The Commentariat -- December 18, 2017
Afternoon Update:
David Sanger & Mark Landler of the New York Times: "President Trump's first national security strategy envisions a world in which the United States confronts two 'revisionist' powers -- China and Russia -- that are seeking to change the global status quo, often to the detriment of America's interests. But while the document outlines a detailed plan to push back against China's global economic ambitions, it says little about dealing with the kind of cyber and information warfare techniques that Moscow used to try to influence the 2016 presidential election.... The president, his aides said, enthusiastically approved the strategy and wanted to present it himself, something that his two immediate predecessors, Barack Obama and George W. Bush, did not do when their congressionally mandated strategies were published.... The document describes Russia's behavior in far more critical terms than Mr. Trump himself often does.... Mr. Trump's strategy contains more than a few hints of a return to a Cold War view of the world." ...
... Mrs. McCrabbie: Maybe Trump is "enthusiastic" about it because his briefers, comme d'habitude, didn't tell him what-all was in it. ...
... Benjamin Hart of New York: "The year 2017 has seen a supercharged hurricane devastate Puerto Rico, wildfires raging out of control in California, and a catastrophic rainfall event in Houston.... There is convincing evidence that the massive amount of carbon humans are pumping into the atmosphere played a key role in all of these occurrences. The Trump administration's reaction: This is fine. In its new National Security Strategy, which President Trump will announce in a speech on Monday afternoon, the administration will drop climate change in its list of threats to the nation. Instead, it will focus on securing the country's border and a plan for 'economic security,' which involves an
Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "Republicans return to Congress this week with victory in sight on their long-awaited tax bill as the House and Senate gear up to vote on the $1.5 trillion tax overhaul as soon as Tuesday. The bill's expected passage along party lines had Democrats scrambling over the weekend to try to pressure a late supporter of the legislation, Senator Bob Corker, Republican of Tennessee, to vote against the bill. With just a 52-48 majority in the Senate, Republicans have little room for defections given that Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona, is getting medical treatment in his home state and is not expected to return to Washington in time for the vote. Democrats are now looking to change the trajectory of the bill by convincing Republicans who had initially wavered on the bill to vote against it this week." ... ... Corker Kickback, Ctd. Naomi Jagoda of the Hill: "The chairman of the Senate Finance Committee on Monday shot down reports that a tax break for real-estate developers was 'air-dropped' into the final GOP tax bill and that Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) had pushed for it. 'Both assertions are categorically false,' Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) said in a letter to Corker. Hatch's letter comes after a request from Corker on Sunday to get more information about how a provision relating to pass-through businesses ended up in the final tax legislation. The provision in question allows capital-intensive pass-through businesses to receive more tax relief.... Hatch said he is 'disgusted' by press reports that have 'distorted' how the provision originated." ... ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Yes, because many members of Congress & big donors have real-estate investments set up as pass-throughs, not just Corker. This is a gift for many of our friends & donors. Our corruption is widespread. Matt Zapotosky of the Washington Post: "Alex Kozinski, the powerful judge on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 9th Circuit who was facing a judicial investigation over allegations that he subjected 15 women to inappropriate sexual behavior, announced Monday that he would retire effective immediately. In a statement provided by his lawyer, Kozinski apologized, saying that he 'had a broad sense of humor and a candid way of speaking to both male and female law clerks alike' and that, 'in doing so, I may not have been mindful enough of the special challenges and pressures that women face in the workplace.'... The announcement comes just days after The Washington Post reported that nine more women had accused Kozinski of making sexual comments to them or of other conduct, including four who said he touched them inappropriately. That story followed an earlier report in The Post, which detailed the allegations of six women, including former clerks who said Kozinski showed them porn in his chambers." ... ***** Andrew Kramer of the New York Times: "President Vladimir V. Putin called President Trump on Sunday to thank him for the work of the Central Intelligence Agency in helping prevent an Islamic State attack in the northern Russian city of St. Petersburg. In rare words of praise for the C.I.A., Mr. Putin said the agency had provided information that 'helped detain terrorists planning explosions,' the Kremlin said in a statement posted on its website. The attackers planned to strike crowded sites including Kazan Cathedral, a landmark Orthodox Christian church, the statement said." ... ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: This mutual admiration society is getting saccharine. Philip Rucker, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump on Sunday sought to douse speculation that he may fire special counsel Robert S. Mueller III amid an intensifying campaign by Trump allies to attack the wide-ranging Russia investigation as improper and politically motivated. Returning to the White House from Camp David, Trump was asked Sunday whether he intended to fire Mueller. 'No, I'm not,' he told journalists, insisting that there was 'no collusion whatsoever' between his campaign and Russia. The president's comments came a day after a lawyer representing Trump's transition team accused Mueller of wrongfully obtaining thousands of emails sent and received by Trump officials before the start of his administration -- a legal and public relations maneuver seen as possibly laying the groundwork to oust the special counsel. Trump criticized Mueller for gaining access to those emails, telling reporters the situation was not looking good.' 'It's quite sad to see that,' Trump said. 'My people were very upset about it.'" ... Michael Schmidt of the New York Times: "For much of the seven months since Robert S. Mueller III was appointed special counsel, President Trump's lawyers have stressed their cooperation with him, believing that the more they work with his investigation, the sooner the president will have his name cleared.But in recent weeks, as the investigation has reached deeper into Mr. Trump's inner circle, that image of cooperation has begun to fracture. Mr. Trump's lawyers and supporters have significantly increased their attacks on Mr. Mueller.... Kellyanne Conway, said ... 'the fix was in against Donald Trump from the beginning.'" ... Mommy, Why Does White Santa Go Only to Rich People's Houses? Jesse Drucker & Alan Rappeport of the New York Times: "President Trump has called the $1.5 trillion tax cut that Republican lawmakers are on the verge of passing a Christmas present for the entire nation. But the fine print reveals that some will get a much nicer gift than others, the benefits will change over time, and some will be left out in the cold. Real estate developers and technology companies could see big tax cuts, while low-income households and people buying health insurance could lose out." Big Shiny Gifts go to Donald Trump & his family, big corporations, multimillionaires, private equity managers, private schools & those who can afford them, the liquor business, architects & engineers, tax accountants & lawyers. Lumps of Coal go to people buying health insurance, ordinary taxpayers, the elderly, low-income families, owners of high-end homes, people in high-property-tax states, people in high-income states, Puerto Rico, the IRS. ... Dear Cousin Fred, I had planned to send you a beautiful Merry Christmas card with a generous greenback enclosed, but instead I'm sending you a lump of coal wrapped in this New York Times story. You are such a loser. Hope your fucking MAGA cap & T-shirt keep you warm. As affectionately as ever, Cousin Bea ... The Corker Kickback, Ctd. Judd Legum of Think Progress: Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) went on the teevee & kinda refuted Sen. Bob Corker's (R-Tenn.) claim he had no idea that the tax heist bill that came out of the House-Senate conference committee had added a big new tax break that would specifically benefit Corker (and the Trump family). Cornyn "told ABC News that the provision that benefits real estate investors [like Corker, the 4th-richest U.S. senator] was added as part of an effort to 'cobble together the votes we needed to get this bill passed.' When asked if the provision was added specifically to secure Corker's vote, Cornyn dodged the question.... Meanwhile, #CorkerKickback is trending on Twitter." Mrs. McC: If you missed the backstory on this, I linked one on Saturday & one on Sunday, but Legum writes a good summary. ... ... Jim Tankersley of the New York Times: "The Republican tax bill does not pass the postcard test. It leaves nearly every large tax break in place. It creates as many new preferences for special interests as it gets rid of. It will keep corporate accountants busy for years to come. And no taxpayer will ever see the postcard-size tax return that President Trump laid a kiss on in November as Republican leaders launched their tax overhaul effort. This was not the grand simplification of the code that Republicans promised when they set out to eliminate tax breaks and cut the number of tax brackets as they lowered rates." ... ... Dan Lamothe of the Washington Post: "Sen. John McCain left the nation's capital Sunday to spend Christmas in Arizona with his family as he battles brain cancer, giving his Republican Party one less vote as it is expected this week to attempt to push through a contentious tax bill along party lines. President Trump told reporters Sunday that McCain (R-Ariz.) and his wife, Cindy McCain, have 'headed back [to Arizona], but I understand he'll come if we ever needed his help, which hopefully we won't.'... Trump said he spoke to Cindy McCain by phone Sunday." ... ... E.J. Dionne of the Washington Post: "The tax bill the GOP is trying to foist on the country is not only an unfair and deficit-bloating hodgepodge written on the fly. It is also deeply corrupt. Every Republican who votes for this bill will be joining a festival of venality.... The tax bill is not illegal. But it is a dishonest power and money grab by -- and on behalf of -- the already powerful. As for 'inducements,' well, there are those long-term investments of tens of millions of dollars in campaign contributions (enabled by the collapse of all the guardrails around political money) from wealthy individuals and regiments of interest groups. They will have a merry holiday season if the bill passes as expected.... The shamelessness of Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's description of the bill on CNN Sunday as 'a very large tax cut for working families' is quite staggering." Joe Davidson of the Washington Post: "The Trump administration's consideration of a wage freeze for federal employees is one piece of a renewed multifront Republican push to shrink those workers' pay, benefits and workforce.... Confidential administration information released last week by Sen. Claire McCaskill (Mo.), the leading Democrat on the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, revealed an administration proposal to freeze federal salaries in fiscal 2019. That is the third piece in a pattern that includes Trump's 2018 budget proposal to cut the employer contribution to retirement benefits and the House Republican plan to have retirees pay more out of pocket for their health insurance. Congress did not approve the last two recommendations, and the pay freeze, which Trump can impose, is not beyond the leaked-document stage. Yet the proposals lurk, likely to reemerge in future budget plans after having long percolated in conservative circles." We have seen a lot of nefarious activities from Trump. But hiring a fossil fuel front group that specializes in political hits and is doing F.O.I.A. investigations of your agency's own employees is a new low. -- Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) This is classic propaganda from an authoritarian regime. -- Tom Steyer, billionaire environmenalist & Democratic donor, whom America Rising is surveilling ... ... Eric Lipton & Lisa Friedman of the New York Times: Right after EPA employees complained about aspects of the agency, "requests were submitted for copies of emails written by them that mentioned either Mr. Pruitt or President Trump, or any communication with Democrats in Congress that might have been critical of the agency. The requests came from a Virginia-based lawyer working with America Rising, a Republican campaign research group that specializes in helping party candidates and conservative groups find damaging information on political rivals, and which, in this case, was looking for information that could undermine employees who had criticized the E.P.A. Now a company affiliated with America Rising, named Definers Public Affairs, has been hired by the E.P.A. to provide 'media monitoring,' in a move the agency said was intended to keep better track of newspaper and video stories about E.P.A. operations nationwide.... In addition to sharing at least nine current and former executives, Definers Public Affairs shares an office building in Arlington, Va., with the multiple arms of America Rising and NTK Network. ... ... But He's Not Watching Fake "Charities." Robert O'Harrow of the Washington Post: "Years of conservative attacks on the Internal Revenue Service have greatly diminished the ability of agency regulators to oversee political activity by charities and other nonprofits, documents and interviews show. The fall in oversight, a byproduct of repeated cuts to the IRS budget, comes at a time when the number of charities is reaching a historic high and they are becoming more partisan and financially complex. It represents a success for conservatives who have long sought to scale back the IRS and shrink the federal government.... The main part of government tasked with policing [nonprofits], the IRS's Exempt Organizations division, has seen its budget decline from a peak of $102 million in 2011 to $82 million last year. At the same time, division employees have fallen from 889 to 642. The division now lacks expertise, resources and the will needed to effectively oversee more than 1.2 million charities and tens of thousands of social welfare groups, according to interviews with two dozen nonprofit specialists and current and former IRS officials." ... ... Nor Big Pharma. Lenny Bernstein & Scott Higham of the Washington Post: "After two years of painstaking investigation..., the Drug Enforcement Administration team ... were ready to move on the biggest opioid distribution case in U.S. history. The team, based out of the DEA's Denver field division, had been examining the operations of the nation's largest drug company, McKesson Corp. By 2014, investigators said they could show that the company had failed to report suspicious orders involving millions of highly addictive painkillers.... Some of those went to corrupt pharmacies that supplied drug rings.... But ... top attorneys at the DEA and the Justice Department struck a deal earlier this year with the corporation and its powerful lawyers, an agreement that was far more lenient than the field division wanted.... Although the agents and investigators said they had plenty of evidence and wanted criminal charges, they were unable to convince the U.S. attorney in Denver that they had enough to bring a case. Discussions about charges never became part of the negotiations between the government lawyers in Washington and the company." Jonathan Chait: Republicans can't figure out why they're so unpopular. Donald Trump knows. During the presidential campaign, he promised to be a different kind of Republican. "He promised to raise taxes on himself and other wealthy people, give everybody terrific health care, break up the big banks, take on Big Pharma, spend a trillion dollars on infrastructure, and rewrite every trade agreement. These promises played a crucial role in helping attract downscale Democrats in the Midwest who had voted for Obama but now saw Trump as the economic populist candidate. In office, he has abandoned every one of these promises. The unpopularity of Trump and his party is no mystery. Despite the continuing growth of the economy, public antipathy has swollen well beyond the normal backlash experienced by a party in control of government. The public simply hates everything they're doing.... Amazingly, passing a deeply unpopular tax cut for rich people was a consensus solution to the party's low standing with the public." ... ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Chait is wrong about this. Republicans are perfectly aware the public hates their tax heist. That's why they crafted the bill is secret & lie every day about what's in it. More generally, Republicans know they're unpopular with ordinary people. Why else would they work so hard to suppress votes? Or gerrymander the hell out of every state they control? Or want to revoke the 17th Amendment which established the popular election of U.S. senators? Or, or, or. ... ... Alex Shephard of the New Republic links Roy Moore's loss & the tax bill to announce "the end of economic nationalism.... Trump won by rejecting both liberalism and mainstream Republicans, who remain fixated on massive supply-side tax cuts for the wealthy and just as massive entitlement cuts.... [But] ... he was not interested in adhering to a coherent political philosophy, abandoning trade deals one moment only to throw his support to the Republican Party's corporate donors the next. But [Steve] Bannon continued to carry the flag, claiming he would champion those candidates who would upend mainstream Republican thinking.... While Moore didn't advocate the kind of economic policies that Bannon had claimed for his revolution, he was a rabid culture warrior unafraid to take on his own party. Bannonism isn't grounded in intellectualism; it is merely a more nihilistic variant of the right-wing rebellion that burst into the open in 2010 with the Tea Party.... After Roy Moore, it became painfully obvious that economic nationalism was a con all along." Sens. Elizabeth Warren & Bernie Sanders, in a New York Times op-ed, encourage Congress to do right by the American people instead of just their fat-cat donors. Ho ho ho. Edward-Isaac Dovere of Politico: "At least four senators are urging Al Franken to reconsider resigning, including two who issued statements calling for the resignation two weeks ago and said they now feel remorse over what they feel was a rush to judgment. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), who urged Franken not to step down to begin with -- at least not before he went through an Ethics Committee investigation -- said the Minnesota senator was railroaded by fellow Democrats.... People familiar with Franken's plans said he has not changed his mind and intends to formally resign in early January. He praised the selection of [Tina] Smith [to replace him] and has begun working with her on the transition." Even though Senator-elect Doug Jones won the women's vote (tho not the white women's vote), he doesn't think sexual assault is a "real issue." Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "Speaking on CNN on Sunday, Jones emphasized he has no interest in focusing on what reporter Jake Tapper referred to as the 'horrific' allegations of sexual assault against ... Donald Trump. 'Those allegations were made before the election. So people had an opportunity to judge before that election,' Jones said in the interview. 'I think we need to move on and not get distracted by those issues. Let's get on with the real issues that are facing people of this country right now.'" And he does not think Trump should resign over those allegations. Jourdan Rodrigue, et al., of the Charlotte (N.C.) Observer: "... Carolina Panthers owner Jerry Richardson released a statement through the team on Sunday night that said he will put the team up for sale at the conclusion of the 2017 NFL season. The announcement came just hours after a Sports Illustrated report outlined allegations of sexual and racial misconduct by Richardson toward former Panthers employees. The team announced an investigation into the alleged misconduct on Friday evening. The NFL said Sunday that it would take over the investigation." ... ... The Sports Illustrated report, by Jon Wertheim & Viv Bernstein, is here. News Lede Seattle Times: "At least three people were killed after an Amtrak train derailed and fell off a bridge over Interstate 5 near Mounts Road between Lakewood and Olympia. Pierce County Sheriff's spokesman Ed Troyer told news media that there were fatalities on the train and that motorists had been injured, but not killed. The extent of the injuries is not yet known."