The Ledes

Thursday, September 19, 2024

New York Times: “A body believed to be of the suspect in a Kentucky highway shooting that left five people seriously injured this month was found on Wednesday, the authorities said, ending a manhunt that stretched into a second week and set the local community on edge. The Kentucky State Police commissioner, Phillip Burnett Jr., said in a Wednesday night news conference that at approximately 3:30 p.m., two troopers and two civilians found an unidentified body in the brush behind the highway exit where the shooting occurred.... The police have identified the suspect of the shooting as Joseph A. Couch, 32. They said that on Sept. 7, Mr. Couch perched on a cliff overlooking Interstate 75 about eight miles north of London, Ky., and opened fire. One of the wounded was shot in the face, and another was shot in the chest. A dozen vehicles were riddled with gunfire.”

The Wires
powered by Surfing Waves
Help!

To keep the Conversation going, please help me by linking news articles, opinion pieces and other political content in today's Comments section.

Link Code:   <a href="URL">text</a>

OR here's a link generator. The one I had posted died, but Akhilleus found this new one that he says is easy to use.

OR you can always just block, copy and paste to your comment the URL (Web address) of the page you want to link.

Note for Readers. It is not possible for commenters to "throw" their highlighted links to another window. But you can do that yourself. Right-click on the link and a drop-down box will give you choices as to where you want to open the link: in a new tab, new window or new private window.

Thank you to everyone who has been contributing links to articles & other content in the Comments section of each day's "Conversation." If you're missing the comments, you're missing some vital links.

The New York Times lists Emmy winners. The AP has an overview story here.

New York Times: “Hvaldimir, a beluga whale who had captured the public’s imagination since 2019 after he was spotted wearing a harness seemingly designed for a camera, was found dead on Saturday in Norway, according to a nonprofit that worked to protect the whale.... [Hvaldimir] was wearing a harness that identified it as “equipment” from St. Petersburg. There also appeared to be a camera mount. Some wondered if the whale was on a Russian reconnaissance mission. Russia has never claimed ownership of the whale. If Hvaldimir was a spy, he was an exceptionally friendly one. The whale showed signs of domestication, and was comfortable around people. He remained in busier waters than are typical for belugas....” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: Oh, Lord, do not let Bobby Kennedy, Jr., near that carcass. ~~~

     ~~~ AP Update: “There’s no evidence that a well-known beluga whale that lived off Norway’s coast and whose harness ignited speculation it was a Russian spy was shot to death last month as claimed by animal rights groups, Norwegian police said Monday.... Police said that the Norwegian Veterinary Institute conducted a preliminary autopsy on the animal, which was become known as 'Hvaldimir,' combining the Norwegian word for whale — hval — and the first name of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 'There are no findings from the autopsy that indicate that Hvaldimir has been shot,' police said in a statement.”

New York Times: Botswana's “President Mokgweetsi Masisi grinned as he lifted the diamond, a 2,492-carat stone that is the biggest diamond unearthed in more than a century and the second-largest ever found, according to the Vancouver-based mining operator Lucara, which owns the mine where it was found. This exceptional discovery could bring back the luster of the natural diamond mining industry, mining companies and experts say. The diamond was discovered in the same relatively small mine in northeastern Botswana that has produced several of the largest such stones in living memory. Such gemstones typically surface as a result of volcanic activity.... The diamond will likely sell in the range of tens of millions of dollars....”

Click on photo to enlarge.

~~~ Guardian: "On a distant reef 16,000km from Paris, surfer Gabriel Medina has given Olympic viewers one of the most memorable images of the Games yet, with an airborne celebration so well poised it looked too good to be true. The Brazilian took off a thundering wave at Teahupo’o in Tahiti on Monday, emerging from a barrelling section before soaring into the air and appearing to settle on a Pacific cloud, pointing to the sky with biblical serenity, his movements mirrored precisely by his surfboard. The shot was taken by Agence France-Presse photographer Jérôme Brouillet, who said “the conditions were perfect, the waves were taller than we expected”. He took the photo while aboard a boat nearby, capturing the surreal image with such accuracy that at first some suspected Photoshop or AI." 

Washington Post: “'Mary Cassatt at Work' is a large and mostly satisfying exhibition devoted to the career of the great American artist beloved for her sensitive and often sentimental views of family life. The 'at work' in the title of the Philadelphia Museum of Art show references the curators’ interest in Cassatt’s pioneering effort to establish herself as a professional artist within a male-dominated field. Throughout the show, which includes some 130 paintings, pastels, prints and drawings, the wall text and the art on view stresses Cassatt’s fixation on art as a career rather than a pastime.... Mary Cassatt at Work is on view at the Philadelphia Museum of Art through Sept. 8. philamuseum.org

New York Times: “Bob Newhart, who died on Thursday at the age of 94, has been such a beloved giant of popular culture for so long that it’s easy to forget how unlikely it was that he became one of the founding fathers of stand-up comedy. Before basically inventing the hit stand-up special, with the 1960 Grammy-winning album 'The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart' — that doesn’t even count his pay-per-view event broadcast on Canadian television that some cite as the first filmed special — he was a soft-spoken accountant who had never done a set in a nightclub. That he made a classic with so little preparation is one of the great miracles in the history of comedy.... Bob Newhart holds up. In fact, it’s hard to think of a stand-up from that era who is a better argument against the commonplace idea that comedy does not age well.”

Washington Post: “An early Titian masterpiece — once looted by Napolean’s troops and a part of royal collections for centuries — caused a stir when it was stolen from the home of a British marquess in 1995. Seven years later, it was found inside an unassuming white and blue plastic bag at a bus stop in southwest London by an art detective, and returned. This week, the oil painting 'The Rest on the Flight into Egypt' sold for more than $22 million at Christie’s. It was a record for the Renaissance artist, whom museums describe as the greatest painter of 16th-century Venice. Ahead of the sale in April, the auction house billed it as 'the most important work by Titian to come to the auction market in more than a generation.'”

Washington Post: The Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C., which houses the world's largest collection of Shakespeare material, has undergone a major renovation. "The change to the building is pervasive, both subtle and transformational."

Contact Marie

Click on this link to e-mail Marie.

Constant Comments

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. -- Edward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns


Friday
Nov042016

The Commentariat -- November 5, 2016

Afternoon Update:

Trumpsky Dachas, Fla., U.S.A. Tom Hamburger, et al., of the Washington Post: "Donald Trump's positive statements about Russian President Vladimir Putin and his ­Russia-aligned policy positions have prompted critics to question the extent of the Republican presidential nominee's financial connection to that country. While he has denied having investments in Russia, the experience in ­Sunny Isles[, Fla.,] and other Trump-branded communities shows how Russians have invested in him. In addition to the towers of 'Little Moscow,' Russian investors have been a valuable source of capital for Trump buildings in nearby Hollywood, Fla., and in a large complex in Panama City, Panama. Trump does not own these buildings, but, like many Trump projects around the world, he licensed the use of his name and took a percentage of the profits from the initial sales of units. Real estate agents say there have been fewer Russian investors in Florida condos since U.S.-imposed sanctions on Russia took effect in 2014. They predict that the market will improve if Trump wins and reconsiders the sanctions." -- CW

Rosalind Helderman & Mary Jordan of the Washington Post: "Melania Trump ..., an immigrant from Slovenia, was paid for 10 modeling jobs in 1996 before she received legal authorization to work in the United States, the Associated Press reported Friday night.... [Story linked below.] The finding contradicts repeated statements from both Melania and Donald Trump, who have insisted that she scrupulously followed U.S. immigration law when she came to the United States.... [Donald Trump] has based much of his campaign on a vow to crack down on illegal immigration -- including deporting people who have violated the terms of their immigration status.... In a speech [Melania Trump] delivered Thursday in a Philadelphia suburb, she again highlighted her legal immigration status.... Trump has promised to deport people who have violated the terms of their visas.... Immigration experts say questions remain about how Melania was able to obtain her green card in 2001.... She has said she was granted the permit because of 'extraordinary ability,' but experts say that visa category is generally reserved for people whose accomplishment is at the level of a Nobel Prize winner. It would be unusual, they say, for a model with no college degree to qualify." -- CW

Paul Campos on the news that the paper of record, the National Enquirer, paid $150K to spike a story about an affair Donald Trump (allegedly) had while his new wife Melania was pregnant (story linked below): "Of course the real scandal here is that the Enquirer did this after running, at the most crucial juncture of the GOP primaries, an unsubstantiated story about Ted Cruz having an affair, and a completely hallucinogenic story about Cruz's father taking part in the murder of JFK. That Trump is a completely amoral pig who is more than willing to have sex with other women while his wife is otherwise occupied in a maternity ward is not exactly breaking news, although maybe it should give pause to his biggest evangelical boosters. (Who am I kidding?)." -- CW

Nolan McCaskill of Politico: "Donald Trump on Saturday complimented a state official who called Hillary Clinton a 'c[unt]' and cited him as evidence that he's winning Texas." -- CW

Wherein Wolf Blitzer, of all people, catches America's Mayor in a series of lies. Who knew Rudy could tap-dance? Maybe it's the bowtie. -- CW

*****

Presidential Race

Nate Silver: "We're a couple of days removed from the point when almost every poll showed Hillary Clinton on a downward trajectory. Instead, polls over the past 24 hours have been more equivocal. National polls tend to suggest that Donald Trump's momentum has halted, and that Clinton may even be regaining ground. But Trump is getting his share of good results in state polls, which both show competitive races in some of Clinton's 'firewall' states and favorable trend lines for Trump." -- CW ...

... "Trump is Just a Normal Polling Error Behind Clinton." Harry Enten of 538: "All of this is to say that even if Clinton's lead [in the pre-election polls] over Trump doesn't shrink anymore, Trump might still win. He would need only a normal-sized polling error. Of course, that error would need to be in his favor, and there's nothing inherent about polling errors that says they must aid the trailing candidate." -- CW

The New York Times is reporting "live briefings" of weekend campaign doings here.

Most Trump Campaign Trail Surrogates Are Dirty Old Men. Alexander Burns & Gardiner Harris of the New York Times: "Hillary Clinton campaigned Friday in the company of friends and celebrities, first flanked by the billionaire businessman Mark Cuban in Pittsburgh and Detroit, and then bound for a Jay Z concert in Cleveland. High-wattage political leaders fanned out for her around the country: Her husband, Bill, stumped in Colorado, as President Obama rallied voters in North Carolina.

     ... By comparison, Donald J. Trump was a lonely figure. In the final days of the presidential race, Mr. Trump's political isolation has made for an unusual spectacle on the campaign trail -- and perhaps a limiting factor in his dogged comeback bid. When it comes to bolstering Mr. Trump, the Republican Party is not sending its best:... Mr. Trump has been left instead with an eclectic group of backup players to aid him in his last dash for votes.... The most prominent Republicans in key swing states still fear that his unpopularity may taint them by association. Campaigning in New Hampshire on Friday, Mr. Trump did not appear with either Senator Kelly Ayotte, a Republican seeking re-election, or Chris Sununu, the Republican nominee for governor. Ms. Ayotte withdrew her endorsement of Mr. Trump last month, and Mr. Sununu has kept an awkward distance from Mr. Trump in his closely divided state. But Mr. Sununu's father, John H. Sununu, 77, a former governor of the state known for his irascible temper, introduced Mr. Trump with a crude joke about the Clintons. 'Do you think Bill was referring to Hillary when he said, "I did not have sex with that woman?"' Mr. Sununu cracked, drawing laughter from the crowd." See also Election News below. -- CW

Yamiche Alcindor & Amy Chozick of the New York Times: "Some of the most famous names in hip-hop came out to rally votes for [Hillary Clinton] at an event [in Cleveland] that featured Beyoncé, Jay Z and Chance the Rapper, all of whom implored thousands of cheering people to back the Democratic presidential nominee.... At the concert, aimed largely at urging black voters and millennials to vote on Tuesday, some of the biggest stars emphasized the historical significance of potentially electing the first woman as president." -- CW

Edward-Isaac Dovere of Politico: "President Barack Obama went into the final stretch of the 2016 campaign warning that Donald Trump is within range of winning, urging voters -- particularly black voters, whose turnout is lagging -- to see the Republican nominee as running an un-American, inhumane, racist campaign that must be stopped. 'This should not be a close race, but it's going to be a close race. It's going to be especially close here in North Carolina,' Obama said.... 'The fact that he has gotten this far tells me the degree to which our politics has become like a bad reality TV show.'... Obama said that in a state with a history of Jim Crow and more recent battles over voting rights restrictions, there is a special responsibility to show up at the polls and speak out. Think about the 100-year old North Carolina woman who'd been kicked off the voter rolls, he said, and recounted her fight to get herself reinstated in a letter that the president read to the crowd. 'It's bad enough she was disrespected. Are we now also going to respect her because we're not voting?' Obama said." -- CW

Bill's Crocodile Tears. Madeline Conway of Politico: "Bill Clinton on Friday used Melania Trump's recent campaign speech about cyber bullying to mock Donald Trump, suggesting her advocacy is ironic considering her husband's long history of antagonizing people on Twitter. 'I never felt so bad for anybody in my life as I did for his wife going out giving a speech saying "Oh, cyber bullying was a terrible thing,"' Clinton said, campaigning ... in Pueblo, Colorado. 'I thought, "Yeah, especially if it's done at three o'clock in the morning against a former Miss Universe by a guy running for president!'" the former president said to laughter." -- CW

David Corn of Mother Jones: "In an episode reminiscent of Watergate, the Democratic Party recently informed the FBI that it had collected evidence suggesting its Washington headquarters had been bugged, according to two Democratic National Committee officials.... [A sweep in October] found a radio signal near the chairman's office that indicated there might be a listening device outside the office. 'We were told that this was something that could pick up calls from cellphones,' a DNC official says.... No device was recovered. No possible culprits were identified." -- CW

** Adam Serwer of the Atlantic: "FBI Director James Comey's decision to reveal fresh details of the Bureau's investigation into Hillary Clinton's private email server while secretary of state, and the subsequent leaks from Bureau sources casting suspicion on Clinton and defending Republican nominee Donald Trump from allegations of Russian influence, do more than threaten the Bureau's reputation. They threaten American democracy as much as any of Trump's authoritarian proposals.... [Comey's] move, coming less than two weeks before the presidential election, suggests that some at the FBI once again feel untouchable.... It seems clear that key officials at the Bureau no longer feel that the rules against politicized disclosures apply to them.... A presidential election should not depend on the ability of candidates to successfully intimidate or cultivate favor among American national-security agencies." CW: Read the whole essay. I think it's excellent. ...

... Washington Post Editors: "IT WAS disruptive enough that James B. Comey ... injected last-minute uncertainty into the presidential campaign by announcing discovery of additional emails in the investigation of Hillary Clinton's private server. Mr. Comey's explanation for the disclosure ... was dubious, and the damaging impact, casting a new shadow over Ms. Clinton, was tangible. In the days since, the FBI's behavior has grown even more questionable. FBI sources have fanned new doubts about Ms. Clinton's candidacy with inaccurate leaks about an investigation of the Clinton Foundation. This reflects poorly on Mr. Comey's leadership and on the FBI.... Most irresponsible of all was Fox News anchor Bret Baier, who declared an 'avalanche' of evidence is 'coming every day' and an 'expansive' investigation into the foundation was ongoing and would lead 'to likely an indictment.' Without any substantiation whatsoever ... the headlines took off. The false report of an impending indictment was then repeated by Donald Trump." -- CW ...

... David Graham of the Atlantic: "One can start to imagine a path: FBI agents who hate Clinton leak to reporters or pass information to people like [form head of the NYC FBI office Jim] Kallstrom and [Rudy 9/11] Giuliani, who then send it to the media. Pressed on Fox and Friends Friday on whether he was tipped off ahead of time about the recent leaks, Giuliani said, 'Did I hear about it? You're darn right I heard about it, and I can't even repeat the language that I heard from the former FBI agents.' There is some irony that even as the Trump campaign is alleging improper communication between the Department of Justice and the Clinton campaign, a top Trump adviser is receiving just that kind of information. Giuliani's statement has already attracted the attention of Democrats on the House Oversight Committee, who wrote a letter Friday to the inspector general of the Justice Department requesting an investigation into the leaks." -- CW

... Annals of "Journalism," Ctd. Paul Farhi of the Washington Post: "Fox News anchor Bret Baier apologized Friday for [falsely] reporting that federal investigators had determined that Hillary Clinton's private email server had been hacked and that an investigation would lead to an indictment of Clinton after the election. In fact, Baier said, after checking with his sources, there is no evidence at this time for either statement. Baier, the anchor of Fox's evening newscast..., went on the air Wednesday to report that the FBI had determined that Clinton's private server, which she used while serving as secretary of state, had been hacked by 'five foreign intelligence agencies.' He further said on Thursday, during an interview with Fox's Brit Hume, that a separate FBI investigation - of the charitable Clinton Foundation -- was 'likely' to lead to an indictment of Clinton after Tuesday's election." -- CW: Of course it took the other major networks call your bluff before Baier coughed up an apology. See yesterday's Commentariat. ...

... Legitimizing Corruption -- Any Means to an End. Eric Levitz of New York: "'The damage is done to Hillary Clinton,' Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway told MSNBC's Brian Williams on Friday.... Conway hastened to explain that the 'damage' here was very good damage.... 'No matter how it's being termed, the voters are hearing it for what it is -- a culture of corruption,' Conway explained.... The damage is done. And, per Kellyanne Conway, James Comey and Bret Baier should be very proud." -- CW ...

... Matt Yglesias of Vox: "... emailgate, like so many Clinton pseudo-scandals before it, is bullshit. The real scandal here is the way a story that was at best of modest significance came to dominate the US presidential election -- overwhelming stories of much more importance, giving the American people a completely skewed impression of one of the two nominees, and creating space for the FBI to intervene in the election in favor of its apparently preferred candidate in a dangerous way.... Network newscasts have, remarkably, dedicated more airtime to coverage of Clinton's emails than to all policy issues combined.... Clinton broke no laws according to the FBI itself. Her setup gave her no power to evade federal transparency laws beyond what anyone who has a personal email account of any kind has. Her stated explanation for her conduct is entirely believable, fits the facts perfectly, and is entirely plausible to anyone who doesn't simply start with the assumption that she's guilty of something. Given [Colin] Powell's conduct, Clinton wasn't even breaking with an informal precedent." ...

     ... CW: If your dimwitted brother-in-law is still citing "the e-mails" as his reason for voting for Trump, send him Yglesias's post, assign him to read it, & then call him to discuss it. Your brother-in-law is going to have to come up with another bullshit excuse for an irresponsible vote for Trump, because Yglesias does a bang-up job of shooting down all the "Clinton e-mail scandal" shibboleths. This is not a "Clinton scandal"; it's a GOP/media/FBI scandal. ...

... MEANWHILE, in PodestaGate news, Abby Ohlheiser of the Washington Post has found it necessary to write a story under the headline "No, John Podesta didn't drink bodily fluids at a secret Satanist dinner." Why? Because an e-mail in the WikiLeaks Podesta dump "has prompted more than 400,000 tweets of a trending Twitter hashtag, a huge Drudge Report headline and a ton of right-wing news items, all claiming that the email proves a secret link between the Clinton campaign and Satan worship (which, just to be clear right here, it does not)." Here's a screenshot of Matt Drudge's top story Friday:

     ... CW: Maybe it's time for a massive, nationwide exorcism. These people are possessed.


Never Let the Facts Get in the Way. Eli Stokols
of Politico: Hillary "Clinton, [Donald] Trump predicted, will 'be under investigation for years.' Her election, he continued, would lead to 'an unprecedented constitutional crisis.'... Friday's news cycle did not exactly dovetail neatly with Trump's closing argument. As Trump was promising to 'drain the swamp' in Washington and portraying the federal government and Clinton as corrupt, two top allies of one of his most high-profile surrogates [Gov. Chrisco] were convicted -- and another [Rudy 9/11] went on television and appeared to claim that FBI contacts had tipped him off about its ongoing investigation of Clinton. And the journalist [Bret Baier] on whose story Trump has based his recent claim that Clinton will be indicted went on television Friday morning to apologize, calling his report 'a mistake.'... [In his campaign stops,] Trump did not refer to any of Friday's new developments with the exception of the monthly jobs report, which showed that 160,000 jobs were created in October and observers viewed as a sign that the economy continues to grow, albeit slowly. 'Nobody believes the numbers anyway,' Trump said. 'The numbers they put out are phony.'" -- CW

Jonathan Chait on the non-effects of the Bridgegate verdicts (see stories lined under Beyond the Beltway: "... to summarize, Trump pronounced Christie guilty of legally abusing his power, then appointed him to a position where he would have immense latitude to abuse his power, whereupon he announced a plan of action that would make such abuses virtually inevitable even if an ethical politician was handling it, and then ran a campaign centered on 'draining the swamp.'... The most amazing thing about this is that nobody will care.... The news media has figured out that Trump's supporters' beliefs about his ethics, and the criminality of his opponent, are not subject to amendment on the basis of evidence. Journalists have internalized this reality.... Somewhere around the time he attracted a massive conservative following by promoting the birther hoax, Trump figured out that the Republican electorate was the biggest pool of suckers in America. It's a cohort that resides within a hermetically sealed counterfactual universe." -- CW

National Enquirer Buries Trump Sex Scandal. Gabrielle Bluestone of Jezebel: "In a story that dropped late Friday night, the Wall Street Journal reports that a Playboy model who says she had an affair with Donald Trump got a $150,000 paycheck from the National Enquirer, which curiously sat on the story after buying it. The Journal ... reports that in August, the tabloid paid $150,000 to Karen McDougal, the 1998 Playmate of the Year who said she enjoyed a consensual relationship with Trump in 2006 -- a year after his wedding to his third and current wife, Melania. The Journal categorizes the exchange as a 'catch and kill,' where the tabloid bought her story to silence her. A source tells the Journal that despite paying out six figures for the story, the Enquirer's parent company, American Media, 'didn't intend to run it.'" -- CW ...

... The Wall Street Journal story, by Joe Palazzolo & others, is here, and at least at the moment (midnight ET), it is not firewalled. The lede: "The company that owns the National Enquirer, a backer of Donald Trump, agreed to pay $150,000 to a former Playboy centerfold model for her story of an affair a decade ago with the Republican presidential nominee, but then didn't publish it, according to documents reviewed by The Wall Street Journal and people familiar with the matter." ...

     ... CW: It would take a lot more than the privilege of occupying tacky, gilded quarters with a nasty, lying, abusive reprobate to get me to put up with the crap for which Melania Trump has sold her soul. Free Melania!

Anna Merlan of Jezebel: "A woman who accused Donald Trump of raping her at a party when she was just 13 years old has voluntarily dismissed her lawsuit, according to court records. The woman, who has gone by the pseudonyms Jane Doe and Katie Johnson, was a no-show at a much hyped press conference earlier this week with celebrity attorney Lisa Bloom." -- CW

AP: "Melania Trump was paid for 10 modeling jobs in the United States worth $20,056 that occurred in the seven weeks before she had legal permission to work in the country, according to detailed accounting ledgers, contracts and related documents from 20 years ago provided to The Associated Press. The details of Mrs. Trump's early paid modeling work in the U.S. emerged in the final days of a bitter presidential campaign in which her husband, Donald Trump, has taken a hard line on immigration laws and those who violate them.... The documents examined by the AP indicate that the modeling assignments would have been outside the bounds of her visa.... Since questions arose earlier this year, Mrs. Trump has declined to publicly release her immigration records." -- CW ...

     ... CW: Cliffhanger: Will Melania "self-deport" before Donald sends immigration goon squads to arrest her and "Lock her up"? Tune in next Wednesday to find out.

Election News

Today in Republican Voter Suppression News

Eric Heisig of Cleveland.com: "A federal judge on Friday said he will issue a restraining order against Donald Trump's campaign and longtime adviser Roger Stone to avoid 'harassing or intimidating conduct' at polling places on Nov. 8 Election Day. U.S. District Judge James Gwin did not specify exactly what will or will not be allowed but said the order would likely be generic and prohibit both Democrats and Republicans from harassment of people entering and leaving polling places. 'It wouldn't be any attempt to particularly identify as somebody being a Trump supporter or not,' Gwin said. The judge also appeared unlikely to tinker with those poll observers whose names are submitted by each political party and are then approved by county boards of elections. It also seemed like many of the actions he would forbid in his restraining order are already illegal, though the order could result in a contempt charge for anybody accused of violating it.... By Friday evening, Trump's campaign had asked the 6th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in Cincinnati to review the order." Gwin is a Clinton appointee. ...

     ... CW: That's right. Donald Trump is going to appeal an order forbidding voter intimidation.

Voter Suppression the Easy Way. German Lopez of Vox: "Next week, Americans will hold the first presidential election in 50 years without the full protections of the Voting Rights Act.... But the US Supreme Court struck down part of the law in 2013, limiting the federal government's oversight of states with long histories of suppressing minority voters. As a result, states have passed more voting restrictions over the past several years.... But a new report ... finds another potential effect: Counties previously monitored through the Voting Rights Act have closed down at least 868 polling places since the Supreme Court's decision -- a 16 percent reduction.... (The report only looked at about half of the counties previously covered by the Voting Rights Act due to some limitations in the available data.)... Prior to the Supreme Court's decision, the federal government could oversee state and local governments' decisions to shut down polling places to ensure they weren't meant to disenfranchise minority voters. Today, the federal government's power is limited." -- CW ...

... Ari Berman of the Nation has more on the same report about Republicans' shutting down polling places. "Arizona, the poster child for voting problems in the primary, closed the highest percentage of polling places in the study. 'Almost every county in the state reduced polling places in advance of the 2016 election and almost every county closed polling places on a massive scale, resulting in 212 fewer polling places,' says the report (emphasis in original)" -- CW ...

... Josh Gerstein of Politico: "A federal judge has ordered officials in three North Carolina counties to restore several thousand voters dropped from the rolls in the past three months after mailings to their home addresses were returned as undeliverable. About 4,000 voters in those counties had their registrations canceled recently after private individuals and groups challenged the registrations under a process allowed by state law. U.S. District Court Judge Loretta Biggs said the use of that process to remove large numbers of voters amounted to the kind of 'systematic' purging of voter rolls that federal law prohibits within 90 days of an election." -- CW ...

... Persistent, Multi-Pronged Voter Suppression. German Lopez: "North Carolina Republicans are using one shameful trick after another to keep Democrats [-- mostly black citizens --] from voting.... It might not be enough in the end, but it's clear what they're trying to do -- deny just enough people their basic constitutional rights to maybe swing an election or two or three" in a state where the presidential, senatorial & gubernatorial races are all extremely close. -- CW

Ken Dilanian, et al., of NBC News: "U.S. military hackers have penetrated Russia's electric grid, telecommunications networks and the Kremlin's command systems, making them vulnerable to attack by secret American cyber weapons should the U.S. deem it necessary, according to a senior intelligence official and top-secret documents reviewed by NBC News. American officials have long said publicly that Russia, China and other nations have probed and left hidden malware on parts of U.S critical infrastructure, 'preparing the battlefield,' in military parlance, for cyber attacks that could turn out the lights or turn off the internet across major cities.... The documents reviewed by NBC News -- along with remarks by a senior U.S. intelligence official -- confirm that, in the case of Russia." -- CW ...

... More Help May Be On the Way for Comrade Trumpskyev. Matthew Rozsa of Salon: "American government officials are warning that Russian hackers may try to undermine the presidential election next week and are taking steps to prevent it. In a joint effort coordinated between the White House, the Department of Homeland Security, the CIA, the NSA, and the Defense Department, the government is on alert for worst-case scenarios like a cyber-attack that shuts down part of the power grid or internet according to a report from NBC News. They have also made it clear to Russia that efforts to manipulate either the voting or vote counting process would be treated with the utmost seriousness.... There are concerns that Russia will continue to manipulate sites like WikiLeaks to dump fake documents into the news cycle on Election Day, then watch as the scandal destroys Clinton's campaign chances before reputable journalists have a chance to fact-check them". Akhilleus: Sheesh. Everyone wants in on the act. As for destroying Clinton's chances, our own FBI has been doing damned fine on its own without help from Russia. ...

... AND, if -- after reading reports yesterday about a higher terrorist threat level -- you're thinking of staying home under the covers next Monday, then you'll want to read Steve M.'s report. Also, too, read the comment by Mikio for why Monday & not election day.

Other News & Views

Neil Irwin of the New York Times: "The United States economy is basically healthy. That is the simplest, most important thing to take away from new jobs numbers released Friday morning, four days before the presidential election. These numbers affirm that Americans were probably right to focus on other things during this election.... The biggest and most pleasant surprise in these numbers is evidence that workers' wages are rising faster than they have through seven years of expansion." -- CW

Jordan Fabian of the Hill: "President Obama on Friday commuted the sentences of 72 inmates, the latest sign he is accelerating his clemency push during his final months in office. It was the second time in the past eight days the White House announced that a large group of people, most convicted of nonviolent drug offenses, would be released from federal prison. The two batches totaled 170 inmates. In total, 944 people have had their sentences cut short by Obama -- more than the last 11 presidents combined -- with 760 receiving commutations this year alone." -- CW

Science vs Trump. And It Starts Today. Chris Moody and Brady Dennis of the Washington Post: "On Friday, a major milestone will arrive for global climate change diplomacy. The so-called Paris climate agreement, an international accord forged last December by countries across the world, will become a legal reality far sooner than almost anyone anticipated. The rapid pace with which countries have ratified the agreement underscores the urgency many nations feel in the wake of a string of record hot years and ever more severe climate impacts. Next week in Marrakesh, Morocco, leaders from around the globe will gather to celebrate the achievement and to begin ironing out the details of how individual countries plan to live up to the ambitious commitments they've made to slash their emissions of carbon dioxide.... While Hillary Clinton has vowed to honor the Paris agreement..., Donald Trump has pledged to 'cancel' the accord." ...

     ... Akhilleus: Fossil fuel sources such as coal and oil took hundreds of millions of years to develop. Humans have nearly depleted them in 200 years. Trump promises to ignore facts and science and bring back coal and oil jobs. Some estimates place oil availability as being finished within the lifetime of today's teenagers, coal within a hundred years or less. Natural gas, going out at about the same time as oil. Trump says no. He won't let that happen. He also promises to stop the sun in the heavens and bring back dinosaurs.

Beyond the Beltway

Kate Zernike of the New York Times: "A federal jury convicted two former aides to Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey on Friday over a bizarre scheme to close access lanes to the George Washington Bridge as punishment against a mayor who declined to endorse the governor's re-election. The two defendants, Bridget Anne Kelly and Bill Baroni, were each charged with seven counts of conspiracy and wire fraud, including misusing the resources of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, which operates the bridge, and violating the rights of the citizens of Fort Lee, N.J., to travel without government restriction when the closings gridlocked their town over five days in September 2013...Ms. Kelly testified that she had received the governor's approval before she sent the email to trigger what she thought was the traffic study." ...

     ... Akhilleus: Traffic study. Good one. Now that this scandal is over, Chrisco can go back to preparing the transition of the White House from the center of national governance and international leadership to a frat house for schemers, KKK grand dragons, chiselers, underage party girls, and of course, Russian apparatchiks deployed from the Kremlin to keep an eye on things while Trump poses for the first of his many presidential portraits.

     ... CW: And naturally, Gov. Conehead, who I believe was in on the scheme from the git-go, slides by like Crisco in a hot pan. ...

... Matt Zapotosky & Amber Phillips of the Washington Post: "New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie's political career sustained a serious blow Friday after two of his former allies were found guilty of conspiring to shut down the nation's busiest bridge to punish a local mayor who refused to support the governor's reelection bid. While Christie wasn't charged in the 'Bridgegate' trial, the case produced a steady stream of new allegations against the governor that probably will haunt him.... On the first day of the trial..., prosecutors alleged that Christie knew about the plan to tie up traffic on the George Washington Bridge as it was happening. A key witness who admitted his own role in the affair would later testify that when he told Christie about the plot, Christie laughed. Christie has said that he did not know about the bridge plan and repeated that claim in a statement Friday.... In addition, [Christie aide Bridget Anne] Kelly said she told Christie of the lane closures before they happened...." -- CW ...

... Andrew Rice of New York: "In the end..., it is hard to resist the conclusion that the arrow points to the governor. Numerous witnesses testified that Christie was a micromanager who reveled in playing political hardball. (One memorable bit of testimony revealed that Christie called and threatened to 'fucking destroy' a county freeholder after it got back to the governor that he was complaining about the disbursement of Hurricane Sandy relief funds. In the governor's defense, the freeholder had also called Christie a 'fat motherfucker.')" -- CW

Rees Shapiro of the Washington Post: "A federal court jury decided Friday that a Rolling Stone journalist defamed a former University of Virginia associate dean in a 2014 magazine article about sexual assault on campus that included a debunked account of a fraternity gang rape. The 10 member jury concluded that the Rolling Stone reporter, Sabrina Rubin Erdely, was responsible for defamation, with actual malice, in the case brought by Nicole Eramo, a U-Va. administrator who oversaw sexual violence cases at the time of the article's publication. The jury also found the magazine and its publisher responsible for defaming Eramo. The $7.5 million lawsuit centered on Erdely's 9,000-word article titled 'A Rape on Campus.'" -- CW

Al Baker & Eli Rosenberg of the New York Times: In the Bronx, Manuel Rosales, 35, of Long Island, shot two NYPD officers, one of them fatally. Rosales, who had reportedly entered -- and left -- a Bronx apartment, armed with a gun & looking for his estranged wife, "was killed during the exchange of gunfire with the officers. In an interview, his father said that Mr. Rosales had spoken of committing 'suicide by cop.'" -- CW

Thursday
Nov032016

The Commentariat -- November 4, 2016

Afternoon Update:

Bill's Crocodile Tears. Madeline Conway of Politico: "Bill Clinton on Friday used Melania Trumps recent campaign speech about cyber bullying to mock Donald Trump, suggesting her advocacy is ironic considering her husband's long history of antagonizing people on Twitter. 'I never felt so bad for anybody in my life as I did for his wife going out giving a speech saying "Oh, cyber bullying was a terrible thing,"' Clinton said, campaigning for his own wife ... in Pueblo, Colorado. 'I thought, "Yeah, especially if it's done at three o'clock in the morning against a former Miss Universe by a guy running for president!"' the former president said to laughter." -- CW

Kate Zernike of the New York Times: "A federal jury convicted two former aides to Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey on Friday over a bizarre scheme to close access lanes to the George Washington Bridge as punishment against a mayor who declined to endorse the governor's re-election. The two defendants, Bridget Anne Kelly and Bill Baroni, were each charged with seven counts of conspiracy and wire fraud, including misusing the resources of the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, which operates the bridge, and violating the rights of the citizens of Fort Lee, N.J., to travel without government restriction when the closings gridlocked their town over five days in September 2013.... Ms. Kelly testified that she had received the governor's approval before she sent the email to trigger what she thought was the traffic study." ...

     ... Akhilleus: Traffic study. Good one. Now that this scandal is over, Chrisco can go back to preparing the transition of the White House from the center of national governance and international leadership to a frat house for schemers, KKK grand dragons, chiselers, underage party girls, and of course, Russian apparatchiks deployed from the Kremlin to keep an eye on things while Trump poses for the first of his many presidential portraits.

     ... CW: And naturally, Gov. Conehead, who I believe was in on the scheme from the git-go, slides by like Crisco in a hot pan.

Rees Shapiro of the Washington Post: "A federal court jury decided Friday that a Rolling Stone journalist defamed a former University of Virginia associate dean in a 2014 magazine article about sexual assault on campus that included a debunked account of a fraternity gang rape. The 10 member jury concluded that the Rolling Stone reporter, Sabrina Rubin Erdely, was responsible for defamation, with actual malice, in the case brought by Nicole Eramo, a U-Va. administrator who oversaw sexual violence cases at the time of the article's publication. The jury also found the magazine and its publisher responsible for defaming Eramo. The $7.5 million lawsuit centered on Erdely's 9,000-word article titled 'A Rape on Campus.'" -- CW

More Help May Be On the Way for Comrade Trumpskyev. Matthew Rozsa of Salon: "American government officials are warning that Russian hackers may try to undermine the presidential election next week and are taking steps to prevent it. In a joint effort coordinated between the White House, the Department of Homeland Security, the CIA, the NSA, and the Defense Department, the government is on alert for worst-case scenarios like a cyber-attack that shuts down part of the power grid or internet according to a report from NBC News. They have also made it clear to Russia that efforts to manipulate either the voting or vote counting process would be treated with the utmost seriousness.... There are concerns that Russia will continue to manipulate sites like WikiLeaks to dump fake documents into the news cycle on Election Day, then watch as the scandal destroys [Hillary] Clinton's campaign chances before reputable journalists have a chance to fact-check them". Akhilleus: Sheesh. Everyone wants in on the act. As for destroying Clinton's chances, our own FBI has been doing damned fine on its own without help from Russia.

Science vs Trump. And It Starts Today. Chris Moody & Brady Dennis of the Washington Post: "On Friday, a major milestone will arrive for global climate change diplomacy. The so-called Paris climate agreement, an international accord forged last December by countries across the world, will become a legal reality far sooner than almost anyone anticipated. The rapid pace with which countries have ratified the agreement underscores the urgency many nations feel in the wake of a string of record hot years and ever more severe climate impacts. Next week in Marrakesh, Morocco, leaders from around the globe will gather to celebrate the achievement and to begin ironing out the details of how individual countries plan to live up to the ambitious commitments they've made to slash their emissions of carbon dioxide.... While Hillary Clinton has vowed to honor the Paris agreement...,Donald Trump has pledged to 'cancel' the accord." ...

     ... Akhilleus: Fossil fuel sources such as coal and oil took hundreds of millions of years to develop. Humans have nearly depleted them in 200 years. Trump promises to ignore facts and science and bring back coal and oil jobs. Some estimates place oil availability as being finished within the lifetime of today's teenagers, coal within a hundred years or less. Natural gas, going out at about the same time as oil. Trump says no. He won't let that happen. He also promises to stop the sun in the heavens and bring back dinosaurs.

*****

CW: I'm so desperate I just broke down & made what for me are significant contributions to the Clinton & Senate Democrats' campaigns. For Madame Cheapskate, that's desperate. I am having actual nightmares about Trump.

Presidential Race

Gary Langer, et al., of ABC News: "A hint of momentum for Hillary Clinton has produced a 3-point race in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll results, with wide leads for the Democrat in trust to handle the economy and health care among likely voters focused on those two issues. Donald Trump pushes back with a clear lead on dealing with corruption in government and immigration among those who cite either of these as their top issue. The candidates are evenly matched on another key concern, trust to handle terrorism and national security. The poll finds a 47-44 percent race between Clinton and Trump in a four-day average among likely voters, vs. Trump's best result, 45-46 percent, three days ago. While the shift is not statistically significant, two of the last three nights -- moving away from news of the FBI's renewed email investigation -- have been Clinton's best since the early days of tracking." -- CW ...

... Philip Bump of the Washington Post: "Donald Trump has never been closer to the presidency than he is at this moment.... From her high in the polls a week or two ago, Clinton's leads in a number of critical battleground states have collapsed or evaporated entirely. The election could come down to one state with four electoral college votes that flips from Clinton to Donald Trump and, boom: A 269-269 electoral college tie, and a vote by the House of Representatives to decide on the next president -- who, given the composition of the House, would almost certainly be Donald Trump.... On Thursday, that Clinton state with four electoral college votes raised its hand. Hi, New Hampshire! Two new polls, from Boston Globe-Suffolk University and WBUR-MassInc put the Granite State at a virtual tie, with the continuing trend in the state away from Clinton. That's Trump's 269th electoral college vote. Or, really, his 270th: Polling in Maine's second congressional district (which allocates one electoral college vote separately) has Trump in the lead." -- CW ...

... Nate Silver says pretty much the same thing, noting that Clinton's Electoral College position is worse than Obama's was at this point in 2012. "... Clinton's current position in our polls-plus forecast -- which gives her a 65 percent chance of winning the Electoral College -- to FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast in 2012, which gave President Obama a 91 percent chance." -- CW

Abby Phillip, et al., of the Washington Post: "With fewer than five days left before the election, the bitter fight for the presidency descended Thursday on North Carolina, a crucial battleground where Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump attacked one another at competing campaign events. Clinton urged African American voters here to turn out, warning them that Trump's vision for his presidency would leave them behind. About 200 miles to the west, in Concord, Trump cast Clinton as a 'candidate of yesterday.'... Hours later, the Democratic and Republican nominees held dueling events in Raleigh and Selma, respectively, throwing more jabs at one another.... Clinton ... held a joint rally Thursday night in Raleigh, N.C., with ... Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, and musician Pharrell." -- CW See more on Trump's remarks below. ...

... Jessie Hellmann of the Hill: "Bernie Sanders said Donald Trump is running a campaign built on bigotry as he campaigned with Hillary Clinton in the key swing state of North Carolina.... 'Now as Americans, we can disagree on many issues, but we have come too far. Too many people have gone to jail, and too many have died in the struggle for equal rights. We are not going back to a bigoted society." -- CW

Madeline Conway of Politico: President Barack Obama on Thursday again knocked Donald Trump as thin-skinned -- this time, mocking the Republican presidential nominee for lashing out at 'Saturday Night Live' on Twitter because the sketch comedy show made fun of him.... Obama said, stumping for Hillary Clinton in Miami. 'Anybody who is upset about a "Saturday Night Live" skit, you don't want in charge of nuclear weapons.' The crowd laughed, and Obama went on, miming texting and making a face: 'No, I'm serious. This is a guy who, like, tweets, "They should cancel 'Saturday Night Live.' I don't like how Alec Baldwin's imitating me." Really? I mean, that's the thing that bothers you and you want to be president of the United States?'" -- CW

Josh Gerstein & Madeline Conway of Politico: "The State Department on Thursday dropped more than 1,000 additional pages of Hillary Clinton's emails that the FBI recovered from her private server, but a significant number of the documents are near duplicates of messages the agency previously released." -- CW

CBS News: "The FBI has found emails related to Hillary Clinton's tenure as secretary of state on the laptop belonging to the estranged husband of Huma Abedin, Anthony Weiner, according to a U.S. official. These emails, CBS News' Andres Triay reports, are not duplicates of emails found on Secretary Clinton's private server. At this point, however, it remains to be seen whether these emails are significant to the FBI's investigation into Clinton. It is also not known how many relevant emails there are." -- CW ...

... Matt Zapotosky, et al., of the Washington Post: "Deep divisions inside the FBI and the Justice Department over how to handle investigations dealing with Hillary Clinton will probably fester even after Tuesday's presidential election and pose a significant test for James B. Comey's leadership of the nation's chief law enforcement agency.... Clinton, who seemed to have momentum in battleground state polls before Comey's Friday bombshell, notably declined on Thursday to say whether, if elected, she would ask the FBI director to resign." -- CW ...

... "The FBI Is Trumpland." Spencer Ackerman of the Guardian: "Deep antipathy to Hillary Clinton exists within the FBI, multiple bureau sources have told the Guardian, spurring a rapid series of leaks damaging to her campaign just days before the election. Current and former FBI officials, none of whom were willing or cleared to speak on the record, have described a chaotic internal climate that resulted from outrage over director James Comey's July decision not to recommend an indictment over Clinton's maintenance of a private email server on which classified information transited. 'The FBI is Trumpland,' said one current agent." -- CW ...

... Ian Millhiser of Think Progress: "A law enforcement agency does not need to arrest you or charge you with a crime to disrupt your life. It can simply release innuendo into the wild and watch your reputation --  along with, potentially, your professional and social life  -- collapse. Which, of course, is what various individuals within the FBI are doing to Hillary Clinton.... It is difficult, in other words, to escape the impression that a faction within the FBI is actively trying to elect Mr. Trump and to weaken Secretary Clinton. It appears to be doing so, moreover, in violation of Justice Department policy, and in violation of the basic principle that law enforcement should not spread rumors and innuendo in order to damage people they do not like." Millhiser outlines the "case" agents think they've made against the Clinton Foundation, a case so strong, they're sure they'll be an indictment coming down any day, even though the Justice Department laughed away their "evidence." -- CW ...

... Kevin Drum: "Holy crap. The field agents got started on this because they read Clinton Cash, the latest in a 25-year stream of books insisting that the Clintons are our era's Borgia family. Then they got even more interested because some guy -- literally just some guy -- was recorded blathering about the foundation.... And now it turns out the FBI is full of middle-aged white guys who apparently read the book, listen to lots of Rush Limbaugh, and just know that if they look a little harder they'll find the one Jenga brick that causes the whole Clinton edifice to finally collapse. Jesus Christ." -- CW ...

... Judd Legum of Think Progrss: "The FBI has launched an internal investigation into one of its own Twitter accounts. The account at issue, @FBIRecordsVault, had been dormant for more than a year. Then on October 30 at 4 a.m., the account released a flood of documents, including one describing Donald Trump's father Fred Trump as a 'philanthropist.'... Two days later..., the account tweeted documents regarding President Bill Clinton's controversial pardon of Marc Rich.... The account has not been active since that tweet. ThinkProgress has learned that the FBI's Inspection Division will undertake an investigation of the account.... News of the internal investigation is at odds with the FBI's official position, which is that the Twitter account followed all FBI procedures." -- CW ...

... Charles Pierce: "Of all the astonishing things in an astonishing (and increasingly grim) presidential campaign, the sudden involvement of elements of the Federal Bureau of Investigation in the act of ratfcking a candidacy is even more amazing than the fact that there is a vulgar talking yam one step away from running almost the entire federal government. There hasn't been a hotter hot mess in Washington since John Mitchell was running both the Department of Justice and a criminal conspiracy to obstruct same.... The important thing to remember is that one portion of the FBI seems to be at war with another portion of the FBI and that almost everybody has a gun." Pierce rightly fingers the NYT here, too, for its early participation in the scheme. -- CW ...

... Charles Pierce: "This is law enforcement trying to force its will of the civil authorities, no different from some backwater sheriff who has compromising photos of the mayor. And, as far as the immediate future goes, this is going to be a stunning chapter when Dante comes back from the dead and writes the definitive history of this campaign." CW: Sadly, Charles, it won't be Dante. It will be Mark Halperin & his sidekick What's-His-Name, breathlessly hyping their scooplets from inside Trump's brain (where there is plenty of rattling-around room for a suite of luxury apartments for the tiny Halperins of "journalism." ...

... Frank Rich: Jim Comey's "letter to Congress offered nothing more than the vague intimation that maybe, just maybe, there was significant new evidence in what he had previously said was a closed case. Incredibly, Comey sounded off before the emails had been examined for any relevance to the saga of Clinton's arrogant, boneheaded, and careless -- but not criminal -- use of a private server while Secretary of State. For him to open this Pandora's box 11 days before an election, overriding Justice Department rules and the advice of Justice officials, is at least as reckless as anything Clinton did. If Donald Trump wins the election in a squeaker, Comey will prove to have been one of the most consequential fools in American history. ...

... Mark Hosenball of Reuters: "The FBI and U.S. intelligence agencies are examining faked documents aimed at discrediting the Hillary Clinton campaign as part of a broader investigation into what U.S. officials believe has been an attempt by Russia to disrupt the presidential election.... U.S. Senator Tom Carper, a Democrat on the Senate Homeland Security Committee, has referred one of the documents to the FBI for investigation.... In the letter identified as fake, Carper is quoted as writing to Clinton, 'We will not let you lose this election.'... The FBI has also reviewed a seven-page electronic document that carries the logos of Democratic pollster Joel Benenson's firm ... and the Clinton Foundation.... The document, identified as a fake by the Clinton campaign, claims poll ratings had plunged for Clinton and called for 'severe strategy changes for November' that could include 'staged civil unrest' and 'radiological attack' with dirty bombs to disrupt the vote.... On Oct. 20, Roger Stone, a former Trump aide and Republican operative, linked to a copy of the document on Twitter with the tag, 'If this is real: OMG!!'" CW: Of course we're sure Roger and his Russian comrades had nothing to do with producing the fake docs. ...

... The Vast Left-Wing Conspiracy. Rosie Gray of BuzzFeed: "Donald Trump suggested that the Justice Department is preventing the FBI from releasing relevant information in its investigation into Hillary Clinton during a speech on Thursday. 'She's protected by the Department of Justice, and what's going on in our country this has never happened, ever happened before,' Trump told his audience at his third rally of the day [Thursday]. 'And the FBI is in there, they're doing their job and they're not allowed to be doing their job, what's going on is a disgrace.'" -- CW ...

... Dylan Byers & Brian Stelter of CNN: "Several of the nation's leading news outlets have rebutted a report from Fox News stating that the FBI is pursuing an indictment of the Clinton Foundation. On Thursday, NBC News, ABC News and CNN all reported that Fox's report was not true -- and Bret Baier, the Fox News host responsible for the report, said he had spoken 'inartfully' when he reported on the news. By that point, however, The Hill and RealClearPolitics had published stories about Baier's report, while countless conservatives sites claimed it as fact and celebrated Clinton's possible imprisonment." -- CW ...

... Mike Levine of ABC News: "On the campaign trail [Thursday], Donald Trump touted allegations about the Clinton Foundation that reliable sources say are false and ill-informed. 'It was reported last night that the FBI is conducting a criminal investigation into Hillary Clinton's pay-for-play corruption,' the Republican presidential nominee said [Thursday] in Jacksonville, Florida, during his first rally of the day. 'The investigation is described as a high priority. It's far-reaching and has been going on for more than one year. It was reported that an avalanche of information is coming in. The FBI agents say their investigation is likely to yield an indictment.' [CW: Notice how Trump inflates even the false story.] ABC News sources, however, indicated those statements -- and the Fox News reports they're based on -- are inaccurate and without merit.... Prosecutors and senior FBI officials agreed that there was no clear evidence of wrongdoing and that a criminal case tied to the Clinton Foundation could not be made, according to the sources." -- CW ...

... Annals of "Journalism," Ctd. David Edwards of the Raw Story: "Fox News anchor Bret Baier admitted on Thursday that he had been wrong when he reported that Hillary Clinton would 'likely' be indicted by federal authorities, a claim that sent conservative websites into a frenzy." Baier said (evidently he just found out) that DOJ prosecutors, not the FBI, would have to make the decision on whether or not to bring the case. No kidding. -- CW

New York Times Editors: "Donald Trump and other embattled Republican candidates are resorting to a particularly bizarre and dangerous tactic in the closing days of the campaign -- warning that they may well seek to impeach Hillary Clinton if she wins, or, short of that, tie her up with endless investigations and other delaying tactics. Of all the arguments advanced by the Trump forces, this has to be among the most preposterous. In effect, what they're saying is, Mrs. Clinton won't be able to govern, because we won't let her. So don't waste your vote on her. Vote for us.... 'I guarantee you in one year she'll be impeached and indicted,' [Rudy] Giuliani promised Iowa voters this week. 'It's just going to happen. We're going to sort of vote for a Watergate.'... Beyond simple hypocrisy, the Republicans' impeachment threat demonstrates their gathering disrespect for democracy. If they can't gain control of government fairly, they'll simply undermine it. It is the clearest warning yet that voters must deliver a firm rejection of the politics of division that Mr. Trump represents." -- CW ...

... Greg Sargent: "Donald Trump's closing argument is now that electing Hillary Clinton president will grind our entire system of government to a halt. 'If she were to be elected, it would create an unprecedented Constitutional crisis,' he has been saying lately. 'She is likely to be under investigation for many years, probably concluding in a very large scale criminal trial.' Trump now pairs this argument with his frequent claim that the election will be 'rigged.' But it's important to understand that this isn't just a closing argument. He's laying the groundwork for an argument that he may continue to make after the election." -- CW

Russ Buettner of the New York Times: "... an examination of [Donald Trump's] tax appeals on several properties, and other documents obtained by The New York Times through Freedom of Information requests, shows that what Mr. Trump has reported on [financial disclosure] forms is nowhere near a complete picture of his financial state. The records demonstrate that large portions of those numbers represent cash coming into his businesses before covering costs like mortgage payments, payroll and maintenance. After expenses, some of his businesses make a small fraction of what he reported on his disclosure forms, or actually lose money. In fact, it is virtually impossible to determine from the forms just how much he is earning in any year." CW: Hey, maybe the poor guy did earn only $15K last year, as he claimed (see NYT story linked in yesterday's Commentariat). ...

... Cogan Schneier of Politico: "The National Labor Relations Board ... ruled Thursday that the Trump International Hotel in Las Vegas violated the National Labor Relations Act by refusing to bargain with a union that represents more than 500 housekeeping, food and beverage and guest services workers there. The NLRB's decision orders Trump Ruffin Commercial LLC to recognize and bargain with the workers, who are represented by Nevada's powerful Culinary Workers Union Local 226, an affiliate of UNITE HERE. The NLRB also ordered the company, owned by Trump and casino owner Phillip Ruffin, to post notices to hotel employees about the violation. 'Mr. Trump is breaking federal law and Trump Hotel Las Vegas is operating illegally,' said Culinary Union Secretary-Treasurer Geoconda Arguello-Kline." CW: Believe me, Donald Trump is going to make things so great for U.S. workers. ...

... MEANWHILE, Trump & a Russian Oligarch Pal Will Be Stiffing Some Canadians. Michael Grunwald of Politico: "The 65-story Trump International Hotel & Tower Toronto has all the glitz and ambition of the luxury-brand businessman with his name in giant letters near its spire. It's the tallest residential skyscraper in Canada, and probably the fanciest.... On Tuesday, a Canadian bankruptcy judge placed the glass-and-granite building into receivership, just four years after Trump and his children cut the ribbon at its grand opening.... Trump is not the project's developer or even an investor; one of his partners, a Russian-born billionaire who got rich in Ukraine's steel industry, controls the firm that's in default.... Still, the saga of the property's glittering rise and rapid fall is classic Trump, featuring a tsunami of litigation and bitterness, money with a Russian accent, and a financial wreck that probably won't hit its namesake particularly hard." -- CW

Think Leonidas at Thermopylae, think William the Conqueror at Hastings, think Henry V at Agincourt, think George Washington crossing the Delaware, think the Great Twitter War of Fuckface von Clownstick:

Wait, Wait. There's Someone Funnier than Jon Stewart. Joan McCarter of Daily Kos: In a campaign speech in Pennsylvania, Melania Trump, best known for plagiarizing Michelle Obama at the Republican National Convention this past summer, plagiarized the former wife of another famous presidential candidate: Donald Trump. Yup. "If you could dream it, you could become it," Melania said in Pennsylvania, which is exactly what Donaldo Wife No. 2 Marla Maples said in a 2011 interview, decades after the couple split . The original saying was, "If you can imagine it, you can create it. If you can dream it, you can become it," penned by William Arthur Ward. Both Melania & Marla misquote Ward in precisely the same way, and they're the only two who do so, according to a Google search. -- CW ...

... Also Weird. Callum Borchers of the Washington Post: "... as Melania Trump denounced cyberbullying, journalists noted that she is married to the year's cyber-bully-in-chief." Karen Tumulty of the WashPo in a tweet, "appeal for decency on social media: 'I kept thinking, 'Have you met Donald Trump?'" digby in a tweet: "Uhm Melania, social media decency starts at home..." -- CW

Chris Massie & Andrew Kaczynski of CNN: "Eric Trump said on Thursday that former Ku Klux Klan leader David Duke deserves 'a bullet.'... After host Ross Kaminsky of 630 KHOW Denver radio suggested Duke deserves a bullet to the head, [Eric Trump said,] 'The guy does deserve a bullet. I mean, these aren't good people. These are horrible people. In fact, I commend my father. My father's the first Republican who's gone out and said, 'Listen, what's happened to the African-American community is horrible and I'm going to take care of it.'" -- CW

Lisa Hagen of the Hill: "Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) on Thursday neglected to mention Donald Trump by name as he made his first appearance on the campaign trail for the Republican presidential ticket. While campaigning with ... Indiana Gov. Mike Pence, in the final week of the race, Cruz argued that Americans need 'a Republican' in the White House as well as for the GOP to maintain control of the Senate. Cruz's remarks largely resembled his stump speeches from his own presidential campaign and trained fire on ... Hillary Clinton." -- CW

Election News

Greg Miller & Adam Entous of the Washington Post: "U.S. intelligence agencies do not see Russia as capable of using cyberespionage to alter the outcome of Tuesday's presidential election, but they have warned that Moscow may continue meddling after the voting has ended to sow doubts about the legitimacy of the result, U.S. officials said. The assessment reflects widespread concern among U.S. spy agencies that a months-long campaign by Russia to rattle the mechanisms of American democracy will probably continue after polls close on one of the most polarizing races in recent history, extending and amplifying the political turbulence." -- CW

AP: "North Carolina's process for challenging voters' registration seems to harken to a bygone era when fewer safeguards were in place, a federal judge said Wednesday as she presided over a lawsuit [brought by the NAACP] that alleges voters are being purged unfairly.... U.S. District Judge Loretta Biggs said multiple times the challenge process sounds 'insane.' 'This sounds like something that was put together in 1901,' she told lawyers for the state.... The comments came during an emergency hearing over NAACP allegations that at least three counties purged voter rolls through a process disproportionately targeting blacks.... The hearing ended without a ruling." CW: Biggs is an Obama appointee.

Other News & Views

CBS News: "CBS News has learned about a potential terror threat for the day before the election. Sources told CBS News senior investigative producer Pat Milton that U.S. intelligence has alerted joint terrorism task forces that al Qaeda could be planning attacks in three states for Monday. It is believed New York, Texas and Virginia are all possible targets, though no specific locations are mentioned. U.S. authorities are taking the threat seriously, though the sources stress the intelligence is still being assessed and its credibility hasn't been confirmed. Counterterrorism officials were alerted to the threat out of abundance of caution." CW: Al Qaeda? Sounds more like Al Putin or Al Trump. ...

     ... Akhilleus: So now Al Qaeda wants to help Trump too? The report goes on to say that the FBI is working on the possibility of a worst-case scenario, which, based on recent FBI work, could be the election of Hillary Clinton. Makes one wonder if this could be another bit of "intel" designed to help their chosen candidate.

Paul Krugman: "Republican leaders have spent the past couple of decades doing exactly what the likes of [Paul] Ryan are doing now: trashing democratic norms in pursuit of economic benefits for their donor class. So we shouldn't really be too surprised that Mr. Comey, who turns out to be a Republican first and a public servant, well, not so much, decided to politically weaponize his position on the eve of the election; that's what Republicans have been doing across the board. And we shouldn't be surprised at all that Mr. Trump's lurid personal failings haven't caused a break with the leaders of his party's establishment: They decided long ago that only Democrats have scandals." -- CW

Tim Egan on post-truth America: "Of all the concerns facing a Madam President, governing in a post-truth environment may be the biggest challenge. Perhaps a third of American adults now believe a few Big Lies. And those Big Lies may be nearly impossible to dislodge, because in the course of this awful election, even fact-checking became suspect.... The fog comes from all ZIP codes.... The lies that many Americans now believe, and that make it so difficult to move the country on the big issues, go to existential facts. A government of the people requires the people to conduct an honest assessment of their world -- something too many citizens are no longer capable of doing." -- CW ...

... CW: Especially when it comes to politics, people think they can choose from a menu of neurotic lies. Egan cites a Trump supporter from Cambridge, Mass., who bought a whole plateful of preposterous "facts." This week a friend went to dinner with a well-educated, well-spoken acquaintance she thought she more-or-less knew. The acquaintance, who turned out to be a Trumpbot, has a Russian girlfriend. He said he probably would never see the woman again because "Hillary is going to close all the borders." What? What?? What??? No doubt you've got a few case studies of your own to report.

Mark Berman of the Washington Post: "The Supreme Court stayed the execution Thursday night of an Alabama inmate who had been scheduled to die by lethal injection.... This marked the seventh time that Thomas D. Arthur -- who was convicted of murder and is the second-oldest inmate on Alabama's death row -- had faced an execution date that was called off.... Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas -- the Supreme Court justice assigned to the 11th Circuit, which includes Alabama -- said in an order shortly before 10:30 p.m. that he was halting the execution until he or the other justices issued another order.... The [full Court's] order included a statement from Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. explaining that while he did not believe this case merited a review from the Supreme Court, he had decided to vote for a stay anyway as a courtesy to his colleagues. Roberts wrote that four of the other justices had voted in favor of staying the execution." -- CW

Sharon Churcher of Radar: "Fox News star Megyn Kelly has unveiled explosive new charges against the network’s founder, Roger Ailes, claiming the disgraced 76-year-old executive tried to sexually assault her in his New York office and hinted she would be fired when she 'pushed him away.'" Churcher provides details, which she says are a late addition to Kelly's memoir. CW: If, like me, you thought the beautiful women Fox "News" puts on air were there to increase ratings, you were wrong; their primary function appears to have been to serve as Roger's harem. Did I mention that, at least until recently, Old Mister Pig was one of Donald Trump's closest advisors?

Beyond the Beltway

Ted Sherman & Matt Arco of NJ.com: "Defense attorneys Thursday asked for the declaration of a mistrial in the Bridgegate saga in the wake of a furtive, day-long battle that took place behind-the-scenes on Wednesday over whether jurors had been incorrectly instructed. The request was made in a redacted application that gave no reason for the mistrial request. At the same time, assistant U.S. Attorney David Feder filed a separate motion asking the court to seal the record.... [The mistrial request] came following a heated dispute on Wednesday involving the judge's answer to a question by the jury a day earlier, when U.S. District Court Judge Susan Wigenton told jurors they need not consider the politically inspired motive in the George Washington Bridge scandal in determining the the guilt or innocence of the defendants." -- CW

News Lede

Bloomberg: "U.S. jobs continued to rise at a steady pace in October and wage gains accelerated, signs that the labor market and economy made steady progress at the start of the fourth quarter. Payrolls climbed by 161,000 last month following a 191,000 gain in September that was larger than previously estimated, a Labor Department report showed Friday. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey called for 173,000. The jobless rate fell to 4.9 percent, while wages rose from a year earlier by the most since June 2009." -- CW

Wednesday
Nov022016

The Commentariat -- November 3, 2016

Think Leonidas at Thermopylae, think William the Conqueror at Hastings, think Henry V at Agincourt, think George Washington crossing the Delaware, think the Great Twitter War of Fuckface von Clownstick:

*****

Presidential Race

Megan Thee-Brenan of the New York Times: "Heading into the final days of the presidential campaign, the race has settled back into a tight contest, with Hillary Clinton holding an edge over Donald J. Trump after a month of tumult. Most voters say their minds are made up and late revelations about both candidates made no significant difference to them, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll released Thursday. Five days before Election Day, the margin between the candidates is narrow, with 45 percent of likely voters supporting Mrs. Clinton, the Democratic candidate, to 42 percent for Mr. Trump, the Republican nominee. The difference is within the poll's margin of sampling error. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, has the support of 5 percent of likely voters, and the Green Party nominee, Jill Stein, takes 4 percent." CW: If you're a Jill Stein voter (I'm talking to you, Susan Sarandon), you're an irresponsible, confused fool.

... Jonathan Martin & Alexander Burns of the New York Times: "By driving women, educated white voters and, most significantly, growing blocs of minorities away from the Republican Party, Mr. Trump has hastened social and political changes already well underway in two key regions, the interior West and the upper South, that not long ago tilted to the right. Now, even as Hillary Clinton contends with inflamed Democratic anxiety over renewed scrutiny of her private email server, these once-red areas are providing an unexpected firewall for her campaign." -- CW


Jordan Fabian
of the Hill: "President Obama is sounding the alarm about low turnout among black voters in key battleground states, arguing it could sink Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's chances of winning the White House and put his legacy in jeopardy. 'Im going to be honest with you right now. The Latino vote is up. The overall vote is up. But the African-American vote, right now, is not as solid as it needs to be,' Obama said in an interview that aired Wednesday on the 'Tom Joyner Morning Show.' The president's comments amplify concerns from top Democrats about low black turnout in early voting, something they fear could cause a problem for Clinton, who is clinging to a narrow lead over Republican Donald Trump. African-American turnout is down from four years ago in both North Carolina and Florida. The Clinton campaign is plotting a final-week blitz in both states, including two visits to each state by Obama. Black returns in early voting are also down in Ohio, where Obama rallied Democrats on Tuesday." -- CW ...

... Kevin Liptak of CNN: "President Barack Obama returned to North Carolina Wednesday more insistent than ever the state's college students and African-Americans cast ballots for Hillary Clinton, telling them 'the fate of the republic rests on your shoulders.' But on his third campaign stop in the state since July, he also appealed to Republicans, saying certain standards transcend party politics." -- CW ...

... The full speech is here. Here's a clip:

Sari Horwitz & Ellen Nakashima of the Washington Post: "Senior FBI officials were informed about the discovery of new emails potentially relevant to the investigation of Hillary Clinton's private email server at least two weeks before Director James B. Comey notified Congress, according to federal officials.... The officials said that Comey was told that there were new emails before he received a formal briefing last Thursday, although the precise timing is unclear.... In notifying lawmakers on Friday about the new investigative steps, Comey said he had been 'briefed' about the newly discovered emails a day earlier but did not mention that he had first heard about them before that. The news media has widely reported that Comey was first told about the emails last week.... When Comey and the officials decided to seek a warrant, they knew that would involve more people, both at the FBI and the Justice Department. Comey was concerned that the explosive information that they had to renew the Clinton investigation would leak out." ...

     ... CW: This is a major CYA leak, one Comey almost certain authorized. It's also, if you notice, an attempt to shift blame to the DOJ for Comey's "need" to notify Congress. ...

... ** Gardiner Harris & Adam Goldman of the New York Times: " President Obama sharply criticized the decision by his F.B.I. director to alert Congress on Friday about the discovery of new emails related to the Hillary Clinton server case, implying that it violated investigative guidelines and trafficked in innuendo. 'We don't operate on incomplete information,' Mr. Obama said in an interview with NowThis News, broadcast Wednesday. 'We don't operate on leaks. We operate based on concrete decisions that are made. When this was investigated thoroughly the last time, the conclusion of the F.B.I., the conclusion of the Justice Department, the conclusion of repeated congressional investigations was that she had made some mistakes but that there wasn't anything there that was prosecutable," Mr. Obama said." -- CW (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Jessie Hellmann of the Hill: "House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) floated the possibility Wednesday that FBI Director James Comey could be one 'the casualties' of the 2016 election.... 'Maybe he's not in the right job,' Pelosi said to CNN. 'I think that we have to just get through this election and just see what the casualties are along the way.'" -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... ** Andrew Rosenthal of the New York Times: "There are two possible explanations for James Comey's decision to announce last week that he was examining emails that 'appear to be pertinent' to the investigation of Hillary Clinton's use of a private email server. One explanation, which I tend to believe, is that Comey ... set out to interfere in the campaign on behalf of the Republican Party, a shocking act that would render him unfit for his powerful office. (In that scenario, the aim may have ... been ... to preserve the Republican majorities in Congress, which suddenly seemed in danger this fall....) The other possible explanation is that he acted out of ... self-righteousness -- a dangerous current in modern right-wing politics that has its roots in the rise of the Moral Majority.... Certainly, Comey was not acting out of respect for protocol, ethics and procedure.... Comey has always enjoyed flexing his power." -- CW ...

... Josh Gerstein of Politico: "The FBI never asked Hillary Clinton's top aides to turn over all the computers and smartphones they used while Clinton was secretary of state, an omission that is now triggering questions from Republican lawmakers." CW Translation: We fucked up, so now we're obliged to fuck up the election. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... David Mack of BuzzFeed: "The teenage girl who allegedly received indecent messages from Anthony Weiner said she is 'upset' with FBI Director James Comey after she found out via the media that her case had been tied to the use of Hillary Clinton's private email server.... 'The FBI asked for me to speak to the media as little as possible. I have tried to stay quiet, but Comey has upset me,' the teenager told BuzzFeed News. 'The last thing that I wanted was to have this become political propaganda.'" -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... ** Den of Reprobates. Veteran investigative reporter Wayne Barrett, writing in the Daily Beast, on the web of confederates tied to the FBI "investigations" of Clinton: Trump, Giuliani, Comey, former head of the FBI's New York office Jim Kallstrom, current FBI agents, Fox "News," et al. Barrett's lede: "Two days before FBI director James Comey rocked the world last week, Rudy Giuliani was on Fox, where he volunteered, un-prodded by any question: 'I think he's got a surprise or two that you're going to hear about in the next few days. I mean, I'm talking about some pretty big surprises.' Do read on, especially if you think the FBI is a band of high-minded boy scouts (and we're pretty much talking all boys). P.S. It isn't a conspiracy "theory" if there's a real conspiracy. Thanks to safari for the link.

... Josh Marshall of TPM: "It would seem that basically everyone at the FBI is leaking their sides of various internal disputes and turf wars, largely tied to various investigations of the Clintons or attempts to start investigations of the Clintons. That alone paints a picture of Director James Comey as having totally lost control of the organization. But the points of dispute themselves, well ...." Read on. CW: The "evidence" the anti-Clinton agents are pushing is astonishing. And Trump's alt-right campaign manager Steve Bannon turns out to be behind the FBI's "evidence"-gathering. Bannon's delusions of grandeur are not looking so delusional. He pulls a lot of crap-wrapped string. ...

     ... Update: "... Margaret Hartmann of New York has more on the FBI sieve: "While a number of FBI agents and Justice Department officials appear to be airing their grievances about how the Clinton and Trump investigations were handled, a few are going even further by sharing their predictions about the outcomes. Fox News's Bret Baier said Wednesday that two FBI sources said the Clinton Foundation probe is likely to lead to an indictment. One of the sources said the bureau has collected 'a lot of' evidence, and 'there is an avalanche of new information coming every day.'" ...

     ... CW: [As Hartmann notes,] over there at the Fair & Balanced Network, "news" anchor Bret Baier is reporting a "likely indictment" related to the Clinton Foundation "'barring some obstruction in some way' from the Justice Department." The "obstruction" is probably something like, "We hold to the quaint notion that an indictment should be based on something we like to call 'evidence of wrongdoing.'"

Dylan Byers of CNN: "Donald Trump once again singled out NBC News journalist Katy Tur by name during a rally on Wednesday, reigniting concerns about reporters' safety at Trump rallies. Speaking at a rally in Miami, Trump launched into his oft-repeated line about how the 'dishonest' media never showed the size of his rallies before singling out Tur. 'There's something happening. They're not reporting it. Katy -- you're not reporting it, Katy,' Trump said. 'But there's something happening, Katy. There's something happening, Katy.'... Following Trump's remarks on Wednesday, other journalists at the rally reported that some Trump supporters were harassing Tur. It was not the first time Trump had singled out Tur, who has been covering his campaign since last summer." -- CW ...

... Greg Sargent: "Ever since Trump first called Megyn Kelly a 'bimbo' for daring to press him over his ugly attacks on women, and ever since Trump subsequently described a Hillary Clinton debate bathroom break as 'disgusting,' it's been obvious Trump's low standing with female voters might eventually doom his candidacy. Despite feints at addressing this problem, he has been unable to control his impulse towards belittling women." Sargent suggests that Trump's idea of a "media cover-up" is their refusal to report out Trump's repeated lies. -- CW

Jonathan Salant of NJ.com: Donald "Trump, who was slow to repudiate former KKK leader David Duke's endorsement in February, quickly renounced this show of support [from the Crusader, a KKK publication, which ran a full front-page story praising him]. 'Mr. Trump and the campaign denounces hate in any form,' the campaign said in a statement sent to the Washington Post. 'This publication is repulsive and their views do not represent the tens of millions of Americans who are uniting behind our campaign.' An official at the Southern Poverty Law Center, which tracks hate groups, questioned Trump's sincerity. 'Trump has been dog whistling white supremacists from the very first day of his campaign when he described Mexican immigrants as rapists and drug dealers,' said Mark Potok, a senior fellow with a civil rights organization in Montgomery, Ala. 'I don't take his disavowal of white supremacist groups seriously at all.'" -- CW

** Donald Trump, Huge Tax Cheat & Horrible Citizen, Ctd. Fred Goldberg & Michael Graetz, in a New York Times op-ed: "Trump ... reported only $14,222 in total salary on his 2015 financial disclosure form.... By declaring such a low salary, Mr. Trump, we believe, avoided paying millions of dollars of Medicare taxes that should have gone to support senior citizens and their families. He may even have shortchanged Social Security by declaring salary and self-employment income below the limit on Social Security taxes ($118,500 in 2015).... If you work for a corporation, you are expected to declare a reasonable salary, and if you are a member of a partnership, you are expected to declare fair compensation for your management services." Goldberg is former IRS commissioner under Bush I & Graetz served in Bush's Treasury. ...

     ... CW: In other words, janitors & maids pay more in Medicare & Social Security taxes than Trump does. That is outrageous. Seriously. And, no, that doesn't "make him smart." It makes him a low-life piece of garbage who has cheated every American who works or worked for a living. But we knew that. ...

... Dana Milbank now counts himself among the tens of thousands of workers, vendors, lawyers & donors whom Donald Trump has directly ripped off. Milbank wants his money back. Good luck with that, Dana. -- CW

The Trumpster Hosts the Mobster. Michael Isikoff of Yahoo! News: "A newly uncovered video appears to contradict Donald Trump's claim that he never knew a high-stakes gambler who was banned from New Jersey casinos for alleged ties to organized crime. The reputed mob figure, Robert LiButti, can be seen standing alongside Trump in the front row of a 1988 'WrestleMania' match in Atlantic City, N.J.... Edith Creamer, [LiButti's daughter...,] also attended the event. 'We were his guests,' she told Yahoo News in a text message this week.... The video appears to lend new support to assertions Trump once had close relations with LiButti, who was banned from the state's casinos in 1991 because of his ties to Mafia boss John Gotti, then the chief of the Gambino crime syndicate. Separately, the New Jersey Casino Control Commission that same year levied $650,000 in fines against the Trump Plaza hotel over its dealings with LiButti, who gambled huge sums at the hotel's casino. LiButti died in 2014."CW: Maybe dead men tell no tales, but videotapes and daughters do. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Josh Gerstein: "Lawyers suing Donald Trump for fraud over his Trump University real-estate seminar program say his campaign trail statements -- including some alleged whoppers -- should be fair game at a civil trial set to start later this month. Last week, Trump's attorneys asked that all his comments connected to his presidential campaign be off limits in the class-action lawsuit, along with all discussion of what his legal team euphemistically called 'personal conduct accusations.'... 'Donald Trump's dizzying array of objectively false, contradictory, and self-defeating statements have left him so flummoxed he is demanding that the Court create a new category of immunity to protect him from himself,' the plaintiffs' attorneys wrote. 'As a key witness in a case about his deception of others, Trump's representations, acts (or lack thereof), and credibility will be among the most important issues for the jury to determine. Trump wants to rig the deck by hiding from the jury his own words.'" -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Election News

Jim Sensenbrenner (R-Wisc.), in a Washington Post op-ed: "On Tuesday, Americans will elect a president without the full protections of the Voting Rights Act.... In 2013, the Supreme Court declared that voter discrimination was no longer a problem and effectively struck down the only portion of the act designed to stop discrimination before it affects an election. The court let stand the provisions of the act that allow lawsuits after a discriminatory law takes effect, but unfortunately, the United States has learned the hard way that there is no satisfactory cure for discrimination after an election occurs.... Along with Sen. Patrick J. Leahy (D-Vt.) and Rep. John Conyers Jr. (D-Mich.), I introduced the Voting Rights Amendment Act of 2015 to modernize the original law and to respond to the Supreme Court's objections in Shelby County.... Unfortunately, despite the legislation having more than 100 co-sponsors, Congress still has not acted on it.... If voters are worried about rigged elections, Congress must act with urgency to pass the Voting Rights Amendment Act of 2015." -- CW ...

... CW: Why, Jim, what could possibly go wrong? ...

... Trump Alt-Right Allies Plan Election-Day Mayhem. Ben Schreckinger of Politico: "Neo-Nazi leader Andrew Anglin plans to muster thousands of poll watchers across all 50 states. His partners at the alt-right website 'the Right Stuff' are touting plans to set up hidden cameras at polling places in Philadelphia and hand out liquor and marijuana in the city's 'ghetto' on Election Day to induce residents to stay home. The National Socialist Movement, various factions of the Ku Klux Klan and the white nationalist American Freedom Party all are deploying members to watch polls, either 'informally' or, they say, through the Trump campaign. The Oath Keepers, a group of former law enforcement and military members that often shows up in public heavily armed, is advising members to go undercover and conduct 'intelligence-gathering' at polling places, and Donald Trump ally Roger Stone is organizing his own exit polling, aiming to monitor thousands of precincts across the country." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Was He Lying Then or Is He Lying Now? Kyle Cheney of Politico: "Mike Pence declared confidently over the summer that the Trump campaign would be working hand-in-glove with the Republican National Committee to prevent voter fraud. Now, in a court filing, the GOP's vice presidential nominee says he misspoke. After facing a legal threat from Democrats, Pence and the RNC are disavowing his comments, with both insisting that the RNC has no role whatsoever in the Trump camp's ballot security operation.... As a result of Pence's assertion -- and a similar one by Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway -- the Democratic National Committee filed suit alleging that the RNC was violating a consent decree from the 1980s settling a case alleging that GOP poll-watchers sought to intimidate minority voters in a practice then known as 'caging.'" -- CW ...

... Allegra Kirkland of TPM: "A historically black church in Greenville, Mississippi was set on fire and vandalized with graffiti reading 'vote Trump' on Tuesday night. 'It is being investigated as a hate crime,' Greenville Mayor Errick Simmons told TPM on Wednesday...." -- CW (Also linked yesterday.)

Senate Races

Mini-Trump. Francis Clines of the New York Times: "Echoes of Donald Trump's worst campaign instincts -- on gun control and the news media -- are registering down ballot in North Carolina, a crucial toss-up state where Senator Richard Burr, a Republican, is in a tight re-election race.... [Burr's] bullseye talk recalled Mr. Trump's remark in August that 'Second Amendment people' could 'maybe' find a way to deal with Hillary Clinton.... Later in the week, in a move that recalled Mr. Trump's crusade to demonize and black-ball selected media outlets, Mr. Burr's campaign vindictively banned the state's main newspaper, The News & Observer, from receiving advance notice of the senator's daily campaign schedule." -- CW

Jordan Fabian of the Hill: "The FBI is investigating an alleged illegal donation scheme involving a wealthy Saudi family that supports Democratic Florida Senate candidate Patrick Murphy. The Hill has found no evidence that Murphy himself was involved in, or even aware of, the alleged scheme. The Murphy campaign declined to say whether the candidate is aware of the FBI probe, but the campaign said neither Murphy nor his campaign staff is being investigated. The Murphy campaign noted that a conservative super PAC earlier this year filed a complaint on the issue that the FBI is looking into.... The FBI investigation, however, relates to Murphy's first run for the House in the 2012 campaign cycle.... The allegation -- originally submitted by a Republican super PAC run by a former top aide to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) -- is that Murphy's high school friend and major political donor, Ibrahim Al-Rashid, coordinated a 'straw donor' scheme to boost Murphy."...

     ... CW: Looks as if we're seeing a pattern here consistent with the Clinton "investigations": (1) Confederates concoct story involving foreigners who have ties to Democratic candidate; (2) Confederates notify receptive FBI agents; (3) agents open inquiry; (4) Confederates leak story to press; (5) Press publishes leaked news of investigation & allegations. Now if Rubio would only start calling Murphy "Crooked Patrick," the circle would be complete. Solution: campaign finance reform.

Other News & Views

Brian Stelter & Tom Kludt of CNN: "Hulk Hogan and the remnants of Gawker Media have struck a confidential settlement agreement, rewarding the wrestler with millions of dollars. 'After four years of litigation funded by a billionaire with a grudge going back even further, a settlement has been reached. The saga is over,' Gawker founder Nick Denton wrote in a blog post on Wednesday.... As part of the settlement, Hogan, whose real name is Terry Bollea, will receive $31 million in cash, according to a court filing." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Brian Feldman of New York: "Even people suspicious or dismissive of the Hogan story -- concerning as it did a sex tape -- should feel nervous about the fact that two indisputably true articles were taken down because their subjects were lucky enough to find a billionaire backer with a grudge.... But this is what happens when a billionaire goes to war against you. As Denton writes, the drain of looming litigation had become unsustainable, in particular because the lawsuits personally targeted journalists.... [Billionaire Peter] Thiel [CW: a Trump backer] is so wealthy as to place him effectively outside the network of incentives that make the legal system a just forum for negotiating disputes." -- CW

Dina Bass of Bloomberg: "Microsoft Corp. said a computer-hacking group that has previously targeted government agencies attacked its Windows software and Adobe Systems Inc.'s Flash program. The company will release a security patch for its operating system on Nov. 8, Windows chief Terry Myerson said Tuesday in a blog post on Microsoft's website. Users of Microsoft's Edge browser on the latest update to Windows 10 are protected from the flaw, the company said. The security exploit, by a group Microsoft calls Strontium, was discovered by Google's Threat Analysis Group and announced on Monday." CW: Several sites (here's one) recommended disabling Flash. I just uninstalled mine. I hope Adobe gets its fix up soon, as I need Flash to cover the election results since I don't have cable TV where I am. If you depend on Flash, at least make sure you have the latest update. If you're using Windows 10, Microsoft Edge is supposed to protect you. (Also linked yesterday.)

Way Beyond the Beltway

Brexit? Not So Fast. Owen Bowcott & Jessica Elgot of the Guardian: "Parliament alone has the power to trigger Brexit by notifying Brussels of the UK's intention to leave the European Union, the high court has ruled. The judgment (pdf), delivered by the lord chief justice, Lord Thomas of Cwmgiedd, is likely to slow the pace of Britain's departure from the EU and is a huge setback for Theresa May, who had insisted the government alone would decide when to trigger the process. The lord chief justice said that 'the most fundamental rule of the UK constitution is that parliament is sovereign'. A government spokesman said ministers would appeal to the supreme court against the decision. The hearing will take place on 7-8 December." -- CW

News Lede

New York Times: "Investigators quickly identified a suspect in the slayings [of two Iowa police officers], who then surrendered -- a local man described as a troubled loner who was familiar to the police in his suburban town, Urbandale. He had a string of arrests and confrontations with officers and others, but nothing in his record approached the scale of violence that erupted here." -- CW