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The New York Times lists Emmy winners. The AP has an overview story here.

New York Times: “Hvaldimir, a beluga whale who had captured the public’s imagination since 2019 after he was spotted wearing a harness seemingly designed for a camera, was found dead on Saturday in Norway, according to a nonprofit that worked to protect the whale.... [Hvaldimir] was wearing a harness that identified it as “equipment” from St. Petersburg. There also appeared to be a camera mount. Some wondered if the whale was on a Russian reconnaissance mission. Russia has never claimed ownership of the whale. If Hvaldimir was a spy, he was an exceptionally friendly one. The whale showed signs of domestication, and was comfortable around people. He remained in busier waters than are typical for belugas....” ~~~

     ~~~ Marie: Oh, Lord, do not let Bobby Kennedy, Jr., near that carcass. ~~~

     ~~~ AP Update: “There’s no evidence that a well-known beluga whale that lived off Norway’s coast and whose harness ignited speculation it was a Russian spy was shot to death last month as claimed by animal rights groups, Norwegian police said Monday.... Police said that the Norwegian Veterinary Institute conducted a preliminary autopsy on the animal, which was become known as 'Hvaldimir,' combining the Norwegian word for whale — hval — and the first name of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 'There are no findings from the autopsy that indicate that Hvaldimir has been shot,' police said in a statement.”

New York Times: Botswana's “President Mokgweetsi Masisi grinned as he lifted the diamond, a 2,492-carat stone that is the biggest diamond unearthed in more than a century and the second-largest ever found, according to the Vancouver-based mining operator Lucara, which owns the mine where it was found. This exceptional discovery could bring back the luster of the natural diamond mining industry, mining companies and experts say. The diamond was discovered in the same relatively small mine in northeastern Botswana that has produced several of the largest such stones in living memory. Such gemstones typically surface as a result of volcanic activity.... The diamond will likely sell in the range of tens of millions of dollars....”

Click on photo to enlarge.

~~~ Guardian: "On a distant reef 16,000km from Paris, surfer Gabriel Medina has given Olympic viewers one of the most memorable images of the Games yet, with an airborne celebration so well poised it looked too good to be true. The Brazilian took off a thundering wave at Teahupo’o in Tahiti on Monday, emerging from a barrelling section before soaring into the air and appearing to settle on a Pacific cloud, pointing to the sky with biblical serenity, his movements mirrored precisely by his surfboard. The shot was taken by Agence France-Presse photographer Jérôme Brouillet, who said “the conditions were perfect, the waves were taller than we expected”. He took the photo while aboard a boat nearby, capturing the surreal image with such accuracy that at first some suspected Photoshop or AI." 

Washington Post: “'Mary Cassatt at Work' is a large and mostly satisfying exhibition devoted to the career of the great American artist beloved for her sensitive and often sentimental views of family life. The 'at work' in the title of the Philadelphia Museum of Art show references the curators’ interest in Cassatt’s pioneering effort to establish herself as a professional artist within a male-dominated field. Throughout the show, which includes some 130 paintings, pastels, prints and drawings, the wall text and the art on view stresses Cassatt’s fixation on art as a career rather than a pastime.... Mary Cassatt at Work is on view at the Philadelphia Museum of Art through Sept. 8. philamuseum.org

New York Times: “Bob Newhart, who died on Thursday at the age of 94, has been such a beloved giant of popular culture for so long that it’s easy to forget how unlikely it was that he became one of the founding fathers of stand-up comedy. Before basically inventing the hit stand-up special, with the 1960 Grammy-winning album 'The Button-Down Mind of Bob Newhart' — that doesn’t even count his pay-per-view event broadcast on Canadian television that some cite as the first filmed special — he was a soft-spoken accountant who had never done a set in a nightclub. That he made a classic with so little preparation is one of the great miracles in the history of comedy.... Bob Newhart holds up. In fact, it’s hard to think of a stand-up from that era who is a better argument against the commonplace idea that comedy does not age well.”

Washington Post: “An early Titian masterpiece — once looted by Napolean’s troops and a part of royal collections for centuries — caused a stir when it was stolen from the home of a British marquess in 1995. Seven years later, it was found inside an unassuming white and blue plastic bag at a bus stop in southwest London by an art detective, and returned. This week, the oil painting 'The Rest on the Flight into Egypt' sold for more than $22 million at Christie’s. It was a record for the Renaissance artist, whom museums describe as the greatest painter of 16th-century Venice. Ahead of the sale in April, the auction house billed it as 'the most important work by Titian to come to the auction market in more than a generation.'”

Washington Post: The Folger Shakespeare Library in Washington, D.C., which houses the world's largest collection of Shakespeare material, has undergone a major renovation. "The change to the building is pervasive, both subtle and transformational."

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A nation of sheep will beget a government of wolves. -- Edward R. Murrow

Publisher & Editor: Marie Burns


Monday
Jan282019

The Commentariat -- January 29, 2019

Afternoon Update:

Top Intelligence Officials Testify Trump Is a Liar and/or a Loon. Sort of. David Sanger & Julian Barnes of the New York Times: "A new American intelligence assessment of global threats has concluded that North Korea is 'unlikely to give up' all of its nuclear stockpiles, and that Iran is not 'currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons-development activity' needed to make a bomb, directly contradicting two top tenets of President Trump's foreign policy. Dan Coats, the director of national intelligence, also challenged Mr. Trump's insistence that the Islamic State had been defeated, a key rationale for his decision to exit from Syria. The terrorist group, the annual 'Worldwide Threat Assessment' report to Congress concluded, 'still commands thousands of fighters in Iraq and Syria,' and maintains eight branches and a dozen networks around the world.... Gina Haspel, the C.I.A. director, said the North Korean government 'is committed to developing a long-range nuclear-armed missile that would pose a direct threat to the United States.'... Perhaps the strongest rebuke of Mr. Trump's security priorities comes in what is missing from the threat assessment: any rationale for building a wall along the southwestern border.... The assessment also argues that while Russia's ability to conduct cyberespionage and influence campaigns is similar to the one it ran in the 2016 American presidential election, the bigger concern is that 'Moscow is now staging cyberattack assets to allow it to disrupt or damage U.S. civilian and military infrastructure during a crisis.' It specifically noted the Russian planting of malware in the United States electricity grid.... Taken together, the report paints a picture of threats vastly different from those asserted by Mr. Trump."

Mark Mazzetti & Adam Goldman of the New York Times: "President Trump's longtime adviser Roger J. Stone Jr. pleaded not guilty on Tuesday to felony charges in the special counsel investigation during a brief federal court appearance in which the often flamboyant Mr. Stone appeared solemn and said little.During the 15-minute proceeding, a lawyer for Mr. Stone, Robert C. Buschel, entered the plea on his client's behalf to charges of obstruction, witness tampering and making false statements. After the hearing, Mr. Stone declined to comment to a throng of reporters following him through the courthouse and outside...." ...

... Mimi Rocah in the Daily Beast: "Acting Attorney General Matthew Whitaker ... [said] -- in a completely inappropriate public statement -- that he 'thinks' the [special counsel's] investigation is 'close to being completed.'... But there is much about this indictment and other public aspects of the Mueller probe that I do believe support the conclusion that the investigation into whether or not there was a criminal conspiracy is not yet over.... I am talking here about criminal conspiracy, such as conspiracy to violate the campaign finance laws by soliciting or accepting a donation from a foreign entity (Russia or WikiLeaks); and/or conspiracy to defraud the United States by interfering in our free and fair elections; or participation in a computer hacking scheme."

Scott Stedman in Medium: "The developer of the proposed Trump Tower in Moscow that was negotiating with Michael Cohen and the Trump Organization appears to have an unaccounted 6 billion rubles or $90,000,000 after it received a loan from Sberbank in the weeks following the agreement with Trump.... The inconsistency between the stated amount of the loan and the actual amount of money available to IC Expert from Sberbank has not been previously reported.... Though there is no public evidence that any money flowed between any Trump associates and IC Expert, a letter from IC Expert CEO Andrey Rozov to Trump’s lawyer Michael Cohen in September 2015 revealed a plan to use a company in the United States to handle any matters relating to Trump Tower Moscow.... It is unclear if such a corporation was ever incorporated in the United States." --s

Justin Rohrlich of Quartz: "After the sanctions were officially lifted [on three companies controlled by Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska, his company] En+ announced the addition of seven new directors to its board.... Three are Russian, two are British, and two are American.... [One of the Americans is] Christopher Bancroft Burnham, chairman and CEO of Cambridge Global Capital LLC.... [He] served as Under Secretary General for Management of the United Nations [where he worked alongside Trump's current national security adviser John Bolton].... [He] is a former Vice Chairman at Deutsche Bank Asset Management and co-founded and led Deutsche Bank's direct private equity group, RREEF Capital Partners.... The En+ release makes no mention of one other notable position Burnham also held: member of Donald Trump's presidential transition team." --safari: Maybe Mr. Burnhan is legit, but given the circumstances maybe they could've found one person NOT directly linked to Agent Orange? ...

... Ken Vogel of the New York Times: "Democrats in Congress are raising ethical concerns about connections between Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and a billionaire Republican donor who stands to benefit financially from the Trump administration's decision to lift sanctions on the Russian oligarch Oleg V. Deripaska's companies. In a letter to Mr. Mnuchin, a Democratic member of the House Intelligence Committee [Jackie Speier (Calif.)] said Mr. Mnuchin's connection to an entertainment business owned in part by the donor, Len Blavatnik, a business partner of Mr. Deripaska's, represented a potential conflict of interest.... Other Democrats are also considering taking steps to investigate Mr. Mnuchin's connections to Mr. Blavatnik, including Senator Ron Wyden of Oregon, the top Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Sure sounds like an international gang of thieves, doesn't it?

Karoun Demirjian of the Washington Post: "A planned Senate Judiciary Committee vote on William P. Barr's nomination to serve as attorney general has been delayed for a week, as Democrats continue to raise concerns about whether he would allow special counsel Robert S. Mueller III to finish his probe and publicize the results unimpeded. The delay, which is customary for high-profile nominations, is not expected to impede Barr's chances of being confirmed by the full Senate. But it is the latest reflection of the deep partisan tension surrounding Barr's nomination, most of which centers on Democrats' desire to protect Mueller's probe from being unduly constrained."

Maya Averbuch & Kevin Sieff of the Washington Post: "The United States on Tuesday returned a Honduran asylum seeker to Mexico, marking the beginning of a sweeping new policy that forces asylum seekers to wait in Mexico as their claims are processed in American courts. Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen planned to visit the San Ysidro port of entry later in the day to 'assess implementation' of the new regulation, according to a DHS statement. The policy is one of the most dramatic changes to the American asylum system in decades -- an attempt by the Trump administration to deter migration by reducing the number of migrants who live and work in the United States while awaiting their court dates. Already the plan has raised numerous human rights concerns, not to mention a flurry of logistical questions that neither the United States nor Mexico has been able to answer."

Felicia Sonmez & Vanessa Williams of the Washington Post: "Democrats have tapped Georgia's Stacey Abrams to deliver the response to President Trump's State of the Union address, Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) announced Tuesday. Abrams narrowly lost the state's race for governor in November after a lengthy dispute over blocked votes. She will address the nation in a prime-time speech shortly after Trump finishes his address to a joint session of Congress next Tuesday night. 'She is just a great spokesperson. She's an incredible leader. She has led the charge for voting rights, which is at the root of just about everything else. ... I'm very excited that she's agreed to be the respondent to the president,' Schumer told reporters."

"MAGA Country." TMZ: "'Empire' star Jussie Smollett was brutally attacked by 2 men who beat him up, put his head in a noose and screamed, 'This is MAGA country.' Sources directly connected to Jussie tell TMZ, the actor arrived in Chicago from New York late Monday, and at around 2 AM he was hungry and went to a Subway. We're told when shortly after he walked out on his way home, someone yelled, 'Aren't you that f***ot 'Empire' n*****?' The 2 men -- both white and wearing ski masks -- viciously attacked Jussie as he fought back, but they beat him badly and fractured a rib. They put a rope around his neck, poured bleach on him and as they left they yelled, 'This is MAGA country.' Jussie took himself to Northwestern Memorial where he was treated. He was discharged later Tuesday morning."

*****

The Trump Shutdown, Month Two, Ctd.

Sheryl Stolberg of the New York Times: "The fate of President Trump's $5.7 billion demand for a border wall is now in the hands of a 17-member bipartisan panel that includes some of the most senior members of Congress and, perhaps more tellingly, lacks the most vocal immigration hard-liners on Capitol Hill. Under the agreement Mr. Trump reached last week with congressional Democrats, a committee of Republican and Democratic lawmakers from both chambers -- known as a conference committee -- has until Feb. 15 to come up with a border security package.... The conference panel's members, appointed by House and Senate leaders, are drawn exclusively from the appropriations committees in each chamber, which have a long history of working in a bipartisan way."

Burgess Everett, et al., of Politico: "The Senate GOP has no appetite for another political debacle and is pushing Trump away from closing the government again.... If that [appropriations] committee fails, as many on the Hill privately believe is likely, Trump has touted two paths to again try to build his wall: a shutdown or a national emergency on the border. 'The preferred manner of going forward would be some type of executive action vs. shutdown. But that doesn't mean that shutdown is off the table,' said Meadows, who helped push Trump to shut down the government in the first place. Senate Republicans loathe both options, but for now, they'd choose almost anything over another funding lapse. As Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah) put it: 'I don't think we want to face another shutdown. And I certainly don't think we want to have emergency action taken. So the president and Congress will have to come together.'... Some Republican centrists are even suggesting that a bipartisan border agreement could withstand a veto threat." ...

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: When dealing with a simpleton, the solution is appropriately simple. In the "definitions" section of this part of the omnibus bill, simply define "wall" as a "fence or similar barrier which under no circumstance shall include a concrete, cinderblock, brick or similar masonry structure or barrier." That definition might need some fleshing out; for instance, adding that a certain (large) portion of "wall" is "virtual," i.e., electronic surveillance, etc. You get the idea. In the body of this section, use the term "wall" liberally and in short sentences. Hell, call this whole section of the bill "Border Wall." Then Trump can point to the title & simple sentences as a "win" for His Greatness. Idiot.

Thanks, Trump! Caitlin Emma & Jennifer Scholtes of Politico: "The five-week partial government shutdown cost the U.S. economy about $3 billion in forgone economic activity that won't be recovered, the Congressional Budget Office said in a new report Monday. Because the IRS was among the agencies unfunded during the shutdown, it had to slow down some compliance work. For that reason, CBO estimates tax revenue will be about $2 billion lower in fiscal 2019 and that 'much of the lost revenue ... will not be recouped.'... These CBO estimates did not include indirect effects. As the shutdown dragged on ... the 'risks to the economy were becoming increasingly significant,' including the blow to businesses that could not get federal permits, government-backed loans or grants, the budget scorekeeper said.... The agency projected that an overall $11 billion in losses due to the shutdown over ... Donald Trump's border wall will be offset by a projected $8 billion boost for the GDP through the remainder of the year." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Ashley Boucher of the Guardian: "The former superintendent [Curt Sauer] of Joshua Tree national park has said it could take hundreds of years to recover from damage caused by visitors during the longest-ever government shutdown.... The park reopened Monday after the record 35-day shutdown, and park workers returned to a state of chaos, including damaged trees, graffiti and ruined trails.... 'There are about a dozen instances of extensive vehicle traffic off roads and in some cases into wilderness,' David Smith, the current ... park superintendent [said].... 'Joshua trees were actually cut down in order to make new roads,' he added." --s

Devan Cole & Kevin Bohn of CNN: "... Donald Trump's second State of the Union address will not take place on Tuesday, an aide to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told CNN.... Trump's director of strategic communications Mercedes Schlapp said Monday that the White House has been in discussions with Pelosi's office about rescheduling the address and that 'we should have a response soon.'" Mrs. McC: She should wait, IMO, till after the government is funded. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

     ... Update. Mrs. McCrabbie: Surprisingly, Speaker Pelosi did not take my advice: ...

     ... Michael Collins of USA Today: "House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has invited ... Donald Trump to deliver the State of the Union address at the Capitol on Feb. 5." Mrs. McC: This is a mistake. Trump will deliver the same bound-and-gagged-women pile of horrorscapes he & Stephen Miller dreamed up for the original speech. I will not be listening. (Also linked yesterday.)

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Sharon LaFraniere & Katie Benner of the New York Times: "Matthew G. Whitaker, the acting attorney general, announced on Monday that the special counsel, Robert S. Mueller III, is wrapping up his investigation of Russian interference in the 2016 presidential campaign and whether the Trump campaign cooperated with Moscow's operation. 'The investigation is, I think, close to being completed, and I hope that we can get the report from Director Mueller as soon as possible,' Mr. Whitaker said. His impromptu remark, at the end of a news conference about an unrelated case, was a highly unusual confirmation of the state of the special counsel's investigation. Justice Department policy ordinarily prohibits public comment on open criminal inquiries, and Mr. Mueller has refused to publicly discuss the investigation since he was appointed in May 2017 to oversee it.... Mr. Whitaker's comments appeared to take even Justice Department officials by surprise. As soon as he described the special counsel's work as nearly over, a spokeswoman shut down the news conference, declaring hastily: 'That's all the time for today. Thank you so much.'"

Matt Zapotosky of the Washington Post: "Michael Cohen, Donald Trump's fixer turned vocal adversary, has swapped out his attorneys, one of his representatives said Monday, asserting that Cohen wanted new representation as he navigates testifying in various congressional inquiries. Lanny J. Davis ... said in a statement that Cohen is bringing on Michael Monico and Barry Spevack -- two veteran Chicago-based lawyers ... -- to replace Guy Petrillo and Amy Lester, who had represented him as he went through proceedings in federal court in Manhattan. A person familiar with the matter said Cohen had fallen behind in his bills to Petrillo and Lester, although Davis disputed that this led to the change.... On Monday, Rep. Adam B. Schiff (D-Calif.) said Cohen had agreed to appear voluntarily before the House Intelligence Committee on Feb. 8 for nonpublic testimony. He already had been issued a subpoena to appear before the Senate Intelligence Committee, also a closed-door session, and is expected to do so Feb. 12, Davis has said. Cohen had been scheduled to appear in public before a third panel -- the House Oversight Committee -- that same month but backed out last week, citing threats from President Trump and his lawyer, Rudolph W. Giuliani, as well as 'advice of counsel.'"

Kevin Breuninger of CNBC: "A federal judge Monday canceled former Trump campaign chief Paul Manafort's sentencing in his Virginia case, which was scheduled for Feb. 8, according to a filing. U.S. District Judge T.S. Ellis wrote that Manafort's 'current dispute' in a separate federal case in Washington, D.C., makes it 'prudent and appropriate to delay sentencing in this case.' Mueller's team had previously aimed to delay Manafort's sentencing in Virginia until the special counsel determined that he had finished cooperating with ... Robert Mueller's investigators."

Sara Murray & Katelyn Polantz of CNN: "A defense attorney for Andrew Miller, who's fighting a subpoena from Robert Mueller's investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election, learned Monday afternoon that the special counsel still wants witness testimony for a federal grand jury. Paul Kamenar, the defense attorney, says the assertion from Mueller's team made clear to him that Mueller and the Justice Department are considering an additional indictment of Roger Stone or have plans to charge others.... Miller [is] a former employee of Stone's whom Mueller subpoenaed in mid-2018 to testify to the grand jury. In a court hearing about Miller's testimony, a judge made clear that Mueller sought information Miller had about Stone's communications regarding Wikileaks and Russian hackers around the time they disseminated damaging hacked Democratic emails."

Eric Tucker of the AP: "... Donald Trump's pick for attorney general, William Barr, says Vice President Mike Pence is among the officials with whom he has discussed the special counsel's Russia investigation. Barr said in written responses to Senate questions made available Monday that he and Pence have had occasional conversations since the spring of 2017 on matters including policy and personnel. Some of those conversations included 'general discussion of the Special Counsel's investigation in which I gave my views on such matters as Bob Mueller's high integrity and various media reports. In these conversations, I did not provide legal advice, nor, to the best of my recollection, did he provide confidential information,' Barr told Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse, a Rhode Island Democrat."

Matt Miller, speaking on MSNBC, made a point in regard to the revelation in Chris Christie's book that Trump thought firing Michael Flynn would "end the Russia investigation," an assertion Christie, a former federal prosecutor, says caused him to LOL. Flynn "resigned" Feb. 13, 2017. The Trump-Christie dinner was Feb. 14. Thus, it appears Trump fired Flynn not because "he lied to mike pence," which was Trump's cover story, but to "end the Russia investigation." Miller thinks Christie just earned himself an interview with Bob Mueller.


President* Pandermore. Caitlin Oprysko
of Politico: "... Donald Trump on Monday cheered on the controversial push to introduce Bible literacy classes to public schools. 'Numerous states introducing Bible Literacy classes, giving students the option of studying the Bible. Starting to make a turn back? Great!' Trump said in a tweet. Trump's tweet came half an hour after Fox News' 'Fox & Friends aired a segment on the subject, though his tweet is not quite accurate. A handful of states are making pushes to introduce elective courses in schools that lawmakers say would teach the Bible in terms of its historical context, and though none have passed, critics have pointed out that such bills could blur the constitutional line separating church and state." Mrs. McC: Apparently it is impossible to explain the First Amendment to Donald Trump.

Mujib Mashal of the New York Times: "American and Taliban officials have agreed in principle to the framework of a deal in which the insurgents would guarantee to prevent Afghan territory from being used by terrorists, and that could lead to a full pullout of American troops in return for larger concessions from the Taliban, the chief United States negotiator said Monday. The American envoy, Zalmay Khalilzad, said those concessions must include the Taliban's agreeing to a cease-fire and to talk directly with the Afghan government, issues that the insurgents have doggedly opposed in the past. 'We have a draft of the framework that has to be fleshed out before it becomes an agreement,' Mr. Khalilzad said in an interview with The New York Times in Kabul.... After nine years of halting efforts to reach a peace deal with the Taliban, the draft framework, though preliminary, is the biggest tangible step toward ending a two-decade war...." (Also linked yesterday.)

Edward Wong, et al., of the New York Times: "The Trump administration imposed sanctions against Venezuela's state-owned oil company on Monday, seeking to cripple the government of embattled President Nicolás Maduro by cutting off its main source of cash. The move marked the first punitive step by the United States to force Mr. Maduro to give up power since the opposition leader, Juan Guaidó, declared himself interim president last week after years of accusations of corruption in Venezuela at the expense of its people. The sanctions prohibit most American businesses from engaging in transactions with the oil company, Petróleos de Venezuela, S.A., or Pdvsa. Administration officials said the financial penalties are expected to block $7 billion in assets and result in $11 billion in export losses over the next year for Venezuela's government, starving it from its most important source of revenue and foreign currency." ...

... This Is a National Security Advisor? Travis Waldron of the Huffington Post: "Trump administration officials maintained Monday that 'all options' ― including the use of military force ― are on the table concerning its attempts to remove Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro from power. And if National Security Adviser John Bolton's notebook is to be believed, deploying troops to the region may be closer to reality than not. During a White House press briefing meant to detail new sanctions on Maduro and Venezuela's state-owned oil company, Bolton was photographed holding a yellow legal pad that read, '5,000 troops to Colombia,' a country sharing a border with Venezuela. The potential security breach was quickly spotted by observers on Twitter after an Associated Press picture from the briefing was published atop stories at NBC and other outlets." Mrs. McC: Wonder if Bolton uses Gmail, like some other government officials, and an unsecured iPhone, a la Trump.

David Sanger, et al., of the New York Times: "The Justice Department unveiled sweeping charges on Monday against the Chinese telecom firm Huawei and its chief financial officer, Meng Wanzhou, outlining a decade-long attempt by the company to steal trade secrets, obstruct a criminal investigation and evade economic sanctions on Iran. The pair of indictments, which were partly unsealed on Monday, come amid a broad and aggressive campaign by the United States to try to thwart China's biggest telecom equipment maker. Officials have long suspected Huawei of working to advance Beijing's global ambitions and undermine America's interests and have begun taking steps to curb its international presence."

AP: "The author of a new tell-all book about the White House under President Donald Trump says one of Trump's top policy advisers spoke dismissively about refugees. Stephen Miller, who has pushed Trump to adopt stricter immigration policies, is quoted as saying, 'I would be happy if not a single refugee foot ever again touched American soil.'... [The author Cliff] Sims writes that, any time a refugee or immigrant committed a 'gruesome' crime, Miller would walk over to the White House press office to demand that press releases be issued about the cases." --s

AP: "The head of Mexico's immigration agency said Monday that his country won't accept migrants younger than 18 while they await the resolution of their U.S. asylum claims. National Immigration Institute Commissioner Tonatiuh Guillen also said Mexico won't extend the policy beyond a single border crossing, the El Chaparral crossing in Tijuana. Mexican officials had previously said the United States expressed interest in extending the 'remain in Mexico' policy to other border crossings. But Guillen said Mexico will accept only asylum seekers aged 18 to 60 at El Chaparral.... The U.S. has witnessed a surge in asylum claims, especially from Central American families.... With a backlog of more than 800,000 cases, it can take years to settle cases." --s

Scott Bixby of The Daily Beast: "Arrests of undocumented immigrants at courthouses in New York state by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement have become so sudden and aggressive that bystanders think they have just witnessed a kidnapping, according to a new report issued Monday. In 'The Courthouse Trap: How ICE Operations Impacted New York's Courts in 2018,' released by the Immigrant Defense Project on Monday, the nonprofit group outlines changes in the enforcement arm of the U.S. immigration system that have resulted in 1700 percent increase since President Donald Trump took office." --s

Make America Sick Again. Annie Snider of Politico: "The Trump administration will not set a drinking water limit for two toxic chemicals that are contaminating millions of Americans' tap water, two sources familiar with the forthcoming decision told Politico. [The chemicals] are present in the bloodstreams of an estimated 98 percent of Americans. And it comes less than a year after the White House and the Environmental Protection Agency faced criticism for delaying publication of a health study on the chemicals, which a White House aide had warned could trigger a 'public relations nightmare.'... EPA's decision means the chemicals will remain unregulated under the Safe Drinking Water Act, according to sources familiar with a still-unreleased draft plan that acting administrator Andrew Wheeler signed off on in late December.... The chemicals, known as PFOA and PFOS, have been linked to kidney and testicular cancer, hypertension and other ailments. Major chemical companies like 3M as well as the Defense Department would face billions of dollars in liability[.]" --s ...

... Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "The Trump administration is reviewing steps it could take to prevent state officials from using their authority under the Clean Water Act to deny permits to developers of natural gas pipelines and other energy infrastructure. The administration is reportedly considering issuing an executive order that would limit the ability of states to block natural gas pipelines and other energy projects. But legal experts countered that Trump would not be able to amend the Clean Water Act simply through the issuance of an executive order." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

"Fuck you, Betsy." Benjamin Wermund of Politico: "Education Secretary Betsy DeVos' proposal to change rules for how schools handle sexual assault allegations has turned the federal site for collecting public comments into a cauldron of anger and obscenity. DeVos, one of ... Donald Trump's few remaining original cabinet secretaries, has not become embroiled in any administration scandals during her two years running the Education Department, but she remains enemy No. 1 for many teachers and activists. The comments reflect not only the divisiveness and emotion surrounding assault investigations but how anything DeVos touches can spark hostility.... As of Friday, there were nearly 72,000 comments on the Education Department's proposed rule. The proposal is controversial, viewed by critics as DeVos doing Trump's bidding to protect sexual harassers, pointing to such accusations against the president. The comments are peppered with references to Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, whose nomination was nearly tanked by sexual assault allegations." (Also linked yesterday.)

Rachel Bade of Politico: "At a panel organizational meeting late last week, House Judiciary Chairman Jerry Nadler (D-N.Y.) agreed to consult with his GOP counterpart for two days before issuing a subpoena to force witnesses to testify. Should ranking Republican Doug Collins of Georgia object, Nadler said he would put the subpoena to a vote of the committee. With a majority on the panel, Democrats would easily prevail on any subpoena question that goes before the full committee — and both parties agree there will likely be many. But Republicans like Collins are singing Nadler's praises just the same.... The new process reflects a transparency that the GOP previously ignored. Republicans changed House rules several years ago so that their panel chairmen could unilaterally subpoena witnesses without consulting with or even notifying Democrats." --s

Make America Hate Again. Allegra Kirkland of TPM: " It's rare for a congressional aide to have her own mini-profile on the Southern Poverty Law Center's website outlining her ties to extremist groups. But such is the case for Connie Hair, chief of staff to Rep. Louis Gohmert (R-TX) and one of the participants at what the New York Times reported was a tense White House meeting last week between President Trump and far-right activists [organized by Ginni Thomas, the longtime conservative activist and wife of Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas] concerned about the threat posed by transgender people and women serving in the military.... But the other attendees mentioned by the Times are worthy of note as well. Beyond Hair, the group reportedly included veteran anti-Islam champion Frank Gaffney and Rosemary Jenks of the anti-immigrant group NumbersUSA. Crystal Clanton, who was hired as an assistant by Ginni Thomas after being booted from conservative youth group Turning Point USA for a text message saying [saying, 'I HATE BLACK PEOPLE. Like fuck them all...I hate blacks. End of story.']...was reportedly on the list of names that Thomas asked to have attend. Whether Clanton ended up actually joining the meeting is unclear." --s

Cameron Joseph of TPM: "If you thought you'd heard the last of Judge Roy Moore, you'd be wrong. The former Alabama Supreme Court Justice whose U.S. Senate bid famously flamed out amidst accusations from multiple women of sexual misconduct isn't done in politics. Moore and his wife Kayla are co-signatories on a letter released Monday by the Conservative Action Project that takes aim at House Democrats' top messaging bill for this Congress, H.R. 1. The letter's signatories include a number of top conservative activists -- including some in President Trump's close orbit." --s

** Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "Lawyers representing a Louisiana abortion clinic and at least two physicians filed an application in the Supreme Court on Monday asking the court to halt a Louisiana law that is identical to a Texas law the justices struck down in 2016. The court is almost certain to deny this application in a 5-4 vote -- possibly as soon as tonight. When it does so, it will effectively mark the end of Roe v. Wade.... [T]hese abortion providers filed this application because a federal appeals court openly defied the Supreme Court's most recent abortion decision. When the court refuses to enforce its own decision, that will send a clear signal to lower court judges throughout the country that they are free to uphold restrictions on abortion.... Should the Supreme Court deny a stay in the [June Medical Services v. Gee] case, moreover, anti-abortion judges will know exactly what that means. It will be a clear signal that they can emulate the Fifth Circuit and openly defy Supreme Court decisions protecting a right to abortion. Roe v. Wade will die a quiet death, and the Supreme Court won't even have to kill it." --s

** Louis Menard of the New Yorker on how the U.S. Supreme Court legalized racial segregation. Mrs. McC: And don't kind yourself; they're at it again.

Presidential Race 2020

Edward-Isaac Dovere, now of the Atlantic: Howard "Schultz, the former Starbucks CEO, says in a 60 Minutes interview ... that he is thinking very seriously about a presidential run -- but he stops short of a full announcement. He makes clear, however, that if he moves forward, he will do so as an independent. Already top Democratic operatives working for presidential candidates and beyond say they're worried that the only thing he'll accomplish is making sure Donald Trump gets reelected. It's more than just sniping at a prospective opponent; word that he might invest in an independent run has many of them clearly worried about how he'd split votes in a general election." (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Trump Has Figured Out Schultz Is His Best Hope. Brett Samuels of the Hill: "President Trump on Monday taunted Howard Schultz, who is considering a 2020 presidential bid, tweeting that the former Starbucks CEO 'doesn't have the "guts" to run.' 'Watched him on @60Minutes last night and I agree with him that he is not the "smartest person,'" Trump tweeted. 'Besides, America already has that! I only hope that Starbucks is still paying me their rent in Trump Tower!'" (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Dan Merica, et al., of CNN: "Bill Burton, a former adviser to President Barack Obama, defended his decision to join Howard Schultz's team as the former Starbucks CEO considers an independent presidential bid in 2020, pushing back against suggestions that Schultz could be a spoiler. Burton was one of the original aides to the Obama campaign 12 years ago and went on to be deputy press secretary in the White House. His addition to Schultz's team will lend the former Starbucks CEO credibility but it will also amplify the pushback to Schultz's potential bid from Democrats who believe it would jeopardize their chances at defeating ... Donald Trump. That pushback was palpable in the statement released by Democratic public affairs firm SKDKnickerbocker, Burton's previous employer. 'Bill Burton has left the firm to pursue projects he could not have pursued or participated in at SKDK,' said a spokesperson for the group." ...

... Armado Garcia of ABC News: "Billionaire and former CEO of Starbucks, Howard Schultz, launched his book tour in New York City on Monday, but it's his presidential ambitions that caused a stir at the sold out event inside a Barnes & Noble. As Schultz began to speak at the event, he was interrupted by a heckler who was escorted out by security. 'Don't help elect Trump, you egotistical billionaire a[ss]hole. Go back to getting ratioed on Twitter. Go back to Davos with the other billionaire elite who think they know how to run the world,' the heckler said." Mrs. McC: I'll vote for the heckler. If he runs as a Democrat. ...

... ** Jonathan Chait: Howard "Schultz appears to be one of those rich people who has confused his success in one field with a general expertise in every other field that interests him. His apparently sincere belief that he can be elected president is the product of a sincere civic-minded commitment to the public good and an almost comic failure to grasp how he might accomplish this.... Schultz believes that the large cohort of Americans who identify as 'independents' indicates a market for a centrist candidate positioned between the two parties.... That is not factual." Read on. Mrs. McC: Schultz is like Trump, but less malevolent & more naive. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Gene Robinson: "Just what we need, another ego-crazed billionaire with zero experience in government who thinks he is destined to be president. What could go wrong?... He is quite capable of reelecting President Trump.... At present, the specter of a second Trump term looks comfortably remote.... He does have a chance in 2020, however, if the anti-Trump vote is split between two or more candidates.... Perhaps, he should angle for a Cabinet post. Or just have a decaf latte and chill."


Caleb Howe
of Mediaite: "On Meet the Press, venerable news anchor Tom Brokaw ... argued 'the Hispanics' should 'work harder' at assimilation." Mrs. McC: Yeah, they should get them some MAGA hats & listen to more country & western music. Also, less béisbol, more football, & I don't mean soccer. (Also linked yesterday.) ...

... Brokaw Apologizes for Being Parochial Old White Guy. Caitlin Oprysko of Politico: "NBC News veteran Tom Brokaw apologized Sunday evening for comments he made earlier in the day on 'Meet the Press' calling for Hispanics in the U.S. to 'work harder at assimilation.' The comments ... sparked a quick backlash both on social media and on set from PBS "NewsHour" White House correspondent Yamiche Alcindor, who also appeared on the same 'Meet the Press' panel. 'I am sorry, truly sorry, my comments were offensive to many. The great enduring American tradition of diversity is to be celebrated and cherished,' he wrote on Twitter, part of a flurry of posts backtracking on his earlier remarks.... 'I would just say that we also need to adjust what we think of as America. You're talking about assimilation. I grew up in Miami, where people speak Spanish, but their kids speak English,' [Alcindor] ... told Brokaw. 'And the idea that we think Americans can only speak English, as if Spanish and other languages wasn't always part of America, is, in some ways, troubling.'" (Also linked yesterday.)

Benjamin Mayo of 9to5Mac: "A significant bug has been discovered in FaceTime[, an Apple app].... The bug lets you call anyone with FaceTime, and immediately hear the audio coming from their phone -- before the person on the other end has accepted or rejected the incoming call.... Apple has taken Group FaceTime offline in an attempt to address the issue in the interim). Naturally, this poses a pretty privacy problem as you can essentially listen in on any iOS user, although it still rings like normal, so you can't be 100% covert about it. Nevertheless, there is no indication on the recipient's side that you could hear any of their audio.... There's a second part to this which can expose video too[.]" ...

... Julie Wong & Alex Hern of the Guardian: "The flaw was discovered amid increasing concern over privacy by regulators around the globe and -- embarrassingly for Apple -- was exposed on Data Privacy Day, a global event instituted by the Council of Europe in 2007 to raise awareness among businesses and consumers about the importance of protecting privacy. Hours before the bug was first revealed to the public, Tim Cook, Apple's chief executive, had tweeted that 'the dangers are real and the consequences are too important' to not institute 'vital privacy protections'.... The bug was discovered the day before Apple's quarterly results call, already expected to be a fraught affair due to the company's unprecedented decision to slash its revenue forecast by at least $5bn (£3.8bn).... Apple has attempted to distinguish itself from rival technology companies such as Google and Facebook by boasting about its privacy record."

Beyond the Beltway

New Jersey. David Wildstein of the New Jersey Globe: "State Sen. Dawn Addiego will switch parties and become a Democrat, giving Senate President Steve Sweeney and South Jersey Democratic leader George Norcross a major political victory. The four-term senator from Burlington County brings the total number of South Jersey Democratic senators to seven and expands Sweeney's lock on the Senate Democratic caucus." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: In case you think the name "David Wildstein" sounds familiar, you're right. He's the Bridgegate guy who pleaded guilty to two federal felonies. Even though Wildstein & Chris Christie knew each other from high school, don't think he's good enough to be a friend of the newly-minted famous author: As Christie said during the hullabaloo around the Bridgegate scandal, "We didn't travel in the same circles in high school. You know, I was the class president and athlete. I don't know what David was doing during that period of time."

North Carolina. Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "For the last several election cycles, North Carolina has not held democratic elections for its state legislature ... thanks to an aggressive gerrymander that all-but-ensures Republican control in North Carolina. Yet two recent developments -- one of them very recent -- make it exceedingly likely that North Carolina will have free and fair elections in 2020. The first is a lawsuit, Common Cause v. Lewis.... That suit asks the state courts to declare that partisan gerrymandering violates the state constitution, and to 'establish new state House and state Senate districting plans' for 2020. The second development is North Carolina Chief Justice Mark Martin's announcement on Friday that he plans to leave his court in order to become dean of Regent University Law School.... Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper will appoint a replacement for Martin who will serve until the next election. That means that the state Supreme Court, which is already heavily Democratic, is about to have a 6-1 Democratic majority. The state's gerrymandered maps are, to say the least, unlikely to survive contact with such a court.... 2020 is a Census year, whoever prevails in that year's state legislative races will get to draw the maps for the next ten years." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

Way Beyond

Baby Steps. Bethan McKernan of the Guardian: "Authorities in the United Arab Emirates have been ridiculed after it emerged that all of the winners of an initiative designed to foster gender equality in the workplace were men.... A United Nations Development Programme study from 2018 found that the UAE was the Gulf country that ranked highest for gender equality and had made significant progress in bringing women into the workforce. The report found that by 2015, 135,000 Emirati women participated in the labour market, compared with just 1,000 in 1975, and 43% of women now hold bachelor's degrees, compared with 23% of men." --s (Also linked yesterday.)

Monday
Jan282019

The Commentariat -- January 28, 2019

Late Morning/Afternoon Update:

Devan Cole & Kevin Bohn of CNN: "... Donald Trump's second State of the Union address will not take place on Tuesday, an aide to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi told CNN.... Trump's director of strategic communications Mercedes Schlapp said Monday that the White House has been in discussions with Pelosi's office about rescheduling the address and that 'we should have a response soon.'" Mrs. McC: She should wait, IMO, till after the government is funded. ...

     ... Update. Mrs. McCrabbie: Surprisingly, Speaker Pelosi did not take my advice: ...

     ... Michael Collins of USA Today: "House Speaker Nancy Pelosi has invited ... Donald Trump to deliver the State of the Union address at the Capitol on Feb. 5." Mrs. McC: This is a mistake. Trump will deliver the same bound-and-gagged-women pile of horrorscapes he & Stephen Miller dreamed up for the original speech. I will not be listening.

Mujib Mashal of the New York Times: "American and Taliban officials have agreed in principle to the framework of a deal in which the insurgents would guarantee to prevent Afghan territory from being used by terrorists, and that could lead to a full pullout of American troops in return for larger concessions from the Taliban, the chief United States negotiator said Monday. The American envoy, Zalmay Khalilzad, said those concessions must include the Taliban's agreeing to a cease-fire and to talk directly with the Afghan government, issues that the insurgents have doggedly opposed in the past. 'We have a draft of the framework that has to be fleshed out before it becomes an agreement,' Mr. Khalilzad said in an interview with The New York Times in Kabul.... After nine years of halting efforts to reach a peace deal with the Taliban, the draft framework, though preliminary, is the biggest tangible step toward ending a two-decade war...."

Thanks, Trump! Caitlin Emma & Jennifer Scholtes of Politico: "The five-week partial government shutdown cost the U.S. economy about $3 billion in forgone economic activity that won't be recovered, the Congressional Budget Office said in a new report Monday. Because the IRS was among the agencies unfunded during the shutdown, it had to slow down some compliance work. For that reason, CBO estimates tax revenue will be about $2 billion lower in fiscal 2019 and that 'much of the lost revenue ... will not be recouped.'... These CBO estimates did not include indirect effects. As the shutdown dragged on ... the 'risks to the economy were becoming increasingly significant,' including the blow to businesses that could not get federal permits, government-backed loans or grants, the budget scorekeeper said."

Mark Hand of ThinkProgress: "The Trump administration is reviewing steps it could take to prevent state officials from using their authority under the Clean Water Act to deny permits to developers of natural gas pipelines and other energy infrastructure. The administration is reportedly considering issuing an executive order that would limit the ability of states to block natural gas pipelines and other energy projects. But legal experts countered that Trump would not be able to amend the Clean Water Act simply through the issuance of an executive order." --s

"Fuck you, Betsy." Benjamin Wermund of Politico: "Education Secretary Betsy DeVos' proposal to change rules for how schools handle sexual assault allegations has turned the federal site for collecting public comments into a cauldron of anger and obscenity. DeVos, one of ... Donald Trump's few remaining original cabinet secretaries, has not become embroiled in any administration scandals during her two years running the Education Department, but she remains enemy No. 1 for many teachers and activists. The comments reflect not only the divisiveness and emotion surrounding assault investigations but how anything DeVos touches can spark hostility.... As of Friday, there were nearly 72,000 comments on the Education Department's proposed rule. The proposal is controversial, viewed by critics as DeVos doing Trump's bidding to protect sexual harassers, pointing to such accusations against th president. The comments are peppered with references to Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh, whose nomination was nearly tanked by sexual assault allegations."

Presidential Race 2020. Edward-Isaac Dovere, now of the Atlantic: Howard "Schultz, the former Starbucks CEO, says in a 60 Minutes interview ... that he is thinking very seriously about a presidential run -- but he stops short of a full announcement. He makes clear, however, that if he moves forward, he will do so as an independent. Already top Democratic operatives working for presidential candidates and beyond say they're worried that the only thing he'll accomplish is making sure Donald Trump gets reelected. It's more than just sniping at a prospective opponent; word that he might invest in an independent run has many of them clearly worried about how he'd split votes in a general election." ...

... Trump Has Figured Out Schultz Is His Best Hope. Brett Samuels of the Hill: "President Trump on Monday taunted Howard Schultz, who is considering a 2020 presidential bid, tweeting that the former Starbucks CEO 'doesn't have the "guts" to run.' 'Watched him on @60Minutes last night and I agree with him that he is not the "smartest person,'" Trump tweeted. 'Besides, America already has that! I only hope that Starbucks is still paying me their rent in Trump Tower!'" ...

... Jonathan Chait: Howard "Schultz appears to be one of those rich people who has confused his success in one field with a general expertise in every other field that interests him. His apparently sincere belief that he can be elected president is the product of a sincere civic-minded commitment to the public good and an almost comic failure to grasp how he might accomplish this.... Schultz believes that the large cohort of Americans who identify as 'independents' indicates a market for a centrist candidate positioned between the two parties.... That is not factual." Mrs. McC: Schultz is like Trump, but less malevolent & more naive.

Caleb Howe of Mediaite: "On Meet the Press, venerable news anchor Tom Brokaw ... argued 'the Hispanics' should 'work harder' at assimilation." Mrs. McC: Yeah, they should get them some MAGA hats & listen to more country & western music. Also, less béisbol, more football, & I don't mean soccer. ...

... Brokaw Apologizes for Being Parochial Old White Guy. Caitlin Oprysko of Politico: "NBC News veteran Tom Brokaw apologized Sunday evening for comments he made earlier in the day on 'Meet the Press' calling for Hispanics in the U.S. to 'work harder at assimilation.' The comments ... sparked a quick backlash both on social media and on set from PBS "NewsHour" White House correspondent Yamiche Alcindor, who also appeared on the same 'Meet the Press' panel. 'I am sorry, truly sorry, my comments were offensive to many. The great enduring American tradition of diversity is to be celebrated and cherished,' he wrote on Twitter, part of a flurry of posts backtracking on his earlier remarks.... 'I would just say that we also need to adjust what we think of as America. You're talking about assimilation. I grew up in Miami, where people speak Spanish, but their kids speak English,' [Alcindor] ... told Brokaw. 'And the idea that we think Americans can only speak English, as if Spanish and other languages wasn't always part of America, is, in some ways, troubling.'"

North Carolina. Ian Millhiser of ThinkProgress: "For the last several election cycles, North Carolina has not held democratic elections for its state legislature ... thanks to an aggressive gerrymander that all-but-ensures Republican control in North Carolina. Yet two recent developments -- one of them very recent -- make it exceedingly likely that North Carolina will have free and fair elections in 2020. The first is a lawsuit, Common Cause v. Lewis.... That suit asks the state courts to declare that partisan gerrymandering violates the state constitution, and to 'establish new state House and state Senate districting plans' for 2020. The second development is North Carolina Chief Justice Mark Martin's announcement on Friday that he plans to leave his court in order to become dean of Regent University Law School.... Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper will appoint a replacement for Martin who will serve until the next election. That means that the state Supreme Court, which is already heavily Democratic, is about to have a 6-1 Democratic majority. The state's gerrymandered maps are, to say the least, unlikely to survive contact with such a court.... 2020 is a Census year, whoever prevails in that year's state legislative races will get to draw the maps for the next ten years." --s

Baby Steps. Bethan McKernan of the Guardian: "Authorities in the United Arab Emirates have been ridiculed after it emerged that all of the winners of an initiative designed to foster gender equality in the workplace were men.... A United Nations Development Programme study from 2018 found that the UAE was the Gulf country that ranked highest for gender equality and had made significant progress in bringing women into the workforce. The report found that by 2015, 135,000 Emirati women participated in the labour market, compared with just 1,000 in 1975, and 43% of women now hold bachelor's degrees, compared with 23% of men." --s

*****

The Trump Shutdown, Ctd., Month Two

Carl Hulse of the New York Times: "The toll exacted on government operations and federal employees by the record 35-day stalemate -- not to mention the political costs to those in the White House and on Capitol Hill -- was so punishing that it is giving momentum to a longstanding call to prohibit the government disruptions that have become a regular facet of Washington hardball.... Members of both parties said it was past time to enact legislation that would essentially mean the government would remain open at existing spending levels when an impasse such as the fight over the border wall was reached, rather than shuttering parts or all of the government." Both Sens. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) & Mark Warner (D-Va.) have introduced legislation that would prevent shutdowns. House "Speaker Nancy Pelosi also welcomed the idea on Friday, saying in a meeting with news columnists that she wanted to explore the possibility of legislation that would serve as a shutdown prevention act." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Weak Prez* Still Issuing Threats. The Week: "In an interview Sunday, President Trump told The Wall Street Journal he does not think lawmakers will be able to come up with a deal to fund a border wall, and another shutdown is 'certainly an option.' A committee of seven senators and 10 House members are trying to reach an agreement on border security, and when asked if he believes they'll be able to come up with a deal before the next government-funding lapse in mid-February, Trump responded, 'I personally think it's less than 50-50, but you have a lot of very good people on that board.' He added that he doubts he would sign any bill that does not give him at least $5.7 billion for the border wall he's long promised, and he suggested he will use emergency powers if necessary to get a barrier up." The firewalled WSJ story is here. ...

... Felicia Sonmez of the Washington Post: "President Trump will secure the U.S. border with Mexico 'with or without Congress,' acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney said Sunday, as negotiations over Trump's long-sought border wall begin anew. In an interview on 'Fox News Sunday,' Mulvaney declined to say whether Trump would accept less than the $5.7 billion in funding he has demanded for the wall. But he maintained that Trump is ready to use emergency powers to secure the border if Democrats continue to balk at his demands." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Jonathan Swan of Axios writes yet another autopsy report on the Cave on Wall On Friday morning, "Trump saw a Republican Senate poised to abandon him. Better to cave on his own terms, and in his own words, than watch both parties hang him out to dry. 'I can tell you exactly what happened,' one Republican senator texted me [at the time]. 'The mood at Senate Republican lunch on Thursday resembled what the mood must've been on the Union lines at 4 pm at First Bull Run. I'm amazed only six [Republicans] voted for Schumer's bill. The message from that lunch by VP, Shahira [Knight] and Mitch [McConnell] to POTUS was, it's over. They'll be 70 votes within 48 hours.' White House officials told me they knew their momentum was fading."

Max Boot of the Washington Post: "Trump supporters have been worshiping the god that failed.... His inability to bend the government to his will, even after two years in office, is a sign that (a) the rule of law still prevails and (b) he does not know what he is doing.... The Trump mystique has been based on fear and faith -- fear of immigrant hordes swarming the borders and faith that Trump 'alone can fix it.' The failure of his shutdown dealt another mighty blow to both illusions.... When Republicans were in control of both chambers, he could plausibly threaten lawmakers because of his cultlike hold on 80-plus percent of Republican voters. But his base is only 35 percent or so of the entire electorate, and Democrats are not intimidated by him. His aura of invincibility has been cracked -- and, with special counsel Robert S. Mueller III scheduled to report, the worst is yet to come. Two painful, punishing years loom."

Border Patrol Asked to Find Evidence for Trump's Oft-Repeated Horror Story. Dara Lind of Vox: "It's become a staple of ... Donald Trump's riffs on the horrors of the US-Mexico border...: Human traffickers gag women with tape so they can't even breathe before packing them into vans and driving them across the border illegally. But two weeks after Trump had started talking about tape-gagged women -- when a January 17 Washington Post article had questioned the claim -- a top Border Patrol official had to email agents to ask if they had 'any information' that the claim was actually true. The email ... was sent as a 'request for information' by an assistant Border Patrol chief, apparently on behalf of the office of Customs and Border Protection commissioner Kevin McAleenan.... It asked agents to reply within less than two hours with 'any information (in any format) regarding claims of tape-gagged women -- and even linked to the Post article 'for further info.' Vox's source indicated that they and others in their sector hadn't heard anything that would back up Trump's claims, but wasn't sure if agents in other sectors had provided information. However, no one from the Trump administration has come forward to offer evidence for the claim, either before or after the internal Border Patrol email was sent.... It's extremely hard to prove that such things have never happened -- especially because the president has access to classified information that experts speaking to journalists do not." (Also linked yesterday.)

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: It occurs to me that a major reason Trump & his allies engaged Russian hackers & WikiLeaks is that fake billionaire Trump is so damned cheap. While Hillary Clinton was paying Fusion GPS & others to collect dirt/oppo research on Trump, Trump was openly asking the Russians to hack her server to find out what she really thought of Andrew Weiner & what medications she might be taking (i.e., her personal emails). Why? Because it cost him nothing personally & the payback would be lifting sanctions & creating "good will" with the guy who had veto power over the Trump Phallic Tower Moscow.

This Russia thing is all over now, because I fired Flynn. -- Donald Trump, to Chris & Mary Pat Christie, February 14, 2017 ...

... Clueless. Maggie Haberman of the New York Times: "President Trump and his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, believed that the 'Russia thing' would end ... [with] the firing of the national security adviser, retired Lt. Gen. Michael T. Flynn..., according to an account in a new memoir by Chris Christie. The incident recounted in Mr. Christie's book, 'Let Me Finish,' is among the anecdotes describing how the president and Mr. Kushner grappled with a campaign and a presidency that Mr. Christie says neither was prepared for.... Mr. Christie describes [Trump] as averse to interpersonal conflict with people he likes, needlessly nasty to some subordinates and prone to trusting people he should not.... Mr. Kushner, whose power has grown recently, appears as a shadow campaign manager and chief of staff in the White House, often giving his father-in-law questionable and problematic advice, according to the book...."

Donald Trump could be the first President to go to the inaugural of his successor in a limo with license plates made by his campaign manager. -- John Kerry, at the Alfalfa Club dinner Saturday

Ken Vogel of the New York Times: "The Trump administration on Sunday lifted sanctions against the business empire of Oleg V. Deripaska, one of Russia's most influential oligarchs.... The Treasury Department announced a deal last month to lift the sanctions in exchange for a restructuring that it said would reduce Mr. Deripaska's control and ownership of the companies. Yet a confidential, legally binding document detailing the agreement showed that Mr. Deripaska and his allies would retain majority ownership of EN+. Representative Lloyd Doggett, a Texas Democrat who has been among the leading critics of the deal, said that allowing it to take effect 'represents just one more step in undermining the sanctions law, which President Trump has obstructed at every opportunity, while Russian aggression remains unabated.'" ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Paul Manafort was reportedly millions of dollars in debt to Deripaska. To pay back Deripaska, at no cost to himself, this is the deal Manafort would have arranged, if Manafort were not in jail. Hell, it's possible Manafort did structure this deal.

Barbara McQuade, in a USA Today op-ed: "The indictment of Roger Stone alleges serious crimes to obstruct Congress' investigation into Russian election interference. Beyond that, it also provides clues that more charges are likely.... Flipping Stone does not seem to be Mueller's primary goal.... Some of the language [in the indictment] indicates that Mueller continues to explore coordination between the Trump campaign, WikiLeaks and Russia to interfere with the 2016 election.... the Stone indictment ... suggests a basis for charging conspiracy to defraud the United States [as well as violations of campaign finance laws].... Third, this indictment shows how Mueller regards lies to Congress. Mueller is likely scouring the transcripts of all other Trump associates who have testified before Congress, such as Jared Kushner and Donald Trump Jr., for statements inconsistent with other evidence."

Still Whining. Brett Samuels: "President Trump late Saturday railed against the indictment of Roger Stone, insisting that he did not work with his longtime confidant 'anywhere near the Election' and complaining that the focus should instead be on obstacles his campaign faced in 2016. In a series of tweets, Trump cited allegations in Stone's indictment that data was released during the 2016 campaign to damage then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. The president suggested he was subject to similar campaigns, pointing to the so-called Steele dossier, which he dubbed a 'total phony conjob.' The dossier contained several salacious allegations, some of which were unverified, about Trump's relationship to Russia. The dossier was published by BuzzFeed in January 2017, after the election. The president also argued via Twitter he was subjected to 'one sided Fake Media coverage (collusion with Crooked H?),' and 'bias by Facebook and many others.'" (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Lauren King & Ali Dukakis of ABC News: "Roger Stone, following a pre-dawn arrest at his home in Florida and ahead of an arraignment in Washington on Tuesday, said that he would discuss cooperating with special counsel Robert Mueller, if asked.... 'Have you ever had any conversations with the president during the campaign or since the campaign about Russia or the Mueller investigation?' [George] Stephanopolous asked. 'None whatsoever,' he said. 'Categorically. ... Zero. Zero.'" Mrs. McC: Okay, case closed. Trump is off the hook. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

... Rosalind Helderman, et al., of the Washington Post: "In indictments and plea agreements unveiled over the last 20 months, special counsel Robert S. Mueller III has shown over and over again that some of President Trump's closest friends and advisers have lied about Russia and related issues.... The remaining question -- for both Mueller's team, as it works on a final investigative report, and for the American people -- is why.... The deception by Trump advisers that has led to guilty pleas so far does have a common throughline: Much of it centers on their interactions about Russia.... Steve Hall, who retired from the CIA in 2015 after 30 years of running and managing Russia operations, said..., 'In my view, those lies -- what was lied about and under what condition the lies were told -- contribute to a counterintelligence pattern that has begun to emerge pointing to senior members of the Trump team being involved with the Russians.'..." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.) ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I get a kick out of the way some of Trump's defenders give him the benefit of the doubt by arguing that all of Trump's associates are liars & generally untrustworthy.

Ben Zimmer in Politico Magazine on the history of the term "ratfucking." Fascinating, to a words person. Thanks to unwashed for the link. (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Brett Samuels of the Hill: "President Trump early Sunday pushed questionable claims about Texas officials reviewing voter rolls to warn of 'rampant' voter fraud and advocate for 'Strong voter ID.' The president alleged that 58,000 noncitizens voted in Texas, and that 95,000 noncitizens registered to vote. His tweet was apparently spurred by a 'Fox & Friends' segment on the figures at about 8 a.m.... In fact, The Texas Tribune reported that the Texas secretary of state's office announced Friday it had flagged 95,000 registered voters who it said should be reviewed to determine whether they are U.S. citizens. Of that group, 58,000 cast a ballot in at least one election from 1996 to 2018, The Texas Tribune reported. The identified individuals provided some form of documentation when obtaining an identification card that showed they were not citizens, the news outlet reported. However, it's unclear how many are still not U.S. citizens, as some may have been naturalized." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Jonathan Swan: "Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham told me that as recently as a couple of weeks ago Trump mused to him about the possibility of using military force in Venezuela, where the U.S. government is currently pushing for regime change using diplomatic and economic pressures.... Graham, recalling his conversation with Trump, said: 'He [Trump] said, "What do you think about using military force?" and I said, "Well, you need to go slow on that, that could be problematic." And he said, "Well, I'm surprised, you want to invade everybody.'" Graham laughed. 'And I said, "... I only want to use the military when our national security interests are threatened.'" 'Trump's really hawkish' on Venezuela, the hawkish Graham added in a phone interview on Sunday afternoon, adding that Trump was even more hawkish than he was on Venezuela. To be clear: There are no signs that the Trump administration is planning to invade Venezuela, and my conversations with senior administration officials signal that the coming pressures to accelerate regime change are diplomatic and economic." ...

... Brent Griffiths of Politico: "Mick Mulvaney on Sunday refused to rule out U.S. military action to address unrest in Venezuela, following a week where ... Donald Trump distanced the U.S. from the country's ruler, Nicolás Maduro, by recognizing an opposition figure as Venezuela's true leader." (Also linked yesterday afternoon.)

Karoli Kuns of Crooks & Liars has a very Crooks-&-Liars take on that meeting Madame Justice Ginni Thomas & her loony friends had with President* Doodah: "Just last week, Virginia 'Ginni' Thomas went to the White House and paid Donald J. Trump a visit, specifically to yell at him about transgender people and also to complain that he wasn't appointing her friends fast enough. It must be nice to have the ear of a Supreme Court Justice, eh? Just last week the Supreme Court ruled that Donald Trump's transgender ban could be upheld while the case moved through the courts. I'm sure Ginni had nothing to do with that.... They prayed. A lot. Because that's what these leftover freaks from the Council for National Policy specialize in: Standing before power and claiming it in the name of Jesus. Their entire goal is to co-opt power, create a theocracy, and bow before the cult of President Jesus...." ...

... digby: "I don't think I need to mention that the Republicans would impeach any liberal Justice whose spouse worked as a far-left activist of this type. It's simply bizarre that this is ok. It's not that a spouse doesn't have the right to have his or her own job. But this kind of political activism should be off limits. But hey --- they do what they want. Rules are for losers." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I believe that on an Oval Office sofa there is a pillow festooned with shiny gold braid & tassels & words in large block letters needlepointed into the field "RULES ARE FOR LOSERS."

Jay Bookman of The Atlanta-Journal Constitution has a brilliant Twitter thread on the Trumpification of the GOP into a cult managed by the thought police at Faux News and right wing rage radio. --s

Presidential Race 2020. Stacey Solie of the New York Times: "Senator Kamala Harris of California officially kicked off her campaign for the Democratic presidential nomination on Sunday at an outdoor rally where she warned that the nation and the world were at 'an inflection point' in history and called on all Americans to 'speak truth about what's happening' in the Trump era. Before a crowd that her advisers estimated at more than 20,000 people, Ms. Harris threaded together a biography from her years in the Bay Area with her work as a prosecutor and a senator, and set those details against a broader populist vision about 'running to be president of the people, by the people and for all people.'"

I watched the Oscar nominations a few days ago. And afterwards every single actor said what a great honor it was just to be nominated. ... Trust me: It's not. -- John Kerry, Saturday ...

... Eli Watkins of CNN: "Former Defense Secretary James Mattis received a standing ovation Saturday at the annual black-tie Alfalfa Club dinner after delivering a speech in which he honored the troops and talked about the importance of the US' standing abroad, according to a source with knowledge of the event. For the third year running..., Donald Trump skipped the annual event -- but this year, so did the vice president as well as Trump's daughter Ivanka Trump and her husband Jared Kushner.... The rest of the evening was lighter in tone, with former Secretary of State John Kerry delivering a speech replete with jokes about official Washington and himself. Kerry, the outgoing president of the club -- a mainstay of establishment Washington -- handed over his leadership role to newly minted Utah GOP Sen. Mitt Romney at the black tie event. 'This is the only speech in Washington that hasn't been canceled by Nancy Pelosi,' Kerry joked...."

Way Beyond the Beltway

Dictators' Nightmare. Simon Tisdall of the Guardian: "Protests against Omar al-Bashir, the indicted war criminal who has dominated the country for 29 years, are becoming a daily occurrence.... They want him gone.... But the causes of the unrest cannot be bludgeoned away: a struggling economy, low investment, high unemployment, corruption, bad governance and a potentially disastrous lack of opportunity for new generations of young people.... Recent weeks have seen protests in Algeria, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya and Morocco. Once again, the political temperature is rising.... Western governments, too, are repeating the mistakes made before the first Arab spring: backing dictatorships that supposedly suit their interests while ignoring bad behaviour.... This will not continue indefinitely. In Egypt, as in Sudan and elsewhere, pressure is building. A second explosion cannot be far off." --s

News Lede

New York Times: "The polar vortex is back and the forecasts are dire: A quick punch of snow, followed almost immediately by a life-threatening level of cold that a generation of Midwesterners has never experienced. Already on Monday, the misery was on full display.... In Milwaukee, St. Paul and Minneapolis, public schools called off classes. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan sent most state workers home early. By midday, more than 1,400 flights across the country had been canceled, according to FlightAware."

Sunday
Jan272019

The Commentariat -- January 27, 2019

Afternoon Update:

Felicia Sonmez of the Washington Post: "President Trump will secure the U.S. border with Mexico 'with or without Congress,' acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney said Sunday, as negotiations over Trump's long-sought border wall begin anew. In an interview on 'Fox News Sunday,' Mulvaney declined to say whether Trump would accept less than the $5.7 billion in funding he has demanded for the wall. But he maintained that Trump is ready to use emergency powers to secure the border if Democrats continue to balk at his demands." ...

... Brent Griffiths of Politico: "Mick Mulvaney on Sunday refused to rule out U.S. military action to address unrest in Venezuela, following a week where ... Donald Trump distanced the U.S. from the country's ruler, Nicolás Maduro, by recognizing an opposition figure as Venezuela's true leader."

Brett Samuels of the Hill: "President Trump early Sunday pushed questionable claims about Texas officials reviewing voter rolls to warn of 'rampant' voter fraud and advocate for 'Strong vote ID.' The president alleged that 58,000 noncitizens voted in Texas, and that 95,000 noncitizens registered to vote. His tweet was apparently spurred by a 'Fox & Friends' segment on the figures at about 8 a.m.... In fact, The Texas Tribune reported that the Texas secretary of state's office announced Friday it had flagged 95,000 registered voters who it said should be reviewed to determine whether they are U.S. citizens. Of that group, 58,000 cast a ballot in at least one election from 1996 to 2018, The Texas Tribune reported. The identified individuals provided some form of documentation when obtaining an identification card that showed they were not citizens, the news outlet reported. However, it's unclear how many are still not U.S. citizens, as some may have been naturalized."

Still Whining. Brett Samuels: "President Trump late Saturday railed against the indictment of Roger Stone, insisting that he did not work with his longtime confidant 'anywhere near the Election' and complaining that the focus should instead be on obstacles his campaign faced in 2016. In a series of tweets, Trump cited allegations in Stone's indictment that data was released during the 2016 campaign to damage then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. The president suggested he was subject to similar campaigns, pointing to the so-called Steele dossier, which he dubbed a 'total phony conjob.' The dossier contained several salacious allegations, some of which were unverified, about Trump's relationship to Russia. The dossier was published by BuzzFeed in January 2017, after the election. The president also argued via Twitter he was subjected to 'one sided Fake Media coverage (collusion with Crooked H?),' and 'bias by Facebook and many others.'"

Lauren King & Ali Dukakis of ABC News: "Roger Stone, following a pre-dawn arrest at his home in Florida and ahead of an arraignment in Washington on Tuesday, said that he would discuss cooperating with special counsel Robert Mueller, if asked.... 'Have you ever had any conversations with the president during the campaign or since the campaign about Russia or the Mueller investigation?' [George] Stephanopolous asked. 'None whatsoever,' he said. 'Categorically. ... Zero. Zero.'" Mrs. McC: Okay, case closed. Trump is off the hook. ...

... Rosalind Helderman, et al., of the Washington Post: "In indictments and plea agreements unveiled over the last 20 months..., Robert S. Mueller III has shown over and over again that some of President Trump's closest friends and advisers have lied about Russia and related issues.... The remaining question -- for both Mueller's team, as it works on a final investigative report, and for the American people -- is why.... The deception by Trump advisers that has led to guilty pleas so far does have a common throughline: Much of it centers on their interactions about Russia.... Steve Hall, who retired from the CIA in 2015 after 30 years of running and managing Russia operations, said..., 'In my view, those lies -- what was lied about and under what condition the lies were told -- contribute to a counterintelligence pattern that has begun to emerge pointing to senior members of the Trump team being involved with the Russians.'..." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: I get a kick out of the way some of Trump's defenders give him the benefit of the doubt by arguing that all of Trump's associates are all liars & generally untrustworthy.

Border Patrol Asked to Find Evidence for Trump's Oft-Repeated Horror Story. Dara Lind of Vox: "It's become a staple of ... Donald Trump's riffs on the horrors of the US-Mexico border...: Human traffickers gag women with tape so they can't even breathe before packing them into vans and driving them across the border illegally. But two weeks after Trump had started talking about tape-gagged women -- when a January 17 Washington Post article had questioned the claim — a top Border Patrol official had to email agents to ask if they had 'any information' that the claim was actually true. The email ... was sent as a 'request for information' by an assistant Border Patrol chief, apparently on behalf of the office of Customs and Border Protection commissioner Kevin McAleenan.... It asked agents to reply within less than two hours with 'any information (in any format) regarding claims of tape-gagged women -- and even linked to the Post article 'for further info.' Vox's source indicated that they and others in their sector hadn't heard anything that would back up Trump's claims, but wasn't sure if agents in other sectors had provided information. However, no one from the Trump administration has come forward to offer evidence for the claim, either before or after the internal Border Patrol email was sent.... It's extremely hard to prove that such things have never happened -- especially because the president has access to classified information that experts speaking to journalists do not."

Carl Hulse of the New York Times: "The toll exacted on government operations and federal employees by the record 35-day stalemate -- not to mention the political costs to those in the White House and on Capitol Hill -- was so punishing that it is giving momentum to a longstanding call to prohibit the government disruptions that have become a regular facet of Washington hardball.... Members of both parties said it was past time to enact legislation that would essentially mean the government would remain open at existing spending levels when an impasse such as the fight over the border wall was reached, rather than shuttering parts or all of the government." Both Sens. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) & Mark Warner (D-Va.) have introduced legislation that would prevent shutdowns. House "Speaker Nancy Pelosi also welcomed the idea on Friday, saying in a meeting with news columnists that she wanted to explore the possibility of legislation that would serve as a shutdown prevention act."

Ben Zimmer in Politico Magazine on the history of the term "ratfucking." Fascinating, to a words person. Thanks to unwashed for the link.

If you've missed all the news since Friday, here's a fairly accurate recap:

*****

The Trump Shutdown, Ctd.

On Friday, reporters used the word 'cave' to describe Trump's actions in over a dozen headlines, so often that Merriam-Webster reports a 1500 percent increase in searches for the word -- presumably, for its function as a verb. -- Matt Stieb of New York

Mike DeBonis of the Washington Post: "Trump's capitulation -- agreeing to reopen the federal government after a 35-day standoff without funding for a U.S.-Mexico border wall -- generated rave reviews for [Nancy] Pelosi from fellow Democrats and grudging respect from Republicans who watched as she kept an unruly party caucus united in the face of GOP divide-and-conquer tactics. Pelosi (D-Calif.) emerges from the shutdown as a stronger leader of her party -- and more popular with the public, by early measures -- as Democrats eye aggressive efforts to counter Trump's agenda through ambitious legislation and tough oversight. That suggests the shutdown might have been a strategic misstep for Trump, in addition to a tactical error.... Trump and White House officials appeared to fundamentally misjudge Pelosi's support among Democrats and her resolve to hold firm against border wall funding.... There appears to be little appetite on Capitol Hill for a reprise of the draining shutdown. Trump's Plan B -- declaring a national emergency and tapping military construction accounts to fund the wall -- has unnerved many Republicans and spurred Democrats to prepare for litigation that might not be settled before Trump's term is up."

Kevin Liptak, et al., of CNN: "As ... Donald Trump announced in the Rose Garden on Friday that his quixotic bid to secure more than $5 billion for a border wall would end with no money, he was met with applause from his Cabinet secretaries and senior aides. But the clapping belied a pervasive sense of defeat. Instead of emerging victorious, many of Trump's allies are walking away from a record-breaking government shutdown feeling outplayed, not least by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. The President is now more unpopular than he was before the shutdown began, sacked with blame for the 35-day lapse in funding. Friday's announcement was an extraordinary comedown that left many in the White House and those who support Trump marveling at the futility of the preceding four weeks of brinkmanship. In the eyes of some aides and outside advisers, an entire fruitless month has passed that cannot be recouped.... 'Today is not a cave but a grave for Stephen Miller policies,' [a Trump] adviser said, acknowledging it's not clear at all that Trump is ready to make that kind of course correction."

Home Alone at the White House, Donnie Hosted Some of His Crazy Friends. Maggie Haberman & Annie Karni of the New York Times: "President Trump met last week with a delegation of hard-right activists led by Ginni Thomas, the wife of Justice Clarence Thomas, listening quietly as members of the group denounced transgender people and women serving in the military, according to three people with direct knowledge of the events. For 60 minutes Mr. Trump sat, saying little but appearing taken aback, the three people said, as the group also accused White House aides of blocking Trump supporters from getting jobs in the administration. It is unusual for the spouse of a sitting Supreme Court justice to have such a meeting with a president, and some close to Mr. Trump said it was inappropriate for Ms. Thomas to have asked to meet with the head of a different branch of government.... The meeting was arranged after months of delay, according to the three people. It came about after the Thomases had dinner with the president and the first lady, Melania Trump, the people said.... Others attending included Frank Gaffney..., who has advocated curtailing immigration and has repeatedly denounced Muslims, and Rosemary Jenks, who works for the anti-immigration group NumbersUSA...." Mrs. McC: "Taken aback"? These are your people, Von Clownschtick.

Joshua Partlow & David Fahrenthold of the Washington Post: "... on Jan. 18, about a dozen employees at Trump National Golf Club in Westchester County, N.Y., were ... fired because they are undocumented immigrants, according to interviews with the workers and their attorney. The fired workers are from Latin America. The sudden firings -- which were previously unreported -- follow last year's revelations of undocumented labor at a Trump club in New Jersey, where employees were subsequently dismissed. The firings show Trump's business was relying on undocumented workers even as the president demanded a border wall to keep out such immigrants.... In Westchester County, workers were told Trump's company had just audited their immigration documents -- the same ones they had submitted years earlier -- and found them to be fake.... The firings at the New York golf club -- which workers said eliminated about half of the club's wintertime staff -- follow a story in the New York Times last year that featured an undocumented worker at another Trump club in Bedminster, N.J. After that story, Trump's company fired undocumented workers at the Bedminster club, according to former workers there.... The firings highlight a stark tension between Trump's public stance on immigration and the private conduct of Trump's business."

Annie Karni & Maggie Haberman: "Jared Kushner ... was confident in his ability as a good-faith negotiator who could find a compromise to end the government shutdown.... Buoyed by his success in helping pass a criminal justice bill, Mr. Kushner ... agreed to take the lead when the president asked him to find a way to end the monthlong stalemate. But negotiating a broad immigration deal that would satisfy a president committed to a border wall as well as Democrats who have cast it as immoral proved to be more like Mr. Kushner's elusive goal of solving Middle East peace than passing a criminal justice overhaul that already had bipartisan support. For one, Mr. Kushner inaccurately believed that moderate rank-and-file Democrats were open to a compromise and had no issue funding a wall as part of a broader deal.... And Democratic leaders like Senator Chuck Schumer, party officials said, did not believe that Mr. Kushner had the power to circumvent Stephen Miller.... Mr. Trump, White House aides said, has been frustrated at everyone around him for not delivering a deal he can accept. And he has become wary of his son-in-law's advice on this issue, the aides said."

This Russia Thing, Etc., Ctd.

Karen Yourish & Larry Buchanan of the New York Times: "During the 2016 presidential campaign and transition, Donald J. Trump and at least 17 campaign officials and advisers had contacts with Russian nationals and WikiLeaks, or their intermediaries, a New York Times analysis has found. At least 10 other associates were told about interactions but did not have any themselves.... Among these contacts are more than 100 in-person meetings, phone calls, text messages, emails and private messages on Twitter. Mr. Trump and his campaign repeatedly denied having such contacts with Russians during the 2016 election.The special counsel has also investigated connections between the Trump campaign and WikiLeaks, which released thousands of Democratic emails that were hacked by Russia before the election." The story includes a handy interactive chart & related charts laying out the who when where & lies. Mrs. McC: There's NO COLLUSION! and even if there was, there's nothing wrong with it. WITCH HUNT!!!

"Nancy"'s One-Two Punch. Inae Oh of Mother Jones: "Fresh off her decisive victory over ... Donald Trump in the fight to end the longest government shutdown in US history, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi released a scathing statement on the other damning news of the day: the arrest of the president's longtime adviser Roger Stone.

The indictment of Roger Stone makes clear that there was a deliberate, coordinated attempt by top Trump campaign officials to influence the 2016 election and subvert the will of the American people. It is staggering that the President has chosen to surround himself with people who violated the integrity of our democracy and lied to the FBI and Congress about it.

In the face of 37 indictments, the President's continued actions to undermine the Special Counsel investigation raise the questions: what does Putin have on the President, politically, personally or financially? Why has the Trump Administration continued to discuss pulling the U.S. out of NATO, which would be a massive victory for Putin?

Lying to Congress and witness tampering constitute grave crimes. All who commit these illegal acts should be held accountable to the fullest extent of the law.; We cannot allow any effort to intimidate witnesses or prevent them from appearing before Congress.

The Special Counsel investigation is working, and the House will continue to exercise our constitutional oversight responsibility and ensure that the Special Counsel investigation can continue free from interference from the White House. -- Nancy Pelosi, Speaker of the House

Marcy Wheeler of emptywheel: "[I]n spite of the fact that [Roger] Stone has been rat-fucking for almost a half century, and in spite of the fact that Stone was willing to risk major prison time as part of a cover-up, Stone utterly fucked himself by keeping incriminating materials around and leaking them out via journalists. If Ronald Reagan is rolling in his grave today because the Air Traffic Controllers showed that by working collectively they could be more powerful than a President, then Richard Nixon is rolling in his grave today that a guy still branded with his face failed the cover-up so much worse than Nixon himself[.]" --s

Peter Zeidenberg in the Daily Beast: "... [Roger] Stone should begin getting his affairs in order. Barring a presidential pardon (always the wild-card possibility with a POTUS like Trump) Stone will be convicted and receive a very substantial prison sentence. This is as close to a slam-dunk case as a prosecutor will ever bring.... Do not expect to see special counsel Robert Mueller make any attempt to flip Stone and have him cooperate.... Stone is too untrustworthy for a prosecutor to ever rely upon. He has told so many documented lies, and bragged so often about his dirty tricks, that he simply has too much baggage to deal with even if here to want to cooperate -- which seems unlikely in any event.... Stone has nothing to sell that Mueller would be interested in buying." ...

... Julian Sanchez in a New York Times op-ed: "... the true target of Friday's F.B.I. actions [against Roger Stone] was not Mr. Stone himself, but his electronic devices.... Reports ... noted that federal agents were 'seen carting hard drives and other evidence from Mr. Stone;s apartment in Harlem, and his recording studio in South Florida was also raided.' The F.B.I., in other words, was executing search warrants, not just arrest warrants.... [According to the indictment,] in a text exchange between Mr. Stone and a 'supporter involved with the Trump Campaign,' Mr. Mueller pointedly quotes Mr. Stone's request to 'talk on a secure line -- got WhatsApp?'... Though it's not directly relevant to his alleged false statements, the special counsel is taking pains to establish that Mr. Stone made a habit of moving sensitive conversations to encrypted messaging platforms like WhatsApp -- meaning that, unlike ordinary emails, the messages could not be obtained directly from the service provider. The clear implication is that any truly incriminating communications would have been conducted in encrypted form -- and thus could be obtained only directly from Mr. Stone's own phones and laptops." ...

... Roger Stone, the Missing Link. James Risen of the Intercept: "Since his name first surfaced in connection with the Trump-Russia inquiry, Stone has behaved in public like a clown, reveling in his cheap celebrity while also taunting Mueller and the press.... But the indictment shows that Stone has some serious legal problems, and that his role as a possible link between the Trump circle and the cyber-assault on the Democratic Party and Hillary Clinton's campaign can't be laughed off or easily dismissed.... If the indictment is borne out, Stone's actions come very close to making him the key missing link in the Trump-Russia collusion narrative.... While the charges against Stone don't deal with the underlying question of collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia, the Stone indictment still brings Mueller's probe closer than ever before to the heart of the matter." ...

... Adam Davidson of the New Yorker: "A frequent guest on InfoWars and other fringe conspiracy-media outlets, [Roger] Stone has presented himself as somewhat desperately trying to foster communication between Trump and [ WikiLeaks' Julian] Assange. But the e-mails in the indictment show that Stone may have played a crucial role in the election, intervening with both the Trump campaign and WikiLeaks to influence the timing of key events.... One must still allow [that Trump] was, somehow, an innocent dupe surrounded by scheming scoundrels[.]"

... Betsy Woodruff of the Daily Beast reproduces some of the e-mail exchanges between Roger Stone & Randy Credico (Person 2). Extremely scatological. "Stone and Credico's relationship ... has found its way into the investigation of the century. And it highlights one of the most amusing realities of the special counsel's into Russian meddling in the 2016 election: Mueller, a notoriously serious and straight-faced law man, has spent a huge amount of time dealing with clowns.... A few days before his indictment, he texted The Daily Beast to say he would expose monstrous misconduct by Mueller's team if indicted." ...

... Abigail Tracy of Vanity Fair: "... Stone was not indicted on charges of collusion or conspiracy. Rather, as Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani noted, he was indicted for process crimes. Which invites the question: could Mueller not find an underlying crime?... Glenn Kirschner, a former federal prosecutor..., specifically highlighted text messages from [Randy] Credico -- identified as 'Person 2' in the court filing -- to Stone on or around October 1, 2016..., that stated, 'Big news Wednesday ... now pretend u don-t know me .. Hillary's campaign will die this week.' Kirschner called that clear evidence of a conspiracy. 'Really, in 15 words, we can see collusion; we can see the cover-up; we can see the conspiracy; and we can see that the whole point of this is to kill Hillary's campaign in a way that relies on stolen information to do it,' Kirschner said. '... you can prove the case with those 15 words.' 'The Stone indictment is yet another indictment of a person close to Trump working with the Kremlin,' said Neal Katyal, a top Justice official in the Obama administration. 'Either Trump was in on it, or he goes down as the most clueless boss and president in the 242-year history of the Republic.'"

     ... Mrs. Bea McCrabbie: The argument popular among -- and giving comfort to -- Trump supporters is that Mueller is mostly charging Trump factotums with "process crimes": lying to investigators, obstructing justice, etc. In my view, that's pretty cold comfort. First, there's no reason to think Mueller has packed up his indictment machine. But more important, these "process crimes" all raise the question of why. If there were no underlying crime, there would be no reason to lie or obstruct justice or commit perjury or tamper with witnesses. These "process crimes" all are pointers to underlying crimes. Mueller could not have charged these process crimes if he didn't know pretty much what his targets were trying to hide; that is, what the "big" crimes of conspiracy, election fraud, hacking, etc. ...

     ... Remarks by Adam Davidson, Neal Katyal & others suggest that if Mueller never directly fingers Trump, Trump's only viable defense will be, "I had no idea what-all was going on right under my nose." Watching the Trump Crime Family in action really is like watching an episode of "Law & Order" where prosecutor Jack McCoy is trying to reel in the big-fish mob boss when the only solid evidence he has is against wise guys like Biscuits & Books (Biscotti & Libretti).

** Spencer Ackerman of The Daily Beast: "The new leadership on the House intelligence committee is eager to revive the panel's probe into the connections between Donald Trump's camp and Russia, an urgency underscored by the latest indictment of a Trump associate accused of lying to its investigation. But three weeks into the Democratic-controlled Congress, House Republicans haven't taken a critical step necessary for the committee to begin any work at all. The House Republican leadership has yet to name the intelligence committee's Republican membership for the new Congress, with the exception of retaining Devin Nunes as ranking Republican. Without doing so, the committee is stalled -- no hearings, no internal business meetings...(This Republican intransigence was first noted by The Rachel Maddow Show.) It's not clear what the holdup is." --s

<
Rod Nordland & Mujib Mashal
of the New York Times: The United States and the Taliban are closing in on a deal to end America's longest war after six days of some of the most serious Afghan peace negotiations to date wrapped up on Saturday. The talks in Doha, Qatar, lasted much longer than planned and longer than any previous attempt to end the 17-year conflict, and both sides publicly reported progress -- a rarity. The chief American negotiator, Zalmay Khalilzad, said on Twitter that the talks were 'more productive than they have been in the past' and he hoped they would resume shortly.... 'We have a number of issues left to work out. Nothing is agreed until everything is agreed, and "everything" must include an intra-Afghan dialogue and comprehensive cease-fire,' he said." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: This is the first time I can recall something like good news coming out of the Trump administration. Any other "good news" I can remember has been fake. If negotiations proceed successfully, please, Allah, don't let Trump put his thumb on them.


Marco Rubio, Venezuelan Revolutionary. Peter Baker & Edward Wong
of the New York Times: "... Senator Marco Rubio ... has become a lead policy architect and de facto spokesman in a daring and risky campaign involving the United States in the unrest that is now gripping Venezuela. Through sheer force of will and a concerted effort to engage and educate President Trump, Mr. Rubio has made himself, in effect, a virtual secretary of state for Latin America, driving administration strategy and articulating it to the region from the Senate floor, as he did the other day, and every television camera he can find. Perhaps no other individual outside Venezuela has been more critical in challenging President Nicolás Maduro."

** Annals of Journalism, Ctd. Amanda Arnold of New York: "In the past three days, about 1,000 writers, editors, and other media workers lost their jobs — a number that will continue to increase over the next week. On Wednesday evening, Verizon (which owns HuffPost, Yahoo, and AOL) announced it would be laying of seven percent of its staff; not long after that, The Wall Street Journal reported that BuzzFeed would cut soon cut 15 percent of its staff. Earlier that day, Gannett Co., which owns more than 1,000 daily and weekly newspapers across the country, had cut approximately 400 jobs -- a devastating blow to small newsrooms and the local communities that depend on them.... Many are laying the blame on Facebook and Google, which monopolize digital ad growth, as well as poor decisions on the management level. 'This isn't happening because of market inefficiencies or consumer preferences or social value,' HuffPost senior reporter Zach Carter tweeted. 'It's happening because two very large companies have taken the advertising revenue that journalism outlets rely on and replaced it with nothing.'"

Public Service Announcement:

... "Ah, Ah, Ah, Ah, Stayin' Alive, Stayin' Alive." Alex Horton of the Washington Post: When Cross Scott of Arizona came across an unconscious woman, he had no training in CPR, but he did remember that episode of "The Office." While others called 911, Scott "crawled onto the woman and began compressions while singing the [Bee Gees'] song aloud, he told the [Arizona Daily] Star.... The woman ... awoke after a minute and threw up, according to the Star. She was then taken to a hospital."

Beyond the Beltway

Arizona. Yvonne Sanchez of the Arizona Republic: "Kelli Ward, the bomb-throwing conservative former state senator and loyalist to ... Donald Trump, upended the race to lead the Arizona Republican Party by beating the establishment favorite and incumbent GOP chairman, Jonathan Lines. In doing so, Republicans from across the state on Saturday chose a more right-wing vision headed into the 2020 election cycle where Arizona is poised to reach battleground status. The election [of Ward] could have far-reaching implications for how the party messages to voters and how it spends money on races."

Florida. Mark Stern of Slate: "... a Florida ethics probe into [Andrew] Gillum's [D] conduct as Tallahassee mayor has made his political future cloudier than it once appeared. On Friday, that investigation took a new, serious turn, when a state commission found probable cause that Gillum violated ethics laws by accepting gifts from lobbyists. This latest development, reported in the Tallahassee Democrat, should not be confused with the FBI probe into corruption in Tallahassee, which looks to be uninterested in Gillum. But it's still a blow to his political ambitions -- a splotch on his record that arises from alleged conduct that might be generously described as unseemly. Until now, Gillum has waved away criticisms of his behavior as a partisan smear campaign. Friday's decision undermines that defense, giving future opponents legitimate grist to attack his character.... Throughout the campaign, he insisted that he paid his share of the lavish excursions and never accepted gifts from lobbyists. That narrative is now almost impossible to believe."

Kansas. Jacey Fortin of the New York Times: "Three men who were convicted of plotting to blow up a Kansas apartment complex where Somali refugees lived have each been sentenced to at least 25 years in prison, the Justice Department said on Friday. 'The defendants in this case acted with clear premeditation in an attempt to kill innocent people on the basis of their religion and national origin,' Matthew G. Whitaker, the acting United States attorney general, said in a statement. 'That-s not just illegal -- it's morally repugnant.' During the trial last year in Wichita, Kan., prosecutors portrayed the men as aspiring domestic terrorists who were preparing to bomb the apartment complex in Garden City, Kan., which is home to a makeshift mosque and a community of Somali immigrants. The men, who called themselves 'the Crusaders,' were arrested about four weeks before Nov. 9, 2016, the date they had picked for the bombing." ...

     ... Mrs. McCrabbie: Looks as if Matt Whitaker is not hoping for a new job in the Trump administration.

Pennsylvania. Jan Murphy & Charles Thompson of PennLive: State "House Republican leaders have called on state Rep. Brian Ellis to resign from office ... to take care of his family and address the sexual assault allegation that is the subject of a criminal investigation by the Dauphin County District Attorney. In their statement, House GOP leaders acknowledged a criminal investigation is taking place.... Ellis is accused of sexually assaulting a woman, who works at the state Capitol, following an encounter with her at a Harrisburg bar in October 2015.... The state's Victim Advocate Jennifer Storm, who is working with the woman, said on Friday that the woman was not voluntarily intoxicated the night of the alleged assault but rather incapacitated by a drug" --s