escape into the atmosphere, according to newly released documents. The White House pressure campaign came as the Environmental Protection Agency honed a proposal to relax Obama-era requirements governing how frequently oil companies have to check for and repair leaks of methane, an intense greenhouse gas that warms the atmosphere 84 times more than carbon dioxide. Every move to dial back required inspections and reduce industry costs triggered a corresponding climb in projected methane emissions, a jump that appeared to trouble some EPA officials, according to internal documents filed in a government docket Tuesday.... The entire process was driven by an attempt to maximize corporate profits at the expense of public health and the environment, said Amit Narang, a regulatory policy expert with Public Citizen." [Open in private window] --s

Naked Racism. Sam Fulwood III of ThinkProgress: "...[M]ounting evidence brings into clear focus that racial animus was -- and remains -- the foundation for the president's political support.... [A] recent study by the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group, a research collaboration of more than two dozen analysts and scholars spanning the political spectrum, offers insights into the GOP's refurbished reliance on racism to win at the ballot box. And, in the process, the study provides another set of data points to rebuke the white working class economy anxiety argument.... [V]oters appear to understand, correctly, that while Wall Street has greatly benefited from the Trump and Republican-controlled Congress' tax cuts, life on Main Street has improved very little. Hence, there's no room for the GOP to tout any real economic success.... This is a welcome harbinger for next month's midterm elections. Yet, the crucial fact remains that race -- not worries over the economy -- matters more to trigger voters to turn out and vote." --s...

Asleep at the Wheel. Li Zhou of Vox: "Latino voters could make the difference in some of this year's most competitive congressional races -- particularly in places like Arizona, California, and Texas where they make up more than 20 percent of the electorate. Given high anti-Trump sentiment among Latino voters -- and a strong preference for Democratic candidates — these voters could help spur a 'blue wave' in November. But Democrats have to reach them and turn them out to vote first.... In an October 16 poll, the groups found that 55 percent of Latino voters haven&'t experienced any form of election outreach from Democrats or Republicans.... At the same time in the 2016 election, almost the exact same proportion of Latino voters also said that they hadn't received any outreach." --s

Tim Johnson of McClatchy DC: "In three states, the referee for the midterm elections is also on the field as a player. Elected secretaries of state in Georgia and Kansas -- who in their official capacities oversee the elections in their states -- are running for governor. Ohio's secretary of state is running for lieutenant governor. All are Republicans. They have faced scattered calls to resign but have refused to do so." -- safari: Democrats could never get away with this, nor should they. But IOKIYAR.

Josh Israel of ThinkProgress: "A shockingly racist radio ad from a super PAC calling itself Black Americans for the President's Agenda went viral on Thursday evening. The spots, running on radio stations popular with black voters in Arkansas and Missouri, urge black women to back Republican Rep. French Hill in Arkansas' 2nd congressional district, Republican Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley in his U.S. Senate campaign, and GOP candidates in general. Their factually inaccurate argument: if Democrats accused Brett Kavanaugh of sexual predation without evidence, black 'men and boys' will be subject to 'race verdicts, life sentences, and lynchings when a white girl screams "rape!"' The donors bankrolling this committee, however, appear to be rich [white], conservative ideologues, not the actual 'Black Americans' they claim to be.... [To his credit] Hill tweeted that he condemned the 'appalling' and 'outrageous ad in the strongest terms.'" --s...

Missouri. Bryan Lowry & Brian Murphy of McClatchy DC: "A new radio ad seeks to frighten black voters away from Sen. Claire McCaskill's campaign by suggesting the Democrat supports lynchings.... Another of the group's Missouri ads accuses McCaskill, the Democratic incumbent who supports abortion rights, of not caring 'that black babies that are aborted three times more likely than white babies....'" --s

Alabama. Kim Chandler of TPM: "Congressional [Democratic] candidate Mallory Hagan said Thursday that a worrisome number of Alabama voters have been removed from active voter lists, prompting her to create a committee to assist people who encounter problems before and on Election Day. Hagan's campaign said more than 55,000 voters in the 3rd Congressional District have been disqualified or labeled inactive since February 2017, according to numbers they obtained.... She announced the creation of a committee of lawyers who will volunteer their assistance to voters. In addition, her campaign will staff a hotline for voters to report any concerns. People can also check their voting information at the secretary of state's web site myinfo.alabamavotes.gov." --s

Michigan. John Bowden of the Hill: "A Michigan Republican women's PAC is backing two Democratic candidates in November over their Trump-supporting opponents, pointing to Trump's rhetoric and Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh's confirmation hearings as key reasons for the move. The Metro Times reported Wednesday that the political action committee Republican Women for Progress will take out ad buys for two Democratic House candidates facing Trump-aligned GOP challengers as the group seeks a Congress willing to serve as a 'check' on the president."

Iowa. Christopher Mathias & Nick Robins-Early of the Huffington Post: "Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) visited Austria in August and gave an extensive interview to a far-right publication there in which he spelled out, in clearer and more shocking terms than he ever has before, his white nationalist worldview. The eight-term congressman, up for re-election next month, talked to Caroline Sommerfeld of the Austrian far-right propaganda site Unzensuriert (which means 'uncensored' in English).... King discussed his belief in the superiority of European culture over others. He talked fearfully of falling fertility rates in the West and spoke at length about his belief that Europe and America are threatened by Muslim and Latino immigration. 'If we don't defend Western civilization, then we will become subjugated by the people who are the enemies of faith, the enemies of justice,' King said. The interview is remarkable, capturing a sitting U.S. congressman completely fluent in modern white nationalist talking points just weeks before an election he is favored to win." Mrs. McC: If Steve King is the "master race," I sure don't want to be in it.

Colorado. Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "[A] Colorado ballot initiative would expand the buffer zones between homes and industrial oil and gas facilities. As with other ballot initiative attempts in the past, Colorado's anti-fracking activists are sending the oil and industry into a frenzy, despite the relatively modest nature of the proposition.... The industry has so far raised $30 million to defeat the measure, about 40 times the money that environmental groups have raised. But Proposition 112 is far from radical. It doesn't call for banning fracking in Colorado. The measure would simply keep new wells farther away from homes and schools.... The industry's spending of million of dollars appears to be working. Polls show the final vote on the proposition is going to be extremely close, according to supporters of the proposition." --safari: Who in their right mind would vote against this?


Joe Romm
of ThinkProgress: "A disturbing new study finds that global warming helped drive as much as a 60-fold decline in insect population in Puerto Rico's tropical rainforest between 1976 and 2013. 'Our results suggest that the effects of climate warming in tropical forests may be even greater than anticipated,' said lead author, biologist Brad Lister, of Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute (RPI). And that's a potentially catastrophic problem given that the forest saw 3.6°F (2°C) warming during that time -- yet warming this century is on track to be far greater.... These new findings follow several studies in recent years that found collapsing insect populations around the world.... So these findings are 'a real wake-up call -- a clarion call -- that the phenomenon could be much, much bigger, and across many more ecosystems,' invertebrate expert David Wagner (who was not involved in the study) told the Washington Post. He added, 'This is one of the most disturbing articles I have ever read.'" --s

*****

** After 17 Days, the Saudis Come up with a Cover Story. Ben Hubbard of the New York Times: "Saudi Arabia announced on Saturday that Jamal Khashoggi, the dissident Saudi journalist who disappeared more than two weeks ago, died after an argument and fistfight with unidentified men inside the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul. Eighteen men have been arrested and are being investigated in the case, according to statements released through state-run media. None were identified. State media also reported that Gen. Ahmed Al Asiri, the deputy director of Saudi intelligence, and other high-ranking intelligence officials had been dismissed. They did not say whether the men's firing had any connection to the Khashoggi case or whether they were being investigated for playing a role in it." ...

... Mark Landler & Eric Schmitt of the New York Times: "President Trump broke with his own intelligence agencies on Friday, appearing to accept Saudi Arabia's explanation that the journalist Jamal Khashoggi was killed by accident during a fistfight, while the United States' spy agencies are increasingly convinced that he was assassinated on high-level orders from the Saudi royal court. Mr. Trump, who has cultivated Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and made Saudi Arabia the linchpin of his Middle East strategy, has been deeply reluctant to point a finger at the prince, despite evidence linking him to Saudi operatives who entered the country's consulate in Istanbul the same day that Mr. Khashoggi disappeared there. Asked during a visit to an Air Force base in Arizona whether he viewed the Saudi explanation as credible, Mr. Trump said, 'I do.'... 'I think we're getting close to solving a big problem,' Mr. Trump told reporters at the Luke Air Force Base.... Mr. Trump's response sets up a clash with Congress, where Republicans and Democrats both tarred the Saudi explanation as lacking credibility." ...

... Christopher Cadelago & Brent Griffiths of Politico: "... Donald Trump on Friday evening praised Saudi Arabia's statement acknowledging the death of journalist Jamal Khashoggi in its Istanbul consulate, adding that he would prefer 'some form' of sanctions on the kingdom while stressing that arms sales should remain untouched. 'I think it's a great first step,' Trump said in Arizona, where he will be holding a rally later, according to a pool report." ...

... Aziz El Yaakoubi of Reuters: "Speaking to reporters in Scottsdale, Arizona, Trump said it was too early to say what the consequences for the incident might be, but that the U.S. Congress would be involved in determining the American response. Asked whether Saudi sanctions were one of the measures he was considering, Trump said, 'Could be, could be,' though he provided no details. 'We're going to find out who knew what when and where. And we'll figure it out,' Trump added." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: So a 60-year-old chubby guy walks into a consulate to pick up some paperwork he was told was ready. Oh, maybe the paperwork isn't ready after all, so he raises his voice & to everyone's surprise, he starts punching people. Totally believable. The next thing you know, 15 security guys who happened to have just arrived from Saudi Arabia pile on -- all innocently of course -- one wielding a bone saw. They accidentally cut off the man's fingers, strangle him, chop up his body, shove the parts into some cases they happen to have handy, & off they go with the body parts to Saudi Arabia in a plane that just happens to be waiting. Sure, coulda happened that way. Then again, if you gave the dumbest Hollywood screenwriter 17 days to come up with a story about how a guy who walked into a consulate died, he could have come up with 17 more plausible scenarios, most of which still would be too ridiculous to make it into production. Nevertheless, an old fat boy who's so suspicious of others that he thinks Democrats are paying Hondurans to invade the U.S. (which is an incredible insult to the desperate refugees, but never mind that), that very suspicious guy, says the guy-walks-into-a-consulate-and-starts-a-fistfight is plausible. ...

... Kareem Fahim & John Hudson of the Washington Post: "... no individual had put more pressure on [Saudi Arabia] ... than Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. In the weeks after Khashoggi disappeared at the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul, Erdogan and his aides ... narrated the crisis, focusing the world's attention on what they said was a brazen, state-sponsored assassination on its soil. Grisly details of the alleged killing were released to the Turkish and international news media.... Turkey's revelations may have helped push the Saudi government to reverse its repeated denials of wrongdoing and announce early Saturday that it had arrested 18 people and fired several top officials in the case.... For Erdogan, the benefits of turning up the heat on Saudi Arabia and its young crown prince ... were apparent.... The two countries have competed for influence in the Middle East and clashed over Turkey's support for Qatar in a feud that divided the region. Erdogan has little personal affection for Mohammed, who referred to Turkey this year as part of a regional 'triangle of evil,' along with Iran and regional Islamist groups." ...

... Mnuchin to Schmooze with Assassination, Inc. Damian Paletta & Josh Dawsey of the Washington Post: "Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has decided to take part in an anti-terror finance meeting with Saudi security officials and their Middle Eastern counterparts in Riyadh later this month, opting to attend despite growing global outrage over the suspected murder of a U.S.-based journalist at the hands of Saudi operatives, according to three people familiar with his travel plans. The security gathering next week is separate from a Riyadh financial summit that Mnuchin announced on Thursday he would not attend."


Matt Zapotosky
, et al., of the Washington Post: "The Justice Department announced Friday it had charged a Russian woman who prosecutors say conspired to interfere wit the 2018 U.S. election, marking the first criminal case that accuses a foreign national of interfering in the upcoming midterms. Elena Khusyaynova, 44, was charged with conspiracy to defraud the United States. Prosecutors said she managed the finances of 'Project Lakhta,' a foreign influence operation they said was designed 'to sow discord in the U.S. political system' by pushing arguments and misinformation online about a host of divisive political issues, including immigration, the Confederate flag, gun control and National Football League protests during the national anthem. The charges against Khusyaynova came just as the Office of the Director of National Intelligence warned that it was concerned about 'ongoing campaigns' by Russia, China and Iran to interfere with the upcoming midterm elections and the 2020 race.... Court papers say Khusyaynova's operation was funded by Russian oligarch Yevgeniy Prigozhin, an associate of Russian President Vladimir Putin who is known as 'Putin's chef,' and two companies he controls: Concord Management and Consulting, and Concord Catering." ...

... Andrew Prokop of Vox: "This is the same Russian 'troll farm' that was the focus of charges filed by special counsel Robert Mueller's office back in February, and accused of crimes related to interfering with the 2016 election. But the DOJ says this interference is still continuing as the 2018 midterms approach -- and gives new details of what the Russian trolls have been up to while Donald Trump has been president. The operation, budgeted at $1 million or more per month, involved creating false online personas.... The charging document described how this activity would play out on Twitter. Phony liberal accounts -- @wokeluisa, @KaniJJackson, @JemiSHaaaZzz -- would attack Republicans, including Trump. Meanwhile, phony conservative accounts — @Amconvoice, @JohnCopper16, and @CovfefeNationUS (really) -- would attack Democrats.... 'Information warfare' sounds frightening, but sometimes trolls are just that: trolls." ...

     ... Sarah Burris of the Raw Story: "CNN's Jake Tapper noticed ... Donald Trump's strange disinterest and denial in the arrest of a Russian woman accused of attempting to hack the 2018 election. 'Nothing to do with my campaign,' Trump said while at a campaign stop in Arizona Friday. 'All of the hackers and all of the -- everybody that you see, nothing to do with my campaign. If they're hackers, a lot of them probably like Hillary Clinton better than me.'... '... one would think this is going to be like, "This is going to stop. My Justice Department is on it. I want to protect the integrity of the vote." No -- "I had nothing to do with it!"' Tapper said, reiterating Trump's response. CNN's Sara Murray note[d] this has been the concern, the president doesn't seem to be interested in protecting the vote." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I thought Trump's response was just weird. He didn't seem to know that 2016 & 2018 are different years. It's 2018 now, Donald, & neither you nor Hillary Clinton is on the ballot. He's the POTUS* & he's very confused.

Matt Naham of Law & Crime: "Special counsel Robert Mueller continues to examine the 2016 hack of the Democratic National Committee and whether various individuals had knowledge of it before documents were dumped on WikiLeaks. These individuals include Jerome Corsi..., former Trump campaign advisor Roger Stone and the associates of the deceased Peter W. Smith. According to Byron Tau of the Wall Street Journal, 'Mueller has Stone's telephone records and evidence Smith had foreknowledge of hacks' by the fictitious persona known as Guccifer 2.0."

Darren Samuelsohn & Josh Gerstein of Politico: "Former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort appeared in federal court in a wheelchair on Friday and his lawyer said he's dealing with 'significant issues' tied to his health because of his confinement at a Northern Virginia jail. The attorney, Kevin Downing, didn't specify what the problem was in open court but a source familiar with the situation later explained the longtime GOP operative who has been confined since mid-June is dealing with an issue related to his diet and has inflammation in his foot. Manafort, 69, was wearing a green prison jumpsuit labeled on the back 'ALEXANDRIA INMATE' and no shoe on his right foot during the proceedings.... The hearing, called to address Manafort's ongoing cooperation with special counsel Robert Mueller tied to his subsequent guilty plea in Washington D.C., concluded with U.S. District Court Judge T.S. Ellis setting a Feb. 8 sentencing date for Manafort. Ellis also formally dismissed 10 counts against Manafort where the jury had failed to reach a verdict."

Darren Samuelsohn: "... Donald Trump's critics have spent the past 17 months anticipating what some expect will be among the most thrilling events of their lives: special counsel Robert Mueller's final report on Russian 2016 election interference. They may be in for a disappointment. That's the word Politico got from defense lawyers working on the Russia probe and more than 15 former government officials with investigation experience.... The public, they say, shouldn't expect a comprehensive and presidency-wrecking account of Kremlin meddling and alleged obstruction of justice by Trump — not to mention an explanation of the myriad subplots that have bedeviled lawmakers, journalists and amateur Mueller sleuths. Perhaps most unsatisfying: Mueller's findings may never even see the light of day." (Also linked yesterday.)


David Nakamura
, et al., of the Washington Post: "The Trump administration's struggles to curtail illegal immigration have exposed a deep rift among the president and his top advisers, one that could lead to changes in the Cabinet and undermine the government's response to a record surge of migrant families at the southern border. Even as President Trump continues to consider immigration to be a political winner..., tensions in the West Wing have reached a boiling point. A profane shouting match over immigration this week among top aides prompted Chief of Staff John F. Kelly to storm out of the White House.... Trump's own escalating frustration has led him to excoriate aides for not taking more aggressive actions.... He has ruminated this week over the possibility of sending more soldiers to the border, even though thousands of National Guard troops have been deployed there since April with no evidence of a deterrent effect.... 'Close the whole thing!' Trump demanded at one point during an Oval Office meeting, the officials said. He was talked out of it by advisers who highlighted the effect such a measure would have on more than $600 billion in U.S.-Mexico annual trade, as well as the potential damage to bilateral relations, according to the officials." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Kudos to the migrants whose persistence Trump has not been able to completely frustrate. These desperate people seeking safety have got under Trump's skin in a way Democrats have failed to do. I hope the old fat boy blows a gasket, & his last word is "Mexico."

Matthew Choi of Politico: "The White House Correspondents' Association condemned ... Donald Trump Friday after he lauded a lawmaker from Montana a day earlier for body slamming a Guardian reporter. 'All Americans should recoil from the president's praise for a violent assault on a reporter doing his Constitutionally protected job,' White House Correspondents' Association president Olivier Knox said in a statement. 'This amounts to the celebration of a crime by someone sworn to uphold our laws and an attack on the First Amendment by someone who has solemnly pledged to defend it. We should never shrug at the president cheerleading for a violent act targeting a free and independent news media.'" (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Jamiles Lartey of the Guardian: "Journalists expressed disgust with Donald Trump's remarks at a rally Thursday night in Montana, where he praised and joked about the unprovoked assault on a Guardian US journalist by the state's congressman, Greg Gianforte. 'Gianforte is a criminal. He pled guilty to [assault]. The president is congratulating a criminal on committing a crime,' said New York Times correspondent Binyamin Appelbaum.... Axios national political reporter Jonathan Swan replied: 'Nothing tough about jumping a reporter for asking you a substantive question. Just unhinged,' before also pointing out that Gianforte and his staff lied about the assault to police and the public. 'Only reason Gianforte got caught is because there was a tape,' Swan said. A spokeswoman for the British prime minister Theresa May said on Friday: 'Any violence or intimidation against a journalist is completely unacceptable.'... CNN reporter Jim Acosta, who was at the rally in Montana, observed: 'The disturbing part of Trump's jokes about Gianforte was the effect on the crowd. I saw one young man in the crowd making body-slam gestures. He looked at me and ran his thumb across his throat. I talked to him after the rally was over. He couldn't stop laughing. A number of journalists pointed out how Trump's comments are especially troubling this week, coming as evidence mounts that Saudi Arabian crown prince Mohammed bin Salman is directly linked to the presumed murder of journalist and Saudi critic Jamal Khashoggi.... 'Tonight [Trump] celebrates an assault on a reporter in Montana at the same time as his Administration tries to minimize the murder of a reporter in Turkey. His words matter, and they reveal his character, said New Yorker and CNN contributor Jeffrey Toobin." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Jennifer Rubin of the Washington Post: "One can hardly fathom the twisted psyche of a president who, after acknowledging that Jamal Khashoggi, a contributing columnist for The Post's Global Opinions, had likely been murdered, would go before a cheering mob to lavish praise on a U.S. congressman who physically attacked a journalist.... Trump won't apologize, of course, nor will his devoted base hold his remarks against him.... This is what they love about him -- the contempt for a free press, the celebration of male thuggishness, the mindless emotional outbursts. Somehow it empowers them, to side wit brutes and bullies, to revel in the silencing of a free press." ...

... Jonathan Chait has a good take on Trump's praise of violence against journalists. "Trump is telling Republicans everywhere that they can help gain power and esteem through violence against journalists. His crowd's enthusiasm vindicates him." The one thing Chait omits as that even as Trump praises Gianforte & helps MBS craft a cover story, Trump is regaling the same crowd with poetry like, "Democrats produce mobs, Republicans produce jobs." That is, he is (falsely) accusing Democrats of exactly the same behavior he is advocating in Republicans. (Also linked yesterday.)

Julian Borger of the Guardian: "John Bolton is pushing for the US to withdraw from a cold war-era arms control treaty with Russia, in the face of resistance from others in the Trump administration and US allies, according to sources briefed on the initiative. Bolton, Donald Trump's third national security adviser, has issued a recommendation for withdrawal from the 1987 intermediate-range nuclear forces treaty (INF), which the US says Russia has been violating with the development of a new cruise missile.... The US has briefed its European allies this week about the proposal.... The briefing alarmed UK officials who see the INF as an important arms control pillar. The treaty marked the end of a dangerous nuclear standoff in 1980s Europe... Bolton, who has spent his career opposing arms control treaties, is seeking to shrug off the traditional role of national security adviser as a policy broker between the agencies, and become a driver of radical change from within the White House. Former US officials say Bolton is blocking talks on extending the 2010 New Start treaty with Russia limiting deployed strategic nuclear warheads and their delivery systems." ...

     ... ** Update. David Sanger & William Broad of the New York Times: "The Trump administration is preparing to tell Russian leaders next week that it is planning to exit the landmark Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, in part to enable the United States to counter a Chinese arms buildup in the Pacific, according to American officials and foreign diplomats. President Trump has been moving toward scrapping the three-decade-old treaty, which grew out of President Ronald Reagan's historic meeting with Mikhail Gorbachev in 1986. While the treaty was seen as effective for years, Russia has been violating it at least since 2014 in an effort to menace other nations. But the pact has also constrained the United States from deploying new weapons to respond to China's efforts to cement a dominant position in the Western Pacific and to keep American naval forces at bay. Because China was not a signatory to the treaty, it has faced no limits on developing intermediate-range nuclear missiles, which can travel thousands of miles."

Katie Benner of the New York Times: "During his 20 months in office, Attorney General Jeff Sessions has swept in perhaps the most dramatic political shift in memory at the Justice Department, from the civil rights-centered agenda of the Obama era to one that favors his hard-line conservative views on immigration, civil rights and social issues. Now, discontent and infighting have taken hold at the Justice Department, in part because Mr. Sessions was so determined to carry out that transformation that he ignored dissent, at times putting the Trump administration on track to lose in court and prompting high-level departures, according to interviews over several months with two dozen current and former career department lawyers who worked under Mr. Sessions.... President Trump has exacerbated the dynamic, they said, by repeatedly attacking Mr. Sessions and the Justice Department in baldly political and personal terms. And he has castigated rank-and-file employees, which career lawyers said further chilled dissent and debate within the department." (Also linked yesterday.)

So Much for That Promotion. Grace Segers of CBS News: "Suzanne Israel Tufts has resigned her post at the Department of Housing and Urban Development. HUD Secretary Ben Carson sent an email to staff last week congratulating Tufts, whom he said would be leaving to take the job as acting inspector general at the Interior Department. However, the current acting IG, Mary Kendall, had not been informed that she was apparently being replaced, which the Interior Department says could only be done at the president's request. A spokesperson for Kendall told CBS News on Wednesday that she was still on the job and has not received any indication from the White House or the department that she is being replaced.... In a statement, Raffi Williams, deputy assistant secretary for public affairs at HUD, confirmed Tufts' departure. 'Secretary Carson thanks her for her service to the Administration and the country. We wish her all the best,' he said." Mrs. McC: Kinda sounds as if Tufts had served her purpose -- letting Carson off the hook for buying that pricey dining set -- and now he can hardly wait to get her out the door. ...

     ... Odder Than I Thought. Lisa Rein, et al., of the Washington Post: "Suzanne Israel Tufts was scheduled to be interviewed Friday morning for another inspector general position elsewhere in the government.... But she did not show up for the appointment.... In recent days, Tufts was referred by the White House to interview with a group of inspectors general who vet potential candidates for permanent, Senate-confirmed watchdog positions. As with the acting job her candidacy for a permanent position at another agency was highly unusual because inspectors general, while Senate confirmed, are not supposed to be partisan.... She had not been at work for at least two months..., but was still on the payroll." Anyway, Tufts seems to be off the government payroll. But everything is going very smoothly.

Election 2018

David Leonhardt of the New York Times: "The end of Robert Mueller's investigation. The loss of health insurance for several million people. New laws that make it harder to vote. More tax cuts for the rich. More damage to the environment. A Republican Party molded even more in the image of President Trump. These are among the plausible consequences if the Republicans sweep the midterm elections and keep control of both the House and Senate. And don't fool yourself. That outcome, although not the most likely one, remains possible. The last couple of weeks of polling have shown how it could happen. Voters who lean Republican -- including whites across the South -- could set aside their disappointment with Trump and vote for Republican congressional candidates. Voters who lean left -- including Latinos and younger adults -- could turn out in low numbers, as they usually do in midterm elections."

** Alaska. Tegan Hanlon & Annie Zak of the Anchorage Daily News: "Alaska Gov. Bill Walker announced Friday he is dropping his bid for re-election and endorsing Democrat Mark Begich against Republican Mike Dunleavy. Walker, elected as an independent, made the announcement Friday afternoon at the Alaska Federation of Natives Convention, three days after former Lt. Gov. Byron Mallott stepped down from both his office and the re-election campaign over unspecified 'inappropriate comments' he made to a woman. 'Every decision I have made as your governor, I have made on the basis of what I believe is best for Alaska,' Walker told the crowd. 'With that said, effective today, I am suspending my campaign for re-election as governor.' There were gasps from the audience.... Walker, a Republican-turned-independent, was elected in 2014 on a so-called unity ticket with Mallott, a Democrat, and defeated incumben Republican Sean Parnell."

** Texas. Houston Chronicle Editors: "... we enthusiastically endorse Beto O'Rourke for U.S. Senate. The West Texas congressman's command of issues that matter to this state, his unaffected eloquence and his eagerness to reach out to all Texans make him one of the most impressive candidates this editorial board has encountered in many years. Despite the long odds he faces -- pollster nonpareil Nate Silver gives O'Rourke a 20 percent chance of winning -- a 'Beto' victory would be good for Texas, not only because of his skills, both personal and political, but also because of the manifest inadequacies of the man he would replace. Ted Cruz -- a candidate the Chronicle endorsed in 2012, by the way -- is the junior senator from Texas in name only. Exhibiting little interest in addressing the needs of his fellow Texans during his six years in office, he has kept his eyes on a higher prize. He's been running for president since he took the oath of office .... For Cruz, public office is a private quest; the needs of his constituents are secondary." Read on. Mrs. McC: This is a rousing endorsement of O'Rourke & a hearty condemnation of Cruz. ...

... So here's an an Akhilleus likes, but it was not cut by a candidate. It is kinda perfect. "C'mon, Ted":

Florida. A list of the Miami Herald's endorsements for statewide & local offices, as well as state constitutional amendments, is here. The editors have endorsed Sen. Bill Nelson (D) for re-election & will endorse Andrew Gillum (D) for governor.

Indiana. Justin Mack & Holly Hays of the Indianapolis Star: "Many Hoosiers who saw the latest Joe Donnelly ad entitled 'Ax' may have viewed it and thought, 'well, there's a fella who likes to chop his own wood!' But fans of HBO's 'Veep' looked at it and said, 'boy, this sure looks familiar.' That's because the Donnelly ad posted to his YouTube page Wednesday is very similar to a commercial called 'Chopping' that aired on the Julia Louis-Dreyfus led comedy for fictional congressional candidate Jonah Ryan. The similarities, from the location to the close-up shots of wood being chopped on a stump, were pointed out on Twitter by Jerry Dunleavy.... In August, Mike Braun's campaign pulled its campaign ad known as 'Doers' after it was pointed out that shared similarities with a Chevron ad, according to the Indiana Democratic Party. The two shared the tagline 'doers,' as well as similar graphic design elements." Braun is Donnelly's GOP opponent. Mrs. Mc.C: You'd think Sen. Donnelly would be smart enough not to duplicate his opponent's goof. But no. (Also linked yesterday, along with a couple of "Veep" videos, which I did not bring forward.)

Minnesota. Andrew Kaczynski & Jamie Ehrlich of CNN: "Republican Rep. Jason Lewis [Minnesota] once mocked women who were traumatized by unwanted sexual advances.... The Minnesota congressman made his comment during a November 2011 broadcast of 'The Jason Lewis Show,' a syndicated radio program that aired from 2009 until 2014 before he was elected to the House in 2016. Lewis was discussing sexual harassment allegations leveled against then-Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain.... '... how traumatizing was it?' Lewis said. 'How many women at some point in their life have a man come on to them, place their hand on their shoulder or maybe even their thigh, kiss them, and they would rather not have it happen, but is that really something that's going to be seared in your memory that you'll need therapy for? You'll never get over?... Come on! She wasn't raped,' Lewis added, using a voice mocking an emotionally distraught woman.... After CNN's KFile contacted Lewis' campaign for comment, a law firm representing ... the radio network that produced Lewis' show, sent a letter demanding that CNN 'cease and desist' from using the copyrighted radio show.... CNN is using the audio under the 'fair use' doctrine...."

Way Beyond the Beltway

Griff Witte of the Washington Post: "Europe's top court ordered Poland's government on Friday to immediately halt implementation of a controversial law designed to force more than a dozen of the nation's Supreme Court justices into early retirement. The surprise decision by the European Court of Justice (ECJ) sets up a potential clash between European authorities and the right-wing Polish government, which has been accused of subverting the rule of law with a bid to pack Supreme Court with sympathetic judges. The Polish government had no immediate reaction to the ruling. But Polish officials have earlier suggested they might defy the ECJ's will if the court sought to intervene in what the government sees as a purely domestic matter." (Also linked yesterday.)