The Commentariat -- August 4, 2016
Afternoon Update:
"Tut, Tut." -- Ryan to Trump. Alexander Burns, et al., of the New York Times: Donald Trump has "risked alienating a ... pivotal constituency in the swing states that will decide the presidential election: military communities dismayed by his crude and sometimes offensive comments about the armed services. Starting last week when he clashed with Khizr and Ghazala Khan..., Mr. Trump has reignited a set of controversies surrounding his approach to the military. He has drawn fresh attention to his derisive comments about Senator John McCain's capture in Vietnam, as well as to his own avoidance of military service during the same war. He attacked Gen. John R. Allen, a retired Marine who endorsed Hillary Clinton, as a 'failed general' over the weekend, and he joked at a campaign event on Tuesday about receiving a Purple Heart, the military decoration for soldiers wounded in combat." -- CW ...
... Mike DeBonis of the Washington Post: "House Speaker Paul D. Ryan repeated Thursday that his endorsement of Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump was 'not a blank check' and delivered a sharp critique of Trump's flailing campaign two days after Trump declined to endorse Ryan for reelection to his Wisconsin congressional seat.... [But Ryan said] he would remain behind Trump even after the Khan controversy while continuing to speak out against his various controversial utterances." -- CW ...
... Morgan Winsor of ABC News: "Donald Trump's campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, acknowledged that 'there's a conflict within the Trump campaign' over the Republican presidential nominee's hesitation to endorse House Speaker Paul Ryan of Wisconsin for re-election. 'But Ryan is also running against somebody who's not going to win but nonetheless is a strong supporter of Mr. Trump's'' Manafort told George Stephanopoulos on 'Good Morning America.'" -- CW
Rosalind Helderman & Mary Jordan of the Washington Post: "The [Trump] campaign has not responded to questions asking how [nude] photos [of Melania Trump] could be shot [in New York City] in 1995 if Melania Trump arrived in 1996." The report is in Q&A format. A number of the As are "We don't know. The Trump campaign would not answer this question." The reporters do write that if Melania Trump was not compensated in any way -- that is, including such benefits as airfare or housing -- her 1995 photo shoot would not have been illegal if she had traveled to the U.S. a visitor's visa. -- CW
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Presidential Race
Julian Hattem & Amie Parnes of the Hill: "Instead of finding a way to let the [e-mail] issue die, [Hillary] Clinton has time and again inflamed criticism about the server, at times growing increasingly defensive.... The strategy has caused grumblings within her campaign and led to the persistent image that she is dishonest. This week, Clinton is catching new flak for unnecessarily mischaracterizing FBI Director James Comey's comments to suggest that she never misled the public.... Aides to Clinton ... acknowledged to The Hill that they were confused by her latest remarks.... Those in her orbit chock it up to Clinton's stubbornness." -- CW
Nicholas Confessore & Nick Corasaniti of the New York Times: "Donald J. Trump all but erased his enormous fund-raising disadvantage against Hillary Clinton in the span of just two months, according to figures released by his campaign on Wednesday, converting the passion of his core followers into a flood of small donations on a scale rarely seen in national politics. Mr. Trump and the Republican National Committee raised $64 million through a joint digital and mail effort in July, according to his campaign, the bulk of it from small donations. All told, Mr. Trump and his party brought in $82 million last month, only slightly behind Mrs. Clinton's $90 million, and ended with $74 million on hand, suggesting he might now have the resources to compete with Mrs. Clinton in the closing stretch of the campaign." -- CW
Michael Shear of the New York Times: "A cash payment of $400 million delivered to Iran in January became part of the presidential campaign on Wednesday, as Donald J. Trump seized on the money transfer as a sign of what he called the administration's failed foreign policy -- prompting a forceful White House rejection. Josh Earnest, the White House press secretary, said the payment to Iran was part of the resolution of a longstanding financial dispute between the two nations, and was delivered in cash on pallets because the two nations do not have a banking relationship." -- CW ...
Our incompetent secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, was the one who started talks to give 400 million dollars, in cash, to Iran. Scandal! -- Donald Trump, in a tweet, August 3
Trump is simply wrong that Clinton started the talks that led to the release of $400 million to Iran. She initiated the talks on Iran's nuclear program, but that's as far as her involvement goes. Perhaps resolution of claims could not have been achieved without a deal on the nuclear issue, but that's going too far. Iran's claim for the $400 million was made long before Clinton took office -- and was resolved after she left. -- Glenn Kessler of the Washington Post
... Saeed Dehghan & Mazin Sidahmed of the Guardian: "... Donald Trump has jumped on reports that the US paid $400m in cash to Iran after the country's historic nuclear deal, saying that the episode was a 'scandal' for Hillary Clinton, who started the talks as secretary of state. The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday that US officials secretly sent 'wooden pallets stacked with euros, Swiss francs and other currencies' to Iran, carried into the country by an unmarked cargo plane, suggesting that it may have been linked to the release of a group of Americans held in Iran. The US state department has denied this.... Although the cash payment to Iran coincided with the release of a group of Iranian American prisoners, there is no evidence to suggest any link between the two events." -- CW (Also linked yesterday.) ...
... Trump Confuses Pallets of Money with Hostages. Jenna Johnson of the Washington Post: "At a rally in Daytona Beach, Fla., on Thursday [CW: actually, Wednesday] afternoon, Trump announced that [a] months-old video [of the transfer of $400K from the U.S. to Iran] had been recorded by the Iranian government.... 'And they have a perfect tape, done by obviously a government camera, and the tape is of the people taking the money off the plane. Right? That means that in order to embarrass us further, Iran sent us the tapes.'... The video [Trump is referring to] is often labeled as being from Jan. 17 in Geneva where three American hostages first landed after being released from Tehran." -- CW ...
... Margaret Hartmann of New York: "'I'll never forget the scene this morning,' Trump sa[id]. 'Iran ― I don't think you've heard this anywhere but here ― Iran provided all of that footage, the tape, of taking that money off that airplane.'... Trump's description was pretty detailed (especially for a guy whose policy proposals usually consist of how he'll make things 'so good'); he references 'top secret' video shot with a 'government camera.'... But, as the Huffington Post notes, 'Contrary to what Trump said about the video he claimed to have seen, this video was not shot in Iran, it did not show the exchange of cash, it was not "top secret," it was not "a military tape," and it was not "provided by Iran." Nor was it released to "embarrass the United States," as Trump repeatedly claimed.'" ...
... CW: This solves the mystery of Trump's seeing those A-rabs dancing on New Jersey rooftops to celebrate the downing the World Trade Center. Following the 9/11 catastrophe, CNN did run footage of Palestinians celebrating the multiple attacks. Trump just can't tell the difference between Hoboken & East Jerusalem. When you get all your foreign policy views from "watching the shows" & when you half-watch TV while doing other things (see transcript of Philip Rucker's remarkable interview of Trump, linked yesterday), you're going to misunderstand a lot. Of the many reasons Trump is unfit for office, his inability to concentrate on any one thing, other than himself, is a huge one.
... Aaron Blake of the Washington Post: "In his speech Wednesday afternoon in Daytona Beach, Fla., Trump appeared to be heeding his advisers' reported wishes and giving a subdued, policy-heavy speech criticizing Clinton's foreign policy in places like Libya. He said President Obama probably regretted making her secretary of state.... Then he went back to name-calling. 'She should get an award from them as the founder of ISIS,' he said...." -- CW
Sabrina Siddiqui of the Guardian: "A Republican congressman who is a veteran of the Iraq war has said he cannot support Donald Trump in the wake of the presidential nominee's ongoing feud with the parents of an American soldier. Kinzinger, whose district Trump carried in the Illinois Republican primary in March, said he would not support Clinton nor tell voters how to cast their ballots." -- CW
Eli Stokels of Politico: "On Wednesday, Paul Manafort, Trump's top strategist, flatly denied a report that Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, Newt Gingrich and Rudy Giuliani are planning an intervention after a stunning streak of unforced errors: the Republican nominee's combative response to a Gold Star family that criticized him during last week's Democratic National Convention; his apparent lack of knowledge related to Ukraine and Russia; and his purposeful snubbing of GOP stalwarts Sen. John McCain and House Speaker Paul Ryan. Mike Pence, Trump's running mate..., sa[id] he endorsed Ryan and that Trump had encouraged him to do so.... But ... even Priebus ... abandoned his softer demeanor when he spoke with senior Trump staff on Tuesday afternoon. 'He lit into him [Trump] pretty good,'[TM Trump] said a source.... Amid reports suggesting that he and other staffers are beginning to 'phone it in,' Manafort ... admitted that Trump's comments in response to Khizr and Ghazala Khan were 'not smart.' And he made it clear that it's Trump ... who is responsible. 'Well, first of all, the candidate is in control of his campaign...,' Manafort said in a TV interview. 'And I'm in control of doing the things that he wants me to do in the campaign.'" -- CW ...
... However Could This Have Happened? Philip Rucker & Dan Balz of the Washington Post: "The Republican Party was in turmoil again Wednesday as party leaders, strategists and donors voiced increasing alarm about the flailing state of Donald Trump's candidacy and fears that the presidential nominee was damaging the party with an extraordinary week of self-inflicted mistakes, gratuitous attacks and missed opportunities.... Meanwhile, Trump's top campaign advisers are failing to instill discipline on their candidate, who has spent the past days lunging from one controversy to another while seemingly skipping chances to go on the offensive against ... Hillary Clinton." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Chuck Todd! & Hallie Jackson of NBC News: "Key Republicans close to Donald Trump's orbit are plotting an intervention with the candidate after a disastrous 48 hours led some influential voices in the party to question whether Trump can stay at the top of the Republican ticket without catastrophic consequences for his campaign and the GOP at large. Republican National Committee head Reince Priebus, former Republican New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich are among the Trump endorsers hoping to talk the real estate mogul into a dramatic reset of his campaign in the coming days, sources tell NBC News." CW: Definitely need Newt & Rudy when it comes to advice on stability & probity. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Gail Collins: "it does tell you something that Giuliani and Gingrich are supposed to be the voices of moderation and self-control in the campaign. The former mayor who told a press conference that he was going to end his marriage before he told his wife. And the former House speaker who once presided over a government shutdown, which he seemed to attribute to the bad seat he got on Air Force One." -- CW
... AND, as Jonathan Chait puts it, "Enraged Trump Toady Reince Priebus Contemplates Lashing Out With Nice Email. The gloves are off." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Chait has a very good synopsis of the Trump/Republican dumpster fire. -- CW (Also linked yesterday.) ...
... Frank Rich of the (minor) effects of the Trump meltdown: "What does it say about [John] McCain, who stood up heroically to his North Vietnamese captors, that he is not brave enough to stand up to a bully like Trump out of fear of losing his reelection bid?... And what does it say about [Paul] Ryan's much-touted intellect that he thinks that Trump, if elected president, will allow him to pursue his sacred conservative agenda in Congress? President Trump will humiliate and disregard the Speaker of the House ... just as candidate Trump is doing now. When Trump withheld his support for Ryan's reelection yesterday, the reason he gave was his skepticism that Ryan was capable of 'very, very strong leadership.' On this point, at least, Ryan has proven Trump completely right." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Michael Crowley of Politico: "Trump has spoken positively about Putin for years and from the beginning of the Ukraine crisis, he has focused less on Putin's aggression and more on what Trump calls Obama's weakness.... Until recently, Trump also frequently suggested that the U.S. needed to take a stronger stand in response.... While the reason for his shift is not clear, Trump's more conciliatory words -- which contradict his own party's official platform -- follow his recent association with several people sympathetic to Russian influence in Ukraine. They include his campaign manager Paul Manafort, who has worked for Ukraine's deposed pro-Russian president, his foreign policy adviser Carter Page, and the former secretary of state and national security adviser Henry Kissinger." ...
... CW: Crowley argues that Trump's past statements prove he knew, during his interview with George Stephanopoulos that Crimea was part of Ukraine. I think he did know -- in 2014 & '15 -- but -- perhaps because of the influence of Manafort, et al., -- he forgot. As contributor Marvin S. & others have noticed, Trump only knows what he knows in the moment. ...
... Jeff Nesbit in Time: "... several of Trump's businesses ... are entangled with Russian financiers inside Putin's circle.... As major banks in America stopped lending him money following his many bankruptcies, the Trump organization was forced to seek financing from non-traditional institutions. Several had direct ties to Russian financial interests in ways that have raised eyebrows. What's more, several of Trump's senior advisors have business ties to Russia or its satellite politicians.... It is Trump's financing from Russian satellite business interests that would seem to explain his pro-Putin sympathies. The most obvious example is Trump Soho, a complicated web of financial intrigue that has played out in court. A lawsuit claimed that the business group, Bayrock, underpinning Trump Soho was supported by criminal Russian financial interests.... There are other Russian business ties to the Trump organization as well." Via Jonathan Chait. -- CW
Jenna Johnson of the Washington Post: "As Donald Trump holds off endorsing House Speaker Paul D. Ryan in Wisconsin's Republican primary, his running mate [mike pence] enthusiastically endorsed Ryan on Wednesday, calling him a 'longtime friend' and 'strong conservative leader.'" CW: I don't think is what the meaning of "split ticket" is. (Also linked yesterday.)
Julian Hattem of the Hill: "Donald Trump's presidential campaign denied a report on Wednesday [by MSNBC's Joe Scarborough] that the Republican presidential nominee had three times asked a foreign policy adviser why the U.S. could not use its vast nuclear arsenal." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Steve M. thinks the unnamed foreign policy advisor may have been Henry Kissinger. Trump "sincerely believes the conspiracy theories he peddles, so not only will he respond to a loss by saying he was cheated, he'll mean it. He's a pure product of right-wing propaganda. He believes in nukes because thinks every problem has a simple solution ('toughness,' 'resolve'), and he believes he'd win a fair election because the right has been telling us for years that Democrats only win elections as a result of fraud. So no, he's not going anywhere." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...
... Joe Concha of the Hill: "Fox News host Megyn Kelly went after MSNBC's Joe Scarborough during her prime-time program Wednesday night, saying the 'Morning Joe' host altered his coverage of Donald Trump after Republican presidential nominee turned on him. 'Even MSNBC and their morning program over there, I mean, they could not have promoted Trump more,' Kelly told her on-set guest... 'And now today, Joe Scarborough is out there talking about how "In three times in one meeting, he [Trump] asked why he couldn't drop a nuclear weapon." Once Trump got mad at him,' she concluded, 'he stopped saying nice things about him.'" -- CW ...
... AND Daniel Drezner of the Washington Post has some questions for "journalist" Joe Scarborough. -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Where's the Outrage, GOP? Andrew Sprung in Xpostfactoid: "... something strange happened -- or didn't happen -- [Wednesday]. Republican leadership, reeling from Trump's a) relentless attacks on a Gold Star family, b) refusal to endorse two Republican leaders facing primary challenges who have denigrated themselves for him, and c) ejection of a crying baby from his rally, have not denounced [President Obama's] all-but-unprecedented direct assault on their nominee's fitness for office.... No one in the Republican leadership is willing to make the case that Trump is fit to serve as president." Via Paul Waldman. -- CW
Donald Trump, Insulting His Way to Electoral College Victory. Louis Nelson of Politico: "... at a rally Tuesday in Northern Virginia, Trump said Harrisburg[, Pennsylvania,] 'looked like a war zone' as he flew above it on his way out of town, a characterization that the city objected to strongly enough to release a statement about it." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Illinois State Senator Did Not Start Iraq War, After All. Nick Gass of Politico: "Donald Trump's national spokeswoman on Wednesday cleared up whom she holds responsible for the death of Army Capt. Humayun Khan in 2004, and it's not Barack Obama. It's Hillary Clinton. Less than a day after blaming the policies of Obama and his secretary of state for Khan's death in Iraq despite George W. Bush having been in the White House, Katrina Pierson laid the blame at the feet of Clinton, who as a U.S. senator representing New York voted to authorize the war in 2002." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Callum Borchers of the Washington Post: "It is becoming commonplace for people in the media to wonder about the mental health of a major-party nominee for president of the United States. This is not a normal, every-four-years kind of trend.... Some of the speculation is based on observations from legitimate medical professionals." -- CW
Trumpenproletariat, Uncensored:
... Ashley Parker, et al., of the New York Times: "... what struck us [reporters] was the frequency with which some Trump supporters use coarse, vitriolic, even violent language -- in the epithets they shout and chant, the signs they carry, the T-shirts they wear -- a pattern not seen in connection with any other recent political candidate, in any party.... While protesters are often shouted down, crowds seldom express disapproval of the crude slogans and angry outbursts by Mr. Trump's supporters. Indeed, these displays have become inextricably bound with the Trump show itself...." -- CW
CW: This is a picture of Donald Trump signing his tax returns, which are piled up next to him. Trump tweeted out the photo in September 2015. Take a good look. This is as clear a picture as we're going to get of them:
... This is what Trump told Philip Rucker of the Washington Post:
... The poor schmuck with the teeny-weeny returns to whom Trump alludes is Mitt Romney. Seldom in the storied history of male dominance play has a guy proffered the size of his tax returns as evidence of his superiority.
Ben Schreckinger & Gabriel Debenedetti of Politico: "Nude photographs published this week are raising fresh questions about the accuracy of a key aspect of Melania Trump's biography: her immigration status when she first came to the United States to work as a model.... While Trump and her husband ... have said she came to the United States legally, her own statements suggest she first came to the country on a short-term visa that would not have authorized her to work as a model.... Trump has also said she came to New York in 1996, but the nude photo shoot places her in the United States in 1995, as does a biography published in February by Slovenian journalists.... Trump's description of her periodic [visa] renewals in Europe are more consistent with someone traveling on a B-1 Temporary Business Visitor or B-2 Tourist Visa, which typically last only up to six months and do not permit employment, [not an] ... H-1B [work] visa [which] can be valid for three years and can be extended up to six years -- sometimes longer...." CW: Donald Trump's wife was an illegal immigrant. Why would anyone think that was an issue?
* CW: As you can see, I have commissioned a fancy new 2016 Presidential Race logo by a renowned graphic artist. In the spirit of Trvmpvs, I first criticized the artist's work, then stiffed her on the commission. If she complains, I'll sue her for a yuuuge amount. After all, I expect to be treated fairly.
Congressional Races
Ken Vogel & Rachel Bade of Politico: "... a group of former Trump campaign hands is quietly working to defeat the House speaker [Paul Ryan] in his primary election next week. More than half a dozen of Trump's former campaign staff members or leading volunteer organizers from around the country -- and many more local volunteers -- have signed on to the long-shot campaign of Ryan's primary challenger, businessman Paul Nehlen, who openly embraces Trump and casts Ryan as an impediment to Trump's agenda." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Dave Weigel of the Washington Post: "Sen. Bernie Sanders's (I-Vt.) movement scored its cleanest victory yet when [state Sen. Pramila] Jayapal, a progressive state senator, blew past two rivals in the primary for Washington's bluest House district. (Washington, like Louisiana and California, has a 'top two' system in which the highest vote-getters advance to November, regardless of party.) In an April message to his donors, Sanders said he'd need members of Congress like Jayapal 'when I'm president,' crediting her with leading 'the fight for a $15 minimum wage and paid sick leave in Seattle.'" Weigel also has more on Tim Huelskamp's primary loss in Kansas. Thanks to Dan L. for the link. -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Stupidest Senator Also an Ignorant Conspiracy Theorist. Tierney Sneed of TPM: "Sen. Ron Johnson (R-WI) compared those mounting the efforts to address climate change to Joseph Stalin and Hugo Chavez [and the Castros, the nutcases in North Korea], while claiming that it has been 'proven scientifically' that the climate is not in fact warming. He suggested in a radio appearance that progressives' concern about climate change was driven by their desire for government control of Americans lives.... Last year was the warmest year in recorded history, scientists said." -- CW
Other News & Views
Richard Perez-Pena of the New York Times: "A police officer with the Washington transit system has become the first American law enforcement officer to be charged with supporting the Islamic State, accused of trying to send financial help to the group after advising a friend on how to travel to Syria to join it. In court papers filed on Tuesday and made public on Wednesday, federal law enforcement officials charged the officer, Nicholas Young, with attempting to provide material support to a terrorist organization." -- CW ...
... The Washington Post story, by Rachel Weiner, is here. -- CW
... Oops! Missed this yesterday. Kevin Freking of the AP: "President Barack Obama celebrated 50 years of diplomatic relations with Singapore Tuesday with a state dinner for a leader Obama praised as respected around the world and a trusted partner. Obama reserved the 12th state dinner of his presidency to honor Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and his wife, Ho Ching. Obama said the nations' ties go back nearly two centuries when Singapore was still a colony, and the U.S. had recently emerged as an independent country. He said the alliance is about more than shared strategic interests in a rising Asia Pacific." -- CW ...
... AND the big news -- Michelle Obama's dress! Rosemary Feitelberg of Women's Wear Daily: "The First Lady wore an ivory-colored Brandon Maxwell dress, according to a White House pool report. The New York-based designer is a favorite of Lady Gaga's...."
Sarah Wheaton of Politico: "President Barack Obama commuted the sentences of 214 people on Wednesday, bringing his total number of commutations to 562." -- CW (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)
Adam Liptak of the New York Times: "The Supreme Court on Wednesday temporarily blocked a court order that had allowed a transgender boy to use the boys' bathroom in a Virginia high school. The vote was 5 to 3, with Justice Stephen G. Breyer joining the court's more conservative members 'as a courtesy.' He said that this would preserve the status quo until the court decided whether to hear the case. Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan dissented." -- CW
Paul Weber of the AP: "Texas agreed Wednesday to weaken its voter ID law, which federal courts have said discriminated against minorities and the poor and left more than 600,000 registered voters potentially unable to cast a ballot. The state worked fast to soften the law before November's election, moving from requiring voters to show one of seven forms of suitable ID -- a list that included concealed handgun permits, but not college IDs -- to letting those without such an ID to sign an affidavit. That will allow them to cast a regular full ballot, and their vote will be counted. Texas must also spend at least $2.5 million on voter outreach before November, according to the agreement submitted to U.S. District Judge Nelva Gonzales Ramos, who must still approve the changes." -- CW
Beyond the Beltway
Whatever Is Happening in Brownbackistan? Mitch Smith of the New York Times: "Republican voters in Kansas rebelled against the policies of Gov. Sam Brownback on Tuesday, ousting his fellow conservatives in at least 11 state legislative primary races amid widespread angst about Kansas's financial situation." -- CW
Elise Schmelzer of the Washington Post: "Using a power granted to him in a single line of state law, Missouri's top public defender appointed [Gov. Jay] Nixon [D] as attorney for a central Missouri man charged with assault. But the decision has little to do with the man's case -- it's an attention-grabbing cry for help in a state where public defenders have long said they are overworked and underfunded.... Michael Barrett, director of the Missouri State Public Defender System..., [made the appointment and] laid out his grievances in a letter to ... Nixon: A vetoed bill that would have lightened public defenders' caseloads. Repeated budget cuts. Unfairly withholding money allotted to the office." -- CW
News Lede
Guardian: "A Norwegian national of Somali origin has been arrested [in London, England,] on suspicion of murdering an American woman and injuring five others, including Britons, in what was described by police as a 'spontaneous attack'. Speaking outside Scotland Yard headquarters, Metropolitan police assistant commissioner Mark Rowley said there was no evidence that the 19-year-old suspect had been radicalised or was motivated by terrorism and reasserted the view that 'mental health issues' played a significant role. The suspect emigrated from Norway to the UK in 2002, at the age of five, according to the Norwegian Embassy." -- CW