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The New York Times lists Emmy winners. The AP has an overview story here.

New York Times: “Hvaldimir, a beluga whale who had captured the public’s imagination since 2019 after he was spotted wearing a harness seemingly designed for a camera, was found dead on Saturday in Norway, according to a nonprofit that worked to protect the whale.... [Hvaldimir] was wearing a harness that identified it as “equipment” from St. Petersburg. There also appeared to be a camera mount. Some wondered if the whale was on a Russian reconnaissance mission. Russia has never claimed ownership of the whale. If Hvaldimir was a spy, he was an exceptionally friendly one. The whale showed signs of domestication, and was comfortable around people. He remained in busier waters than are typical for belugas....” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: Oh, Lord, do not let Bobby Kennedy, Jr., near that carcass. ~~~

     ~~~ AP Update: “There’s no evidence that a well-known beluga whale that lived off Norway’s coast and whose harness ignited speculation it was a Russian spy was shot to death last month as claimed by animal rights groups, Norwegian police said Monday.... Police said that the Norwegian Veterinary Institute conducted a preliminary autopsy on the animal, which was become known as 'Hvaldimir,' combining the Norwegian word for whale — hval — and the first name of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 'There are no findings from the autopsy that indicate that Hvaldimir has been shot,' police said in a statement.”

New York Times: Botswana's “President Mokgweetsi Masisi grinned as he lifted the diamond, a 2,492-carat stone that is the biggest diamond unearthed in more than a century and the second-largest ever found, according to the Vancouver-based mining operator Lucara, which owns the mine where it was found. This exceptional discovery could bring back the luster of the natural diamond mining industry, mining companies and experts say. The diamond was discovered in the same relatively small mine in northeastern Botswana that has produced several of the largest such stones in living memory. Such gemstones typically surface as a result of volcanic activity.... The diamond will likely sell in the range of tens of millions of dollars....”

Click on photo to enlarge.

~~~ Guardian: "On a distant reef 16,000km from Paris, surfer Gabriel Medina has given Olympic viewers one of the most memorable images of the Games yet, with an airborne celebration so well poised it looked too good to be true. The Brazilian took off a thundering wave at Teahupo’o in Tahiti on Monday, emerging from a barrelling section before soaring into the air and appearing to settle on a Pacific cloud, pointing to the sky with biblical serenity, his movements mirrored precisely by his surfboard. The shot was taken by Agence France-Presse photographer Jérôme Brouillet, who said “the conditions were perfect, the waves were taller than we expected”. He took the photo while aboard a boat nearby, capturing the surreal image with such accuracy that at first some suspected Photoshop or AI." 

Washington Post: “'Mary Cassatt at Work' is a large and mostly satisfying exhibition devoted to the career of the great American artist beloved for her sensitive and often sentimental views of family life. The 'at work' in the title of the Philadelphia Museum of Art show references the curators’ interest in Cassatt’s pioneering effort to establish herself as a professional artist within a male-dominated field. Throughout the show, which includes some 130 paintings, pastels, prints and drawings, the wall text and the art on view stresses Cassatt’s fixation on art as a career rather than a pastime.... Mary Cassatt at Work is on view at the Philadelphia Museum of Art through Sept. 8. philamuseum.org

New York Times: “Bob Newhart, who died on Thursday at the age of 94, has been such a beloved giant of popular culture for so long that it’s easy to forget how unlikely it was that he became one of the founding fathers of stand-up comedy. Before basically inventing the hit stand-up special, with the 1960 Grammy-winning album 'The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart' — that doesn’t even count his pay-per-view event broadcast on Canadian television that some cite as the first filmed special — he was a soft-spoken accountant who had never done a set in a nightclub. That he made a classic with so little preparation is one of the great miracles in the history of comedy.... Bob Newhart holds up. In fact, it’s hard to think of a stand-up from that era who is a better argument against the commonplace idea that comedy does not age well.”

Washington Post: “An early Titian masterpiece — once looted by Napolean’s troops and a part of royal collections for centuries — caused a stir when it was stolen from the home of a British marquess in 1995. Seven years later, it was found inside an unassuming white and blue plastic bag at a bus stop in southwest London by an art detective, and returned. This week, the oil painting 'The Rest on the Flight into Egypt' sold for more than $22 million at Christie’s. It was a record for the Renaissance artist, whom museums describe as the greatest painter of 16th-century Venice. Ahead of the sale in April, the auction house billed it as 'the most important work by Titian to come to the auction market in more than a generation.'”

Washington Post: The Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C., which houses the world's largest collection of Shakespeare material, has undergone a major renovation. "The change to the building is pervasive, both subtle and transformational."

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Constant Comments

A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. -- Edward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns


Thursday
Jan312019

The Commentariat -- February 1, 2019

Afternoon Update:

** Marie Albiges & Gordon Rago of the Virginian-Pilot: "A photo from Gov. Ralph Northam's medical school yearbook shows two men, one in blackface and one in a Ku Klux Klan robe and hood, on the same page as the future governor. The photo, which The Virginian-Pilot obtained a copy of Friday from the Eastern Virginia Medical School library, comes from the 1984 yearbook, the year Northam graduated. On the half-page set aside for Northam, there is a headshot of him in a jacket and tie, a photo of him in a cowboy hat and boots and a third of him sitting casually on the ground, leaning against a convertible. The fourth photo on the half-page has two people, one wearing white Ku Klux Klan robes and a hood, the other with his face painted black. The person with the black face is also wearing a white hat, black jacket, white shirt with a bow tie and plaid pants. Both are holding canned drinks. It's unclear who the people in costume are." Mrs. McC: Northam is a Democrat. ...

     ... Update. According to MSNMC, Northam has issued a statement admitting he is one of the men in the offensive photo, but he didn't say which (as if it matters). Mrs. McC: Virginia is about to get a new governor, and he is black.

David Sanger of the New York Times: "The United States is suspending one of the last major nuclear arms control treaties with Russia after heated conversations between the two powers recently failed to resolve a long-running accusation that Moscow is violating the Reagan-era treaty. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced the decision on Friday as the Trump administration maintained that the Russian government has been unwilling to admit that a missile it has deployed near European borders violates the terms of the 1987 Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty.... But while the United States has insisted Russia's actions sank the treaty, the Trump administration's real aim is to broaden its prohibitions to include China."

Michael Grynbaum of the New York Times: "In an unusual arrangement, the publisher of The Times, A. G. Sulzberger, joined two of the paper's White House correspondents in conducting Thursday's interview [with Donald Trump], and he took the lead in questioning the president about his attacks on the press.... Mr. Sulzberger..., along with the Times journalists Peter Baker and Maggie Haberman, repeatedly asked Mr. Trump whether he understood the global effects of his words.... In lengthy and at times contradictory remarks on Thursday about the news media -- which he deemed 'important' and 'beautiful,' but also 'so bad' and 'unfair' -- Mr. Trump called himself 'a victim' of unfair coverage and declined to accept responsibility for a rise in threats against journalists since he took office.... What Mr. Trump considers fair ... is almost always in line with what he considers flattering. When Mr. Sulzberger noted that all presidents had complained about how they were depicted by the news media..., Mr. Trump replied, 'But I think I get it really bad. I mean, let's face it, this is at a level that nobody's ever had before.... I ran, I won, and I'm really doing a good job,' Mr. Trump said, lamenting that his surprise victory did not receive the praise he thought it deserved -- particularly from The Times, a publication that has loomed throughout his life as representing the establishment whose respect he has long sought. 'I came from Jamaica, Queens, Jamaica Estates, and I became president of the United States,' Mr. Trump said. 'I'm sort of entitled to a great story -- just one -- from my newspaper.'"

Christopher Mathias of the Huffington Post: "Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) alerted the House Ethics Committee this week that racist Rep. Steve King (R-Iowa) continues to use his official government website to promote a white nationalist blog -- potentially reviving Ryan's effort to censure King or even expel him from Congress. Ryan sent a letter to the Ethics Committee on Tuesday stating he wanted to 'make the Committee aware of the continued use of government resources on the part of Rep. King to promote and advance white nationalism.' 'A HuffPost report published today, January 29, details how King is continuing to use his government website to promote the white nationalist website VDare.com,' the letter reads, referring to this HuffPost report. VDare is an anti-immigrant hate site named after Virginia Dare, said to be the first white baby born in the New World. The site regularly publishes the writing of prominent white supremacists and fascists...."

Presidential Race 2020. Chelsea Janes & Dave Wiegel of the Washington Post: "Sen. Cory Booker of New Jersey said Friday that he will seek the Democratic nomination for president, adding his name to a growing and increasingly diversified field of 2020 candidates intent on taking on President Trump. Booker made his announcement via an email and video to supporters." ...

... What America Needs are More "Hopeful Aphorisms." David Gutman of the Seattle Times: "With protesters outside, Howard Schultz pitched a hometown Seattle audience on his proposed 'centrist independent' bid for the presidency, calling for the country to 'come together' and move beyond partisan politics. The ex-Starbucks CEO's appearance, technically part of a nationwide book tour to promote [a book he wrote] is one of about a dozen planned as he crisscrosses the nation over the next six weeks, gauging support for a potential presidential run. And Thursday's event ... felt more like a tense book promotion than a campaign event. Schultz made no policy proposals, instead discussing his background and his Starbucks career, offering hopeful aphorisms about the country's ability to come together."

*****

A Hermit Haunts the White House. Susan Glasser of the New Yorker: "Shortly after 7 A.M. on Thursday, President Trump began doing what increasingly passes for his workday: looking at the television and tweeting about it.... Those tweets on Thursday morning were among dozens that Trump has sent out since last week, a period of time in which he was confined inside the White House, making no public appearances beyond a few photo-ops and leaving the building only once, for a private fund-raiser at his Trump International Hotel. This is, even by the President's standards, an epic stretch of brooding, and no wonder: the truth at the moment is pretty terrible for President Trump. Of course he is waging war on it. Trump suffered the worst defeat of his Presidency when, after single-handedly shutting down a large part of the federal government for more than a month in order to demand billions of dollars in funding for his border wall, he was forced to end the shutdown without getting a single dollar.... The same day, the F.B.I. arrested Roger Stone.... For Trump, the fake world is much better than the real one.... In the cocoon of the Oval Office, there are only invited guests and staff who, while they may be secretly leaking unflattering accounts, at least have the good sense to be nice to Trump&'s face. In recent days..., Nancy Pelosi has compared Trump to a petulant toddler and openly wondered what Russia has on him. Why would Trump want to spend his time negotiating with her? Much better, from Trump's point of view, to simply announce, as he did to reporters on Thursday, that 'Nancy Pelosi will be begging for a wall,' and spend the day with his own press secretary, Sarah Huckabee Sanders, who this week told an interviewer that God 'wanted Donald Trump to become President.'" Read on. ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: As usual, the gulf between what Trump does & what he says is wider than the Pacific. According to the NYT's Haberman & Baker (report linked below), Trump says he loves his job. But he doesn't do it. Glasser frames Trump's behavior this week as a situational funk, but Trump has been goofing off by watching Fox "News" or golfing from the git-go. You might argue all he likes is the pomp & circumstance, but even there he is mighty selective: two minutes at the Martin Luther King, Jr. memorial a half-mile or so from his office & a no-show at a scheduled memorial in France for World War I veterans.

Are You Going to Believe Your Lyin' Eyes & Ears -- or Trump? Matthew Choi of Politico: "... Donald Trump claimed Thursday that his top intelligence officials were 'misquoted' and 'taken out of context' when they publicly broke with some of his core foreign policy views during congressional testimony earlier this week. CIA Director Gina Haspel and Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats on Tuesday shared assessments that were at odds with Trump's talking points on sensitive issues such as North Korea and ISIS, prompting Trump to lash out at his intelligence officials, calling them 'naive' and that they should 'go back to school.' When asked by reporters Thursday morning if he still has confidence in Haspel and Coats to give him good advice, Trump replied: 'No. I disagree with certain things that they said. I think I'm right. Time will prove me right, probably.' But later Thursday afternoon, after meeting with Haspel and Coats in the Oval Office, Trump ... argued the comments were taken out of context -- though a full report and recordings are publicly available -- and that his intelligence team actually agrees with his world view.... 'They said they were totally misquoted and they were totally -- it was taken out of context,' Trump told reporters. 'So what I do, I suggested you call them. They said it was fake news.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Ramsey Touchberry of Newsweek: "After the public chastising ... Donald Trump unleashed against his own intelligence chiefs on Twitter this week, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said Thursday that he 'just doesn't have the attention span or the desire' to listen to the intelligence community. 'I think what the public saw this week was the fact that the president has not paid attention to the intelligence that has been given to him,' Pelosi said.... Pelosi called the intelligence community's remarks 'courageous' while classifying Trump's public bashing of the officials as 'cause for concern.'" Mrs. McC: Like Chuck Schumer (see yesterday's Commentariat), Pelosi wants you to know that Trump is too ignorant & childish to be president*. ...

... Betsy Woodruff & Asawin Suebsaeng of the Daily Beast: "The White House abruptly canceled the President's daily intelligence briefing on Wednesday, the morning after top intelligence officials testified before Congress..., as Trump lambasted his intelligence chiefs on Twitter over their congressional testimony.... By Thursday, Trump's tone had changed, at least publicly. He met with Haspel, Coats, and Deputy Director of National Intelligence Edward Gistaro in the Oval Office that afternoon, tweeting a picture of their conversation. He also blamed the media for making it appear that they had contradicted him in their congressional testimony." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Trump's briefers should start their days by giving him his briefings on "Fox & Friends." Admittedly, the briefers would have to forego the parts of the briefings that were secret, but still -- especially if they used audio-visual aids -- Trump would probably get more out of the Fox briefings than he gets from the real ones. Of course the TV briefings would confuse Foxbots, who no doubt hold worldviews more in line with the hokum Fox & Trump regularly disseminate.

Catie Edmondson of the New York Times: "The Senate, in a bipartisan rebuke to President Trump's foreign policy, voted overwhelmingly to advance legislation drafted by the Senate majority leader to express strong opposition to the president's withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Syria and Afghanistan. The 68-to-23 vote to cut off debate ensures that the amendment, written by Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and backed by virtually every Senate Republican, will be added to a broader bipartisan Middle East policy bill expected to easily pass the Senate next week.... Senate liberals, many of them exploring presidential runs in 2020, including Senators Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Bernie Sanders of Vermont, voted against the measure, signaling a growing willingness in the party to question long-running conflicts." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Mitch McConnell Has Had Enough. Alexander Bolton & Jordan Fabian of the Hill: "Frustrated Republicans say it's time for the Senate to reclaim more power over foreign policy and are planning to move a measure Thursday that would be a stunning rebuke to a president of their own party. GOP lawmakers are deeply concerned over President Trump's reluctance to listen to his senior military and intelligence advisers, fearing it could erode national security. They say the Senate has lost too much of its constitutional power over shaping the nation's foreign policy and argue that it's time to begin clawing some of it back.... They plan to send Trump a stern admonishment by voting Thursday afternoon on an amendment sponsored by [Mitch] McConnell warning 'the precipitous withdrawal' of U.S. forces from Syria and Afghanistan 'could put at risk hard-won gains and United States national security.'... It's a pointed rebuttal to the claim Trump made on Twitter in December that 'we have defeated ISIS in Syria.' Speaking on the Senate floor, McConnell said his amendment 'simply re-emphasizes the expertise and counsel offered by experts who have served presidents of both parties,' a subtle rebuff of Trump's tweets from earlier in the day mocking his intelligence advisers as 'naive.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

The Trump Shutdown, Month Two, Ctd.

Peter Baker & Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "A defiant President Trump declared on Thursday that he has all but given up on negotiating with Congress over his border wall and will build it on his own even as he dismissed any suggestions of wrongdoing in the investigations that have ensnared his associates. In an interview in the Oval Office, Mr. Trump called the talks 'a waste of time' and indicated he will most likely take action on his own when they officially end in two weeks.... 'I'll continue to build the wall and we'll get the wall finished,' he said. 'Now whether or not I declare a national emergency -- that you'll see.'" Read the whole report. The interviewers covered a lot of ground, and Trump had stupid things to say on a number of topics. ...

     ... Annie Karni, et al., of the New York Times list five takeaways from the interview.

Jonathan Chait: "For a brief period of time, The Wall was transformed into a fence, or a barrier, or perhaps some nice, tasteful slats. As of 7:16 a.m. ET [Thursday], it has officially returned to being a Wall. 'Lets just call them WALLS from now on and stop playing political games! A WALL is a WALL!' -- Donald J. Trump.... The cause of this terminological metamorphosis is perfectly obvious. Trump has finally realized the prospects for getting funding through Congress are nil."

Anita Snow of the AP: "U.S. Customs and Border Protection officials announced Thursday their biggest fentanyl bust ever, saying they captured nearly 254 pounds (114 kilograms) of the synthetic drug that is fueling a national epidemic of fatal opioid overdoses from a secret compartment inside a load of Mexican produce heading into Arizona. The drug was found hidden Saturday morning in a compartment under the rear floor of a tractor-trailer after a scan during a secondary inspection indicated 'some anomalies' in the load, and the agency's police dog team alerted officers to the presence of drugs, Nogales CBP Port Director Michael Humphries said." ...

... Elvia Diaz of the Arizona Republic: "... guess where federal officials carried out this huge fentanyl bust? At the Nogales border-crossing in Arizona. Yes, a port of entry, not somewhere over a border fence in the barren desert.... The bust of the drugs, valued at $4.6 million, shows the ineffectual crime-fighting abilities of a border wall that ... Donald Trump insists he must have or else he'd be ready to shut down the federal government once again. The bust undermines Trump's argument that a physical barrier along the 2000-mile borderline with Mexico is the way to stop human and drug trafficking. But that doesn't really matter. Not to Trump anyway, who's made the border wall the symbol of his presidency. It doesn't matter to his supporters either, who view the wall as a symbol of America's physical divide between north and south. A divide between the more European part of the continent and the mostly brown folks of Latin America."

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Pamela Brown, et al., of CNN: "Senate investigators have obtained new information showing Donald Trump Jr.'s mysterious phone calls ahead of the 2016 Trump Tower meeting were not with his father, three sources with knowledge of the matter told CNN. Records provided to the Senate Intelligence Committee show the calls were between Trump Jr. and two of his business associates, the sources said, and appear to contradict Democrats' long-held suspicions that the blocked number was from then-candidate Donald Trump."

Julia Ainsley & Charlie Gile of NBC News: "Federal investigators probing Roger Stone ... have seized multiple hard drives containing years of communication records from cellphones and email accounts, the special counsel's office said Thursday. Robert Mueller's prosecutors, in a new court filing, described the evidence as 'voluminous and complex' in asking a judge to delay< his trial to give them more time to sift through the seized devices. The court papers said investigators grabbed hard drives containing several terabytes of information, including 'FBI case reports, search warrant applications and results (e.g., Apple iCloud accounts and email accounts), bank and financial records, and the contents of numerous physical devices (e.g., cellular phones, computers, and hard drives).' The FBI is doing what it calls a "filter review" of the devices, setting aside any evidence that cannot be admissible in court because it is considered privileged. During a press conference Thursday, Stone agreed that evidence is voluminous and complex, and said both parties had agreed to the language in the government's filing."

Julia Manchester of the Hill: "Roger Stone ... on Thursday claimed that he believes special counsel Robert Mueller's probe into Russia's election meddling is a partisan plot to make Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and possibly even Hillary Clinton president. Speaking about his indictment last week on charges in the Mueller probe, Stone said he thinks the investigation is about finding a way to 'void the 2016 election' in an attempt to get Pelosi or Clinton into the White House. 'I don't think this is about Roger Stone. I think this is about finding some allegation of Russian collusion to void the 2016 election so that both President Trump and Vice President Pence can be removed, making Nancy Pelosi president,' Stone told Hill.TV's Buck Sexton and Krystal Ball...." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: No, no, that's not Mueller's objective. It's mine.

** Masha Gessen of the New Yorker: "What we are observing is not most accurately described as the subversion of American democracy by a hostile power. Instead, it is an attempt at state capture by an international crime syndicate. What unites [Ukraine's Viktor] Yanukovych, [Natalia] Veselnitskaya, [Paul] Manafort, [Roger] Stone, Wikileaks's Julian Assange, the Russian troll factory, the Trump campaign staffer George Papadopoulos and his partners in crime, the 'Professor' (whose academic credentials are in doubt), and the 'Female Russian National (who appears to have fraudulently presented herself as Putin's niece) is that they are all crooks and frauds. This is not a moral assessment, or an attempt to downplay their importance. It is an attempt to stop talking in terms of states and geopolitics and begin looking at Mafias and profits.... The Mafia state is efficient in its own way. It does not take over all state institutions, but absorbs only the ones necessary for extracting profit.... By the measure of national interest, the Trump Presidency has been disappointing for Russia.... By the metrics of a Mafia state, though, the Trump Presidency has yielded great results for Russia.... The story, it appears, is that the Russian Mafia state is cultivating profit-yielding relationships with the aspiring Mafia boss of the U.S. and his band of crooks, subverting democratic institutions in the process." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)


Abigail Williams & Josh Lederman
of NBC News: "Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is expected to announce the U.S. intention to withdraw from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty as soon as Friday, according to three U.S. officials familiar with the decision. Russia has been in violation of the Cold War era arms control agreement for more than five years. The U.S. gave Russia 60 days to return to compliance in December when Pompeo announced at a NATO Foreign Ministers meeting that Russia was in 'material breach' of the treaty.... The INF Treaty prevents the U.S. and Russia from possessing any land-based cruise missiles that can strike within a 500 to 5,500 kilometers -- 310 to 3,410 miles -- range. The deal signed in 1987 by President Reagan and Soviet leader Gorbachev was primarily designed to keep ground-based nuclear weapons out of Europe. The announcement was not unexpected but some arms control experts have expressed concerns U.S. withdrawal could lead to a new arms race."

All the Best People, Ctd. Jennifer Jacobs of Bloomberg News: "Herman Cain, the former pizza company executive who ran for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, is being considered by ... Donald Trump for a seat on the Federal Reserve Board. Cain, 73, was in the White House on Wednesday, according to people familiar with the matter. Two seats on the Fed board are vacant, but nominating Cain raises the prospect of a Senate confirmation hearing focused on the sexual harassment and infidelity accusations that ended his presidential campaign." ...

... Eric Levitz of New York: "On first glance, nominating a pizza magnate with a history of sexual harassment -- who once assured voters that he was 'not a reader' -- to one of the most powerful technocratic posts in the U.S. government might seem crazy. But upon reflection, it's actually totally nuts." Levitz reprises some of Cain's greatest hits & explains his brief tenure, in the 1990s, on the Kansas Federal Reserve board.

April Glaser of Slate: "The best remaining chance for restoring net neutrality has a key day in court Friday, when the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia is scheduled to hear oral arguments in a lawsuit to overturn the Federal Communications Commission's 2017 repeal of the open-internet rules. As of right now, there's nothing stopping internet service providers, like Comcast and Verizon, from slowing down access to blocking certain websites, or charging websites to reach users at faster speeds.... The Obama-era net neutrality protections were barely two years old when Trump-appointed FCC Chairman Ajit Pai began taking a 'weed whacker' to the rules. The agency's repeal officially went into effect last June, and two months later, Verizon was caught throttling the internet service of the Santa Clara Fire Department while it was responding to a massive wildfire in Northern California, forcing the emergency responders to pay twice as much to lift their data restrictions. (Verizon claims that it was a customer service error.)"

Presidential Race 2020

Rafi Schwartz of Splinter: "Steve Schmidt, the Republican strategist turned Never Trumper TV pundit, has broken ties with MSNBC while he works on Dumb Starbucks Man Howard Schultz possible 2020 presidential bid.... Schmidt -- whose whose vocal opposition to the current president will never erase the fact that he foisted Sarah Fucking Palin onto an unsuspecting nation -- joins former Democratic consultant and former Obama White House official Bill Burton as advisers to Schultz, who has spent the past few days getting brutally ratioed on Twitter for his endless stream of soporific platitudes in the place of any actual policy stances beyond his assertion that having an ungodly amount of money is good, actually.... Still, despite the fact that Schultz's potential run could syphon off enough anti-Trump voters to ensure the president is re-elected (a scenario which co-advisor Burton explicitly warned against during the 2016 election), Schmidt insisted to MSNBC host (and fellow Republican-turned-media figure) Nichole Wallace on Wednesday that Schultz 'has said unequivocally he will not be a spoiler in this race.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Okay, I feel way better now, since Schultz, who knows nothing about policy, is probably the Nate Silver of presidential* candidates. Unless Schultz & Burton have made it their task to convince Schultz to run as a Democrat or, failing that, will sabotage his "independent, centrist" bullshit campaign by accidentally forgetting to register him as a candidate in any state but Wyoming, they can each go screw themselves.

** Paul Krugman: "Over the past few days we've been treated to the ludicrous yet potentially destructive spectacle of Howard Schultz, the Starbucks billionaire, insisting that he's the president we need despite his demonstrable policy ignorance. Schultz obviously thinks he knows a lot of things that just aren't so.... First, there's the obsession with public debt ... [which Schultz] ... declares debt our biggest problem. Yet true to centrist form, his deficit concerns are oddly selective. Schultz is all into cutting Social Security, but opposes any tax hike on the wealthy.... In general, centrists are furiously opposed to any proposal that would ease the lives of ordinary Americans. Universal health coverage, says Schultz, would be 'free health care for all, which the country cannot afford.'... Finally, the hallmark of fanatical centrism is the determination to see America's left and right as equally extreme, no matter what they actually propose.... Now, with Democrats taking a turn that is more progressive but hardly radical, centrist rhetoric has become downright hysterical." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: In case you missed it, let's emphasize that universal health care is indeed "affordable." As Krugman points out, "every advanced country besides America has some form of universal health coverage, and manages to afford it..., [AND] the taxes needed to pay for it would almost surely be less than what Americans now pay in insurance premiums." What Selfish Schultz objects to is the fact that universal health care would necessarily be a redistribution of wealth downward. Just as Obamacare was partially paid for by a surtax on the wealthy & just as income taxes are (in theory) progressive now, federal taxes for universal healthcare coverage -- which would be hefty -- necessarily would be progressive. If you make only $10K a year, you're not going to pay for your own coverage, and if you make $250K/year, you're going to help pay for the $10K guy's care. That has not been "un-American" since 1913 when the states ratified the Sixteenth Amendment. Schultz & Bloomberg & Republican politicians beholden to the donor class will always oppose programs that benefit the poor more than they directly benefit the wealthy.

David Swerdlick in a Washington Post op-ed: Howard Schultz's "effort has started looking like another outsider's run -- the one by neurosurgeon Ben Carson in 2016: Each rightly touts his rise from modest beginnings to the heights of his chosen profession as an example of the American Dream. Carson ... grew up in working-class Detroit and became the first physician to successfully separate twins conjoined at the head. Schultz grew up in working-class Brooklyn and earned billions heading up the chain that turned coffee from a beverage into an event. Neither previously held political office. They're both fond of gauzy phrases like 'imagining a better America.' Carson was and Schultz is, so far, fuzzy on policy specifics. Carson was sure that private-sector brilliance would mean political success. Schultz appears confident that he has answers no one else has. We've seen this before.... 'Career politician' has become an epithet, but politics really is a career.... Selling coffee, performing brain surgery and running for office are all worthy enterprises. They aren't the same." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Let's face it; coffee-seller is rather less "worthy" than brain surgery or public service. Moreover, Carson had more sense than Schultz in this respect: he ran for office as a Republican, not as a spoiler.

Beyond the Beltway

Texas. Cassie Smith of the Waco Tribune-Herald: "By the time local elections officials downloaded a list of 366 registered voters the Texas Secretary of State's Office initially said may not be citizens, the office had called to tell them to disregard the list, Elections Administrator Kathy Van Wolfe said. The state told her office by phone Monday that the citizenship of everyone on the list is not in question, Van Wolfe said. The office was informed Friday it would get the list and need to contact each voter for proof of citizenship, she said.... A similar scenario played out statewide.... Texas Secretary of State David Whitley said last week that about 95,000 voters matched records of noncitizens who had obtained state IDs. Republicans seized on the announcement to renew claims of widespread voter fraud." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: As you may recall, Donald Trump tweeted out the fake voter fraud claims: "58,000 non-citizens voted in Texas, with 95,000 non-citizens registered to vote." He added, "just the tip of the iceberg" and "voter fraud is rampant" around the country. "Must be stopped." It doesn't appear Trump corrected his false claim when the story quickly fell apart.

News Ledes

USA Today: "Hiring began 2019 on a strong note as employers added 304,000 jobs in January, marking a 100th straight month of payroll growth and defying the 35-day government shutdown, the U.S. trade war with China and a slowing global economy. The milestone extended the labor market's record streak of job gains."

New York Times: "At least 21 deaths are believed to be related to the bitter weather system [that paralyzed the Midwest & has spread to the Northeast], government officials say, including that of a University of Iowa student who was found behind an academic hall several hours before dawn on Wednesday. A weather observer in Mount Carroll, Ill., recorded a temperature of minus 38 on Thursday morning. If confirmed by state officials, that would become Illinois's record low, supplanting the previous record of minus 36. The sustained cold taxed energy systems across the Midwest, leading to some power failures and urgent calls to customers to reduce the heat in their homes. Many schools, businesses and restaurants remained shuttered on Thursday, though some offices were reopening and many more were expected to reopen Friday."

Wednesday
Jan302019

The Commentariat -- January 31, 2019

Afternoon Update:

Are You Going to Believe Your Eyes & Ears -- or Trump? Matthew Choi of Politico: "... Donald Trump claimed Thursday that his top intelligence officials were 'misquoted' and 'taken out of context' when they publicly broke with some of his core foreign policy views during congressional testimony earlier this week. CIA Director Gina Haspel and Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats on Tuesday shared assessments that were at odds with Trump's talking points on sensitive issues such as North Korea and ISIS, prompting Trump to lash out at his intelligence officials, calling them 'naive' and that they should 'go back to school.' When asked by reporters Thursday morning if he still has confidence in Haspel and Coats to give him good advice, Trump replied: 'No. I disagree with certain things that they said. I think I'm right. Time will prove me right, probably.' But later Thursday afternoon, after meeting with Haspel and Coats in the Oval Office, Trump ... argued the comments were taken out of context -- though a full report and recordings are publicly available -- and that his intelligence team actually agrees with his world view.... 'They said they were totally misquoted and they were totally -- it was taken out of context,' Trump told reporters. 'So what I do, I suggested you call them. They said it was fake news.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: So if you believe Trump, you should give a lot of credit to the C-SPAN gremlins who in real time so seamlessly substituted fake remarks for what the intel chiefs were really telling Congress, which was totally in sync with Trump's fantasies.

Catie Edmondson of the New York Times: "The Senate, in a bipartisan rebuke to President Trump's foreign policy, voted overwhelmingly to advance legislation drafted by the Senate majority leader to express strong opposition to the president's withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Syria and Afghanistan. The 68-to-23 vote to cut off debate ensures that the amendment, written by Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky and backed by virtually every Senate Republican, will be added to a broader bipartisan Middle East policy bill expected to easily pass the Senate next week.... Senate liberals, many of them exploring presidential runs in 2020, including Senators Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Bernie Sanders of Vermont, voted against the measure, signaling a growing willingness in the party to question long-running conflicts." ...

... Mitch McConnell Has Had Enough. Alexander Bolton & Jordan Fabian of the Hill: "Frustrated Republicans say it's time for the Senate to reclaim more power over foreign policy and are planning to move a measure Thursday that would be a stunning rebuke to a president of their own party. GOP lawmakers are deeply concerned over President Trump's reluctance to listen to his senior military and intelligence advisers, fearing it could erode national security. They say the Senate has lost too much of its constitutional power over shaping the nation's foreign policy and argue that it's time to begin clawing some of it back.... They plan to send Trump a stern admonishment by voting Thursday afternoon on an amendment sponsored by [Mitch] McConnell warning 'the precipitous withdrawal' of U.S. forces from Syria and Afghanistan 'could put at risk hard-won gains and United States national security.'... It's a pointed rebuttal to the claim Trump made on Twitter in December that 'we have defeated ISIS in Syria.' Speaking on the Senate floor, McConnell said his amendment 'simply re-emphasizes the expertise and counsel offered by experts who have served presidents of both parties,' a subtle rebuff of Trump's tweets from earlier in the day mocking his intelligence advisers as 'naive.'"

Julia Manchester of the Hill: "Roger Stone ... on Thursday claimed that he believes special counsel Robert Mueller's probe into Russia's election meddling is a partisan plot to make Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and possibly even Hillary Clinton president. Speaking about his indictment last week on charges in the Mueller probe, Stone said he thinks the investigation is about finding a way to 'void the 2016 election' in an attempt to get Pelosi or Clinton into the White House. 'I don't think this is about Roger Stone. I think this is about finding some allegation of Russian collusion to void the 2016 election so that both President Trump and Vice President Pence can be removed, making Nancy Pelosi president,' Stone told Hill.TV's Buck Sexton and Krystal Ball...." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: No, no, that's not Mueller's objective. It's mine.

** Masha Gessen of the New Yorker: "What we are observing is not most accurately described as the subversion of American democracy by a hostile power. Instead, it is an attempt at state capture by an international crime syndicate. What unites [Ukraine's Viktor] Yanukovych, [Natalia] Veselnitskaya, [Paul] Manafort, [Roger] Stone, Wikileaks's Julian Assange, the Russian troll factory, the Trump campaign staffer George Papadopoulos and his partners in crime, the 'Professor' (whose academic credentials are in doubt), and the 'Female Russian National (who appears to have fraudulently presented herself as Putin's niece) is that they are all crooks and frauds. This is not a moral assessment, or an attempt to downplay their importance. It is an attempt to stop talking in terms of states and geopolitics and begin looking at Mafias and profits.... The Mafia state is efficient in its own way. It does not take over all state institutions, but absorbs only the ones necessary for extracting profit.... By the measure of national interest, the Trump Presidency has been disappointing for Russia.... By the metrics of a Mafia state, though, the Trump Presidency has yielded great results for Russia.... The story, it appears, is that the Russian Mafia state is cultivating profit-yielding relationships with the aspiring Mafia boss of the U.S. and his band of crooks, subverting democratic institutions in the process."

*****

Seung Min Kim, et al., of the Washington Post: "Senior Republicans are warning [Donald Trump] away from a national emergency declaration to build a border wall. The top Senate leader is directly rebuking his national security policy in Syria and Afghanistan. And Democratic committee chairs are threatening subpoenas for his top officials.... In private, Trump has told aides he wants to take an aggressive posture toward such oversight -- including fighting any effort by Congress to obtain his tax returns all the way to the Supreme Court. He has told House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) that if House Democrats begin investigating his administration, he will not negotiate with her on other issues, according to a White House official and a Democratic aide who heard the comments.... On Wednesday, some Senate GOP leaders rebutted Trump;s latest criticism of his own intelligence officials, which the president issued in a tweet [Mrs. McC: actually, tweets plural].... Twice in his weekly news conference on Tuesday, [Mitch] McConnell underscored the need to reach an agreement on border security that both averts another shutdown in February and prevents Trump from concluding that he should declare a national emergency.... Two senior GOP aides said Trump and other top officials have continued to float a national emergency declaration to secure money for a border wall -- though there is 'widespread resistance' to it within the Senate, one of these people said.... Some Republican senators are urging the president to keep his distance from a 17-member committee tasked with coming up with a border security deal...."

Chuck Schumer Has Had Enough. Jordain Carney of the Hill: "Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) is urging top intelligence officials to meet with President Trump after the commander-in-chief lashed out at the intelligence community earlier Wednesday. Schumer sent a letter to Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats on Wednesday, saying that it was 'incumbent' that the former senator, CIA Director Gina Haspel and FBI Director Christopher Wray 'insist on an immediate meeting' with Trump in the wake of his tweets. 'You cannot allow the President's ill-advised and unwarranted comments today to stand.... He is putting you and your colleagues in an untenable position and hurting the national interest in the process. You must find a way to make that clear to him,' Schumer wrote in the letter. In a separate tweet on Wednesday night, Schumer added that it's 'past time for U.S. Intelligence Community leaders to stage an intervention' with the president. Schumer said he wants Coats, Haspel and Wray to use a meeting with Trump to 'educate' the president about 'the facts and raw intelligence underlying the Intelligence Community assessments.'" ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Nisky Guy wrote in yesterday's thread, "trump pushing back against the national security assessments is 25th amendment material. Full stop." I was thinking that was a little harsh until it dawned on me that it might not be that Trump needs intelligence agencies to "educate" him; maybe they ought to be surveilling him as a likely agent of a foreign hostile nation or nations. How did he get his marching orders? How about those secret meetings with Putin. ...

... Eileen Sullivan of the New York Times: "President Trump on Wednesday pushed back against his intelligence chiefs' national security assessments, saying 'the Intelligence people seem to be extremely passive and naive when it comes to the dangers of Iran,' and he defended his own, more positive appraisals of threats to the United States posed by North Korea and the Islamic State. 'Perhaps Intelligence should go back to school,' Mr. Trump said.... In a series of Twitter posts the day after senior American intelligence officials briefed Congress and directly contradicted some of Mr. Trump's rosier estimations, the president reasserted his own conclusions and trumpeted his accomplishments on critical national security matters. He said the Islamic State's control in parts of Iraq and Syria 'will soon be destroyed,' and that there was a 'decent chance of Denuclearization' in North Korea." Ms. McC: Because he says so. If these people are so naive, why did Trump appoint them to positions so vital to our national security? (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

The Trump Shutdown, Month Two, Ctd.

Burgess Everett of Politico: "Mitch McConnell is willing to go big, go small or anything in between to avoid another government shutdown. He's even willing to appeal to a higher power. At a meeting with GOP chairmen on Wednesday, the Senate majority leader had a lighthearted message for his negotiators trying to avoid another shutdown, according to attendees: 'We're praying for you. Get this done.'... McConnell's sentiments -- reflecting a Senate GOP deeply disturbed by the latest debacle -- will make it far more difficult for Trump to close the government again and still maintain party unity.... After previously beating the drum repeatedly in favor of Trump's border wall and attacking Democrats for being unreasonable on the Senate floor, the GOP leader is also shying away from needling Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and Speaker Nancy Pelosi.... The conference committee [to hammer out a funding deal] met for the first time on Wednesday, with few signs of tangible progress in a public meeting."

Erica Werner, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump warned Wednesday that lawmakers would be 'wasting their time' if they do not discuss a wall or physical barrier along the Southern border as part of a deal to stave off another government shutdown. But some Democrats said their starting point in the new negotiation is no money for physical barriers of any kind." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: They're not "wasting their time" if they can come up with a bill that garners veto-proof majorities in both houses. This is not impossible. Trump caved on the shutdown because he got the message that Congressional Republicans would humiliate him. They don't want another shutdown & they don't want to cede their power of the purse to a Trump-ordered fake "national emergency."

There's no magic glossary telling you the difference between a fence and wall or a barrier, they are kind of interchangeable. There is a distinction between governing and political rhetoric, and people should not get trapped in the binary. The moment when we reach a compromise on the vocabulary is the moment we reach a compromise on the policy. -- Jeh Johnson, former Homeland Security Secretary ...

... Mrs. McCrabbie: Glenn Thrush of the New York Times has (sort of) taken up my suggestion of defining what "wall" means.

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Darren Samuelsohn of Politico: "Robert Mueller's office on Wednesday accused a Twitter account with apparent ties to Russia of disclosing more than 1,000 sensitive files that the special counsel shared in an active criminal case, all in a bid to discredit his investigation.... Mueller lodged the complaint in an 18-page court filing that objects to a discovery request from the Russian company Concord Management and Consulting, which has been charged with helping orchestrate the massive online campaign to interfere with the election.

Donie O'Sullivan of CNN: "Fancy Bear, a hacking group linked to Russian military intelligence, targeted a Washington think tank, the Center for Strategic and International Studies.... A court in Virginia gave Microsoft control of a group of websites that were intended to look like login sites for the think tank's internal systems, court filings Wednesday show.... Hackers successfully used [the same] form of attack, known as spearphishing, to target Hillary Clinton's campaign chairman John Podesta in 2016." ...

... Ben Collins of NBC News: "Federal prosecutors said on Wednesday that special counsel Robert Mueller's office was subject to a Russian disinformation campaign that intended to discredit his investigation into the Kremlin's meddling in the 2016 election. The Kremlin-backed disinformation campaign that targeted Mueller's office failed to gain any traction, however, as the contents of a fake trove of the special counsel's files were immediately dismissed as largely fabricated by the reporter and researcher who received them. The fake documents were sent to ThinkProgress reporter Casey Michel and independent disinformation researcher Josh Russell in November in direct messages from a Twitter account called @HackingRedstone. The messages' sender claimed to be 'anonymous hackers.'... Both Michel and Russell were immediately skeptical of the documents. 'The DM I got was ridiculous...,' Michel told NBC News. 'It reminded me of the types of language we saw on some of the fake Russian Facebook pages, like when the Russian trolls claimed they were Texas secessionists who were "in love with Texas shape!"' Mueller's team confirmed some of the documents were legitimate and obtained through the trial's discovery process.... The Internet Research Agency is a St. Petersburg-based firm run by a close ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin [Mrs. McC: Yevgeny Prigozhin, a/k/a 'Putin's chef' --] whose key executives have been indicted by Mueller on charges of defrauding the United States."

Trump May Have Planned a Dirty Campaign as Early as April 2016. Betsy Woodruff & Erin Banco of the Daily Beast: "Days after Donald Trump rode down an escalator at Trump Tower [in 2015] and announced he'd run for president, a little-known consulting firm with links to Israeli intelligence started gaming out how a foreign government could meddle in the U.S. political process.... The firm conducted an analysis of how illicit efforts might shape American politics. Months later, the Trump campaign reviewed a pitch from a company owned by that firm's founder -- a pitch to carry out similar efforts. The founder of the firm, called Wikistrat, has been questioned by Special Counsel Robert Mueller's team as they investigate efforts by foreign governments to shape American politics during the 2016 presidential campaign.... In April 2016, senior Trump campaign official Rick Gates reviewed a pitch produced by a company called Psy Group [owned by Wikistrat's founder Joel Zamel].... After Trump became the party's official nominee, Zamel met with Donald Trump Jr. and discussed the plan, which echoed both the real election interference already underway by the Kremlin and the scenario Wikistrat gamed out the year before.... It's unclear if the Psy Group plans ever went forward." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Betsy Woodruff: "A former NRA president hoped to win access to Vladimir Putin on a trip to Moscow, according to an email from one of the trip’s organizers. That organizer, Republican operative Paul Erickson [-- Maria Butina's boyfriend --], also said the trip could have 'enormous diplomatic consequences.' The email, sent in November 2015 and reviewed by The Daily Beast, came just months before the Kremlin's election meddling went into full gear. In the email, Erickson wrote that an official with the Russian Central Bank had made a tantalizing, though tentative, offer to former NRA president David Keene: an interview for his newspaper with ... Putin. At the time, Keene was the Washington Times, a conservative newspaper. He had previously helmed the NRA, and he maintained close ties with its top officials." ...

... MEANWHILE. Peter Weber of the Week: "The National Rifle Association is distancing itself from a controversial December 2015 trip to Moscow by several prominent NRA leaders and members, telling The New York Times on Monday that NRA chief executive Wayne LaPierre 'was opposed to the trip' and forbade staff members from going.... 'It's not credible for the NRA to claim that they played no official role in the 2015 Moscow trip,' Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) told ABC News on Tuesday.... The Moscow trip was organized by Maria Butina ... and ... David Keene. Internal emails show that the NRA paid for at least Keene's travel expenses and provided official NRA 'gifts' for the delegation's Russian hosts."

David Kocieniewski of Bloomberg: "Tucked into last week's indictment of Roger Stone, the brash longtime confidant of President Donald Trump, was a fleeting reference to an attorney who had the ability to contact WikiLeaks founder Julian Assange. Prosecutors wrote that an email from Stone, seeking dirt on Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, was forwarded to the attorney, who wasn't identified[.]... That attorney is Margaret Ratner Kunstler, according to a person familiar with the investigation. Kunstler, 73, who lives in Brooklyn, is a civil rights lawyer and activist.... In 2015 and 2016, she helped [Julian] Assange ... plan his legal strategy and arrange media appearances. Her name popped up in public when ... Donald Trump Jr., released messages after his correspondence with WikiLeaks became public. One of these, a 2017 direct message from Assange's Twitter account to Donald Jr., identified Kunstler as a person for the Trump administration to contact at WikiLeaks.... It appears to throw a left-leaning champion of civil disobedience and free speech into a mix of right-wing allies of Trump whose methods are now under deep scrutiny." --s

Casey Michel of ThinkProgress: "Last month, a new leak site called Distributed Denial of Secrets went live, compiling a cache of hacked emails and documents of Russian officials, confidants of sanctioned Russian oligarchs, and those steering Russian interference efforts. Among the revelations: A higher-up at the Bradley Foundation [Dan Schmidt], one of the main financiers of right-wing groups in the U.S. -- including the Daily Caller News Foundation and anti-immigrant organizations -- apparently attended a notorious 'pro-family' conference in Russia in 2014, held shortly after Russia began its invasion of Ukraine.... According to experts ... that conference was a turning point in how Western Christian fundamentalists viewed the Kremlin." --s

Mike Memoli, et al., of NBC News: "House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., formally named the nine Republican members of the House Intelligence Committee Wednesday, ending a weekslong delay that may have cost special counsel Robert Mueller valuable time to act on potential leads the panel could offer...."


Trump Pulls a "Romney" on Ted Cruz's Wife. Jennifer Jacobs
, et al., of Bloomberg News: "... Donald Trump interviewed Heidi Cruz for the job of World Bank president although he's not offering the post to the Goldman Sachs Group Inc. executive and wife of Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, people familiar with the matter said. Treasury Undersecretary David Malpass remains the clear frontrunner for the job.... [Heidi Cruz] was thrust briefly into the spotlight during the campaign when Trump tweeted an unflattering image of her and disparaged her appearance." Mrs. McC: Don't feel bad, Heidi; this is just Trump's way of twisting the knife a little deeper into Ted's back.

God Ordained Trump. Rebecca Morin of Politico: "White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders claimed Wednesday that ... Donald Trump's presidency was part of a higher calling. 'I think God calls all of us to fill different roles at different times and I think that he wanted Donald Trump to become president,' Sanders said during an interview with Christian Broadcast Network News. 'And that's why he's there, and I think he has done a tremendous job in supporting a lot of the things that people of faith really care about.'"

Paying the Presidunce*. David Corn of Mother Jones: "It's not news. But it still worth headlines: President Donald Trump collects money directly from foreign governments ... when overseas governments (and foreign corporations and persons) spend money at his hotels.... And this is exactly what happened last year [with Saudi Arabia].... [Another] such entity: the government of Kuwait.... The Gulf State is holding its independence anniversary shindig at the Trump International Hotel next month. This will mark the third year in a row that the Kuwaitis have decided to grace Trump's hotel with their presence and petro-dollars.... These transactions are arguably violations of the Constitution's emoluments clause.... It seems like Trump and the Kuwaitis don't mind providing more potential evidence." --s

"When They Go Low," Melanie Sues. Emily Heil of the Washington Post: "If the papers that line supermarket checkout lanes are to be believed, previous first ladies have: adopted a space-alien baby; attacked the president and left 'claw marks' on his cheek; snuck out of the White House at night for trysts with a secret-agent boyfriend. Gained 95 pounds. Had liposuction. Carried on an affair with an alien named P'Lod. But there's one thing that no first lady -- until Melania Trump -- has done in response to wildly negative and untruthful stories: Sued a publication. Trump has won settlements against three outlets for 'false statements' made during her husband's time in the White House. Her litigious strategy tracks with her willingness to push back on her critics by issuing harsh public statements."

** Jon Schwarz of The Intercept: "This past Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo named [Elliott] Abrams as America's special envoy for Venezuela. According to Pompeo, Abrams 'will have responsibility for all things related to our efforts to restore democracy' in the oil-rich nation. The choice of Abrams sends a clear message to Venezuela and the world: The Trump administration intends to brutalize Venezuela, while producing a stream of unctuous rhetoric about America's love for democracy and human rights. Combining these two factors -- the brutality and the unctuousness -- is Abrams's core competency.... Abrams participated in many of the most ghastly acts of U.S. foreign policy from the past 40 years, all the while proclaiming how deeply he cared about the foreigners he and his friends were murdering. Looking back, it's uncanny to see how Abrams has almost always been there when U.S. actions were at their most sordid." --s

Fuck You, Nevada! Michelle Rendels & Humberto Sanchez of the Nevada Independent: "Federal officials have disclosed that they shipped radioactive plutonium to Nevada in spite of the state's vehement opposition to the idea and concerns that doing so would be a slippery slope to opening the state up to further nuclear waste dumping. In a federal court filing on Wednesday, National Nuclear Security Administration General Counsel Bruce Diamond stated that the agency sent about half a metric ton of the substance sometime before November 2018, prior to Nevada suing over the proposed move. The transfer was done after a U.S. District Court in South Carolina ordered the material be removed from that state." --s

Ha Ha. Elise Viebeck of the Washington Post: "An undocumented worker who was fired from the Trump National Golf Club in Bedminster, N.J., after she publicly disclosed her immigration status will attend President Trump's State of the Union address next week. Victorina Morales, who was born in Guatemala, will be a guest of Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, a New Jersey Democrat, when the president speaks to a joint session of Congress Tuesday night. Watson Coleman's office confirmed the decision Wednesday. The choice to invite Morales follows news stories about the Trump Organization's failure to fully check the work status of all its employees, even as Trump described illegal immigration as a national crisis and demanded funding for a U.S.-Mexico border wall."

McConnell Does Not Want You to Vote. Felicia Sonmez of the Washington Post: "Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Wednesday that a Democratic bill that would make Election Day a federal holiday is a 'power grab,' sparking a fierce backlash online.... His remarks prompted a wave of criticism by Democrats, some of whom argued that McConnell was acknowledging that Republicans want to make it more difficult for Americans to vote.... The far-reaching legislation [HR-1] would also prohibit the purging of voter rolls, require presidential and vice-presidential candidates to release their tax returns, compel states to adopt independent redistricting commissions and create a matching system for small-dollar donations to congressional campaigns, among other changes.

Bruce Schreiner of the AP: "U.S. Sen. Rand Paul was awarded more than $580,000 in damages and medical expenses on Wednesday in his lawsuit against the neighbor who tackled him and broke several of his ribs in a dispute over lawn maintenance. A jury in Bowling Green, Kentucky, deliberated less than two hours before delivering the award to the Republican lawmaker who had been attacked while doing yard work at his Kentucky home." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I'm all for Paul's receiving some recompense from the crazy neighbor. But it seems Li'l Randy used both the police & the court system to obtain these damages, which got me to looking for my broken hypocrite meter. Aren't libertarians supposed to protect themselves & their property without the assistance of "intrusive" government entities? This looks like another instance of a politician who has railed against government "overreach" relying on government assistance when he has a problem.

Presidential Race 2020

Danny Westneat of the Seattle Times: "State and county election records show that going back to 2005, [Howard] Schultz has cast a ballot in just 11 of 38 elections.... Schultz has at least voted in every election for the office he's now seeking, the presidency. He also voted in the most recent midterms, in 2018. But he has skipped most of the state and local elections over the years, as well as some of the big midterms.... This is all a little awkward, because a couple years ago, when Starbucks rolled out a voter participation drive, Schultz said this: 'It's not just about who will be the next occupant of the White House. More Americans should participate in all elections, even those for city councils and school boards.'... Schultz's lackluster voting history does suggest a certain trope -- the business executive who's above the messy political fray, but also somehow most qualified to swoop in and fix it." ...

... Was I Saying Schultz Was Tone-Deaf? Excuse Me. Rachel Frazin of the Hill: "Howard Schultz ... deleted a tweet Wednesday in which he praised a column that insulted other 2020 contenders. In the now-deleted tweet, Schultz linked to a piece that called Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) 'shrill' and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) 'Fauxcahontas,' a reference to her claims of Native American heritage. 'Thank you @Rogerlsimon for a thoughtful analysis of what's possible. #ReimagineUS,' Schultz tweeted, along with a link to 'Howard Schultz Could Actually Win the Presidency,' from [right-wing blog] PJ Media." Mrs. McC: Tone-deaf? Nah. Make that "Ignorant, Misogynistic, Racist Moron." Denigrating more than half the voters is a brilliant move out of the gate. But "thoughtful," as Schultz notes. The tweet could earn him a following among disillusioned Trumpbots, though; most of them are ignorant, misogynistic, racist morons. ...

... Ken Meyer of Mediaite: "As [Howard Schultz] described himself as someone who understands the American people, Mika Brzezinski surprised Schultz with what should not be a tough question: 'How much does an 18 ounce box of Cheerios cost?' Schultz ... had no idea...." ...

... Maura Judkis of the Washington Post: "'An 18-ounce box of Cheerios? I don't eat Cheerios,' [Schultz] told host Mika Brzezinski. When she told him it costs $4, he seemed surprised, saying, 'That's a lot.' Which makes you wonder: If Schultz thinks $4 is expensive for cereal, then by extension, isn't a $4 coffee 'a lot?' After all, an 18-ounce box of Cheerios will feed a family breakfast for nearly a week, and contains whole grains and fiber. A grande cafe mocha, which is about $4 will caffeinate you for a few hours."

Maxwell Strachan of the Huffington Post: "Starbucks is doing what it can to prepare employees for potentially uncomfortable customer encounters as anger grows at former CEO and chairman Howard Schultz.... The coffee chain's 'Barista Need-To-Know' update for the week of Jan. 21-27 included instructions on how to 'diffuse [sic] the situation' should anyone 'share aggressive political opinions,' as well as what to do if someone asks about Schultz's 'political intentions.'"

Linda Greenhouse opines that far-right activist Ginni Thomas, the Wife of Clarence (Mrs. McC: sounds like a 'Canterbury Tales' character), has 'broken no rules except the rules of good taste. What she’s violated are longstanding norms of behavior. And in an age when nearly every norm is being shredded, that makes her the perfect Supreme Court spouse for our time."


Binyamin Appelbaum
of the New York Times: "The Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady on Wednesday and signaled that it may not raise them again anytime soon, a surprising reversal from last month, when the central bank indicated it expected to continue raising rates in 2019. In a statement following a two-day meeting of its policymaking committee, the Fed said that economic growth remained 'solid,' and that it expected growth to continue. But in a sharp deviation from its stance just one month ago, the Fed did not say it expected to keep raising interest rates. Instead, the statement said the Fed would be 'patient' in evaluating the health of the economy. And it indicated that the Fed stood ready either to increase or to reduce rates, depending on economic conditions."

Nicole Perlroth of the New York Times: "... it wasn't until ... more than a week after [Michele] Thompson first notified Apple of [a serious security flaw on an Apple app which her son Grant discovered], that Apple raced to disable Group FaceTime and said it was working on a fix. The company reacted after a separate developer reported the FaceTime flaw and it was written about on 9to5mac.com, a news site for Apple fans, in an article that went viral. The FaceTime problem has already been branded 'FacePalm' by security researchers, who say Apple's security team should have known better.... The company has not addressed how the flaw passed through quality assurance, why it was so slow to respond to Ms. Thompson's urgent warnings, or whether it intends to reward the teenager whose mother raced to alert the company to the bug in the first place." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Lachlan Markay & Asawin Suebsaeng of the Daily Beast: "Jeff Bezos' personal security team has launched an investigation into how his text messages ended up in The National Enquirer, and the inquiry is increasingly convinced that political motives are behind the disclosure.... Bezos, the world's richest man, is personally funding [the investigation]. Investigators want to know who leaked the texts that publicly blew up Bezos' marriage earlier this month by revealing, in lurid detail, his affair with Los Angeles news anchor Lauren Sanchez.... That the leak was politically motivated, is one that investigators believe would explain not just the leak itself, but its publication in the Enquirer, rather than a more reputable outlet, and the extensive resources that the tabloid devoted to digging into the story. That avenue of investigation stems from Bezos' new role as a punching bag for ... Donald Trump. The president gleefully promoted the Enquirer's story, using it to hammer Bezos over his ownership of The Washington Post, which Trump frequently maligns as a hostile advocacy arm of Amazon."

Beyond the Beltway

Illinois. Kate Feldman & Peter Sblendorio of the New York Daily News: "Chicago police said late Wednesday that detectives have found video footage of persons of interest in the attack of 'Empire' star Jussie Smollett.... It's unclear what exactly was seen on the video.... The attack on the black actor, who came out as gay in 2015, is being investigated a possible hate crime."

Kentucky. John Cheves of the Lexington Herald-Leader: "Citing 'conduct that violates civil rights,' lawyers for Gov. Matt Bevin say former Rowan County Clerk Kim Davis should be held responsible for nearly $225,000 in legal fees and court costs incurred by couples who sued her in 2015 when she refused to issue marriage licenses because of her religious opposition to same-sex marriage. Although Bevin, a Republican, publicly has praised Davis as 'an inspiration ... to the children of America,' his attorneys are taking a more critical tone in court briefs, blaming the ex-clerk for failing to do her job following the U.S. Supreme Court's June 2015 decision legalizing gay marriage. A three-judge panel will hear arguments about who should bear the case's expenses Thursday at the U.S. 6th Circuit Court of Appeals in Cincinnati. A district judge ruled in 2017 that the couples suing for marriage licenses clearly prevailed and that the state of Kentucky must pay their fees and costs." Thanks to forrest m. for the link. Mrs. McC: Looks as if Gov. Matt will be able to hide beyond state lawyers' skirts, possibly collecting from Miss Kimmy while still holding her up as an "inspiration."

Keep Kentucky White Again. Addy Baird of ThinkProgress: "One out of every four African American voters is disenfranchised in the state of Kentucky, a higher rate than any other state, as a result of the state's law barring people with felony convictions from voting, according to a new report from the Kentucky League of Women Voters released Tuesday.... Kentucky is one of three states [Iowa & Virginia too] that currently has a lifetime ban keeping people with felony convictions ... from voting, and the report found that the state ranks third in the United States in rate of disenfranchisement. Currently, more than 312,000 people in Kentucky are currently without ballot access, or one out of every 11 adults. (For context, nationally, just one in 40 people, about 2.5 percent of the country, are ineligible to vote due to felony convictions, including about 9.1 percent of African Americans.)" --s

Hey, Wisconsin, You've Been Had. Natalie Kitroeff & Patricia Cohen of the New York Times: "Foxconn, the giant Taiwan-based company that announced plans for a $10 billion display-making factory in Wisconsin, now says it is rethinking the project's focus because of 'new realities' in the global marketplace. The project was hailed by President Trump at a groundbreaking last June as the 'eighth wonder of the world' and an example of his efforts to attract foreign investment to create manufacturing jobs.... Foxconn is a supplier to Apple and other tech giants. It was lured to Wisconsin in 2017 after former Gov. Scott Walker and state lawmakers agreed to more than $4 billion in tax credits and other inducements over a 15-year period. Those subsidies amounted to $15,000 to $19,000 per job annually, for a plant that the company said would employ as many as 13,000 workers in Mount Pleasant, near Racine." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Tuesday
Jan292019

The Commentariat -- January 30, 2019

Afternoon Update:

Eileen Sullivan of the New York Times: "President Trump on Wednesday pushed back against his intelligence chiefs' national security assessments, saying 'the Intelligence people seem to be extremely passive and naive when it comes to the dangers of Iran,' and he defended his own, more positive appraisals of threats to the United States posed by North Korea and the Islamic State. 'Perhaps Intelligence should go back to school,' Mr. Trump said.... In a series of Twitter posts the day after senior American intelligence officials briefed Congress and directly contradicted some of Mr. Trump's rosier estimations, the president reasserted his own conclusions and trumpeted his accomplishments on critical national security matters. He said the Islamic State's control in parts of Iraq and Syria 'will soon be destroyed,' and that there was a 'decent chance of Denuclearization' in North Korea." Ms. McC: Because he says so. If these people are so naive, why did Trump appoint them to positions so vital to our national security?

Erica Werner, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump warned Wednesday that lawmakers would be 'wasting their time' if they do not discuss a wall or physical barrier along the Southern border as part of a deal to stave off another government shutdown. But some Democrats said their starting point in the new negotiation is no money for physical barriers of any kind."

Hey, Wisconsin, You've Been Had. Natalie Kitroeff & Patricia Cohen of the New York Times: "Foxconn, the giant Taiwan-based company that announced plans for a $10 billion display-making factory in Wisconsin, now says it is rethinking the project's focus because of 'new realities' in the global marketplace. The project was hailed by President Trump at a groundbreaking last June as the 'eighth wonder of the world' and an example of his efforts to attract foreign investment to create manufacturing jobs.... Foxconn is a supplier to Apple and other tech giants. It was lured to Wisconsin in 2017 after former Gov. Scott Walker and state lawmakers agreed to more than $4 billion in tax credits and other inducements over a 15-year period. Those subsidies amounted to $15,000 to $19,000 per job annually, for a plant that the company said would employ as many as 13,000 workers...."

Nicole Perlroth of the New York Times: "... it wasn't until ... more than a week after [Michele] Thompson first notified Apple of [a serious security flaw on an Apple app which her son Grant discovered], that Apple raced to disable Group FaceTime and said it was working on a fix. The company reacted after a separate developer reported the FaceTime flaw and it was written about on 9to5mac.com, a news site for Apple fans, in an article that went viral. The FaceTime problem has already been branded 'FacePalm' by security researchers, who say Apple's security team should have known better.... The company has not addressed how the flaw passed through quality assurance, why it was so slow to respond to Ms. Thompson's urgent warnings, or whether it intends to reward the teenager whose mother raced to alert the company to the bug in the first place."

Trump May Have Planned a Dirty Campaign as Early as April 2016. Betsy Woodruff & Erin Banco of the Daily Beast: "Days after Donald Trump rode down an escalator at Trump Tower [in 2015] and announced he'd run for president, a little-known consulting firm with links to Israeli intelligence started gaming out how a foreign government could meddle in the U.S political process.... The firm conducted an analysis of how illicit efforts might shape American politics. Months later, the Trump campaign reviewed a pitch from a company owned by that firm's founder -- a pitch to carry out similar efforts. The founder of the firm, called Wikistrat, has been questioned by Special Counsel Robert Mueller's team as they investigate efforts b foreign governments to shape American politics during the 2016 presidential campaign.... In April 2016, senior Trump campaign official Rick Gates reviewed a pitch produced by a company called Psy Group [owned by Wikistrat's founder Joel Zamel].... After Trump became the party's official nominee, Zamel met with Donald Trump Jr. and discussed the plan, which echoed both the real election interference already underway by the Kremlin and the scenario Wikistrat gamed out the year before.... It's unclear if the Psy Group plans ever went forward."

*****

Top Intelligence Officials Testify Trump Is a Liar and/or a Loon. Sort of. David Sanger & Julian Barnes of the New York Times: "A new American intelligence assessment of global threats has concluded that North Korea is 'unlikely to give up' all of its nuclear stockpiles, and that Iran is not 'currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons-development activity' needed to make a bomb, directly contradicting two top tenets of President Trump's foreign policy. Dan Coats, the director of national intelligence, also challenged Mr. Trump's insistence that the Islamic State had been defeated, a key rationale for his decision to exit from Syria. The terrorist group, the annual 'Worldwide Threat Assessment' report to Congress concluded, 'still commands thousands of fighters in Iraq and Syria,' and maintains eight branches and a dozen networks around the world.... Gina Haspel, the C.I.A. director, said the North Korean government 'is committed to developing a long-range nuclear-armed missile that would pose a direct threat to the United States.'... Perhaps the strongest rebuke of Mr. Trump's security priorities comes in what is missing from the threat assessment: any rationale for building a wall along the southwestern border.... The assessment also argues that while Russia's ability to conduct cyberespionage and influence campaigns is similar to the one it ran in the 2016 American presidential election, the bigger concern is that 'Moscow is now staging cyberattack assets to allow it to disrupt or damage U.S. civilian and military infrastructure during a crisis.' It specifically noted the Russian planting of malware in the United States electricity grid.... Taken together, the report paints a picture of threats vastly different from those asserted by Mr. Trump." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Update. Kevin Drum: "Keep in mind that the heads of the intelligence agencies are all Trump appointees. And apparently they all agree that he's an idiot." ...

... Turtle Vows to Beat Harebrain. Ted Barrett of CNN: "Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is pushing an amendment to a Middle East policy bill that would acknowledge 'al Qaeda, ISIS and their affiliates in Syria and Afghanistan continue to pose a serious threat to us here at home,' a move seen as a sharp rebuke to ... Donald Trump's push to withdraw US troops from Syria. 'It would recognize the dangers of a precipitous withdrawal from either conflict and highlight the need for diplomatic engagement and political solutions to the underlying conflicts in Syria and Afghanistan,' McConnell said Tuesday from the Senate floor, announcing the amendment to the bill, which is currently being debated. Exact timing for the final vote on the bill, which at this point enjoys bipartisan support, has not yet been determined. McConnell added that, 'while it is tempting to retreat to the comfort and security of our own shores, there is still a great deal of work to be done.....we're not the world's policemen, but we are the leaders of the free world.'"

John Hudson & Ellen Nakashima of the Washington Post: "Russian officials made a secret proposal to North Korea last fall aimed at resolving deadlocked negotiations with the Trump administration over the North's nuclear weapons program, said U.S. officials familiar with the discussions. In exchange for North Korea dismantling its nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, Moscow offered the country a nuclear power plant. The Russian offer, which intelligence officials became aware of in late 2018, marked a new attempt by Moscow to intervene in the high-stakes nuclear talks as it reasserts itself in a string of geopolitical flash points from the Middle East to South Asia to Latin America.... It's unclear how President Trump will view Moscow's proposal. For months, he has embraced an unorthodox approach to the negotiations, but his aides are likely to strenuously oppose any major Russian role in a final agreement."

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Alex Ward of Vox: "If you're a US president, it's probably not a great idea to meet with a foreign leader who meddled in your country's elections without some way to record what's being discussed. But that's just what President Donald Trump apparently did -- again. According to the Financial Times, Trump spoke to Russian President Vladimir Putin during last November's G20 summit in Argentina without a US official present to take notes. First lady Melania Trump was by the president's side during the chat, but no staff joined them. The White House had previously acknowledged that both leaders met for an 'informal' talk but didn't disclose that Trump had no official member of his team present. Putin did have someone, though: his translator, although it's unclear if that person wrote anything down.... Trump continually finds ways to meet with Putin privately.... The administration apparently has no notes of any of the many Trump-Putin interactions over a two-year span. And at least on one occasion in 2017, Trump told his translator after an official meeting with Putin not to share details of the meeting with staff. Trump actually seized his notes." ...

... William Sumner of Daily Kos: "The Trump-Putin meeting came days after Trump had formally cancelled a meeting with Putin over Russia's attack on a trio of Ukrainian ships in international waters. A Russian account says that the two men spoke for about 15 minutes about topics that included the Russian attack and events in Syria. There is no U.S. account. Neither Trump nor anyone else has offered any summary of the discussion. Three weeks after the discussion, Trump unexpectedly announced that he would withdraw all U.S. forces from Syria. That decision, by which Trump abandoned U.S. allies and further upset the balance in the region, directly led to the resignation of Defense Secretary Jim Mattis. On his way out the door, Mattis made it clear that Trump's actions were a threat to the security of the U.S. and the region.

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: Mueller should subpoena Melanie to try to find out what-all Hubby & his Puppet Master discussed. It would be a shame, I guess, if she ended up lying to investigators & ended up in an orange jumpsuit. But I really don't care, do you? P.S. Ned Price, a former CIA intelligence office & aide to President Obama, pointed out on MSNBC that the Financial Times' source was Russian, as if Putin was "reminding" Trump that the Russians had kompromat on him & he had better follow Putin's "suggestions." Former national security advisor to President Obama Ben Rhodes made similar remarks on MSNBC.

Scott Stedman in Medium: "The developer of the proposed Trump Tower in Moscow that was negotiating with Michael Cohen and the Trump Organization appears to have an unaccounted 6 billion rubles or $90,000,000 after it received a loan from Sberbank in the weeks following the agreement with Trump.... The inconsistency between the stated amount of the loan and the actual amount of money available to IC Expert from Sberbank has not been previously reported.... Though there is no public evidence that any money flowed between any Trump associates and IC Expert, a letter from IC Expert CEO Andrey Rozov to Trump's lawyer Michael Cohen in September 2015 revealed a plan to use a company in the United States to handle any matters relating to Trump Tower Moscow.... It is unclear if such a corporation was ever incorporated in the United States." --s (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Mark Mazzetti & Adam Goldman of the New York Times: "President Trump's longtime adviser Roger J. Stone Jr. pleaded not guilty on Tuesday to felony charges in the special counsel investigation during a brief federal court appearance in which ... Mr. Stone appeared solemn and said little. During the 15-minute proceeding, a lawyer for Mr. Stone, Robert C. Buschel, entered the plea on his client's behalf to charges of obstruction, witness tampering and making false statements. After the hearing, Mr. Stone declined to comment to a throng of reporters following him through the courthouse and outside...." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)...

... Mimi Rocah in the Daily Beast: "Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker ... [said] -- in a completely inappropriate public statement -- that he 'thinks' the [special counsel's] investigation is 'close to being completed.'... But there is much about this indictment and other public aspects of the Mueller probe that I do believe support the conclusion that the investigation into whether or not there was a criminal conspiracy is not yet over.... I am talking here about criminal conspiracy, such as conspiracy to violate the campaign finance laws by soliciting or accepting a donation from a foreign entity (Russia or WikiLeaks); and/or conspiracy to defraud the United States by interfering in our free and fair elections; or participation in a computer hacking scheme." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Justin Rohrlich of Quartz: "After the sanctions were officially lifted [on three companies controlled by Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska, his company] En+ announced the addition of seven new directors to its board.... Three are Russian, two are British, and two are American.... [One of the Americans is] Christopher Bancroft Burnham, chairman and CEO of Cambridge Global Capital LLC.... [He] served as Under Secretary General for Management of the United Nations [where he worked alongside Trump's current national security adviser John Bolton].... [He] is a former Vice Chairman at Deutsche Bank Asset Management and co-founded and led Deutsche Bank's direct private equity group, RREEF Capital Partners.... The En+ release makes no mention of one other notable position Burnham also held: member of Donald Trump's presidential transition team." --safari: Maybe Mr. Burnhan is legit, but given the circumstances maybe they could've found one person NOT directly linked to Agent Orange? (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Ken Vogel of the New York Times: "Democrats in Congress are raising ethical concerns about connections between Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and a billionaire Republican donor who stands to benefit financially from the Trump administration's decision to lift sanctions on the Russian oligarch Oleg V. Deripaska's companies. In a letter to Mr. Mnuchin, a Democratic member of the House Intelligence Committee [Jackie Speier (Calif.)] said Mr. Mnuchin's connection to an entertainment business owned in part by the donor, Len Blavatnik, a business partner of Mr. Deripaska's, represented a potential conflict of interest.... Other Democrats are also considering taking steps to investigate Mr. Mnuchin's connections to Mr. Blavatnik, including Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... The story has been substantially updated. "'We are seeking an explanation as to how you managed your own potential conflicts of interest arising from your personal and professional relationships with major Rusal shareholder Len Blavatnik, a key beneficiary from your decision to delist Rusal,' the lawmakers, Representative Elijah E. Cummings of Maryland, the chairman of the House Oversight and Reform Committee, and Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, the ranking Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee, said in [a] letter [to Mnuchin]."

     ... Excuse Us While We Backpedal. Mrs. McCrabbie: According to MSNBC, Treasury had admitted that Mnuchin was once a guest on Blavatnik's yacht, not a "frequent guest" as the Cummings-Wyden letter suggested, and that Treasury changed its assertion that Mnuchin had "no business relationship" with Blavatnik to Mnuchin's having "no direct business relationship" with Blavatnik. The letters from Speier & from Cummings-Wyden are fun reading." Not sure if Treasury is still claiming the suggestions of Mnuchin's "conflict of interest or ethical problem [is] 'absurd.'"

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Sure sounds like an international gang of thieves, doesn't it?

Karoun Demirjian of the Washington Post: "A planned Senate Judiciary Committee vote on William P. Barr's nomination to serve as attorney general has been delayed for a week, as Democrats continue to raise concerns about whether he would allow special counsel Robert S. Mueller III to finish his probe and publicize the results unimpeded. The delay, which is customary for high-profile nominations, is not expected to impede Barr's chances of being confirmed by the full Senate. But it is the latest reflection of the deep partisan tension surrounding Barr's nomination, most of which centers on Democrats' desire to protect Mueller's probe from being unduly constrained." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

The Trump Shutdown, Ctd. Month Two

     ... Via New York mag.

Delusions of Competence. Alayna Treene & Jonathan Swan of Axios: "Jared Kushner ran a white board planning session last week at the White House with the Koch network and other people who worked with him on criminal justice reform. The purpose: to see if the administration can replicate the approach they took to pass criminal justice reform to overhaul America's immigration system.... Kushner and his team met with faith leaders, Hispanic leaders and prominent conservatives. Some have expressed skepticism that Kushner -- a New York liberal with no background in immigration policy or politics -- could succeed where so many of his predecessors have failed.... Two senior White House officials told Axios they are stunned that Kushner thinks he could be the mediator who solves one of the most intractable problems in American politics for the past 20 years: immigration reform. One senior White House official told Axios that Kushner's success in criminal justice reform has no bearing whatsoever on his ability to succeed on immigration."

The Turtle Speaks. Marianne Levine of Politico: "Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said Tuesday that he would be open to a bipartisan proposal that would put an end to government shutdowns. At a press conference Tuesday, McConnell said he hopes that shutdowns can be avoided in the future and would consider a proposal to stop them from occurring. McConnell's remarks come as several lawmakers have proposed anti-shutdown legislation in the wake of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, which ended Friday. 'I'd be open to anything that we could agree on, on a bipartisan basis, that would make them pretty hard to occur again,' McConnell said. 'There's some differences about how to craft that but I'm certainly open to it.' He added: 'I think this is an example of government dysfunction which should be embarrassing to everyone on a bipartisan basis.'" ...

... AP: "Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on Tuesday criticized both tactics that ... Donald Trump has threatened to wield if congressional bargainers fail to craft a border security deal he supports: triggering a fresh government shutdown or declaring a national emergency so he can divert federal funds into building his prized border wall. 'I'm for narrow or broader,' McConnell, R-Ky., told reporters when asked to describe the breadth of a bipartisan border security accord that he'd back. 'I'm for whatever works that would prevent the level of dysfunction we've seen on full display here the last month and also doesn't bring about a view on the president's part that he needs to declare a national emergency.'... Reporters had not specifically asked McConnell about a shutdown or a possible emergency declaration, and it was noteworthy that [he] ... volunteered his opinions." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Taken together, McConnell's remarks of yesterday form a surprising break with the Lord High Executive. I have no idea how long this will last (one day?), but his willingness to speak out, rather than reserve his remarks for closed-door meetings, suggests the Crafty Turtle is really, really enjoying -- and is contributing to -- Trump's weakening power. Assuming Trump doesn't lose a primary challenge in 2020, we can be sure McConnell -- who also faces a 2020 Senate run -- will return to the Trump fold.

Sarah Ferris of Politico: "House Democrats plan to put Republicans on the spot Wednesday with a vote to condemn future government shutdowns, even as the threat of another border wall showdown remains just weeks away. Democratic leaders will force a vote on a resolution that states that 'shutdowns are detrimental to the nation and should not occur,' according to a draft of the measure obtained by Politico. The symbolic vote, led by Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D-Va.), does nothing to ward off the next shutdown threat. But it will draw unwanted attention to a House GOP conference that privately loathes the prospect of another shutdown battle when existing budgets run out on Feb. 15. Republicans will have to go on record on whether to oppose another shutdown even as ... Donald Trump's close advisers continue to insist it's a possibility as a hard-line tactic to demand border money."


President* Hip O. Crite-Lyer. Jonathan O'Connell
, et al., of the Washington Post: "President Trump's company plans to institute E-Verify, a federal program that allows employers to check whether new hires are legally eligible to work in the United States, in every one of its golf clubs, hotels and resorts, following a Washington Post report that its club in Westchester County, N.Y., employed undocumented immigrants for years.... The move is the first acknowledgment by the president's private business that it has failed to fully check the work status of all its employees, despite Trump's claims during the 2016 campaign that he used E-Verify across his properties. At the time, he called for the program to be mandatory for all employers. The decision by the Trump Organization is not likely to head off calls for an investigation by congressional Democrats, who on Tuesday began gathering signatures for a letter to FBI Director Christopher A. Wray seeking a probe into whether the president's company broke the law by hiring undocumented workers. The company's new embrace of E-Verify highlights the sharp disconnect between Trump's hard-line rhetoric on undocumented immigrants -- including his dark warnings that they threaten the country's safety and steal American jobs -- and what appears to have been a lax approach by his own business to checking the legal status of its workers."

Maya Averbuch & Kevin Sieff of the Washington Post: "The United States on Tuesday returned a Honduran asylum seeker to Mexico, marking the beginning of a sweeping new policy that forces asylum seekers to wait in Mexico as their claims are processed in American courts. Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen planned to visit the San Ysidro port of entry later in the day to 'assess implementation' of the new regulation, according to a DHS statement. The policy is one of the most dramatic changes to the American asylum system in decades -- an attempt by the Trump administration to deter migration by reducing the number of migrants who live and work in the United States while awaiting their court dates. Already the plan has raised numerous human rights concerns, not to mention a flurry of logistical questions that neither the United States nor Mexico has been able to answer." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Numerous states introducing Bible Literacy classes, giving students the option of studying the Bible. Starting to make a turn back? Great! -- Donald Trump, in a tweet Monday

I was 's pastor for 5 years . I assure you, he had the 'option' to come to Bible study. He never 'opted' in. Nor did he ever actually enter the church doors. Not one time. -- David Lewicki, in a tweet yesterday

Michael Brice-Saddler of the Washington Post: "Former New Jersey governor Chris Christie took several shots at White House senior adviser Jared Kushner in his new book 'Let Me Finish,' alleging that in an act of spite, Donald Trump's son-in-law coordinated his removal from the president's transition team shortly after the 2016 election. He claims Kushner was still 'seething' from events that took place more than a decade prior -- when Christie, as a U.S. attorney, prosecuted Kushner's father, Charles, for tax evasion, witness tampering and illegal campaign contributions, sending the elder Kushner to prison for 14 months.... While discussing the case Tuesday [Christie said]: 'Mr. Kushner pled guilty, he admitted the crimes. So what am I supposed to do as a prosecutor?' Christie asked. 'If a guy hires a prostitute to seduce his brother-in-law, and videotapes it, and then sends the videotape to his sister in an attempt to intimidate her from testifying before a grand jury, do I really need any more justification than that?' He added, 'It's one of the most loathsome, disgusting crimes that I prosecuted when I was U.S. attorney,' Christie said during a segment with PBS's 'Firing Line With Margaret Hoover. And I was a U.S. attorney in New Jersey, Margaret -- so we had some loathsome and disgusting crime going on there!'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: You know, many children of criminals or just plain creeps rebuke the offending parent, especially when the parent has hurt family members. But apparently not Jared. Maybe it's a mob family thing.

Next Tuesday night, will be the warm-up act for the real deal: Stacey Abrams. -- Sen. Chuck Schumer, in a tweet Thursday afternoon ...

... Felicia Sonmez & Vanessa Williams of the Washington Post: "Democrats have tapped Georgia's Stacey Abrams to deliver the response to President Trump's State of the Union address, Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) announced Tuesday. Abrams narrowly lost the state's race for governor in November after a lengthy dispute over blocked votes. She will address the nation in a prime-time speech shortly after Trump finishes his address to a joint session of Congress next Tuesday night. 'She is just a great spokesperson. She's an incredible leader. She has led the charge for voting rights, which is at the root of just abouteverything else. ... I.m very excited that she.s agreed to be the respondent to the president,' Schumer told reporters." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Presidential Race 2020

It's AOC's Fault. Daily Beast: "Billionaire former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz says he can't run for president as a Democrat because he doesn't like Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's proposal to slap a 70-percent marginal tax rate on income above $10 million. 'I respect the Democratic Party. I no longer feel affiliated because I don't know their views represent the majority of Americans. I don't think we want a 70 percent income tax in America,' he said.... '... I believe that if I ran as a Democrat, I would have to say things that I know in my heart I do not believe, and I would have to be disingenuous.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Gee, a billionaire who runs for president because he wants his own taxes to stay low -- historically low. What kind of billionaire would do that? Oh. ...

... Cameron Joseph of TPM: "Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) took a shot Tuesday at former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz's chances of mounting a serious presidential campaign, the latest salvo in a budding feud between the progressive senator and her potential 2020 rival. 'We have a billionaire who says he wants to jump into the race and the first issue he's raised is "no new taxes on billionaires." Let's see where that goes,' she replied derisively when TPM asked if she was worried Schultz could play a spoiler role in the 2020 presidential election."

... Buy Your Fancy Coffee Someplace Else. Josh Marshall: "If you are upset with the Koch Brothers, there's not a lot you can do unless you buy a lot of industrial oil extraction machinery (yes, I know they own some other companies.) But a whole lot of us buy coffee and we pretty much all have other options."

Benjy Sarlin of NBC News: "Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., has made a splash with her plan for a 'wealth tax' on the super-rich.... While wealth taxes aren't a new invention and a handful of developed nations currently have them in place, they are on the decline: The number nations that are members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development with a wealth tax dropped from 12 to four from 1990 to 2017, according to a report by the organization last year. With inequality hitting new heights, though, Democrats running for president have made finding new ways to tax the rich and distribute the benefits downward a key part of their economic message.... A wealth tax is an inefficient way to collect taxes. While the IRS can easily check the price of a publicly traded stock, it may be hard to value a privately held company or a rare art collection until it's sold, which is often a source of legal battles in calculating estate taxes. But unlike an estate, which is taxed once at death, the government would have to figure out the value every year.... The OECD's report found that countries with wealth taxes have tended to collect relatively similar amounts of revenue over time even as the overall wealth in their countries increased at much faster rates." ...

     ... Mrs. McC: I still think a wealth tax looks unconstitutional. If you look at the Sixteenth Amendment, you'll see why. (And no, "capitation," in this context does not mean "Off with their heads." But that's an idea.) ...

... Schultz Is So White. Timothy Burke of the Daily Beast: Howard Schultz "was loudly mocked in 2015 for launching a 'Race Together' campaign, which was done to spark conversations about racial inequality among patrons of his coffeeshop empire but which critics called tone deaf.... Schultz, in his new book, apologized for the 2015 campaign, acknowledging that it was 'patronizing.' But if more evidence is needed that race could become a complicating factor in a possible presidential run, one need look no further than the former CEO's music store. Starbucks, which sold music alongside coffee from 1994 to 2015, had, what could only be described as, a flat and white selection of tunes to offer.... There is only one disc offered in the online catalog under the 'hip-hop' label. It's an album titled 'All You Need Is Love' featuring songs from U2, The Dave Matthews Band and John Legend.... In selling music in his coffee shops, Schultz insisted that Starbucks would 'transform the retail record industry. That didn't happen.

Tim Arango of the New York Times: "Eric M. Garcetti, the two-term mayor of Los Angeles who has flirted with higher office the last two years by crisscrossing the country and raising money for the Democratic Party, said Tuesday he was not running for his party's nomination for president. Mr. Garcetti has spent the better part of two years saying he was actively considering running for president, but explained Tuesday that he wanted to continue his work in Los Angeles.... No sitting mayor has ever been elected president." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Lest you think it's silly for a relatively unknown mayor to run for president, bear in mind that it's a lot harder to run a city the size of L.A. than it is to sit atop a family business like the Trump Organization. Moreover, Los Angeles has a diverse population of about 4 million residents. That's more than the estimated populations of about half of U.S. states, most of which are far less ethnically diverse.


Trump's Tariffs Are Awesome, Ctd. Gabrielle Coppola
of Bloomberg News: "Harley-Davidson Inc. barely broke even in the last quarter of a year in which the struggling American icon got caught up in ... Donald Trump's trade wars. Th motorcycle maker's shares plunged the most in a year.... Trump attacked Harley last year after it announced plans to shift some U.S. production overseas to sidestep levies imposed by the European Union.... U.S. retail sales tumbled 10 percent in the three months ended in December, the eighth consecutive quarterly drop.... Trump said in August that he'd back a boycott of the company’s bikes for moving production out of America." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Coppola appears to let Trump at least partially off the hook for Harley's problems: "But the motorcycle maker has more than tariffs and angry tweets to blame for its performance," she wrote. Really? Isn't it possible/highly likely that there is a huge correspondence between Trumpbots & potential HOGs? So when Trump knocked Harley & suggested a boycott of the company, surely some would-be buyers -- say, maybe 10 percent -- took heed, formal boycott or no.

Amy Wang of the Washington Post: "A Vatican official who handles sexual abuse cases for the Catholic Church has quit two months after being accused of sexual abuse. On Monday, Hermann Geissler resigned from his position as chief of staff in the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith, a body that handles discipline in sexual abuse cases within the Catholic Church, according to a statement from the Holy See's press office. Geissler maintained his innocence but said he was resigning to protect the church."

Beyond the Beltway

Illinois. "MAGA Country." TMZ: "'Empire' star Jussie Smollett was brutally attacked by 2 men who beat him up, put his head in a noose and screamed, 'This is MAGA country.' Sources directly connected to Jussie tell TMZ, the actor arrived in Chicago from New York late Monday, and at around 2 AM he was hungry and went to a Subway. We're told when shortly after he walked out on his way home, someone yelled, 'Aren't you that f***ot 'Empire' n*****?' The 2 men -- both white and wearing ski masks -- viciously attacked Jussie as he fought back, but they beat him badly and fractured a rib. They put a rope around his neck, poured bleach on him and as they left they yelled, 'This is MAGA country.' Jussie took himself to Northwestern Memorial where he was treated. He was discharged later Tuesday morning." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

New York. Michael Sisak of the AP: "Former New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman used nearly $340,000 in political campaign funds to pay the law firm that represented him during an investigation of allegations that he physically abused several women, according to campaign finance reports reviewed by The Associated Press. The practice is legal, but reform activists say Schneiderman and other politicians are exploiting lax campaign finance rules. 'By and large, if you are an elected official, you can use your campaign contributions as a Get Out of Jail Free card,' said Blair Horner, the executive director of the New York Public Interest Research Group.... Schneiderman, a Democrat and nemesis of President Donald Trump, announced his resignation hours after The New Yorker published an expose saying four women had accused him of slapping or choking them. Some said Schneiderman was a heavy drinker."

Texas. Never Mind. Alexa Ura of the Texas Tribune: "Officials in five large [Texas] counties -- Harris, Travis, Fort Bend, Collins and Williamson -- told The Texas Tribune they had received calls Tuesday from the secretary of state's office indicating that some of the voters whose citizenship status the state said counties should consider checking should not actually be on those lists. The secretary of state's office incorrectly included some voters who had submitted their voting registration applications at Texas Department of Public Safety offices, according to county officials. Now, the secretary of state is instructing counties to remove them from the list of flagged voters.... It's ... unclear how many people will be removed from the original list of approximately 95,000 individuals.... Donald Trump and [anti-immigration bigot Texas] Attorney General Ken Paxton have pointed to the numbers to raise unsubstantiated claims of voter fraud. But election officials have pointed out that it's possible that many of the individuals could have become naturalized citizens since they obtained their driver's licenses or ID cards."

Way Beyond

Back to the Drawing Board. Again. Heather Stewart & Daniel Boffey of the Guardian: British PM "Theresa May was handed a two-week deadline to resuscitate her Brexit deal last night after she caved to Tory Eurosceptics and pledged to go back to Brussels to demand changes to the Irish backstop. With just 59 days to go until exit day, MPs narrowly passed a government-backed amendment, tabled by the senior Tory Graham Brady, promising to replace the Irish backstop with unspecified 'alternative arrangements'. But within minutes of the Commons result the European council president, Donald Tusk, announced that the EU was not prepared to reopen the deal.... On a dramatic day in Westminster the House of Commons also served notice that it would not support the government if it pursued a no-deal Brexit, undermining what May regards as one of her key bargaining chips...."

News Ledes

Chicago Tribune: "A fresh blast of frigid arctic air sent temperatures plummeting overnight and produced dangerously cold conditions that prompted schools, cultural institutions and government buildings including courthouses to call off business for Wednesday. All of northeast Illinois, northwest Indiana and southern Wisconsin was under a wind chill warning starting at 6 p.m. Tuesday until noon Thursday, with a wind chill advisory in effect until the warning period begins. Wednesday was expected to see air temperatures that range from minus 15 to minus 26, according to the National Weather Service. Gov. J.B. Pritzker issued a disaster proclamation Tuesday to provide resources to officials across the state."

"Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night stays these couriers from the swift completion of their appointed rounds." Mostly. WGN-TV: "The extreme cold is causing the United States Postal Service to suspend delivery Wednesday, including western Illinois. In a statement, USPS said: 'Due to projected deteriorating weather conditions related to Polar Vortex Jayden, postal delivery operations will be suspended for ... Minnesota, Western Wisconsin, Iowa, Western Illinois. Retail operations at local offices will be available, but may be limited. There will be no collection mail pick up from businesses or collection boxes. Additionally, there will be no residential or commercial package pick-up services,' the statement said. Delivery is also suspended in South Dakota, potions of Montana, Kansas, Missouri and Nebraska."