The Commentariat -- December 28, 2017
** IRS Hits Brakes on Tax Prepayments. Washington Post: "Many Americans have rushed to prepay their 2018 property taxes and save on their federal taxes, hoping to take advantage of a tax deduction that will be scaled back in the new tax law passed by Republicans last week. The Internal Revenue Service confirmed Wednesday that taxpayers will be able to take advantage of the maneuver -- but only under limited circumstances. The IRS said that taxpayers can claim an additional property tax deduction when paying their 2017 taxes if they pay the tax this year and if the local tax authority has notified homeowners prior to 2018 of how much they owe in property taxes, known as a tax assessment. State and local laws vary as to when this occurs." This is a developing story. Mrs. McC: Looks like Medlar & I are screwed as I don't think the 2018 assessments in our town will be out for months. Florida, BTW, does not allow propertyowners to prepay their 2018 taxes in 2017. ...
... Here's the New York Times story, by Ben Casselman. ...
... The IRS advisory notice is here. ...
Natalie Kitroeff of the New York Times: "Already, lawyers and accountants are eyeing several provisions [of the tax overhaul] that investors and companies could potentially exploit. The bill, for example, lowers the taxes on so-called pass-through income, which is earned by partnerships and other types of businesses. Congress sold the provision as a way to help smaller companies. But lawmakers added language that allowed big real estate developers to benefit. The result could be a tax break for any company that buys and operates a building for its business. The new law is also supposed to encourage companies to make investments in the United States. But the rules were written in such a way that they could give businesses an incentive to keep their money in foreign countries and build factories abroad." And so forth. Mrs. McC: Fortunately, the IRS is making it difficult for middle-class Americans to even mitigate the downsides the law aims at us. Thanks, Republicans!
Daily Beast: "... Donald Trump on Wednesday told firefighters that he had signed more legislation at this point in his presidential career than any previous president.... In actuality, Trump has signed 96 bills, the fewest of any president since before Truman."
Carol Leonnig of the Washington Post: "President Trump's legal team plans to cast former national security adviser Michael T. Flynn as a liar seeking to protect himself if he accuses the president or his senior aides of any wrongdoing, according to three people familiar with the strategy. The approach would mark a sharp break from Trump's previously sympathetic posture toward Flynn, whom he called a 'wonderful man' when Flynn was ousted from the White House in February. Earlier this month, the president did not rule out a possible pardon for Flynn, who is cooperating with special counsel Robert S. Mueller III's investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election." ...
... digby: "I'm sure Flynn was told by his attorneys that Trump was going to turn on him and make him into a lying, treasonous Benedict Arnold. At this point one doubts that his feelings will be hurt. He has to know by now that cozying up to Trump was the biggest mistake of his life. He could have been making millions quietly lobbying for all those foreign countries right now and instead his life is ruined."
Kevin Hall of McClatchy News: "A jailed Russian who says he hacked into the Democratic National Committee computers on the Kremlin's orders to steal emails released during the 2016 U.S. presidential election campaign now claims he left behind a data signature to prove his assertion. In an interview with Russia's RAIN television channel made public Wednesday, Konstantin Kozlovsky provided further details about what he said was a hacking operation led by the Russian intelligence agency known by its initials FSB. Among them, Kozlovsky said he worked with the FSB to develop computer viruses that were first tested on large, unsuspecting Russian companies, such as the oil giant Rosneft, later turning them loose on multinational corporations. Kozlovsky first came to public attention in early December when word spread about his confession last Aug. 15 in a Russian courtroom that he was the person who hacked into DNC computers on behalf of Russian intelligence. The Russian was jailed earlier this year, alleged to have been part of a hacking group there that stole more than $50 million from Russian bank accounts through what's called the Lurk computer virus."
Josh Marshall: "From the Devin Nunes Intelligence Agency, we have theory 14 why Donald Trump should be immune from the rule of law." Nunes is attempting to prove the Steele dossier was part & parcel of the Russia disinformation campaign. "This is not an inherently nonsensical idea.... We shouldn't think that because Russia wanted to elect Donald Trump that they couldn't simultaneously be involved in undermining Trump. But there are numerous reasons to doubt this new theory. First and foremost is that it comes from Devin Nunes and House 'investigators' working on his behalf.... Next, when counter-intelligence agents at the FBI first got hold of Steele's materials this is basically the first trap they would have run.... Congressional Republicans have increasingly focused in on the Steele dossier as the lynchpin undergirding the entire Russia probe. Discredit its origins or invalidate its claims and the whole Russia probe falls apart. But that's clearly not true.... Nothing Mueller's team is doing now relies on Steele's work...."
Michael Isikoff of Yahoo! News: "In just the last few weeks, [Robert Mueller's] prosecutors have begun questioning Republican National Committee staffers about the party digital operation that worked with the Trump campaign to target voters in key swing states. They are seeking to determine if the joint effort was related to the activities of Russian trolls and bots aimed at influencing the American electorate, according to two of the sources."
Michael Kranish of the Washington Post: "Federal prosecutors have requested records related to a $285 million loan that Deutsche Bank gave Jared Kushner's family real estate company one month before Election Day, the company confirmed this week. The records were sought by prosecutors in Brooklyn and do not appear related to special counsel Robert S. Mueller III's investigation into Russia's interference in the 2016 election. A Kushner Cos. spokeswoman said that the firm is cooperating in the review of what it called a 'routine' transaction."
Michael Weiss of The Daily Beast: "This [article] is the first of a three-part series based on never-before-published training manuals for the KGB, the Soviet intelligence organization that Vladimir Putin served as an operative, and that shaped his view of the world. Its veterans still make up an important part of now-Russian President Vladimir Putin's power base.... The first installment of this series, directly relevant to the question of how Putin's minions played members of the Trump campaign, looks specifically at the use of third parties to target individuals and organizations." --safari...
...Russian Snowflakes. Adam Raymond of New York: "A Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman with a sense of humor accused the U.S. of 'direct interference in our electoral process and internal affairs' after the State Department chided the Kremlin for barring a political opponent of Vladimir Putin's from challenging him in next year's presidential election.... [T]he Kremlin is still keeping Alexey Navalny, a charismatic opposition activist, from running." --safari
** Richard Haass in The Atlantic: "When great powers fade, as they inevitably must, it's normally for one of two reasons. Some powers exhaust themselves through overreach abroad, underinvestment at home, or a mixture of the two. This was the case for the Soviet Union. Other powers lose their privileged position with the emergence of new, stronger powers. This describes what happened with France and Great Britain in the case of Germany's emergence after World War I.... But the United States has now introduced a third means by which a major power forfeits international advantage. It is abdication, the voluntary relinquishing of power and responsibility.... Trump is the first post -- World War II American president to view the burdens of world leadership as outweighing the benefits. As a result, the United States has changed from the principal preserver of order to a principal disrupter." --safari ...
... Aaron Miller & Richard Sokolsky in a Washington Post op-ed: "At the end of his first year in office, the president's approach to foreign affairs doesn't fit the platitude-ridden narrative laid out in [his national security strategy] speech as much as it lines up with six key components that define the Trumpian way abroad: America first, politics over policy, ego, deconstruction, risk aversion and dictators over democrats. They don't make a neatly defined doctrine, but these components have a certain cohesion -- at least in Trump's mind -- that hints at how he'll operate for the rest of his tenure." Read on. ...
... BUT. Rex Tillerson, in a New York Times op-ed, says he & Trump are doing a great job meeting international challenges, especially compared to do-nothing previous administrations.
Preaching to the Choir. Harriet Sherwood of the Guardian: "A senior Church of England bishop has lambasted conservative evangelical Christians in the US for their 'uncritical support' of Donald Trump, urging them to reflect on how their endorsement of the president relates to their faith. Paul Bayes, the bishop of Liverpool, said 'self-styled evangelicals' risked bringing the word evangelical into disrepute.... Last month, Justin Welby, the archbishop of Canterbury, said he could not comprehend the strength of support for Trump among conservative evangelicals in the US. 'I really genuinely do not understand where that is coming from.'... According to the Washington-based Pew Research Center, 80% of self-identified white evangelical Christians said they voted for Trump in the 2016 election, and three-quarters have since said they approve of his presidency." --safari...
...Rachel Cohen of The Intercept, tells the story of how, "A Manhattan playboy, who campaigned as friendly to the LGBTQ community and has dubbed himself 'very pro-choice,' is now leading the most extreme anti-choice, transphobic, and anti-gay administration in modern history. The movement's prayers have been answered." --safari
Katie Van Syckle of New York: "Ivanka Trump has stepped away from her namesake label, but that doesn't mean she's stopped wearing her brand's pumps, shoes, dresses, bags, and jewelry. In fact, a Wall Street Journal investigation tracked one hundred of her outfits and found that she wore her own brand to official appearances 68% of the time...[S]he still gets some financial information about the brand..Despite all the photo opportunities, sales at the company are reportedly down, and she was dropped from Nordstrom and Neiman Marcus earlier this year. Ethically, of course, she's in uncharted territory." --safari
Pigs at the Taxpayer Trough. Nicole Goodkind of Newsweek: "Omarosa Manigault Newman ... is still on the public payroll despite resigning from her position in mid-December.... The White House announced on December 13 that Omarosa ... had resigned 'to pursue other opportunities' but that her departure would 'not be effective until January 20, 2018.' Still, the Secret Service said it had deactivated her pass to the White House, which means she is no longer working there.... Omarosa ... continues to be paid her full, $179,700 annual salary despite not showing up for work." --safari
** Chiraag Bains in a New York Times op-ed: "Last week, Attorney General Jeff Sessions retracted an Obama-era guidance to state courts that was meant to end debtors' prisons, which throw people who are too poor to pay fines into jail. This practice is blatantly unconstitutional, and the guidance had helped jump-start reform around the country. Its withdrawal is the latest sign that the federal government is retreating from protecting civil rights for the most vulnerable among us. The Justice Department helped shine a light on the harms of fine and fees when it investigated Ferguson, Mo.... As one of the lawyers on that case, I saw firsthand the damage that the city had wrought on its black community."
Betsy Woodruff of The Daily Beast: "The Trump administration is poised to make it harder for members of Congress to help immigrants deal with the government.... [An] email, sent Dec. 18 from a top official at U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS), says the agency will put new restrictions on how members of Congress can help immigrants looking to get green cards or citizenship. It indicates that the agency will soon be demanding extra forms in many circumstances, as well as requiring certified translations and notarized signatures. USCIS insists this is all to protect immigrants' privacy and that any claims it s intended to make things more difficult for them are 'baseless.'" -safari
** Hotbed of Hate. Liz Posner of Alternet: "Since the beginning of 2017, [Whitefish, Montana]'s name has popped up repeatedly in stories about the far right. Whitefish is the home base for Trump's potential private spy agency [Amyntor Group], as well as the tiny company contracted to restore power in Puerto Rico, and early in the year, the town drew media attention as the proposed meeting point for an anti-Semitic rally.... All three are clearly linked to the Trump White House.... Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke grew up in Whitefish and has personal and business ties to the energy group contracted for the work in Puerto Rico.... The town is home to white supremacist leader Richard Spencer and Chuck Baldwin, a radical-right extremist minister who preaches Islamophobia, anti-Semitism and homophobia among other strains of hate.... This year, journalist Wayne Madsen reported that Zinkes' two sons 'were friends of former Whitefish resident Richard Spencer,' and that part of the reason Spencer moved his headquarters to Washington, D.C., after Trump's election was to be closer to the Zinkes, as well as his friend Stephen Miller." --safari
Democracy Now! looks into the effects of the Trump minions packing the courts at record pace. --safari
Senate Race. Sore Bigoted Loser. AP in the Guardian: "Republican Roy Moore has filed a lawsuit to try to stop Alabama from certifying Democrat Doug Jones as the winner of the state's special Senate election on 12 December. The court filing occurred about 14 hours before Thursday's meeting of a state canvassing board to officially declare Jones the winner. Jones defeated Moore by about 20,000 votes." --safari
House Race. Oliver Darcy of CNN: "Breitbart executive chairman Steve Bannon has cut ties with Paul Nehlen, the far-right activist who is challenging Paul Ryan for his congressional seat and who has received extremely favorable coverage from Breitbart in the past. 'Nehlen is dead to us,' said Arthur Schwartz, an adviser of Bannon's who is familiar with the former White House chief strategist's thinking. Nehlen, who became a lightning rod for his anti-immigrant views, has escalated his rhetoric in recent days with a number of incendiary tweets. In one tweet, Nehlen proudly revealed that he is reading 'The Culture of Critique,' a book about Jewish culture widely considered to be anti-semitic. In other tweets, he has used the '#ItsOkayToBeWhite' hashtag.... Schwartz told CNN the decision was made earlier this month after Bannon was alerted that Nehlen had appeared on a white nationalist podcast."
More Fucking Morons. Sarah Kliff of Vox: "One-third of American adults believe that President Trump has successfully repealed Obamacare, a new poll from the Economist and YouGov finds. The poll of 1,000 adults shows that 31 percent believe Trump has repealed the Affordable Care Act, 49 percent say he hasn't, and 21 percent are unsure. Of those who identify as Republican voters, 44 percent say that Trump has repealed Obamacare." --safari
Jeffrey Jones of Gallup: "Americans once again are most likely to name Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton as the man and woman living anywhere in the world they admire most, as they have for the past 10 years. The pair retain their titles this year, although by much narrower margins than in the past. Obama edges out Donald Trump, 17% to 14%, while Clinton edges out Michelle Obama, 9% to 7%."
Patrick Wintour of the Guardian: "Politicians, and others in positions of power, should stop corroding civil discourse and seek to unify society, the former US president Barack Obama said in a rare interview conducted by Prince Harry for BBC Radio 4's Today programme. Obama did not mention his successor, Donald Trump, by name, but said social media could lead to facts being discarded and prejudices being reinforced, making public conversation harder. 'All of us in leadership have to find ways to recreate a common space on the internet,' he said.... Trump has been fiercely critical of Obama personally and politically since he entered the Oval Office, but Obama in his first interview since leaving office did not take the chance to hit back, possibly reflecting his wife Michelle's famous dictum: 'When they go low, you go high'." (Also linked yesterday.) ...
... Here is reputedly audio of the full interview. (Also linked yesterday.) ...
... Mrs. McC: I have no idea if this is true, considering the source. News.au: "BRITISH government bureaucrats are urging Prince Harry not to invite the Obamas to his wedding for fear of infuriating Donald Trump. Harry and fiancee Meghan Markle have told aides they want the former US president and wife Michelle at their big day on May 19, according to The Sun." (Also linked yesterday.)
Way Beyond the Beltway
Ben Doherty of the Guardian: "Children caught in war zones are increasingly being used as weapons of war -- recruited to fight, forced to act as suicide bombers, and used as human shields -- the United Nations children's agency has warned.... Rape, forced marriage, abduction and enslavement had become standard tactics in conflicts across Iraq, Syria and Yemen, as well as in Nigeria, South Sudan and Myanmar. Some children, abducted by extremist groups, are abused again by security forces when they are released. Others are indirectly harmed by fighting, through malnutrition and disease, as access to food, water and sanitation are denied or restricted." --safari
Juan Cole: "The US military says that the number of ISIL fighters in eastern Syria has fallen from 3000 a month ago to only 1000 today. Moreover a lot of the latter are fleeing into al-Assad-controlled territory, a severe security concern for the Syrian state. The US is apparently declining to intervene, watching with some satisfaction as the fighters flee into the country's urban areas.... [Putin] expects to continue to fight terrorism (the Nusra front) and to maintain two bases in the country. Obviously, the withdrawal noises are propaganda." --safari
** "New Arctic". Eric Holthaus of Mother Jones: "Last week ... a group of polar scientists made a startling declaration: The Arctic as we once knew it is no more. The region is now definitively trending toward an ice-free state, the scientists said, with wide-ranging ramifications for ecosystems, national security, and the stability of the global climate system.... In the NOAA report, Arctic scientists lay out their best ideas of what this shift could mean for the world. Their depictions are sobering." --safari